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Global market turmoil makes planned interest rate rise 'less compelling' Global market turmoil makes planned interest rate rise 'less compelling'
(35 minutes later)
The global turmoil in stock markets has made a September interest rates rise “less compelling”, an influential policymaker at the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday.The global turmoil in stock markets has made a September interest rates rise “less compelling”, an influential policymaker at the Federal Reserve said on Wednesday.
Bill Dudley, the president of the New York Federal Reserve and a key member of the US central banks rate setting committee, said: “The decision to begin the normalization process at the September FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] meeting seems less compelling to me than it was a few weeks ago.” Bill Dudley, the president of the New York Federal Reserve and a key member of the US central bank’s rate setting committee, said: “The decision to begin the normalization process at the September FOMC [Federal Open Market Committee] meeting seems less compelling to me than it was a few weeks ago.”
Dudley’s comments, at a press conference in New York, came as US stock markets lost most the gains they made in morning trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 212 points (1.35%) at 12pm, falling back from opening up over 400 points. The S&P 500 was up 22.5 points (1.19%), from opening up 46.5 points. The Nasdaq was up 58.1 points (1.26%), down from a 135-point rise.Dudley’s comments, at a press conference in New York, came as US stock markets lost most the gains they made in morning trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 212 points (1.35%) at 12pm, falling back from opening up over 400 points. The S&P 500 was up 22.5 points (1.19%), from opening up 46.5 points. The Nasdaq was up 58.1 points (1.26%), down from a 135-point rise.
European stocks also fell at the close on the other side of the Atlantic. The FTSE 100 index of blue-chip shares closed down 102 points to 5,979. It has now fallen for 11 of the last 12 days (on Tuesday it jumped by 188 points), and is currently 15% off its record high.European stocks also fell at the close on the other side of the Atlantic. The FTSE 100 index of blue-chip shares closed down 102 points to 5,979. It has now fallen for 11 of the last 12 days (on Tuesday it jumped by 188 points), and is currently 15% off its record high.
Germany’s DAX and Spain’s IBEX both lost 1.3%, and the French CAC dropped 1.4%.Germany’s DAX and Spain’s IBEX both lost 1.3%, and the French CAC dropped 1.4%.
In China a rally on the Shanghai Composite index collapsed and the market closed down another 1.3%, to its lowest level since December. Over the past three days the index has lost close to a quarter of its value.In China a rally on the Shanghai Composite index collapsed and the market closed down another 1.3%, to its lowest level since December. Over the past three days the index has lost close to a quarter of its value.
Dudley, a dovish policymaker and close ally of Fed chairwoman Janet Yellen, did leave the door open to raising rates for the first time in nearly a decade when the US central bank holds a policy meeting 16-17 September. He said a rate hike “could become more compelling by the time of the meeting as we get additional information on how the US economy is performing and … international financial market developments, all of which are important to shaping the US economic outlook”.Dudley, a dovish policymaker and close ally of Fed chairwoman Janet Yellen, did leave the door open to raising rates for the first time in nearly a decade when the US central bank holds a policy meeting 16-17 September. He said a rate hike “could become more compelling by the time of the meeting as we get additional information on how the US economy is performing and … international financial market developments, all of which are important to shaping the US economic outlook”.
It comes after Lawrence Summers, a former US treasury secretary, warned that raising rates soon would be a “serious error” and raised the prospect of restarting quantitative easing.It comes after Lawrence Summers, a former US treasury secretary, warned that raising rates soon would be a “serious error” and raised the prospect of restarting quantitative easing.
“A reasonable assessment of current conditions suggests that raising rates in the near future would be a serious error that would threaten all three of the Fed’s major objectives: price stability, full employment and financial stability,” Summers said in an opinion piece for the Wall Street Journal.“A reasonable assessment of current conditions suggests that raising rates in the near future would be a serious error that would threaten all three of the Fed’s major objectives: price stability, full employment and financial stability,” Summers said in an opinion piece for the Wall Street Journal.
He also posted on Twitter to warn that “we could be in the early stage of a very serious situation”.He also posted on Twitter to warn that “we could be in the early stage of a very serious situation”.
Economists at Barclays have also pushed back their forecast for a rate rise from next month to March.Economists at Barclays have also pushed back their forecast for a rate rise from next month to March.