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The impact of China's one-child policy in four graphs The impact of China's one-child policy in four graphs
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China has scrapped its one-child policy. Here are four graphs that show the impact the policy, which was introduced in 1980, has had on China’s population.China has scrapped its one-child policy. Here are four graphs that show the impact the policy, which was introduced in 1980, has had on China’s population.
1) Population growth has slowed down1) Population growth has slowed down
Related: China may find raising the birth rate ​is ​no simple matterRelated: China may find raising the birth rate ​is ​no simple matter
Data from the United Nations shows that population growth, measured as the crude birth rate minus the crude death rate, has gone from about 15 per 1,000 people in 1980 to below 5.5 per 1,000 people today.Data from the United Nations shows that population growth, measured as the crude birth rate minus the crude death rate, has gone from about 15 per 1,000 people in 1980 to below 5.5 per 1,000 people today.
2) The working age population is shrinking2) The working age population is shrinking
The proportion of China’s 1.37 billion people who are aged 15-64 has started to shrink in recent years.The proportion of China’s 1.37 billion people who are aged 15-64 has started to shrink in recent years.
The drop has been even greater among thosebetween 15 and 59, the measure the Chinese government uses. It fell fell to 915.8 million last year, down 3.7 million from 2013, a trend that is expected to continue. The drop has been even greater among those between 15 and 59, the measure the Chinese government uses. It fell to 915.8 million last year, down 3.7 million from 2013, a trend that is expected to continue.
3) The age dependency ratio is, in turn, increasing3) The age dependency ratio is, in turn, increasing
One consequence of an ageing population has been the increase in parallel of the proportion of people dependent on those of working age.One consequence of an ageing population has been the increase in parallel of the proportion of people dependent on those of working age.
The rise in the old age dependency ratio – the ratio between people older than 64 to the working-age population – has been particularly acute.The rise in the old age dependency ratio – the ratio between people older than 64 to the working-age population – has been particularly acute.
4) Demographics have been skewed4) Demographics have been skewed
One consequence of the one-child policy is that it has led to a substantial gender imbalance in China.One consequence of the one-child policy is that it has led to a substantial gender imbalance in China.
UN data reveals that there are currently 106 males for every 100 females in China – above the world total for the same measure (102) and well above nearly every other country in the world.UN data reveals that there are currently 106 males for every 100 females in China – above the world total for the same measure (102) and well above nearly every other country in the world.
At 120 boys for every 100 girls, the ratio among newborns is the highest in the world. If the current trend continues, there will will not be enough brides for as many as one-fifth of today’s baby boys when they get to marrying age, heightening the risk of social tensions, according to analysis by Nomura. At 120 boys for every 100 girls, the ratio among newborns is the highest in the world. If the current trend continues, there will not be enough brides for as many as one-fifth of today’s baby boys when they get to marrying age, heightening the risk of social tensions, according to analysis by Nomura.