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A Suitor Makes the Case for Divorce A Suitor Makes the Case for Divorce
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TAMPA, Fla. — Through three nights of gauzy videos, sentimental testimonials and, finally, his own address to the nation Thursday, Mitt Romney worked hard to show he has a heart.TAMPA, Fla. — Through three nights of gauzy videos, sentimental testimonials and, finally, his own address to the nation Thursday, Mitt Romney worked hard to show he has a heart.
But he still needs to tackle the much harder job of convincing those Americans who so emotionally invested their hearts in President Obama four years ago that it is time to accept that his presidency did not work, let go of him and move on.But he still needs to tackle the much harder job of convincing those Americans who so emotionally invested their hearts in President Obama four years ago that it is time to accept that his presidency did not work, let go of him and move on.
Not even Mr. Romney’s own strategists are pretending that is going to be simple. And even before leaving the nominating convention here, they were beginning a delicate 10-week campaign aimed at those voters who are disappointed in Mr. Obama but just can’t yet bring themselves to quit him.Not even Mr. Romney’s own strategists are pretending that is going to be simple. And even before leaving the nominating convention here, they were beginning a delicate 10-week campaign aimed at those voters who are disappointed in Mr. Obama but just can’t yet bring themselves to quit him.
After month after month of disappointing job numbers, poll after poll showing dissatisfaction in his economic performance and hundreds of millions of dollars in negative advertisements, a large portion of wavering voters maintain a personal attachment to Mr. Obama, and a tentative willingness to give him more time to get it right, top strategists with both campaigns agree.After month after month of disappointing job numbers, poll after poll showing dissatisfaction in his economic performance and hundreds of millions of dollars in negative advertisements, a large portion of wavering voters maintain a personal attachment to Mr. Obama, and a tentative willingness to give him more time to get it right, top strategists with both campaigns agree.
That is a testament, perhaps, to the power of that scene four years ago when Mr. Obama and his family crossed the threshold of the White House as its first African-American tenants, “an inspiring moment that so many have awaited so long” as former President George W. Bush — the man he was so hard on in 2008 — put it then.That is a testament, perhaps, to the power of that scene four years ago when Mr. Obama and his family crossed the threshold of the White House as its first African-American tenants, “an inspiring moment that so many have awaited so long” as former President George W. Bush — the man he was so hard on in 2008 — put it then.
Representative Paul D. Ryan may have painted a biting picture on Wednesday night when he referred to the faded Obama poster hanging above unemployed college graduates’ childhood beds, but the poster was still there, after all.Representative Paul D. Ryan may have painted a biting picture on Wednesday night when he referred to the faded Obama poster hanging above unemployed college graduates’ childhood beds, but the poster was still there, after all.
Most challengers face the relatively clinical task of persuading voters to fire the incumbent. Mr. Romney faces the more fraught mission of persuading them to break up with the incumbent.Most challengers face the relatively clinical task of persuading voters to fire the incumbent. Mr. Romney faces the more fraught mission of persuading them to break up with the incumbent.
“It’s going to be hard to break the bond a lot of voters feel with Obama, even if they are disappointed,” said Mark McKinnon, a former strategist for Mr. Bush. “It may be a bad marriage, but they still want to save it.”“It’s going to be hard to break the bond a lot of voters feel with Obama, even if they are disappointed,” said Mark McKinnon, a former strategist for Mr. Bush. “It may be a bad marriage, but they still want to save it.”
It is Mr. Romney’s job now to convince them that it is beyond repair; that the risks of staying in it are larger than the risks of starting anew with him, that he and Mr. Ryan represent a fresh start akin to a generational change.It is Mr. Romney’s job now to convince them that it is beyond repair; that the risks of staying in it are larger than the risks of starting anew with him, that he and Mr. Ryan represent a fresh start akin to a generational change.
But leading these voters — many of them women, according to pollsters — to that conclusion takes finesse and delicacy, Republican strategists say. The sort of visceral attacks that conservative talk show hosts are calling for risk sending them into a defense posture on behalf of Mr. Obama and, more to the point, of their own decisions four years ago. But leading these voters — many of them women — to that conclusion takes finesse and delicacy, Republican strategists say. The sort of visceral attacks that conservative talk show hosts are calling for risk sending them into a defense posture on behalf of Mr. Obama and, more to the point, of their own decisions four years ago.
Rather, strategists say, it requires providing a path that gives them permission to make their break. They need to be told that it is O.K. to remain proud of their initial support for Mr. Obama, but that they can be equally at peace with a decision to change their minds now. Rather, strategists say, it requires providing a path that gives them permission to make a break. They need to be told that it is O.K. to remain proud of their initial support for Mr. Obama, but that they can be equally at peace with a decision to change their minds now.
“There is no need to make people feel bad about what they’ve done to feel good about what they’re going to do,” said Stuart Stevens, a senior adviser to Mr. Romney, as he sat in the empty convention hall Thursday afternoon in nervous anticipation of his boss’s speech.“There is no need to make people feel bad about what they’ve done to feel good about what they’re going to do,” said Stuart Stevens, a senior adviser to Mr. Romney, as he sat in the empty convention hall Thursday afternoon in nervous anticipation of his boss’s speech.
So it was that Mr. Romney used his remarks to hark back to that period when “many Americans felt a fresh excitement about the possibilities of a new president.” So it was that Mr. Romney went out of his way to tip his hat to the historic import of Mr. Obama’s election, when he said “many Americans felt a fresh excitement about the possibilities of a new president.”
And, Republican strategists acknowledge, they have to contend with a general sense in some polls of swing voters that Mr. Obama inherited an economy in dire shape, and that his policies could improve the economy more substantially if given time. But, in what amounted to perhaps the most forceful and effective portion of his address, Mr. Romney sought to give Mr. Obama’s wavering 2008 voters a strong nudge from what he portrayed as a reverie, saying they have given the president time enough. “Americans have been patient; Americans have supported this president in good faith,” he said to a roar in the hall. “Today the time has come to turn the page.”
Mr. Romney appeared to be trying to deconstruct that notion, telling his audience to a roar of applause: “Americans have been patient; Americans have supported this president in good faith. Today the time has come to turn the page.” The exhortation seemed aimed at disappointed swing voters, who, some polls show, might be inclined to give Mr. Obama more time because he inherited an economy in dire shape.
Mr. Romney’s tone on Thursday — more lament than anger — appears to some analysts to be the most effective means of wresting away former Obama voters. “There are signs he is making progress,” Mr. McKinnon said, pointing to some polls that show Mr. Obama trailing Mr. Romney among independent voters. Mr. Romney’s tone — more lament than anger — appeared to some analysts to be the most effective means of wresting away former Obama voters. “There are signs he is making progress,” Mr. McKinnon said, pointing to some polls that show Mr. Obama trailing Mr. Romney among independent voters.
This is not to say that there will be any going soft on Mr. Obama. Mr. Romney’s campaign is running a raft of harsh advertisements against the president, including one that has been repeatedly criticized by news media “fact checkers” for falsely alleging he is stripping work requirements from the 1996 welfare overhaul law.This is not to say that there will be any going soft on Mr. Obama. Mr. Romney’s campaign is running a raft of harsh advertisements against the president, including one that has been repeatedly criticized by news media “fact checkers” for falsely alleging he is stripping work requirements from the 1996 welfare overhaul law.
On Thursday Mr. Romney laced into Mr. Obama for bringing “disappointment and division.” And the evening before, Mr. Ryan gave something of a stemwinder, assailing Mr. Obama on multiple grounds, including running up the national debt.On Thursday Mr. Romney laced into Mr. Obama for bringing “disappointment and division.” And the evening before, Mr. Ryan gave something of a stemwinder, assailing Mr. Obama on multiple grounds, including running up the national debt.
With a newly flush bank account — his acceptance of the nomination triggered the release of the money he collected for the general election — Mr. Romney can afford to send out both harder-hitting and more nuanced messages at once for the first time since he emerged earlier this year as his party’s presumed nominee.With a newly flush bank account — his acceptance of the nomination triggered the release of the money he collected for the general election — Mr. Romney can afford to send out both harder-hitting and more nuanced messages at once for the first time since he emerged earlier this year as his party’s presumed nominee.
And Mr. Ryan, 42, perhaps has a bit more leeway than Mr. Romney, 65, representing his own brand of change as the first vice-presidential nominee of Generation X, and his unveiling here has screamed “new direction.” Mr. Romney’s aides have aggressively put him forward to make Mr. Obama look like the old order, turnabout for the man who took ownership of “Change.”And Mr. Ryan, 42, perhaps has a bit more leeway than Mr. Romney, 65, representing his own brand of change as the first vice-presidential nominee of Generation X, and his unveiling here has screamed “new direction.” Mr. Romney’s aides have aggressively put him forward to make Mr. Obama look like the old order, turnabout for the man who took ownership of “Change.”
And that goes to the other part of the equation here: Even if Mr. Romney’s campaign continues to make inroads on the firing part, it has to make up ground on the hiring part, with polls preceding the convention showing him as lagging Mr. Obama on several personal “likability” measures. And that goes to the other part of the equation here: Even if Mr. Romney’s campaign continues to make inroads on the firing part, it has to make up ground on the hiring part, with polls showing him as lagging Mr. Obama on several personal “likability” measures.
“They see this guy as wealthy, disconnected, not like me,” Margaret Spellings, Mr. Bush’s former education secretary, said of wavering Obama voters during an interview here on Thursday. She said those voters were looking for “the humanity side,” of Mr. Romney, which his campaign did so much to present during this convention.“They see this guy as wealthy, disconnected, not like me,” Margaret Spellings, Mr. Bush’s former education secretary, said of wavering Obama voters during an interview here on Thursday. She said those voters were looking for “the humanity side,” of Mr. Romney, which his campaign did so much to present during this convention.
Ms. Spellings suggested that Mr. Romney had so far failed to overcome Mr. Obama decisively among undecided voters only because “some of them haven’t been paying attention.”Ms. Spellings suggested that Mr. Romney had so far failed to overcome Mr. Obama decisively among undecided voters only because “some of them haven’t been paying attention.”
With some 20 million people tuning in on Wednesday night, according to Nielsen ratings, they are now. And they will have less than 10 weeks to decide whether Mr. Obama’s “hope and change” will remain another faded poster on the wall or can become a frame-worthy heirloom with four more years.With some 20 million people tuning in on Wednesday night, according to Nielsen ratings, they are now. And they will have less than 10 weeks to decide whether Mr. Obama’s “hope and change” will remain another faded poster on the wall or can become a frame-worthy heirloom with four more years.