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Paris climate talks: governments adopt historic deal – live Paris climate talks: governments adopt historic deal – live
(35 minutes later)
7.08pm GMT19:08
Carole Dieschbourg, environment minister for Luxembourg which currently has the EU presidency, is praising the deal and French hosts.
“We must now translate this agreement into concrete action...” she says
It’s a huge challenge, but I am confident we will do that, she says.
“Today I have seen political will that makes me hope that we can change this world together,” she says.
Miguel Arias Cañete is speaking. France has united the world, he says. This makes us proud as Europeans, he says.
“Today we celebrate, tomorrow we have to act,” he tells the audience.
7.05pm GMT19:05
The moment the deal was done – in pictures
7.00pm GMT19:00
Lot of countries praising Fabius for his personal leadership and role through these long and often sleepless talks.
6.57pm GMT18:57
Suzanne Goldenberg
Al Gore, who was in the hall and appeared visibly moved when the agreement was gavelled in, said the accord would have a powerful effect on the economy.
“This universal and ambitious agreement sends a clear signal to governments, businesses, and investors everywhere: the transformation of our global economy from one fueled by dirty energy to one fueled by sustainable economic growth is now firmly and inevitably underway,” Gore said in a statement.
“No agreement is perfect, and this one must be strengthened over time, but groups across every sector of society will now begin to reduce dangerous carbon pollution through the framework of this agreement.”
6.56pm GMT18:56
Business groups and figures are welcoming the agreement.
Mark Kenber, CEO of The Climate Group, said: “It gives us the long term climate goal we wanted, and a clear roadmap on how to get there. This gives policymakers, businesses and investors the certainty they need to move ahead and build a low carbon economy.”
Philippe Joubert, Chair of The Prince of Wales’s Corporate Leaders Group, which represents 23 globla businesses including BT and France’s EDF, said: “Business leaders and investors now have a clear direction of travel, a global framework to speed up and scale up of their solutions. The Paris agreement will accelerate the shift to a new sustainable, equitable and decarbonised world.”
Paul Polman, CEO of consumer goods giant Unilever, said: “The world demanded climate action and the international community has responded. Today’s agreement demonstrates without question that it is possible for us to come together in common cause to address the greatest challenges we face, preventing tragedy for the many millions of people vulnerable to the effects of climate change and securing the economic prosperity of the world in the 21st century.”
Updated at 6.56pm GMT
6.38pm GMT18:38
Here’s a short video from the moment the deal was done:
#ParisAgreement is adopted in #Paris at #COP21! #GoCOP21 pic.twitter.com/9wCxyshWa7
6.37pm GMT18:37
South Africa says it believes “this conference represents the first in a long journey the global community the world needs to take together.”
6.36pm GMT18:36
"Nearly 200 nations sign in end of fossil fuel era"
That’s the headline on our news story on the adoption of the first universal climate agreement.
Here’s the top of the piece:
Governments have signalled an end to the fossil fuel era, committing for the first time to a universal agreement to cut greenhouse gas emissions and to avoid the most dangerous effects of climate change at crunch UN talks in Paris.
After 20 years of fraught meetings, including the past two weeks spent in an exhibition hall on the outskirts of Paris, negotiators from nearly 200 countries signed on to a deal on Saturday evening that set ambitious goals to limit temperature rise and to hold governments to account for reaching those targets.
François Hollande, the French president, appealed to negotiators to approve the 31-page text, and said countries had a rare chance to make history. “We are at a decisive point in time,” he said.
Read the full thing here.
6.33pm GMT18:336.33pm GMT18:33
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
It’s an outpouring of emotion inside the plenary hall. People are weping and celbrating, hugging and exchanging kisses, weeping freely. Fabius is happy. And so he deserves to be - this is an acehivement many thought would be impossible.He is now thanking all those who helped reach this historic agreement.The President of Franch Francois Hollande and Ban Ki-moon are hugging Figueres and Tubiana.It’s better than a football match.It’s an outpouring of emotion inside the plenary hall. People are weping and celbrating, hugging and exchanging kisses, weeping freely. Fabius is happy. And so he deserves to be - this is an acehivement many thought would be impossible.He is now thanking all those who helped reach this historic agreement.The President of Franch Francois Hollande and Ban Ki-moon are hugging Figueres and Tubiana.It’s better than a football match.
6.31pm GMT18:316.31pm GMT18:31
Hollande has joined everyone on the platform, holding hands in the air with Figueres, Fabius and the other dignatories on stage, as they receive continued applause.Hollande has joined everyone on the platform, holding hands in the air with Figueres, Fabius and the other dignatories on stage, as they receive continued applause.
6.30pm GMT18:306.30pm GMT18:30
The gavel is downThe gavel is down
“You have to gavel,” we can hear Figueres telling Fabius.“You have to gavel,” we can hear Figueres telling Fabius.
“It’s a small gavel but I think it can do a great job,” jokes Fabius, as he brings the gavel down, signalling the deal has been done.“It’s a small gavel but I think it can do a great job,” jokes Fabius, as he brings the gavel down, signalling the deal has been done.
6.28pm GMT18:286.28pm GMT18:28
Figueres and Fabius are both giving double thumps up to the assembled delegates, and smiling from ear to ear. In the next few days they are likely to get a lot of the credit for this deal.Figueres and Fabius are both giving double thumps up to the assembled delegates, and smiling from ear to ear. In the next few days they are likely to get a lot of the credit for this deal.
6.26pm GMT18:266.26pm GMT18:26
The Paris Agreement is adoptedThe Paris Agreement is adopted
We have a deal!We have a deal!
6.26pm GMT18:266.26pm GMT18:26
I now invite the COP to adopt the document the Paris Agreement, I see no objections, the Paris agreement is adopted.I now invite the COP to adopt the document the Paris Agreement, I see no objections, the Paris agreement is adopted.
6.25pm GMT18:256.25pm GMT18:25
“I call to order the 11th sesion of the 21st COP,” says Fabius.“I call to order the 11th sesion of the 21st COP,” says Fabius.
There are a couple of technical issues to resolve, says Fabius. That has been done, he says.There are a couple of technical issues to resolve, says Fabius. That has been done, he says.
6.24pm GMT18:246.24pm GMT18:24
Fabius is moving to adoption of the text.Fabius is moving to adoption of the text.
6.24pm GMT18:246.24pm GMT18:24
The should/shall issue was important because it suggested developed countries had greater responsibility to do more than developing ones.The should/shall issue was important because it suggested developed countries had greater responsibility to do more than developing ones.
6.23pm GMT18:236.23pm GMT18:23
A number of errors were not detected in the text, an official says.A number of errors were not detected in the text, an official says.
The key one is in Article 4.The key one is in Article 4.
The text country says “developed county parties shall continue” taking the lead in emissions cuts. It should say “should”.The text country says “developed county parties shall continue” taking the lead in emissions cuts. It should say “should”.
6.17pm GMT18:176.17pm GMT18:17
Adoption and then speeches, says Fabius.Adoption and then speeches, says Fabius.
6.16pm GMT18:166.16pm GMT18:16
Fabius is back. Here we go.Fabius is back. Here we go.
5.50pm GMT17:505.50pm GMT17:50
UN climate chief Figueres is back, conferring with Kinley. It could be just the sheer amount of stage management needed for this kind of event, or it could be a case of last-minute diplomacy required that is taking up the attention of the French hosts.UN climate chief Figueres is back, conferring with Kinley. It could be just the sheer amount of stage management needed for this kind of event, or it could be a case of last-minute diplomacy required that is taking up the attention of the French hosts.
5.49pm GMT17:495.49pm GMT17:49
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
The platform is now deserted apart from two high-ranking UN climate secretariat officials, Halldor Thorgeirsson, director for strategy, and Richard Kinley, deputy executive secretary. We may be in for quite a wait still before this meeting finally starts.The platform is now deserted apart from two high-ranking UN climate secretariat officials, Halldor Thorgeirsson, director for strategy, and Richard Kinley, deputy executive secretary. We may be in for quite a wait still before this meeting finally starts.
5.46pm GMT17:465.46pm GMT17:46
Some images from inside the hall.Some images from inside the hall.
5.39pm GMT17:395.39pm GMT17:39
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
The dignitaries - Fabius, Figueres, Laurence Tubiana etc - have now left the platform at the plenary, perhaps to pursue last minute discussions somewhere more private. Heads of delegation are still here, as far as we can see. Miguel Arias Canete of the EU has left his seat to talk to aides. It’s unclear when this meeting might begin.The dignitaries - Fabius, Figueres, Laurence Tubiana etc - have now left the platform at the plenary, perhaps to pursue last minute discussions somewhere more private. Heads of delegation are still here, as far as we can see. Miguel Arias Canete of the EU has left his seat to talk to aides. It’s unclear when this meeting might begin.
5.34pm GMT17:345.34pm GMT17:34
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
In their final stages, the Paris talks are adhering to their tradition of always being a bit later than first advertised - the plenary, which if all goes according to the French plan will be the final one, is now an hour late and although everybody seems to be in the room, there is still no sign of it starting. Some people, having secured their seats, are even leaving the hall, perhaps to make phone calls or take a swift break before the fun starts.In their final stages, the Paris talks are adhering to their tradition of always being a bit later than first advertised - the plenary, which if all goes according to the French plan will be the final one, is now an hour late and although everybody seems to be in the room, there is still no sign of it starting. Some people, having secured their seats, are even leaving the hall, perhaps to make phone calls or take a swift break before the fun starts.
5.27pm GMT17:275.27pm GMT17:27
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
Janos Pasztor, Ban Ki-moon’s advisor on climate change, seen scurrying out of the hall making a phone call. What can it mean?Janos Pasztor, Ban Ki-moon’s advisor on climate change, seen scurrying out of the hall making a phone call. What can it mean?
5.27pm GMT17:275.27pm GMT17:27
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
French, UN and officials are huddled on platform. Perhaps deciding last minute running order. Or perhaps something more seious.French, UN and officials are huddled on platform. Perhaps deciding last minute running order. Or perhaps something more seious.
5.10pm GMT17:105.10pm GMT17:10
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
Atmosphere is very excited here and people are rushing up to embrace each other warmly. Lots of animated chatter as we wait to begin. People seem noticeably more relaxed than at previous plenaries.Atmosphere is very excited here and people are rushing up to embrace each other warmly. Lots of animated chatter as we wait to begin. People seem noticeably more relaxed than at previous plenaries.
5.08pm GMT17:085.08pm GMT17:08
The ‘scrubbers’ - the name for the legal and translation teams here at the talks - have finished their work. The draft climate text is now available online in six languages. But it’s still not been officially adopted. Not yet.The ‘scrubbers’ - the name for the legal and translation teams here at the talks - have finished their work. The draft climate text is now available online in six languages. But it’s still not been officially adopted. Not yet.
5.03pm GMT17:035.03pm GMT17:03
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
Kerry and Xie greet each other warmly, and Xie hugs Laurence Tubiana All very warm and boding well.Kerry and Xie greet each other warmly, and Xie hugs Laurence Tubiana All very warm and boding well.
Al Gore is now posing for selfies with members of the audience. Todd Stern exchanging remarks with Brazil’s ambassador.Al Gore is now posing for selfies with members of the audience. Todd Stern exchanging remarks with Brazil’s ambassador.
5.01pm GMT17:015.01pm GMT17:01
The weird world of the climate talks... Here are some members of the ‘coalition of high ambition’ taking an apparent selfie on the way into the plenary hall. In the centre is Tony de Brum, foreign minister of the Marshall Islands, with grey hair, who helped convene the coalition.The weird world of the climate talks... Here are some members of the ‘coalition of high ambition’ taking an apparent selfie on the way into the plenary hall. In the centre is Tony de Brum, foreign minister of the Marshall Islands, with grey hair, who helped convene the coalition.
High-ambition coalition arrives for #COP21! pic.twitter.com/JkOmbt9RlVHigh-ambition coalition arrives for #COP21! pic.twitter.com/JkOmbt9RlV
And, perhaps more significantly, here’s China giving the thumbs-up to the EU (literally):And, perhaps more significantly, here’s China giving the thumbs-up to the EU (literally):
Good signal before #COP21 plenary. pic.twitter.com/rP6FFrrccEGood signal before #COP21 plenary. pic.twitter.com/rP6FFrrccE
The EU is also part of the ‘coalition of high ambition’.The EU is also part of the ‘coalition of high ambition’.
Updated at 5.02pm GMTUpdated at 5.02pm GMT
4.49pm GMT16:494.49pm GMT16:49
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
Miguel Arias Canete, the EU’s climate commissioner, told the Guardian that the EU was “fully supporting” the draft agreement.Miguel Arias Canete, the EU’s climate commissioner, told the Guardian that the EU was “fully supporting” the draft agreement.
“I pray that other parties will also support it,” he said. “Fingers crossed.”“I pray that other parties will also support it,” he said. “Fingers crossed.”
He said that a “historic” agreement was in sight, and that the deal on the table was fully “fit for purpose”. “The architecture is very fine,” he said. “It is solid. We can build on it. The deal is ambitious, balanced and robust.”He said that a “historic” agreement was in sight, and that the deal on the table was fully “fit for purpose”. “The architecture is very fine,” he said. “It is solid. We can build on it. The deal is ambitious, balanced and robust.”
He said that the French had done “an excellent job” in bringing the conference to a conclusion, and that the turning point, in his view, had been the forging of the “high ambition coalition”, bringing together the EU, the least developed countries and most vulnerable nations, and other developing countries including the US, Canada and Australia.He said that the French had done “an excellent job” in bringing the conference to a conclusion, and that the turning point, in his view, had been the forging of the “high ambition coalition”, bringing together the EU, the least developed countries and most vulnerable nations, and other developing countries including the US, Canada and Australia.
“Now we will see what happens - when the night comes,” he said.“Now we will see what happens - when the night comes,” he said.
4.47pm GMT16:474.47pm GMT16:47
Al Gore and Nick Stern are here, exchanging a handshake in the audience.Al Gore and Nick Stern are here, exchanging a handshake in the audience.
4.47pm GMT16:474.47pm GMT16:47
There is applause in the main hall as the assembled delegates spot the arrival of Laurent Fabius. Will the French aim to rush this through or will this plenary session go on for hours? We don’t know.There is applause in the main hall as the assembled delegates spot the arrival of Laurent Fabius. Will the French aim to rush this through or will this plenary session go on for hours? We don’t know.
4.46pm GMT16:464.46pm GMT16:46
Okay, we’ve got Laurent Fabius, Ban Ki-moon, and John Kerry in the plenary hall here now. It’s about to start.Okay, we’ve got Laurent Fabius, Ban Ki-moon, and John Kerry in the plenary hall here now. It’s about to start.
Updated at 4.51pm GMTUpdated at 4.51pm GMT
4.00pm GMT16:004.00pm GMT16:00
Here’s the verdict on the draft text from Guardian columnist George Monbiot:Here’s the verdict on the draft text from Guardian columnist George Monbiot:
By comparison to what it could have been, it’s a miracle. By comparison to what it should have been, it’s a disaster.By comparison to what it could have been, it’s a miracle. By comparison to what it should have been, it’s a disaster.
Inside the narrow frame within which the talks have taken place, the draft agreement at the UN climate talks in Paris is a great success. The relief and self-congratulation with which the final text was greeted, acknowledges the failure at Copenhagen six years ago, where the negotiations ran wildly over time before collapsing. The Paris agreement is still awaiting formal adoption, but it’s aspirational limit of 1.5C of global warming, after the rejection of this demand for so many years, can be seen within this frame as a resounding victory. In this respect and others, the final text is stronger than most people anticipated.Inside the narrow frame within which the talks have taken place, the draft agreement at the UN climate talks in Paris is a great success. The relief and self-congratulation with which the final text was greeted, acknowledges the failure at Copenhagen six years ago, where the negotiations ran wildly over time before collapsing. The Paris agreement is still awaiting formal adoption, but it’s aspirational limit of 1.5C of global warming, after the rejection of this demand for so many years, can be seen within this frame as a resounding victory. In this respect and others, the final text is stronger than most people anticipated.
Live Paris climate talks: French hosts release text of final deal – liveLive coverage from COP21 in Paris, as nearly 200 governments prepare to officially adopt a climate change deal on how to cut carbon emissions post-2020Read moreLive Paris climate talks: French hosts release text of final deal – liveLive coverage from COP21 in Paris, as nearly 200 governments prepare to officially adopt a climate change deal on how to cut carbon emissions post-2020Read more
Outside the frame it looks like something else. I doubt any of the negotiators believe that there will be no more than 1.5C of global warming as a result of these talks. As the preamble to the agreement acknowledges, even 2C, in view of the weak promises governments brought to Paris, is wildly ambitious. Though negotiated by some nations in good faith, the real outcomes are likely to commit us to levels of climate breakdown that will be dangerous to all and lethal to some.Outside the frame it looks like something else. I doubt any of the negotiators believe that there will be no more than 1.5C of global warming as a result of these talks. As the preamble to the agreement acknowledges, even 2C, in view of the weak promises governments brought to Paris, is wildly ambitious. Though negotiated by some nations in good faith, the real outcomes are likely to commit us to levels of climate breakdown that will be dangerous to all and lethal to some.
The full piece is here:The full piece is here:
Related: Grand promises of Paris climate deal undermined by squalid retrenchmentsRelated: Grand promises of Paris climate deal undermined by squalid retrenchments
3.37pm GMT15:373.37pm GMT15:37
Had the deal not included an aim to limit warming to 1.5C it would have been un-bear-able for these guys.Had the deal not included an aim to limit warming to 1.5C it would have been un-bear-able for these guys.
Updated at 3.38pm GMTUpdated at 3.38pm GMT
3.32pm GMT15:323.32pm GMT15:32
The pledges by individual countries to cut or curb their carbon emissions (the so-called Intended Nationally Defined Contributions) are the foundation of the potential agreement here in Paris. Here’s our team’s analysis of the promises from key countries and what they add up to.The pledges by individual countries to cut or curb their carbon emissions (the so-called Intended Nationally Defined Contributions) are the foundation of the potential agreement here in Paris. Here’s our team’s analysis of the promises from key countries and what they add up to.
Related: Which countries are doing the most to stop dangerous global warming?Related: Which countries are doing the most to stop dangerous global warming?
3.25pm GMT15:253.25pm GMT15:25
If you are coming to this late and wondering what these talks are all about, here’s our ‘At a Glance’ guide.If you are coming to this late and wondering what these talks are all about, here’s our ‘At a Glance’ guide.
Related: The Paris climate summit at a glanceRelated: The Paris climate summit at a glance
3.10pm GMT15:103.10pm GMT15:10
More reaction here from Lord Nicholas Stern (via Inside Climate News), chair of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change at the London School of Economics and author of the influential Stern Review for the UK Treasury in 2006:More reaction here from Lord Nicholas Stern (via Inside Climate News), chair of the Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change at the London School of Economics and author of the influential Stern Review for the UK Treasury in 2006:
“This is a historic moment, not just for us and our world today, but for our children, our grandchildren and future generations. The Paris Agreement is a turning point in the world’s fight against unmanaged climate change, which threatens prosperity and well-being among both rich and poor countries. The Agreement creates enormous opportunities as countries begin to accelerate along the path towards low-carbon economic development and growth.”“This is a historic moment, not just for us and our world today, but for our children, our grandchildren and future generations. The Paris Agreement is a turning point in the world’s fight against unmanaged climate change, which threatens prosperity and well-being among both rich and poor countries. The Agreement creates enormous opportunities as countries begin to accelerate along the path towards low-carbon economic development and growth.”
3.02pm GMT15:023.02pm GMT15:02
Saint Kitts and Nevis has submitted its emissions pledge (Intended Nationally Determined Contribution or INDC in the UN jargon). Better late than never...Saint Kitts and Nevis has submitted its emissions pledge (Intended Nationally Determined Contribution or INDC in the UN jargon). Better late than never...
Thanks Saint Kitts and Nevis for #INDC https://t.co/L9ffW9mxLE - 187th Party to submit #climateaction plan #COP21 pic.twitter.com/YSIrCRdzP9Thanks Saint Kitts and Nevis for #INDC https://t.co/L9ffW9mxLE - 187th Party to submit #climateaction plan #COP21 pic.twitter.com/YSIrCRdzP9
2.53pm GMT14:532.53pm GMT14:53
Official adoption process delayed until 5.30pmOfficial adoption process delayed until 5.30pm
Paris is living up to the reputation of the previous two decades of annual climate jamborees, with the climax repeatedly being delayed. The final plenary is now slated for 5.30pm.Paris is living up to the reputation of the previous two decades of annual climate jamborees, with the climax repeatedly being delayed. The final plenary is now slated for 5.30pm.
At this point, we don’t know why, but the French hosts are presumably getting final disagreements smoothed out in private rather than in public.At this point, we don’t know why, but the French hosts are presumably getting final disagreements smoothed out in private rather than in public.
2.31pm GMT14:312.31pm GMT14:31
Lenore TaylorLenore Taylor
Michael Jacobs, senior adviser for the New Climate Economy project, said the new language in the text about a long term global goal was actually stronger than the last draft’s language about “net zero emissions” by expressing the same aim in the language of science.Michael Jacobs, senior adviser for the New Climate Economy project, said the new language in the text about a long term global goal was actually stronger than the last draft’s language about “net zero emissions” by expressing the same aim in the language of science.
The final draft says countries will aim “to achieve a balance between anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases in the second half of this century”.The final draft says countries will aim “to achieve a balance between anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases in the second half of this century”.
According to Jacobs that is “science based language to express net zero emissions” and represents “a strengthening of the language because it roots this agreement in the science”.According to Jacobs that is “science based language to express net zero emissions” and represents “a strengthening of the language because it roots this agreement in the science”.
Jacobs said this sent a powerful signal to investors.Jacobs said this sent a powerful signal to investors.
“One of the most important thing before this conference was the engagement of the investor and business community and what they wanted was a signal...that the world was on an irreversible and irrevocable downward trend in emissions.” He said the long term goal provided that.“One of the most important thing before this conference was the engagement of the investor and business community and what they wanted was a signal...that the world was on an irreversible and irrevocable downward trend in emissions.” He said the long term goal provided that.
Jennifer Morgan of the World Resources Institute said the long term goal was “transformational” and “sends signals into the heart of the markets”.Jennifer Morgan of the World Resources Institute said the long term goal was “transformational” and “sends signals into the heart of the markets”.
2.28pm GMT14:282.28pm GMT14:28
Here’s some reaction from scientists compiled by the Science Media Centre in London. Many of them are talking as if the deal is already done but we won’t know for sure for a little while yet.Here’s some reaction from scientists compiled by the Science Media Centre in London. Many of them are talking as if the deal is already done but we won’t know for sure for a little while yet.
Prof Corinne Le Quéré, Professor of Climate Change Science and Policy at the University of East Anglia and Director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research:Prof Corinne Le Quéré, Professor of Climate Change Science and Policy at the University of East Anglia and Director of the Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research:
“The final draft text recognises the imperatives of the science community to tackle climate change. The three key elements to do it are there in some form: keep warming well below two degrees, practically move away from fossil fuels, and review each country’s contribution every five years so they scale up to the challenge. The emissions cuts promised by countries now are still wholly insufficient, but the agreement as a whole sends a strong message to businesses, investors, and citizens that new energy is clean and fossil fuels belong to the past. There is a lot of work ahead of us to make this happen.”“The final draft text recognises the imperatives of the science community to tackle climate change. The three key elements to do it are there in some form: keep warming well below two degrees, practically move away from fossil fuels, and review each country’s contribution every five years so they scale up to the challenge. The emissions cuts promised by countries now are still wholly insufficient, but the agreement as a whole sends a strong message to businesses, investors, and citizens that new energy is clean and fossil fuels belong to the past. There is a lot of work ahead of us to make this happen.”
Prof Tim Palmer, Royal Society Research Professor in Climate Physics & Director of Oxford Martin Programme on Modelling and Predicting Climate, University of Oxford:Prof Tim Palmer, Royal Society Research Professor in Climate Physics & Director of Oxford Martin Programme on Modelling and Predicting Climate, University of Oxford:
“Paris has shown all countries of the world taking the climate threat seriously, and this is to be applauded. The Paris agreement will help reduce the chances of dangerous climate change - though by exactly how much is hard to quantify. In particular, when we speak about targets of 2 degrees, or even 1.5 degrees, we should remember that climate science has yet to uncover a simple deterministic relationship between carbon emissions and the level of future global warming. Instead, the relationship is imprecise - even more so at the regional level - reflecting current uncertainties in many complex processes at play in the climate system. If we wish to reduce uncertainty in our estimates of future climate, governments must continue to invest in the basic science of the physical climate system.“Paris has shown all countries of the world taking the climate threat seriously, and this is to be applauded. The Paris agreement will help reduce the chances of dangerous climate change - though by exactly how much is hard to quantify. In particular, when we speak about targets of 2 degrees, or even 1.5 degrees, we should remember that climate science has yet to uncover a simple deterministic relationship between carbon emissions and the level of future global warming. Instead, the relationship is imprecise - even more so at the regional level - reflecting current uncertainties in many complex processes at play in the climate system. If we wish to reduce uncertainty in our estimates of future climate, governments must continue to invest in the basic science of the physical climate system.
Prof Myles Allen, Professor of Geosystem Science, University of Oxford:Prof Myles Allen, Professor of Geosystem Science, University of Oxford:
“Is 1.5 degrees possible? Human-induced warming is already approaching 1 degree, and predicted to be at 1.2 degrees by 2030, so obviously 1.5 degrees will be a challenge. But the IPCC’s “likely 2 degrees” carbon budget, regarded as ambitious but (just) doable, already limits warming due to CO2 alone to 1.5 degrees. So once we are on a path to net zero CO2 emissions, it will all come down to what we can do about other sources of warming. If we can stick to the IPCC’s 2-degree budget, and if UNEP is right that we can reduce peak temperatures by 0.5 degrees with action on methane and soot, and if Mother Nature is reasonably kind on the climate response, then 1.5 degrees is definitely still in the frame. But that is a lot of ‘ifs’.”“Is 1.5 degrees possible? Human-induced warming is already approaching 1 degree, and predicted to be at 1.2 degrees by 2030, so obviously 1.5 degrees will be a challenge. But the IPCC’s “likely 2 degrees” carbon budget, regarded as ambitious but (just) doable, already limits warming due to CO2 alone to 1.5 degrees. So once we are on a path to net zero CO2 emissions, it will all come down to what we can do about other sources of warming. If we can stick to the IPCC’s 2-degree budget, and if UNEP is right that we can reduce peak temperatures by 0.5 degrees with action on methane and soot, and if Mother Nature is reasonably kind on the climate response, then 1.5 degrees is definitely still in the frame. But that is a lot of ‘ifs’.”
Prof David Reay, Professor of Carbon Management, University of Edinburgh:Prof David Reay, Professor of Carbon Management, University of Edinburgh:
“This is a huge breakthrough. Those long nights of negotiations have paid dividends. Legally-binding, a robust ratchet mechanism, and strong reporting requirements - impressive. If adopted, the Paris agreement will become the first concrete step on our collective way towards avoiding dangerous climate change. There will be bumps in the road ahead, steep inclines and muddy wallows to overcome, but Paris has skilfully avoided hitting a climate change dead end.”“This is a huge breakthrough. Those long nights of negotiations have paid dividends. Legally-binding, a robust ratchet mechanism, and strong reporting requirements - impressive. If adopted, the Paris agreement will become the first concrete step on our collective way towards avoiding dangerous climate change. There will be bumps in the road ahead, steep inclines and muddy wallows to overcome, but Paris has skilfully avoided hitting a climate change dead end.”
Mr Asher Minns, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, said:Mr Asher Minns, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, said:
“Climate science communication has a new challenge to rise to because if the likely way to keep temperature well below 2C is by overshooting and reversing global temperature, it means new conversations to engage people with the impacts of global climate change policy that is designed for extreme weather to be worse before it gets better.”“Climate science communication has a new challenge to rise to because if the likely way to keep temperature well below 2C is by overshooting and reversing global temperature, it means new conversations to engage people with the impacts of global climate change policy that is designed for extreme weather to be worse before it gets better.”
2.21pm GMT14:212.21pm GMT14:21
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
I just spoke to Lalldor Thorgeirsson, director of strategy at the UN climate secretariat, who has worked on this for years. He says we are now nearly there.I just spoke to Lalldor Thorgeirsson, director of strategy at the UN climate secretariat, who has worked on this for years. He says we are now nearly there.
“We have unity - that is different,” he said. Asked what had been the decisive factor he said there were several, including the growing realisation that dealing with climate change can be “a positive agenda” rather than just a cost; that there is growing awareness of our vulnerability to the damage if climate change; and that the French presidency had been instrumental.“We have unity - that is different,” he said. Asked what had been the decisive factor he said there were several, including the growing realisation that dealing with climate change can be “a positive agenda” rather than just a cost; that there is growing awareness of our vulnerability to the damage if climate change; and that the French presidency had been instrumental.
He pointed out that as a member of the security council the French hold an important place in international negotiations. Asked if there was anything that hadn’t been included in the agreement that he would have like to see, he said no, he was happy with the text, which represents “a good deal”.He pointed out that as a member of the security council the French hold an important place in international negotiations. Asked if there was anything that hadn’t been included in the agreement that he would have like to see, he said no, he was happy with the text, which represents “a good deal”.
2.12pm GMT14:122.12pm GMT14:12
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
Dirk Forrister, chief executive of emissions trading trade body IETA, said: “The COP President made it clear this morning that the Paris Agreement is built on a spirit of cooperation between governments, business and civil society. We’re pleased to see the proposed agreement could enhance cooperation through market approaches. It includes strong accounting principles to ensure market integrity. It also includes a mechanism for sustainable development, open for all who want to use it. This could unleash new investment flows and drive innovation.Dirk Forrister, chief executive of emissions trading trade body IETA, said: “The COP President made it clear this morning that the Paris Agreement is built on a spirit of cooperation between governments, business and civil society. We’re pleased to see the proposed agreement could enhance cooperation through market approaches. It includes strong accounting principles to ensure market integrity. It also includes a mechanism for sustainable development, open for all who want to use it. This could unleash new investment flows and drive innovation.
“We’re cautiously optimistic and will be watching the plenary later.”“We’re cautiously optimistic and will be watching the plenary later.”
1.53pm GMT13:531.53pm GMT13:53
More reaction here from the campaign group 350.org:More reaction here from the campaign group 350.org:
Co-founder Bill McKibben, said:Co-founder Bill McKibben, said:
“Every government seems now to recognize that the fossil fuel era must end and soon. But the power of the fossil fuel industry is reflected in the text, which drags out the transition so far that endless climate damage will be done. Since pace is the crucial question now, activists must redouble our efforts to weaken that industry. This didn’t save the planet but it may have saved the chance of saving the planet.”“Every government seems now to recognize that the fossil fuel era must end and soon. But the power of the fossil fuel industry is reflected in the text, which drags out the transition so far that endless climate damage will be done. Since pace is the crucial question now, activists must redouble our efforts to weaken that industry. This didn’t save the planet but it may have saved the chance of saving the planet.”
Executive director, May Boeve:Executive director, May Boeve:
“This marks the end of the era of fossil fuels. There is no way to meet the targets laid out in this agreement without keeping coal, oil and gas in the ground. The text should send a clear signal to fossil fuel investors: divest now.“This marks the end of the era of fossil fuels. There is no way to meet the targets laid out in this agreement without keeping coal, oil and gas in the ground. The text should send a clear signal to fossil fuel investors: divest now.
The final text still has some serious gaps. We’re very concerned about the exclusion of the rights of indigenous peoples, the lack of finance for loss and damage, and that while the text recognizes the importance of keeping global warming below 1.5 degrees C, the current commitments from countries still add up to well over 3 degrees of warming. These are red lines we cannot cross. After Paris, we’ll be redoubling our efforts to deliver the real solutions that science and justice demand.”The final text still has some serious gaps. We’re very concerned about the exclusion of the rights of indigenous peoples, the lack of finance for loss and damage, and that while the text recognizes the importance of keeping global warming below 1.5 degrees C, the current commitments from countries still add up to well over 3 degrees of warming. These are red lines we cannot cross. After Paris, we’ll be redoubling our efforts to deliver the real solutions that science and justice demand.”
1.38pm GMT13:381.38pm GMT13:38
Here are some more images from the protests around Paris today.Here are some more images from the protests around Paris today.
1.32pm GMT13:321.32pm GMT13:32
Lenore TaylorLenore Taylor
Tim Gore from Oxfam International said the poorest had been “short-changed” by parts of the draft deal.Tim Gore from Oxfam International said the poorest had been “short-changed” by parts of the draft deal.
He said the agreement to revisit the promise to provide at least $100bn a year in financing in 2025 was “simply not good enough”.He said the agreement to revisit the promise to provide at least $100bn a year in financing in 2025 was “simply not good enough”.
Mohamed Adow from Christian Aid said: “this is the first time ever loss and damage has been included in an international deal on climate change and that is a huge achievement by small island states and least developed countries.”Mohamed Adow from Christian Aid said: “this is the first time ever loss and damage has been included in an international deal on climate change and that is a huge achievement by small island states and least developed countries.”
He said the US would never have accepted any reference to liability for loss and damage, but Greenpeace’s Kumi Naidoo added that “liability and accountability can be secured in different ways...serious litigation attempts are already underway...we hope that threat will mean investors thinking about putting their money into oil coal and gas projects will have a serious rethink.”He said the US would never have accepted any reference to liability for loss and damage, but Greenpeace’s Kumi Naidoo added that “liability and accountability can be secured in different ways...serious litigation attempts are already underway...we hope that threat will mean investors thinking about putting their money into oil coal and gas projects will have a serious rethink.”
“It’s not the end of the fight over liability, it’s put the polluters on notice and that fight will continue in other fora,” Gore said.“It’s not the end of the fight over liability, it’s put the polluters on notice and that fight will continue in other fora,” Gore said.
Naidoo said: “As a result of what we have secured here we will win… for us Paris was always a stop on an ongoing journey… I believe we are now in with a serious chance to succeed.”Naidoo said: “As a result of what we have secured here we will win… for us Paris was always a stop on an ongoing journey… I believe we are now in with a serious chance to succeed.”
1.26pm GMT13:261.26pm GMT13:26
CarbonBrief, an expert climate analysis site, has published a before and after guide to the text. Blue is wording that has changed. Green is brand new text.CarbonBrief, an expert climate analysis site, has published a before and after guide to the text. Blue is wording that has changed. Green is brand new text.
1.19pm GMT13:191.19pm GMT13:19
Green groups welcome draft Paris textGreen groups welcome draft Paris text
Here’s what the many NGOs here in Paris think of the final draft. It’s overwhelmingly positive with caveats.Here’s what the many NGOs here in Paris think of the final draft. It’s overwhelmingly positive with caveats.
AvaazAvaaz
“a turning point in history, paving the way for the shift to 100% clean energy that the world wants and the planet needs”“a turning point in history, paving the way for the shift to 100% clean energy that the world wants and the planet needs”
WWF UKWWF UK
“We have a clear vision in the strong long term goal; mechanisms to address the gap between that aspiration and the countries’ current commitments; and the foundations for financing the transition to a low-carbon future.”“We have a clear vision in the strong long term goal; mechanisms to address the gap between that aspiration and the countries’ current commitments; and the foundations for financing the transition to a low-carbon future.”
GreenpeaceGreenpeace
“The wheel of climate action turns slowly, but in Paris it has turned. This deal puts the fossil fuel industry on the wrong side of history. There’s much in the text that has been diluted and polluted by the people who despoil our planet, but it contains a new imperative to limit temperature rises to 1.5C.”“The wheel of climate action turns slowly, but in Paris it has turned. This deal puts the fossil fuel industry on the wrong side of history. There’s much in the text that has been diluted and polluted by the people who despoil our planet, but it contains a new imperative to limit temperature rises to 1.5C.”
350.org350.org
“This marks the end of the era of fossil fuels. There is no way to meet the targets laid out in this agreement without keeping coal, oil and gas in the ground.”“This marks the end of the era of fossil fuels. There is no way to meet the targets laid out in this agreement without keeping coal, oil and gas in the ground.”
OxfamOxfam
“This deal offers a frayed life-line to the world’s poorest and most vulnerable people. Only the vague promise of a new future climate funding target has been made, while the deal does not force countries to cut emissions fast enough to forestall a climate change catastrophe.”“This deal offers a frayed life-line to the world’s poorest and most vulnerable people. Only the vague promise of a new future climate funding target has been made, while the deal does not force countries to cut emissions fast enough to forestall a climate change catastrophe.”
EDF (Environmental Defense Fund)EDF (Environmental Defense Fund)
The agreement will send a powerful, immediate signal to global markets that the clean energy future is open for business. It makes a moral call for dramatic action that leaves no one behind, and it moves us closer to the crucial turning point when global carbon emissions, which have been rising for more than two centuries, finally begin to decline.”The agreement will send a powerful, immediate signal to global markets that the clean energy future is open for business. It makes a moral call for dramatic action that leaves no one behind, and it moves us closer to the crucial turning point when global carbon emissions, which have been rising for more than two centuries, finally begin to decline.”
Christian AidChristian Aid
“This is a historic agreement and the culmination of a path the world set out on four years ago.”“This is a historic agreement and the culmination of a path the world set out on four years ago.”
Cafod, Catholic aid agencyCafod, Catholic aid agency
“For poor people living on the frontline of climate change this deal offers hope for a brighter future, but not yet the security that we’ll get there quick enough.”“For poor people living on the frontline of climate change this deal offers hope for a brighter future, but not yet the security that we’ll get there quick enough.”
E3G, thinktankE3G, thinktank
“The transition to a low carbon economy is now unstoppable, ensuring the end of the fossil fuel age.”“The transition to a low carbon economy is now unstoppable, ensuring the end of the fossil fuel age.”
ActionAidActionAid
“what we have been presented with doesn’t go far enough to improve the fragile existence of millions around the world”“what we have been presented with doesn’t go far enough to improve the fragile existence of millions around the world”
Updated at 1.36pm GMTUpdated at 1.36pm GMT
1.11pm GMT13:111.11pm GMT13:11
John VidalJohn Vidal
The French hosts have adopted a traditional South African negotiating format to speed up decision-making and bring opposing countries together in Paris.The French hosts have adopted a traditional South African negotiating format to speed up decision-making and bring opposing countries together in Paris.
Zulu and Xhosa communities use “indabas” to give everyone equal opportunity to voice their opinions in order to work toward consensus.Zulu and Xhosa communities use “indabas” to give everyone equal opportunity to voice their opinions in order to work toward consensus.
They were first used in UN climate talks in Durban in 2011 when, with the talks deadlocked and the summit just minutes from collapse, the South African presidency asked the main countries to form a standing circle in the middle of hundreds of delegates and to talk directly to each other.They were first used in UN climate talks in Durban in 2011 when, with the talks deadlocked and the summit just minutes from collapse, the South African presidency asked the main countries to form a standing circle in the middle of hundreds of delegates and to talk directly to each other.
Instead of repeating stated positions, diplomats were encouraged to talk personally and quietly about their “red lines” and to propose solutions to each other.Instead of repeating stated positions, diplomats were encouraged to talk personally and quietly about their “red lines” and to propose solutions to each other.
By including everyone and allowing often hostile countries to speak in earshot of observers, it achieved a remarkable breakthrough within 30 minutes.By including everyone and allowing often hostile countries to speak in earshot of observers, it achieved a remarkable breakthrough within 30 minutes.
In Paris the indaba format was used by France to narrow differences between countries behind closed doors. It is said to have rapidly slimmed down a ballooning text with hundreds of potantial points of disagreements.In Paris the indaba format was used by France to narrow differences between countries behind closed doors. It is said to have rapidly slimmed down a ballooning text with hundreds of potantial points of disagreements.
By Wednesday with agreement still far away, French pime minister Laurent Fabius futher refined the indaba by splitting groups into two.By Wednesday with agreement still far away, French pime minister Laurent Fabius futher refined the indaba by splitting groups into two.
“It is a very effective way to streamline negotiations and bridge differences. .It has the advantage of being participatory yet fair”, said one West African diplomat. “It should be used much more when no way through a problem can be found.”“It is a very effective way to streamline negotiations and bridge differences. .It has the advantage of being participatory yet fair”, said one West African diplomat. “It should be used much more when no way through a problem can be found.”
1.04pm GMT13:041.04pm GMT13:04
The leading US climate scientist James Hansen has denounced the Paris talks as a “fraud” in an interview with my colleague Oliver Milman.The leading US climate scientist James Hansen has denounced the Paris talks as a “fraud” in an interview with my colleague Oliver Milman.
Here’s an extract:Here’s an extract:
“It’s a fraud really, a fake,” he says, rubbing his head. “It’s just bullshit for them to say: ‘We’ll have a 2C warming target and then try to do a little better every five years.’ It’s just worthless words. There is no action, just promises. As long as fossil fuels appear to be the cheapest fuels out there, they will be continued to be burned.”“It’s a fraud really, a fake,” he says, rubbing his head. “It’s just bullshit for them to say: ‘We’ll have a 2C warming target and then try to do a little better every five years.’ It’s just worthless words. There is no action, just promises. As long as fossil fuels appear to be the cheapest fuels out there, they will be continued to be burned.”
But he ends on a positive note:But he ends on a positive note:
Hansen believes China, the world’s largest emitter, will now step up to provide the leadership lacking from the US. A submerged Fifth Avenue and deadly heatwaves aren’t an inevitability.Hansen believes China, the world’s largest emitter, will now step up to provide the leadership lacking from the US. A submerged Fifth Avenue and deadly heatwaves aren’t an inevitability.
“I think we will get there because China is rational,” Hansen says. “Their leaders are mostly trained in engineering and such things, they don’t deny climate change and they have a huge incentive, which is air pollution. It’s so bad in their cities they need to move to clean energies. They realise it’s not a hoax. But they will need co-operation.”“I think we will get there because China is rational,” Hansen says. “Their leaders are mostly trained in engineering and such things, they don’t deny climate change and they have a huge incentive, which is air pollution. It’s so bad in their cities they need to move to clean energies. They realise it’s not a hoax. But they will need co-operation.”
Related: James Hansen, father of climate change awareness, calls Paris talks 'a fraud'Related: James Hansen, father of climate change awareness, calls Paris talks 'a fraud'
12.57pm GMT12:5712.57pm GMT12:57
What's in the new textWhat's in the new text
Nothing is in square brackets - denoting disagreement - in the text.Nothing is in square brackets - denoting disagreement - in the text.
Updated at 2.28pm GMTUpdated at 2.28pm GMT
12.41pm GMT12:4112.41pm GMT12:41
Organisers of rallies in the French capital say there are more 10,000 people on the streets calling for a strong climate deal:Organisers of rallies in the French capital say there are more 10,000 people on the streets calling for a strong climate deal:
If any press want high-res photos from #D12 action in #Paris you can find here: https://t.co/oXbynVOEif #COP21 pic.twitter.com/rfcAQbMtNtIf any press want high-res photos from #D12 action in #Paris you can find here: https://t.co/oXbynVOEif #COP21 pic.twitter.com/rfcAQbMtNt
12.38pm GMT12:3812.38pm GMT12:38
Here’s the text:Here’s the text:
12.36pm GMT12:3612.36pm GMT12:36
Final draft climate text publishedFinal draft climate text published
The document that could become the Paris Agreement is now out.The document that could become the Paris Agreement is now out.
12.27pm GMT12:2712.27pm GMT12:27
The final draft - what Hollande said will later become the world’s first universal climate agreement - is due any minute now.The final draft - what Hollande said will later become the world’s first universal climate agreement - is due any minute now.
After that, the next big moment is 3.45pm, when delegates meet here for the plenary where, it is hoped, the deal will be officially adopted.After that, the next big moment is 3.45pm, when delegates meet here for the plenary where, it is hoped, the deal will be officially adopted.
12.18pm GMT12:1812.18pm GMT12:18
Here’s a bit more of Ban, from the transcript of his address:Here’s a bit more of Ban, from the transcript of his address:
I count on developed countries to provide financial resources for mitigation and adaptation, and to embark decisively on a low-emissions pathway.I count on developed countries to provide financial resources for mitigation and adaptation, and to embark decisively on a low-emissions pathway.
And I ask all developing nations to play an increasingly active role, according to their capacities.And I ask all developing nations to play an increasingly active role, according to their capacities.
And he finished: “I look forward to joining you later today to celebrate an agreement that will offer new hope for safety and prosperity for all on a healthy planet.”And he finished: “I look forward to joining you later today to celebrate an agreement that will offer new hope for safety and prosperity for all on a healthy planet.”
11.27am GMT11:2711.27am GMT11:27
The text is coming at 1.30pm, not nowThe text is coming at 1.30pm, not now
Fabius has just told delegates they should go grab lunch, because the text isn’t coming for another hour.Fabius has just told delegates they should go grab lunch, because the text isn’t coming for another hour.
Updated at 12.28pm GMTUpdated at 12.28pm GMT
11.27am GMT11:2711.27am GMT11:27
“Immediate action” has already been taken around the world because of the UN climate negotiations, he says, citing the roll-out of renewable energy.“Immediate action” has already been taken around the world because of the UN climate negotiations, he says, citing the roll-out of renewable energy.
“History is coming, in fact history is here. All the conditions have been met, and they won’t always necessarily be here. We are in the home stretch... there will be no postponement... the decisive deal for the planet is here.“History is coming, in fact history is here. All the conditions have been met, and they won’t always necessarily be here. We are in the home stretch... there will be no postponement... the decisive deal for the planet is here.
“All the nations of the world, it is up to you to decide this,” he says.“All the nations of the world, it is up to you to decide this,” he says.
“On 12 December 2015 we can have a historic day, a major date to go down in the history of mankind.”“On 12 December 2015 we can have a historic day, a major date to go down in the history of mankind.”
“The date can become a message of life,” he says. “I will be delighted, relived, proud, that it be launched from Paris, because Paris was attacked almost exactly a month ago.“The date can become a message of life,” he says. “I will be delighted, relived, proud, that it be launched from Paris, because Paris was attacked almost exactly a month ago.
“So ladies and gentlemen, France asks you, calls upon you, to adopt the first universal agreement on climate,” he says.“So ladies and gentlemen, France asks you, calls upon you, to adopt the first universal agreement on climate,” he says.
He tells delegates they have the chance to change the world, so the planet and mankind may live a long time … and finishes to much applause.He tells delegates they have the chance to change the world, so the planet and mankind may live a long time … and finishes to much applause.
Updated at 12.29pm GMTUpdated at 12.29pm GMT
11.23am GMT11:2311.23am GMT11:23
The only thing that now matters is to be right all together, he says. All the imperatives [of countries] could not be satisfied, not all the claims could be satisfied.The only thing that now matters is to be right all together, he says. All the imperatives [of countries] could not be satisfied, not all the claims could be satisfied.
“But we will not be judged by a clause in a sentence, but a text,” he says.“But we will not be judged by a clause in a sentence, but a text,” he says.
11.21am GMT11:2111.21am GMT11:21
Hollande: “What would all this shared time, this mulitple intitiatives, the will expressed by all continents, what would be the purpose of all this work, if it was not to result in a universal agreement that is differentiated and legally binding?”Hollande: “What would all this shared time, this mulitple intitiatives, the will expressed by all continents, what would be the purpose of all this work, if it was not to result in a universal agreement that is differentiated and legally binding?”
“Do we want an agreement? An agreement that did not see the light of day in Copenhagen. The gridlock that for years was a great source of disappointment for all those who wanted the planet to have a future. This gridlock cast a pall of doubt on the international community.”“Do we want an agreement? An agreement that did not see the light of day in Copenhagen. The gridlock that for years was a great source of disappointment for all those who wanted the planet to have a future. This gridlock cast a pall of doubt on the international community.”
He adds: “We have to take that last step.”He adds: “We have to take that last step.”
The text is ambitious but also realistic, he says. It recognises differentation and review mechanisms which are “essential for credibility” of the agreement.The text is ambitious but also realistic, he says. It recognises differentation and review mechanisms which are “essential for credibility” of the agreement.
“This text, if you decide, will be the first universal agreement of climate negotiations.“This text, if you decide, will be the first universal agreement of climate negotiations.
“This will be a major leap for mankind,” he says.“This will be a major leap for mankind,” he says.
Updated at 12.32pm GMTUpdated at 12.32pm GMT
11.18am GMT11:1811.18am GMT11:18
Hollande is up now.Hollande is up now.
“I know how persistent you have been in these past few months to make it possible for us to meet here in Paris,” he says to Ban.“I know how persistent you have been in these past few months to make it possible for us to meet here in Paris,” he says to Ban.
To Fabius, he says: “Throughout the past months and even more in the past days you’ve played a considerable role to bring points of view closer together...”To Fabius, he says: “Throughout the past months and even more in the past days you’ve played a considerable role to bring points of view closer together...”
To the UN climate chief, Christiana Figueres, he says: “I know what you also have done...”To the UN climate chief, Christiana Figueres, he says: “I know what you also have done...”
Says delegates have worked hard and thanks them for working day and night.Says delegates have worked hard and thanks them for working day and night.
11.16am GMT11:1611.16am GMT11:16
“I commend you all for submitting your national climate plans. The solutions to climate change are on the table, they are ours for the taking now. Let us grasp them,” says Ban.“I commend you all for submitting your national climate plans. The solutions to climate change are on the table, they are ours for the taking now. Let us grasp them,” says Ban.
Says he looks forward to celebrating agreement later today, as he finishes to more applause.Says he looks forward to celebrating agreement later today, as he finishes to more applause.
Updated at 12.32pm GMTUpdated at 12.32pm GMT
11.15am GMT11:1511.15am GMT11:15
Ban says leaders delivered clear instructions to the Paris talks when they came in “unprecedented” numbers at its opening a fortnight ago.Ban says leaders delivered clear instructions to the Paris talks when they came in “unprecedented” numbers at its opening a fortnight ago.
“The issues are many and complex, but we must not let the quest for perfection become the enemy of the public good.”“The issues are many and complex, but we must not let the quest for perfection become the enemy of the public good.”
Asks delegates to continue in the same spirit of compromise they have pursued in the last two weeks.Asks delegates to continue in the same spirit of compromise they have pursued in the last two weeks.
Updated at 12.33pm GMTUpdated at 12.33pm GMT
11.14am GMT11:1411.14am GMT11:14
Ban is repeating his message from Friday that countries’ national interests will not be served if they ignore the collective interest.Ban is repeating his message from Friday that countries’ national interests will not be served if they ignore the collective interest.
11.13am GMT11:1311.13am GMT11:13
Ban Ki-moon is speaking now.Ban Ki-moon is speaking now.
We have come to a defining moment on a long journey that dates back decades.We have come to a defining moment on a long journey that dates back decades.
The document with which you have just been presented, is historic. It promises to set the world on a new path, to a low emissions, climate resilient future.The document with which you have just been presented, is historic. It promises to set the world on a new path, to a low emissions, climate resilient future.
Let us now finish the job. The whole world is watching.Let us now finish the job. The whole world is watching.
Updated at 12.34pm GMTUpdated at 12.34pm GMT
11.12am GMT11:1211.12am GMT11:12
Suzanne GoldenbergSuzanne Goldenberg
There is a very serious atmosphere in the room now as Fabius outlines the costs of rejecting the deal: “Our children of the world would not understand us, nor would they forgive us.”There is a very serious atmosphere in the room now as Fabius outlines the costs of rejecting the deal: “Our children of the world would not understand us, nor would they forgive us.”
Updated at 12.33pm GMTUpdated at 12.33pm GMT
11.11am GMT11:1111.11am GMT11:11
Fabius finishes to applause:Fabius finishes to applause:
To conclude, one of us the other day reminded us of Nelson Mandela’s sentence: it always seems impossible until it’s done.To conclude, one of us the other day reminded us of Nelson Mandela’s sentence: it always seems impossible until it’s done.
I wish to add some other words to that, words spoken by the same hero:I wish to add some other words to that, words spoken by the same hero:
None of us acting alone can be successful. Success is built collectively. In this room you are going to be deciding upon a historic agreement. The world is holding its breath. It’s counting on all of us.None of us acting alone can be successful. Success is built collectively. In this room you are going to be deciding upon a historic agreement. The world is holding its breath. It’s counting on all of us.
Updated at 12.34pm GMTUpdated at 12.34pm GMT
11.09am GMT11:0911.09am GMT11:09
Fiona HarveyFiona Harvey
Ségolène Royal, former rival of Fabius for the presidential nomination, smiles as he announces the text on issues such as climate justice and emissions in a balance that is powerful but delicate and will enable each country to leave Paris with their heads held high.Ségolène Royal, former rival of Fabius for the presidential nomination, smiles as he announces the text on issues such as climate justice and emissions in a balance that is powerful but delicate and will enable each country to leave Paris with their heads held high.
Updated at 12.35pm GMTUpdated at 12.35pm GMT
11.09am GMT11:0911.09am GMT11:09
Fabius: Paris deal is a historic turning pointFabius: Paris deal is a historic turning point
“We all worked a great deal, we didn’t sleep very much, several ministers, facillitators, worked to reach a deal, a compromise.“We all worked a great deal, we didn’t sleep very much, several ministers, facillitators, worked to reach a deal, a compromise.
“At each stage the objective was to bring us closer to the agreement we desire. Parties were consulted on best method and substance to bring us closer to a deal,” he says.“At each stage the objective was to bring us closer to the agreement we desire. Parties were consulted on best method and substance to bring us closer to a deal,” he says.
“Today we are close to the final outcome. It is my deep conviction that we have come up with an ambitious and balanced agreement.“Today we are close to the final outcome. It is my deep conviction that we have come up with an ambitious and balanced agreement.
“This text which is necesarily a balanced text, contains the principle elements that we feel or did feel before would be impossible to agree. The agreement is fair, durable, balanced and legally binding. It is faithful to the Durban mandate. It acknoweldges the notion of climate justice and takes into account differentiated responsibilites of countries.”“This text which is necesarily a balanced text, contains the principle elements that we feel or did feel before would be impossible to agree. The agreement is fair, durable, balanced and legally binding. It is faithful to the Durban mandate. It acknoweldges the notion of climate justice and takes into account differentiated responsibilites of countries.”
He says the deal has the objective of keeping temperatures well below 2C above pre-industrial levels and would endeavour to work towards 1.5C. The mention of the tough 1.5C goal gets applause.He says the deal has the objective of keeping temperatures well below 2C above pre-industrial levels and would endeavour to work towards 1.5C. The mention of the tough 1.5C goal gets applause.
The reduciton of greenhouse gases has become the business of all, thanks to updates of pledges every five years which can only be more ambitious, he says.The reduciton of greenhouse gases has become the business of all, thanks to updates of pledges every five years which can only be more ambitious, he says.
The text recognises the need for compensation under loss and damage, and more help for adaptation, he says.The text recognises the need for compensation under loss and damage, and more help for adaptation, he says.
“It provides that every five years there will be a collective stocktaking of progress made,” he says.“It provides that every five years there will be a collective stocktaking of progress made,” he says.
“This text will mark a historic turning point” in tackling emissions, he says.“This text will mark a historic turning point” in tackling emissions, he says.
Each party put forward its own red lines. Each country will not get everything it wanted, he says. “If every country had 100% of its wishlist fulfilled our collective efforts would have amounted to zero,” he says.Each party put forward its own red lines. Each country will not get everything it wanted, he says. “If every country had 100% of its wishlist fulfilled our collective efforts would have amounted to zero,” he says.
“We need to show the world our collective effort is worth more than the sum of our individual actions.“We need to show the world our collective effort is worth more than the sum of our individual actions.
“We have come to focus not on the red lines but on green lines of universal commitment,” he says.“We have come to focus not on the red lines but on green lines of universal commitment,” he says.
The deal will help island countries protect themselves from sea-level rise, which is already beginning to submerge their coastlines.The deal will help island countries protect themselves from sea-level rise, which is already beginning to submerge their coastlines.
It will also help food security, human rights and the maintenance of peace, he says.It will also help food security, human rights and the maintenance of peace, he says.
“Here in Paris there is a certain momentum, particularly in connection with mobilising civil society,” he says. “This is a positive environment, this type of planetary configuration has never been as good as today. Our responsbility to history is immense.”“Here in Paris there is a certain momentum, particularly in connection with mobilising civil society,” he says. “This is a positive environment, this type of planetary configuration has never been as good as today. Our responsbility to history is immense.”
No one here wants a repetition of what happened in Copenhagen, he says. There were many inadequacies in Copenhagen.No one here wants a repetition of what happened in Copenhagen, he says. There were many inadequacies in Copenhagen.
“Today, if we were to fail, how could we rebuild this hope,” he says. Trust among countries would be lost “irrevocably”.“Today, if we were to fail, how could we rebuild this hope,” he says. Trust among countries would be lost “irrevocably”.
Updated at 12.43pm GMTUpdated at 12.43pm GMT
10.57am GMT10:5710.57am GMT10:57
During this Paris conference we wanted the conditions in which we hosted and prepared the agreement to be as good possible, he says.During this Paris conference we wanted the conditions in which we hosted and prepared the agreement to be as good possible, he says.
Ambition, transparency and compromise are spirit of talks here at Paris, he says.Ambition, transparency and compromise are spirit of talks here at Paris, he says.
Says head of state brought “dynamism” to talks.Says head of state brought “dynamism” to talks.
10.54am GMT10:5410.54am GMT10:54
Fabius starts.Fabius starts.
We are almost at the end of the path and no doubt embarking on another.We are almost at the end of the path and no doubt embarking on another.
I wish to thank you, all of you for you work not just over the last few days and nights, but over the last few months and years.I wish to thank you, all of you for you work not just over the last few days and nights, but over the last few months and years.
The draft final outcome submitted to you this morning and which will be distributed at the end of this meeting owes a great deal to the progress made here at Paris.The draft final outcome submitted to you this morning and which will be distributed at the end of this meeting owes a great deal to the progress made here at Paris.
Updated at 10.55am GMTUpdated at 10.55am GMT
10.50am GMT10:5010.50am GMT10:50
Hollande has arrived - the key players are now taking the stage, to applause. The president and Fabius are clapping too.Hollande has arrived - the key players are now taking the stage, to applause. The president and Fabius are clapping too.
Updated at 12.43pm GMTUpdated at 12.43pm GMT
10.49am GMT10:4910.49am GMT10:49
US secretary of state, John Kerry, has arrived, while the so-called ‘coalition of high ambition’ (more on that here) has symbolically entered the room together. Ban Ki-moon is here now too.US secretary of state, John Kerry, has arrived, while the so-called ‘coalition of high ambition’ (more on that here) has symbolically entered the room together. Ban Ki-moon is here now too.
High-ambition coalition--including US climate envoy Todd Stern-- walks to #cop21 plenary together. pic.twitter.com/0qrzgz4NQMHigh-ambition coalition--including US climate envoy Todd Stern-- walks to #cop21 plenary together. pic.twitter.com/0qrzgz4NQM
10.43am GMT10:4310.43am GMT10:43
Next text has reportedly been slimmed downNext text has reportedly been slimmed down
The text about to be presented will be 20 pages long, AP reports.The text about to be presented will be 20 pages long, AP reports.
That’s seven shorter – good news – than the last draft presented on Thursday night:That’s seven shorter – good news – than the last draft presented on Thursday night:
10.36am GMT10:3610.36am GMT10:36
We’re just waiting for the Paris Committee, which Fabius heads, to begin here at Le Bourget, where the final draft text is expected imminently.We’re just waiting for the Paris Committee, which Fabius heads, to begin here at Le Bourget, where the final draft text is expected imminently.
Updated at 10.40am GMTUpdated at 10.40am GMT
9.49am GMT09:499.49am GMT09:49
Huge climate rally planned at Eiffel TowerHuge climate rally planned at Eiffel Tower
Climate campaigners have a series of protests planned today, as a draft deal is unveiled.Climate campaigners have a series of protests planned today, as a draft deal is unveiled.
At 11am, thousands are expected to group together in tiny groups across the French capital, “playing in the grey area of the interdiction” of the authorities’ ban on large demonstrations following the 13 November attacks. They will appear on an online map, too.At 11am, thousands are expected to group together in tiny groups across the French capital, “playing in the grey area of the interdiction” of the authorities’ ban on large demonstrations following the 13 November attacks. They will appear on an online map, too.
At noon, 350.org plans a ‘red lines’ in the city. More on that later.At noon, 350.org plans a ‘red lines’ in the city. More on that later.
At 2pm, a “huge” rally is planned of up to 10,000 people near the Eiffel Tower. “We’ve had a two week fight with government showing our determination to mobilise, and on Friday they authorised our protest,” Malika Peyraut of Friends of the Earth International France tells me. I’ve not had verification myself from the French authorities that the rally has been approved.At 2pm, a “huge” rally is planned of up to 10,000 people near the Eiffel Tower. “We’ve had a two week fight with government showing our determination to mobilise, and on Friday they authorised our protest,” Malika Peyraut of Friends of the Earth International France tells me. I’ve not had verification myself from the French authorities that the rally has been approved.
Updated at 10.07am GMTUpdated at 10.07am GMT
9.26am GMT09:269.26am GMT09:26
Here are some photographs from inside the summit:Here are some photographs from inside the summit:
.@AmberRudd_MP, EU Commissioner Cañete @MAC_europa and US Special Envoy Todd Stern work on key elements of #COP21 pic.twitter.com/mBWFojLHxi.@AmberRudd_MP, EU Commissioner Cañete @MAC_europa and US Special Envoy Todd Stern work on key elements of #COP21 pic.twitter.com/mBWFojLHxi
French hosts handing out postcards here at what looks like final day of #COP21 pic.twitter.com/NJlhwYdHsuFrench hosts handing out postcards here at what looks like final day of #COP21 pic.twitter.com/NJlhwYdHsu
And elsewhere in the French capital:And elsewhere in the French capital:
.@revbillytalen just gave his sermon to kick of #D12. Earthalujah! #redlines #cop21 #IceWatchParis pic.twitter.com/4PjybrX37S.@revbillytalen just gave his sermon to kick of #D12. Earthalujah! #redlines #cop21 #IceWatchParis pic.twitter.com/4PjybrX37S
9.03am GMT09:039.03am GMT09:03
Suzanne GoldenbergSuzanne Goldenberg
Negotiators from some of the world’s poorest countries said they were feeling optimistic about the deal – which is still officially under wraps.Negotiators from some of the world’s poorest countries said they were feeling optimistic about the deal – which is still officially under wraps.
But they said it contained some of the key demands for the vulnerable states on the frontlines of climate change: the inclusion of the high aspiration goal of limiting warming to 1.5C as well as a road map for how to get there; commitments for regular review of emissions targets at five-year intervals; and pledges of ‘new and additional’ climate finance from rich countries.But they said it contained some of the key demands for the vulnerable states on the frontlines of climate change: the inclusion of the high aspiration goal of limiting warming to 1.5C as well as a road map for how to get there; commitments for regular review of emissions targets at five-year intervals; and pledges of ‘new and additional’ climate finance from rich countries.
According to the bloc of Least Developed Countries which represents those states with annual per capita income of below $900, there was even a mechanism for addressing the question of those countries which face irreversible losses under climate change, or “loss and damage” in negotiator speak.According to the bloc of Least Developed Countries which represents those states with annual per capita income of below $900, there was even a mechanism for addressing the question of those countries which face irreversible losses under climate change, or “loss and damage” in negotiator speak.
Giza Gaspar Martins, who heads the bloc, said poor countries expected to see a section for loss and damage within the agreement – along with the language the US is demanding to rule out the possibility of future law suits against the US government.Giza Gaspar Martins, who heads the bloc, said poor countries expected to see a section for loss and damage within the agreement – along with the language the US is demanding to rule out the possibility of future law suits against the US government.
“There is a commitment from the presidency [Laurent Fabius] and parties to resolve this in the final text, so we are confident that there will be consensus reached on this issue,” he said in a statement.“There is a commitment from the presidency [Laurent Fabius] and parties to resolve this in the final text, so we are confident that there will be consensus reached on this issue,” he said in a statement.
He praised the French hosts for their negotiating style.He praised the French hosts for their negotiating style.
Giza added: “The Least Developed Countries thank the COP presidency for reaching out to groups for informal consultations. We trust that this transparency and inclusiveness will continue in the closing hours and that we will be included in all consultations and considerations until the adoption of the Paris climate agreement.”Giza added: “The Least Developed Countries thank the COP presidency for reaching out to groups for informal consultations. We trust that this transparency and inclusiveness will continue in the closing hours and that we will be included in all consultations and considerations until the adoption of the Paris climate agreement.”
8.43am GMT08:438.43am GMT08:43
Good morning from north-east Paris. Excitement is building here as around 20,000 delegates at the COP21 climate summit await the final draft of a deal to tackle dangerous global warming.Good morning from north-east Paris. Excitement is building here as around 20,000 delegates at the COP21 climate summit await the final draft of a deal to tackle dangerous global warming.
Negotiators have worked through the night for several days now, to hash out their differences (here’s a little more detail on those sticking points). At 6.45am on Saturday, officials and ministers settled on the final text of a climate deal, which is now with ‘scrubber’ teams of lawyers and translators before it’s due to be published at 11.30am.Negotiators have worked through the night for several days now, to hash out their differences (here’s a little more detail on those sticking points). At 6.45am on Saturday, officials and ministers settled on the final text of a climate deal, which is now with ‘scrubber’ teams of lawyers and translators before it’s due to be published at 11.30am.
In a sign of how important the deal is seen, French president François Hollande will stand alongside UN secretary general, Ban Ki-moon, when the text is presented. The questions then are how strong and ambitious the deal is, and how long will it take 195 governments here to officially adopt it.In a sign of how important the deal is seen, French president François Hollande will stand alongside UN secretary general, Ban Ki-moon, when the text is presented. The questions then are how strong and ambitious the deal is, and how long will it take 195 governments here to officially adopt it.
We’ll be covering it all live here. Our latest news story is here.We’ll be covering it all live here. Our latest news story is here.
Here’s a brief recap of what’s happened so far:Here’s a brief recap of what’s happened so far:
And this is our at-a-glance guide to the latest round of UN climate negotiations, which have been underway for more than two decades.And this is our at-a-glance guide to the latest round of UN climate negotiations, which have been underway for more than two decades.
All times local (CET).All times local (CET).
Updated at 8.51am GMTUpdated at 8.51am GMT