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Capita shares plunge 41% following shock profit warning and cash call - business live Capita shares hit 15-year low after shock profits warning - business live
(35 minutes later)
Terms like ‘plunged’, ‘nosedived’ and ‘crashed’ get banded about too easily in the City.
But in Capita’s care, they’re fully justified.
Shares are now down an alarming 45% at just 190p, which is the lowest level since January 2003.
This means that Capita is now worth just £1.3bn. That’s barely more than its net debt, which is estimated to be £1.1bn.
News of a stonking profits warning, a £700m rights issue and the suspension of the company’s dividend have sent investors racing to get out.
Michael Hewson of CMC Markets says:
This is a bold move by new CEO Jonathan Lewis and the fact that he thinks that this sort of restructuring is necessary, speaks volumes to the current sentiment around the outsourcing industry in the wake of Carillion’s insolvency.
Concerns over debt levels and pension deficits, along with the over-diversification of the business appears to have prompted this significant slim lining approach.
Hewson is also concerned by the pension deficit, which seems to have swelled sharply recently.
In 2015 it stood at £188m, and was estimated to be £381m as of June last year, with management undertaking to set aside an extra £21m in 2018 to get this number back down. In light of the problems exposed at Carillion the big jump in this number is a particular concern and exposes some particularly uncomfortable truths about shareholders holding management to account.
Here’s an excellent chart from Tussell, the data firm, showing how Capita dominates the UK’s outsourcing sector:
On mornings like today @tussell_UK are the guys for the best data on UK public sector contracts. 226 awarded to Capita in last 2 years. More than ten times the number awarded to Carillion over the same period. pic.twitter.com/HmeHdR97Do
Britain’s trade unions are also alarmed by this latest crisis in the UK outsourcing sector.Britain’s trade unions are also alarmed by this latest crisis in the UK outsourcing sector.
TUC General Secretary Frances O’Grady has echoed Labour’s call for the government to act now.TUC General Secretary Frances O’Grady has echoed Labour’s call for the government to act now.
She says:She says:
Today’s profit warning from Capita is really worrying.Today’s profit warning from Capita is really worrying.
“That’s why the TUC is calling for an urgent risk assessment of all large outsourcing firms. It’s essential the government completes this quickly and is prepared to bring services and contracts in-house if they are at risk.“That’s why the TUC is calling for an urgent risk assessment of all large outsourcing firms. It’s essential the government completes this quickly and is prepared to bring services and contracts in-house if they are at risk.
“We can’t afford another Carillion.”“We can’t afford another Carillion.”
Jon Trickett MP, Labour’s Shadow Minister for the Cabinet Office, has urged the government to put Capita under close review.Jon Trickett MP, Labour’s Shadow Minister for the Cabinet Office, has urged the government to put Capita under close review.
Trickett says:Trickett says:
“We cannot afford another Carillion. The Government must take serious steps to oversee the activities of Capita, which is the third major outsourcing company in the last month to issue profit warnings.“We cannot afford another Carillion. The Government must take serious steps to oversee the activities of Capita, which is the third major outsourcing company in the last month to issue profit warnings.
“The Tories’ privatisation dogma risks lurching our public services from crisis to crisis, threatening jobs, taxpayers’ money and leaving people without the services they need.“The Tories’ privatisation dogma risks lurching our public services from crisis to crisis, threatening jobs, taxpayers’ money and leaving people without the services they need.
“The Government must end its ideological attachment to private profit in public services and instead start putting the public interest first.”“The Government must end its ideological attachment to private profit in public services and instead start putting the public interest first.”
Capita CEO Jonathan Lewis has been speaking to City analysts.Capita CEO Jonathan Lewis has been speaking to City analysts.
He warned that overhauling the outsourcing group would take at least two years, admitting there is “much to be done”.He warned that overhauling the outsourcing group would take at least two years, admitting there is “much to be done”.
Lewis says he wants to fix the “sins of the past” by pumping more money into IT and automation. Today’s moves are the “first steps” on the road to recovery, he adds.Lewis says he wants to fix the “sins of the past” by pumping more money into IT and automation. Today’s moves are the “first steps” on the road to recovery, he adds.
Capita’s share price is plumbing new debts. It’s now down 41% at just 204p, down from 347p last night.Capita’s share price is plumbing new debts. It’s now down 41% at just 204p, down from 347p last night.
Earlier this week, the Guardian’s Public Leaders Network warned that local councils were too reliant on major outsourcers.Earlier this week, the Guardian’s Public Leaders Network warned that local councils were too reliant on major outsourcers.
Joanne Fry, a senior local government officer, wrote:Joanne Fry, a senior local government officer, wrote:
Carillion mainly ran large private finance initiative contracts – building hospitals, for instance. But firms like Capita, Serco and Veolia run a huge range of different council services, from IT and HR to waste collection, recycling, street cleaning and maintenance. If they were to fail, the risk to councils would be very high.Carillion mainly ran large private finance initiative contracts – building hospitals, for instance. But firms like Capita, Serco and Veolia run a huge range of different council services, from IT and HR to waste collection, recycling, street cleaning and maintenance. If they were to fail, the risk to councils would be very high.
It has become increasingly clear that the business model around outsourcing – or managed services in local government speak – is fundamentally at fault.It has become increasingly clear that the business model around outsourcing – or managed services in local government speak – is fundamentally at fault.
More here:More here:
Capita is also heavily involved in Britain’s pensions industry. It’s been running the UK’s Teacher’s pension scheme since 1996, and last October, it took over the administration of the Royal Mail’s pension fund.Capita is also heavily involved in Britain’s pensions industry. It’s been running the UK’s Teacher’s pension scheme since 1996, and last October, it took over the administration of the Royal Mail’s pension fund.
It even has a contract with the UK’s pension regulator, to help roll out automatic enrolment (AE) to small and micro employers.It even has a contract with the UK’s pension regulator, to help roll out automatic enrolment (AE) to small and micro employers.
But closer to home, Capita also faces a pension deficit of its own, of around £380m.But closer to home, Capita also faces a pension deficit of its own, of around £380m.
Today’s statement says:Today’s statement says:
We are currently undertaking a triennial review of the pension scheme. Our current expectation is that the actuarial deficit after this review will be significantly below the last disclosed IAS19 deficit of £381m at 30 June 2017.We are currently undertaking a triennial review of the pension scheme. Our current expectation is that the actuarial deficit after this review will be significantly below the last disclosed IAS19 deficit of £381m at 30 June 2017.
In addition to our annual contribution, we are committed to an additional contribution of £21m in 2018.In addition to our annual contribution, we are committed to an additional contribution of £21m in 2018.
We will seek to reduce the remaining deficit as a priority.We will seek to reduce the remaining deficit as a priority.
Earlier this month, my colleague Nick Fletcher ran the rule over the outsourcing industry, following Carillion’s slump into liquidation.Earlier this month, my colleague Nick Fletcher ran the rule over the outsourcing industry, following Carillion’s slump into liquidation.
He wrote:He wrote:
About half of Capita’s annual turnover of £4.9bn comes from central and local government work, ranging from administering the teachers’ pension scheme to providing tech services to the NHS, electronic monitoring services and running the Gas Safe register for the Health and Safety Executive. It has 70,000 UK employees, and a net debt of £1.6bn compared with its market value of £2.8bn.About half of Capita’s annual turnover of £4.9bn comes from central and local government work, ranging from administering the teachers’ pension scheme to providing tech services to the NHS, electronic monitoring services and running the Gas Safe register for the Health and Safety Executive. It has 70,000 UK employees, and a net debt of £1.6bn compared with its market value of £2.8bn.
The company’s shares have lost two-thirds of their value over the past two years after a series of profit warnings and boardroom changes.The company’s shares have lost two-thirds of their value over the past two years after a series of profit warnings and boardroom changes.
Bloomberg points out that Capita doesn’t only run public sector services. It also provides customer service and IT services for some of Britain’s biggest companies.Bloomberg points out that Capita doesn’t only run public sector services. It also provides customer service and IT services for some of Britain’s biggest companies.
For example, earlier this month it won a new five-year contract with Marks & Spencer; last August, it extended a mortgage outsourcing deal with Tesco Bank.For example, earlier this month it won a new five-year contract with Marks & Spencer; last August, it extended a mortgage outsourcing deal with Tesco Bank.
Today’s share price tumble means Capita is now worth just £1.4bn -- or barely twice the £700m it hope to raise from the City later this year.
Capita now trading down 38%. Market cap now down to £1.43 billion with a £700 million rights issue ahead of it to deleverage balance sheet. New world post Carillion
Natalie Bennett, former leader of the Green Party, says Capita’s problems show that essential public services shouldn’t be run by companies.
#Capita #privatisationfail - essential services are not safe in private hands. We've been shovelling money into tax havens, cutting pay & conditions of workers & quality of services, now this... https://t.co/LFsJWw8Oqw
The Spectator’s Fraser Nelson sees a trend emerging....
First, Carillion hit the rocks. Now... https://t.co/Aon2pBKWj6
Patrick Smith of BuzzFeed fears that Capita workers could be axed as the company races to cut costs.
Very frank profit warning from Capita CEO Jonathan Lewis, who only joined two months ago. "Cost-savings and disposals" doesn't sound like good news for staff. https://t.co/H6tNidPwbW pic.twitter.com/LdKhY2k3C1
It’s not for the faint-hearted, but you can read Capita’s announcement online, here:
Update on Capita’s transformation, capital structure, funding and trading outlook
Capita’s shares have crashed to their lowest level since 2004 this morning!
It’s a staggering fall from grace; back in 2015 Capita’s shares were worth over £13, now they are worth just £2.35.
Capita shares plunge 34%, their biggest fall on record, after company issues profit warning, suspends dividend and announces rights issue. pic.twitter.com/A3nJQTEy4M
Capita’s financial problems will send ‘fresh tremors’ through the outsourcing sector, says Neil Wilson of ETX Capital.
He writes:
“Too complex, too diverse and just haemorrhaging cash – no we’re not talking about Carillion, but fellow outsourcer in a spot of bother, Capita.
New CEO Jonathan Lewis is having a proper clear out to fix the business before it heads the way of its erstwhile peer. He says the business is ‘too widely spread across multiple markets and services’, and that there has been ‘too much emphasis on acquisitions to drive growth’.
Wilson adds:
Signs of problems have been building. In December the shares took a dive as the first clear signs of weakness in 2018 were laid bare, although trading in the second half had just about held firm. The pipeline of new work had fallen to just £2.5bn from £3.1bn in September.
But it looks like things have got worse. In January there was more bad news as it lost a lucrative and profitable contract with the Prudential.
Capita’s shares have plunged by 30% at the start of trading, following this morning’s announcement.
The City is reeling from the triple-whammy of a profits warning, dividend suspension, and a looming £700m cash call.
This could be nasty...
drumroll please as we await the opening share price for Capita
This is why Capita’s financial problems are a big deal.....
Just in case you wanted to know what work Capita does for the public sector: teachers' pensions, electronic monitoring, Jobseekers' Allowance phone lines, even the gas safety register... https://t.co/kLjAd9k9fp pic.twitter.com/Jmp6fPSuMw
Newsflash: Outsourcing group Capita has stunned the City this morning by announcing a big profits warning, and suspending its dividend to shareholders.
The company’s new chief executive, Jonathan Lewis, is also planning to raise £700m from investors to strengthen Capita’s balance sheet after a series of profit warnings last year.
In a brutally honest statement, Lewis says ‘significant changes are needed’ at Capita, which is one of the UK’s largest employers, providing a a wide range of public services in the UK.
In a damning assessment of the company, Lewis says:
Capita has underinvested in the business and there has been too much emphasis on acquisitions to drive growth. As our markets have evolved, the Group has not responded consistently to new customer demands. Since December, we have continued to experience delays in decision making and weakness in new sales.
Today, Capita is too complex, it is driven by a short-term focus and lacks operational discipline and financial flexibility.
Capita needs to change its approach. I have initiated a transformation programme, appointed a Chief Transformation Officer and formed a new executive committee to drive this change. I believe that this transformation programme can significantly improve the performance of Capita.
Capita now expects to make underlying pretax profits of between £270m and £300m in 2018, way below analysts’ average forecast of around £400m.
Lewis only took over at Capita on 1 December, and has clearly decided that wide-ranging and urgent action is needed.
As well as freezing payments to shareholders, and holding a cash call, he also plans to sell non-core operations and push hard for cost efficiencies.
An immediate priority is to strengthen the balance sheet through a combination of cost savings, non-core disposals and new equity. My initial review of our cost base highlights that over the next few years there is significant scope for cost efficiencies across a number of areas but also the need to spend more where there has been underinvestment.
This comes just two weeks after Capita’s rival, Carillion, lurched into liquidiation...
Reaction to follow....
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of the world economy, the financial markets, the eurozone and business.
The market are nervous this morning. After two days of selling on Wall Street, investors are wondering whether they’re seeing a healthy pullback, or the start of a more serious decline.
Yesterday the FTSE 100 shed 83 points, or over 1%, in a flurry of profit-taking and worries that government bond prices are also dipping.
Fiona Cincotta, senior market analyst at City Index, says the prospect of higher interest rates is hitting the bond market [bonds give a fixed return, so are more attractive in a low interest rate environment]
Cincotta explains:
Sentiment has been low across the board as prospect of rising interest rates is starting to weigh on the global optimism story, a story which had been boosting stocks to record high after record high.
The fear that interest rates may have to rise faster than markets had initially priced in amid concerns of faster inflation is starting to weigh on trading decisions.
Last night, Donald Trump used the State of the Union to applaud himself for the state of the US economy. As in Davos last week, he tried to sound statesman-like with talk of common ground and unity. As in Davos last week, he also attracted some boos - over immigration.
But he avoided any serious attacks on America’s rivals, which should reassure traders.
As Jasper Lawler of London Capital Group says:
There was no criticism of China or Russia and Trump even hinted at a willingness to work across parties.
However, in typical Trump style, there were few details on a potential $1 trillion infrastructure spend, which was a blessing in reality, because elaborating on this could have pushed the already high bond yields, higher.
Investors are also waiting to hear from America’s central bank, and Janet Yellen’s final meeting as chair of the Federal Reserve. The Fed isn’t expected to raise interest rates today, but Yellen hint about how the Fed sees the economic landscape.
Here’s the agenda:
7am GMT: German retail sales
10am GMT: Eurozone unemployment for December
10am GMT: Eurozone ‘flash’ CPI inflation for January
7pm GMT: US Federal Reserve statement on monetary policy