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Clinton to meet with Al Sharpton as Jeb says 'I'm in it for the long haul' – live | Clinton to meet with Al Sharpton as Jeb says 'I'm in it for the long haul' – live |
(35 minutes later) | |
3.17pm GMT | |
15:17 | |
The fine print and “crosstabs” of that PPP South Carolina survey – “crosstab” refers to the crosstabulation of two variables, such as 1/candidate and 2/BBQ sauce preference – are rich and tangy with just a hint of sweetness. | |
Joking aside, the poll, which is by a reputable pollster (PPP earns a B- in FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings), represents but one entry in the shifting universe of data we currently inhabit – and yet it points to some discomfiting qualities of the South Carolina Republican base. | |
Not only do SCGOP voters support Trump’s ban on Muslims entering the country – a sizable minority would keep gay people out, too, and for good measure wish that the South had won the Civil War, the poll finds: | |
Trump voters in SC support his Muslim ban 80/9. 31% also support ban on gays entering the country: https://t.co/SG853baqb9 | |
This cross-tab on South Carolina Republicans is terrifying https://t.co/kagSYyCzTn pic.twitter.com/c35ZF0C3EZ | |
70% of Trump voters think Confederate flag should still be flying, 20% don't. Wish South had won Civil War, 38/24: https://t.co/SG853baqb9 | |
By far the best crosstab from this morning's @ppppolls South Carolina poll https://t.co/n3Ko4XE2U2 pic.twitter.com/El8dN5NY69 | |
Still some signs that Trump has a lowish ceiling. Only 50% favorability in this SC poll, tied with Rubio 1-on-1. https://t.co/lSoyv5TF5H | |
In separate polling, an increasing share of the Republican party appears to expect Trump to be the nominee: | |
Thank you! #MakeAmericaGreatAgain pic.twitter.com/tIBB3BMUvp | |
Updated | |
at 3.22pm GMT | |
2.39pm GMT | 2.39pm GMT |
14:39 | 14:39 |
That packed house for Jeb Bush in Charleston last night may have been filled with supporters of... other people. | That packed house for Jeb Bush in Charleston last night may have been filled with supporters of... other people. |
Of 41 people @byronyork talked to at day's George/Jeb rally, just 4 were sure of voting Jeb. https://t.co/FpMiv5V26c pic.twitter.com/6vpCb15dJE | Of 41 people @byronyork talked to at day's George/Jeb rally, just 4 were sure of voting Jeb. https://t.co/FpMiv5V26c pic.twitter.com/6vpCb15dJE |
What I heard over and over at W rally: Love the Bushes, leaning Trump anyway. https://t.co/kNlsGDAcM4 pic.twitter.com/YrzcfcUxZm | What I heard over and over at W rally: Love the Bushes, leaning Trump anyway. https://t.co/kNlsGDAcM4 pic.twitter.com/YrzcfcUxZm |
Updated | Updated |
at 2.39pm GMT | at 2.39pm GMT |
2.29pm GMT | 2.29pm GMT |
14:29 | 14:29 |
Clinton holds 40-point margin with African Americans in South Carolina – poll | Clinton holds 40-point margin with African Americans in South Carolina – poll |
A Public Policy Polling survey released Monday showed Bernie Sanders gaining ground on Hillary clinton among African-American voters in South Carolina, who make up a solid majority of the state’s Democratic electorate. | A Public Policy Polling survey released Monday showed Bernie Sanders gaining ground on Hillary clinton among African-American voters in South Carolina, who make up a solid majority of the state’s Democratic electorate. |
But she’s still up 40 with African-Americans, by PPP’s lights: | But she’s still up 40 with African-Americans, by PPP’s lights: |
SC Poll: 63% of African-American voters back @HillaryClinton pic.twitter.com/PEVf5vx5VA | SC Poll: 63% of African-American voters back @HillaryClinton pic.twitter.com/PEVf5vx5VA |
The same poll, which was conducted on Sunday and Monday – after the debate Saturday night in which Donald Trump skewered supposed Republican pieties such as George W Bush’s having “kept us safe” and Planned Parenthood being a tool of Satan – showed Trump leading the Republican field by 17 points, which is slightly narrower than the polling averages would have it: | The same poll, which was conducted on Sunday and Monday – after the debate Saturday night in which Donald Trump skewered supposed Republican pieties such as George W Bush’s having “kept us safe” and Planned Parenthood being a tool of Satan – showed Trump leading the Republican field by 17 points, which is slightly narrower than the polling averages would have it: |
New SC poll: @realDonaldTrump with 17-point lead pic.twitter.com/uqImhtHKqf | New SC poll: @realDonaldTrump with 17-point lead pic.twitter.com/uqImhtHKqf |
1.43pm GMT | 1.43pm GMT |
13:43 | 13:43 |
Hello, and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Here’s what’s happening: | Hello, and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. Here’s what’s happening: |
In a packed and excited rally in Charleston, South Carolina, last night, former president George W Bush introduced “a man I am proud to call my big little brother: Jeb Bush”. | In a packed and excited rally in Charleston, South Carolina, last night, former president George W Bush introduced “a man I am proud to call my big little brother: Jeb Bush”. |
“There seems to be a lot of name-calling going on, but I want to remind you what our good dad told me one time: labels are for soup cans,” W said, to general hilarity. | “There seems to be a lot of name-calling going on, but I want to remind you what our good dad told me one time: labels are for soup cans,” W said, to general hilarity. |
So much laughter ... Behind him Jeb, Senator Lindsey Graham and Laura Bush turned to each other and chuckled like he’s Andy Kaufman. | So much laughter ... Behind him Jeb, Senator Lindsey Graham and Laura Bush turned to each other and chuckled like he’s Andy Kaufman. |
You forget how very Texan W’s accent is, compared with his brother’s. What a different persona he inhabits. | You forget how very Texan W’s accent is, compared with his brother’s. What a different persona he inhabits. |
Building on the electrifying energy of W’s return to the political spotlight after eight years in cold storage, Jeb went on TV and threw down a gauntlet in South Carolina – declaring he’d come in “better than fifth”. | Building on the electrifying energy of W’s return to the political spotlight after eight years in cold storage, Jeb went on TV and threw down a gauntlet in South Carolina – declaring he’d come in “better than fifth”. |
"I think we'll do better than 5th here... I'm in it for the long haul" @JebBush on #SouthCarolina @CBSThisMorning pic.twitter.com/JotnFtWcWN | "I think we'll do better than 5th here... I'm in it for the long haul" @JebBush on #SouthCarolina @CBSThisMorning pic.twitter.com/JotnFtWcWN |
Related: George W Bush’s support for Jeb is only a reminder of his disastrous legacy | Owen Jones | Related: George W Bush’s support for Jeb is only a reminder of his disastrous legacy | Owen Jones |
We have a passel of correspondents on the ground in South Carolina to bring you news from the scene ahead of Saturday’s Republican primary there: Adam Gabbatt is with Bernie Sanders in Columbia; Sabrina Siddiqui is trailing Marco Rubio; and Ben Jacobs has Ted Cruz on the menu, with a side of Rick Perry. | We have a passel of correspondents on the ground in South Carolina to bring you news from the scene ahead of Saturday’s Republican primary there: Adam Gabbatt is with Bernie Sanders in Columbia; Sabrina Siddiqui is trailing Marco Rubio; and Ben Jacobs has Ted Cruz on the menu, with a side of Rick Perry. |
Lauren Gambino, meanwhile, is attending an event in New York with Hillary Clinton and Al Sharpton, and in Nevada our West Coast bureau chief Paul Lewis and senior reporter Maria La Ganga are covering the run-up to the Democratic caucuses on Saturday. | Lauren Gambino, meanwhile, is attending an event in New York with Hillary Clinton and Al Sharpton, and in Nevada our West Coast bureau chief Paul Lewis and senior reporter Maria La Ganga are covering the run-up to the Democratic caucuses on Saturday. |
(After Saturday the parties switch states, with the GOP Nevada caucuses next Tuesday and the Democratic South Carolina primary on Saturday 27 February. Here’s a calendar.) | (After Saturday the parties switch states, with the GOP Nevada caucuses next Tuesday and the Democratic South Carolina primary on Saturday 27 February. Here’s a calendar.) |
Postscript: in another universe, one without prostitutes or bridges respectively, these two politicians might have been running against each other for president, and one of them might have won: | Postscript: in another universe, one without prostitutes or bridges respectively, these two politicians might have been running against each other for president, and one of them might have won: |
Christie returns to N.J. for budget speech: What lawmakers want him to say https://t.co/G8E49K62ca pic.twitter.com/hq9kmmUNjK | Christie returns to N.J. for budget speech: What lawmakers want him to say https://t.co/G8E49K62ca pic.twitter.com/hq9kmmUNjK |
Spitzer accuser a young, jobless ex-hooker who lives a life of luxury – New York Post | Spitzer accuser a young, jobless ex-hooker who lives a life of luxury – New York Post |
Related: Former New York governor Eliot Spitzer investigated for 'assault' on woman | Related: Former New York governor Eliot Spitzer investigated for 'assault' on woman |
Updated | Updated |
at 1.44pm GMT | at 1.44pm GMT |