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Raúl Castro of Cuba to Address Warming of Relations With U.S. at U.N. Raúl Castro of Cuba to Address Warming of Relations With U.S. at U.N.
(about 5 hours later)
President Raúl Castro of Cuba is scheduled to address the United Nations General Assembly on Monday. Azam Ahmed, The New York Times’s bureau chief for Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean, who recently visited Cuba, considers what Mr. Castro might say and how it is likely to be received.President Raúl Castro of Cuba is scheduled to address the United Nations General Assembly on Monday. Azam Ahmed, The New York Times’s bureau chief for Mexico, Central America and the Caribbean, who recently visited Cuba, considers what Mr. Castro might say and how it is likely to be received.
The main issues are likely to be the warming of relations with the United States, the slow transition to a more market-driven economy and the lifting of the American trade embargo.The main issues are likely to be the warming of relations with the United States, the slow transition to a more market-driven economy and the lifting of the American trade embargo.
The embargo could be the most difficult issue to address; lifting it requires a decision in the United States Congress. For Mr. Castro to be able to talk about this in New York, at the General Assembly, with an American audience watching closely, will be a unique opportunity.The embargo could be the most difficult issue to address; lifting it requires a decision in the United States Congress. For Mr. Castro to be able to talk about this in New York, at the General Assembly, with an American audience watching closely, will be a unique opportunity.
Mr. Castro will probably try to frame the lifting of the embargo as the next crucial step for Cuba to open up to the world and to bolster its economy.Mr. Castro will probably try to frame the lifting of the embargo as the next crucial step for Cuba to open up to the world and to bolster its economy.
On the heels of a visit to Cuba by Pope Francis, Mr. Castro might do a little grandstanding and take a few swipes at his neighbor to the north.On the heels of a visit to Cuba by Pope Francis, Mr. Castro might do a little grandstanding and take a few swipes at his neighbor to the north.
Mr. Castro spoke bluntly when the pope arrived in Cuba, denouncing United States policies and lauding the Cuban state for its commitment to equality. Again, he will have a global audience that does not often tune in when he makes the case for his country’s revolution. If he does shake his finger at the United States, Mr. Castro is unlikely to go overboard for fear of alienating the members of Congress who will be listening.Mr. Castro spoke bluntly when the pope arrived in Cuba, denouncing United States policies and lauding the Cuban state for its commitment to equality. Again, he will have a global audience that does not often tune in when he makes the case for his country’s revolution. If he does shake his finger at the United States, Mr. Castro is unlikely to go overboard for fear of alienating the members of Congress who will be listening.
On Tuesday, Mr. Castro is scheduled to meet with President Obama on the sidelines of the U.N. meetings. It will be the second time the two leaders have met since the announcement of an agreement that led to the resumption of diplomatic relations between Cuba and the United States.
Cuba has daunting economic problems, and the government is slowly trying to make changes to increase revenue and lessen people’s reliance on public funds.Cuba has daunting economic problems, and the government is slowly trying to make changes to increase revenue and lessen people’s reliance on public funds.
The state has announced layoffs in the public sector in the past, but it is hard to know if it actually followed through.The state has announced layoffs in the public sector in the past, but it is hard to know if it actually followed through.
There are persistent complaints from Cubans, and among business leaders who are eager for new opportunities, about the slow pace of change. Mr. Castro might address this, but he is not likely to commit to swift, drastic moves away from Cuba’s socialist system. He often cites China and Vietnam as examples of socialist countries where business is thriving.There are persistent complaints from Cubans, and among business leaders who are eager for new opportunities, about the slow pace of change. Mr. Castro might address this, but he is not likely to commit to swift, drastic moves away from Cuba’s socialist system. He often cites China and Vietnam as examples of socialist countries where business is thriving.