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Provident Financial shares dive on new profit warning Provident Financial shares plunge on new profit warning
(about 1 hour later)
Shares in doorstep lender Provident Financial plunged 66% on Tuesday after the firm issued its second profit warning in months. Shares in Provident Financial lost two thirds of their value on Tuesday after the doorstep lender issued its second profit warning in three months.
It says it now expects to make losses of £80m to £120m as its debt collection rates have dropped to 57% compared with a previous rate of 90% in 2016. The FTSE 100 company now expects to make losses of £80m to £120m after its debt collection rates fell to 57%, compared with a 90% rate in 2016.
Bradford-based Provident recently changed the way it collected its loans, replacing self-employed agents with "customer experience managers".Bradford-based Provident recently changed the way it collected its loans, replacing self-employed agents with "customer experience managers".
Its chief executive has resigned.Its chief executive has resigned.
The company has some 2.5 million customers, many of whom would not qualify for a standard bank loan and are therefore categorised as "sub-prime".The company has some 2.5 million customers, many of whom would not qualify for a standard bank loan and are therefore categorised as "sub-prime".
Tuesday's 66% fall left Provident shares at just 598.5p. Three months ago they were worth £31 apiece.
Invesco Asset Management and Woodford Investment Management own about 40% of the group between them.
Neil Woodford, of investment at Woodford Investment Management, said he was "hugely disappointed" but believed that it would ultimately get back on track.
"This business has been around for more than a century and I believe it will be around for many decades to come," he added.
Invesco declined to comment.
Agent lossAgent loss
The BBC has been contacted by a number of former Provident agents. All of them left when the collection system was changed and many are angry.The BBC has been contacted by a number of former Provident agents. All of them left when the collection system was changed and many are angry.
They say they had had a strong relationship with their borrowers, They say they had a strong relationship with their borrowers,
One former manager, Mike Thompson, said: "The previous Home Credit model, using local self-employed agents who were friends and relatives of the customers, ensures affordable appropriate borrowing.One former manager, Mike Thompson, said: "The previous Home Credit model, using local self-employed agents who were friends and relatives of the customers, ensures affordable appropriate borrowing.
"Drafting in customer experience managers working on phone apps has meant that the all-important relationship between agent and customer has been broken.""Drafting in customer experience managers working on phone apps has meant that the all-important relationship between agent and customer has been broken."
Provident had already flagged up problems with its new system in June.Provident had already flagged up problems with its new system in June.
At the time, Provident said not enough of its self-employed debt collectors had applied to become employed by the company.At the time, Provident said not enough of its self-employed debt collectors had applied to become employed by the company.
It had also been less effective at collecting money and selling new loans, and a greater number of agents than normal had left.It had also been less effective at collecting money and selling new loans, and a greater number of agents than normal had left.
It said then it expected profits to be £60m at its consumer credit division. The company said then it expected profits to be £60m at its consumer credit division.
'Very disappointed''Very disappointed'
The company is undertaking "a thorough and rapid review of home credit's performance", and will not now pay the interim dividend it promised just a month ago. Provident is undertaking "a thorough and rapid review of home credit's performance", and will not now pay the interim dividend it promised just a month ago.
Its other divisions - Vanquis Bank, sub-prime car loan business Moneybarn and consumer credit brand Satsuma - are trading in line with plans, it says. Its other divisions - Vanquis Bank, sub-prime car loan business Moneybarn and consumer credit brand Satsuma - are trading in line with expectations.
However, Vanquis has been under investigation by watchdog the Financial Conduct Authority, which had concerns about one of its products.However, Vanquis has been under investigation by watchdog the Financial Conduct Authority, which had concerns about one of its products.
The company agreed to suspend all sales and is awaiting the outcome of that probe. Provident agreed to suspend all sales and is awaiting the outcome of that probe.
Manjit Wolstenholme, executive chairman who will also now act as chief executive in place of the departed Peter Crook, said: "I am very disappointed to have to announce the rapid deterioration in the outlook for the home credit business." Manjit Wolstenholme was appointed as executive chairman, taking over the company from former chief executive Peter Crook. She said: "I am very disappointed to have to announce the rapid deterioration in the outlook for the home credit business."
She added that there was unlikely to be a full year dividend payout. She added it there was unlikely to be a full-year dividend paid.
Tuesday's share price fall is of a similar magnitude to that seen in reaction to the first profit warning in June, and leaves the shares at 564p. Just three months ago the shares were trading at 3,100p. Neil Wilson, from ETX Capital, said: "There is no easy way out from this hole. Management will take a long time to regain credibility... The performance is abysmal and significantly worse than management ever could have imagined... Is this the end? There must be some sense that things cannot get any worse."
Neil Wilson, from ETX Capital, said: "There is no easy way out from this hole. However, rhe slump in Provident's shares has proved lucrative for some hedge funds, which had been building short positions in recent days. The biggest shorts were held by AQR Capital, Lansdowne Partners and Systematica, filings showed.
"Management will take a long time to regain credibility... The performance is abysmal and significantly worse than management ever could have imagined... Is this the end? There must be some sense that things cannot get any worse."