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| US politics: Trump grabs commanding lead in latest poll | US politics: Trump grabs commanding lead in latest poll |
| (7 months later) | |
| 7.16am GMT | 7.16am GMT |
| 07:16 | 07:16 |
| Paul Lewis | Paul Lewis |
| Trump’s rally at the Westgate Convention Center – across the road from the towering Vegas building bearing his own name – was a raucous affair, interrupted repeatedly by protesters, hecklers and a few drunken people who appeared to have stumbled out of the casinos. | Trump’s rally at the Westgate Convention Center – across the road from the towering Vegas building bearing his own name – was a raucous affair, interrupted repeatedly by protesters, hecklers and a few drunken people who appeared to have stumbled out of the casinos. |
| There were repeated scuffles as Trump’s security escorted protesters out of the auditorium. | There were repeated scuffles as Trump’s security escorted protesters out of the auditorium. |
| It is not unusual for opponents to be ejected from Trump rallies, and it is often his supporters who do the ejecting. But there were signs the Republican frontrunner’s increasingly divisive rhetoric is drawing a volatile mix of opponents and supporters. | It is not unusual for opponents to be ejected from Trump rallies, and it is often his supporters who do the ejecting. But there were signs the Republican frontrunner’s increasingly divisive rhetoric is drawing a volatile mix of opponents and supporters. |
| We’re wrapping up this live blog now – thanks for reading. | We’re wrapping up this live blog now – thanks for reading. |
| 11.00pm GMT | 11.00pm GMT |
| 23:00 | 23:00 |
| Can’t get enough Trump? | Can’t get enough Trump? |
| Our west coast bureau chief Paul Lewis is burning the midnight oil in Las Vegas as the man of the hour continues his attempt to make America great again – or not, depending where you stand – at a casino event ahead of Tuesday’s debate across town at the Venetian. | Our west coast bureau chief Paul Lewis is burning the midnight oil in Las Vegas as the man of the hour continues his attempt to make America great again – or not, depending where you stand – at a casino event ahead of Tuesday’s debate across town at the Venetian. |
| Follow Paul live in the Trump crowd with @PaulLewis, and stay tuned for his full report a bit later. | Follow Paul live in the Trump crowd with @PaulLewis, and stay tuned for his full report a bit later. |
| Meantime, it’s been quite a day on both sides of the aisle. Here’s reporter Lauren Gambino’s report from back in Brooklyn, where Hillary Clinton had some big things to say on immigration: | Meantime, it’s been quite a day on both sides of the aisle. Here’s reporter Lauren Gambino’s report from back in Brooklyn, where Hillary Clinton had some big things to say on immigration: |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 1.47am GMT | at 1.47am GMT |
| 10.53pm GMT | 10.53pm GMT |
| 22:53 | 22:53 |
| Clinton draws a crowd– including protesters, at the end: | Clinton draws a crowd– including protesters, at the end: |
| Clinton receives standing ovation for speech. The last few minutes was interrupted by at least 2 protesters. #NIIC2015 | Clinton receives standing ovation for speech. The last few minutes was interrupted by at least 2 protesters. #NIIC2015 |
| Protesters who interrupted @HillaryClinton address at #NIIC2015 conference pic.twitter.com/M3k0BcHVW2 | Protesters who interrupted @HillaryClinton address at #NIIC2015 conference pic.twitter.com/M3k0BcHVW2 |
| 10.43pm GMT | 10.43pm GMT |
| 22:43 | 22:43 |
| Rubio invokes Romney? | Rubio invokes Romney? |
| Rubio is now shaking hands as the Romney theme "born free" plays. #symbolism #djmarco | Rubio is now shaking hands as the Romney theme "born free" plays. #symbolism #djmarco |
| Trigger warning: if you’re still trying to forget 2012, don’t click play on this puppy: | Trigger warning: if you’re still trying to forget 2012, don’t click play on this puppy: |
| 10.39pm GMT | 10.39pm GMT |
| 22:39 | 22:39 |
| Clinton and Rubio are talking at once, thousands of miles apart. | Clinton and Rubio are talking at once, thousands of miles apart. |
| She’s talking about him: | She’s talking about him: |
| .@HillaryClinton singles out @senmarcorubio for renouncing the immigration reform bill he backed | .@HillaryClinton singles out @senmarcorubio for renouncing the immigration reform bill he backed |
| 10.30pm GMT | 10.30pm GMT |
| 22:30 | 22:30 |
| The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino is in Brooklyn for a speech on immigration policy by Hillary Clinton: | The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino is in Brooklyn for a speech on immigration policy by Hillary Clinton: |
| .@HillaryClinton " I love the idea of integration." #NIIC | .@HillaryClinton " I love the idea of integration." #NIIC |
| .@HillaryClinton "Ultimately all these struggles come down to the same fundamental question whose humanity will we recognize?" "Everyone's" | .@HillaryClinton "Ultimately all these struggles come down to the same fundamental question whose humanity will we recognize?" "Everyone's" |
| 10.28pm GMT | 10.28pm GMT |
| 22:28 | 22:28 |
| The Guardian’s Sabrina Siddiqui is in Las Vegas at a pre-debate rally for Florida senator Marco Rubio: | The Guardian’s Sabrina Siddiqui is in Las Vegas at a pre-debate rally for Florida senator Marco Rubio: |
| "The president just signed this unfunny joke of a climate deal," Rubio says at pre-debate rally in Las Vegas. | "The president just signed this unfunny joke of a climate deal," Rubio says at pre-debate rally in Las Vegas. |
| "I'm the only one running that's ever scored a victory against Obamacare," Rubio says in reference to risk corridors provision. | "I'm the only one running that's ever scored a victory against Obamacare," Rubio says in reference to risk corridors provision. |
| 10.25pm GMT | 10.25pm GMT |
| 22:25 | 22:25 |
| The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino watches Clinton take the stage in Brooklyn: | The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino watches Clinton take the stage in Brooklyn: |
| .@RepGutierrez is introducing @HillaryClinton at #NIIC after endorsing her this morning in a Univision op-Ed pic.twitter.com/nrk1XN5fMO | .@RepGutierrez is introducing @HillaryClinton at #NIIC after endorsing her this morning in a Univision op-Ed pic.twitter.com/nrk1XN5fMO |
| 10.20pm GMT | 10.20pm GMT |
| 22:20 | 22:20 |
| Debate night: Join the Guardian WhatsApp chat | Debate night: Join the Guardian WhatsApp chat |
| Adam Gabbatt | Adam Gabbatt |
| Want to hang out? | Want to hang out? |
| To mark the occasion of tomorrow night’s debate in Las Vegas, I’ll [=Adam Gabbatt –ed.] be trying something new, adding to our usual all-out live politics coverage by taking the conversation to WhatsApp, posting updates, chatting about all the big moments, and posting a few pictures and emoji. | To mark the occasion of tomorrow night’s debate in Las Vegas, I’ll [=Adam Gabbatt –ed.] be trying something new, adding to our usual all-out live politics coverage by taking the conversation to WhatsApp, posting updates, chatting about all the big moments, and posting a few pictures and emoji. |
| It’ll be just like chatting with a friend, except we aren’t friends. Yet. | It’ll be just like chatting with a friend, except we aren’t friends. Yet. |
| To sign up: | To sign up: |
| Details to note: | Details to note: |
| For further details of note, click through here: | For further details of note, click through here: |
| This is an experiment by the Mobile Innovation Lab for the Guardian US, and we’d love to hear your thoughts and feedback. Please email us atinnovationlab@theguardian.com | This is an experiment by the Mobile Innovation Lab for the Guardian US, and we’d love to hear your thoughts and feedback. Please email us atinnovationlab@theguardian.com |
| 10.05pm GMT | 10.05pm GMT |
| 22:05 | 22:05 |
| Lauren Gambino | Lauren Gambino |
| Hillary Clinton has yet to appear onstage at her Brooklyn event on immigration policy. Her campaign reports that beforehand, she sat down with the Suarezes, a mixed-status family from Long Island. | Hillary Clinton has yet to appear onstage at her Brooklyn event on immigration policy. Her campaign reports that beforehand, she sat down with the Suarezes, a mixed-status family from Long Island. |
| During the meeting, the family urged Clinton to prioritize and expand immigration relief and to commit to re-calibrate the nation’s immigration enforcement priorities. | During the meeting, the family urged Clinton to prioritize and expand immigration relief and to commit to re-calibrate the nation’s immigration enforcement priorities. |
| One of the Suarez parents would benefit from Obama’s stalled immigration relief; the other has temporary protected status. Among the children, Marcy and Claritza have been shielded from deportation under President Obama’s deferred action program and their sister, Angie, is a US citizen. | One of the Suarez parents would benefit from Obama’s stalled immigration relief; the other has temporary protected status. Among the children, Marcy and Claritza have been shielded from deportation under President Obama’s deferred action program and their sister, Angie, is a US citizen. |
| The family told Clinton how the left Honduras, fearing for their safety. They settled in Long Island, but have faced a series of challenges owing to their immigration status. The family lives in fear that they will be separated by the seemingly unpredictable immigration system, according to a statement that described the meeting. | The family told Clinton how the left Honduras, fearing for their safety. They settled in Long Island, but have faced a series of challenges owing to their immigration status. The family lives in fear that they will be separated by the seemingly unpredictable immigration system, according to a statement that described the meeting. |
| During her address at the National Immigrant Integration Conference she is expected to expand on her immigration agenda, calling for the expansion of fee waivers and promoting naturalization, according to a campaign aide. | During her address at the National Immigrant Integration Conference she is expected to expand on her immigration agenda, calling for the expansion of fee waivers and promoting naturalization, according to a campaign aide. |
| 9.17pm GMT | 9.17pm GMT |
| 21:17 | 21:17 |
| The day in politics: what's crackling | The day in politics: what's crackling |
| What’s crackling in politics? We’ve got you covered. | What’s crackling in politics? We’ve got you covered. |
| Trump romps in national poll | Trump romps in national poll |
| Monmouth University published a poll Monday showing Donald Trump with 41% support in the Republican field, 27 points up on rival Ted Cruz. The Guardian’s Ben Jacobs points out that it’s a new high point for Trump, and a strong contra-indicator that Trump has no chance at the nomination, as skeptics continue to say. | Monmouth University published a poll Monday showing Donald Trump with 41% support in the Republican field, 27 points up on rival Ted Cruz. The Guardian’s Ben Jacobs points out that it’s a new high point for Trump, and a strong contra-indicator that Trump has no chance at the nomination, as skeptics continue to say. |
| If the thought of a Trump presidency gives you an ice cream headache, here’s some relief: Texas senator Ted Cruz is now running ahead of Trump in Iowa polling averages, in a new Loras poll and in a separate Monmouth poll. Whew. | If the thought of a Trump presidency gives you an ice cream headache, here’s some relief: Texas senator Ted Cruz is now running ahead of Trump in Iowa polling averages, in a new Loras poll and in a separate Monmouth poll. Whew. |
| Obama threatens Isis leaders | Obama threatens Isis leaders |
| The president made a brief appearance at the Pentagon to claim that the Islamic state group is on the ropes in Syria and Iraq, but that to finish the job, the United States must have more help from partners in the region. Obama dispatched the defense secretary to the Middle East to help make that happen. | The president made a brief appearance at the Pentagon to claim that the Islamic state group is on the ropes in Syria and Iraq, but that to finish the job, the United States must have more help from partners in the region. Obama dispatched the defense secretary to the Middle East to help make that happen. |
| Clinton to make address on immigration policy | Clinton to make address on immigration policy |
| Hillary Clinton was scheduled to speak momentarily on immigration policy in Brooklyn. The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino is at the scene. | Hillary Clinton was scheduled to speak momentarily on immigration policy in Brooklyn. The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino is at the scene. |
| Republicans prep for Tuesday debate | Republicans prep for Tuesday debate |
| The Republican candidates will meet again tomorrow night in Las Vegas to sort out their differences the old-fashioned way: behind nine podiums on a stage at the Palazzo. One wonders whether Trump and Cruz are about to be on testier terms. Enjoy some warm-up coverage here. | The Republican candidates will meet again tomorrow night in Las Vegas to sort out their differences the old-fashioned way: behind nine podiums on a stage at the Palazzo. One wonders whether Trump and Cruz are about to be on testier terms. Enjoy some warm-up coverage here. |
| Quote of the day | Quote of the day |
| If elected, Mr Trump, I can state unequivocally, will be the healthiest individual ever elected to the presidency.” – Harold N Bornstein, Donald Trump’s personal doctor, in an open letter released Monday | If elected, Mr Trump, I can state unequivocally, will be the healthiest individual ever elected to the presidency.” – Harold N Bornstein, Donald Trump’s personal doctor, in an open letter released Monday |
| To-go cup | To-go cup |
| This guy: | This guy: |
| ICYMI: This is Donald Trump's personal physician pic.twitter.com/9x1NgOeXEl | ICYMI: This is Donald Trump's personal physician pic.twitter.com/9x1NgOeXEl |
| 8.33pm GMT | 8.33pm GMT |
| 20:33 | 20:33 |
| The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino is in position in Brooklyn for Hillary Clinton’s speech on immigration policy: | The Guardian’s Lauren Gambino is in position in Brooklyn for Hillary Clinton’s speech on immigration policy: |
| .@HillaryClinton will outline her immigration agenda at the NII conference in Brooklyn this afternoon pic.twitter.com/rv4Mitrynl | .@HillaryClinton will outline her immigration agenda at the NII conference in Brooklyn this afternoon pic.twitter.com/rv4Mitrynl |
| 8.18pm GMT | 8.18pm GMT |
| 20:18 | 20:18 |
| Video: Barack Obama: We are hitting Isis harder than ever | Video: Barack Obama: We are hitting Isis harder than ever |
| Read earlier coverage here | Read earlier coverage here |
| 8.16pm GMT | 8.16pm GMT |
| 20:16 | 20:16 |
| #feeltheBern | #feeltheBern |
| Democratic challenger Bernie Sanders, the Vermont senator, is captured in Iowa talking up his support among young people in the state. | Democratic challenger Bernie Sanders, the Vermont senator, is captured in Iowa talking up his support among young people in the state. |
| “Now I don’t know quite what’s going on with the older people – we’re going to have to figure that one out,” he says. | “Now I don’t know quite what’s going on with the older people – we’re going to have to figure that one out,” he says. |
| WATCH: @BernieSanders talks up his appeal to young voters at Iowa field office: https://t.co/HzdmvTSlr4 | WATCH: @BernieSanders talks up his appeal to young voters at Iowa field office: https://t.co/HzdmvTSlr4 |
| 8.05pm GMT | 8.05pm GMT |
| 20:05 | 20:05 |
| The apparent strength of Donald Trump nationally – if Monmouth University’s latest polling is to be believed – is undercut by the sense among people in a position to know that Ted Cruz, the Texas senator, is in position to eclipse the New Yorker in Iowa and perhaps more broadly. | The apparent strength of Donald Trump nationally – if Monmouth University’s latest polling is to be believed – is undercut by the sense among people in a position to know that Ted Cruz, the Texas senator, is in position to eclipse the New Yorker in Iowa and perhaps more broadly. |
| Who’s in a position to know? The one to watch in Iowa is Ann Selzer, who conducts polling for the Des Moines register and national outlets. Selzer’s reputation was cinched on the eve of the 2008 caucuses when she published an outlier poll showing Barack Obama cleaning up in the state. The Hillary Clinton and John Edwards campaigns ridiculed the survey. Then it came true. | Who’s in a position to know? The one to watch in Iowa is Ann Selzer, who conducts polling for the Des Moines register and national outlets. Selzer’s reputation was cinched on the eve of the 2008 caucuses when she published an outlier poll showing Barack Obama cleaning up in the state. The Hillary Clinton and John Edwards campaigns ridiculed the survey. Then it came true. |
| On Saturday, the Register and Bloomberg Politics published a Selzer poll showing Cruz with nothing less than a 10-point lead in the Hawkeye State. More ominously for Trump, the Iowa polling averages as measured by Real Clear Politics now show Cruz with a slight lead – and all the momentum – in the state. | On Saturday, the Register and Bloomberg Politics published a Selzer poll showing Cruz with nothing less than a 10-point lead in the Hawkeye State. More ominously for Trump, the Iowa polling averages as measured by Real Clear Politics now show Cruz with a slight lead – and all the momentum – in the state. |
| Update: | Update: |
| Another Iowa poll... Cruz 30, Trump 23, Carson 10, Rubio 10 https://t.co/hkAHNthHaN | Another Iowa poll... Cruz 30, Trump 23, Carson 10, Rubio 10 https://t.co/hkAHNthHaN |
| The tightening of the race has produced some friction between the once frictionless Trump and Cruz campaigns. Trump called Cruz a “little bit of a maniac” in the Senate. Cruz responded by tweeting a medley scene from Flashdance, in probably the sharpest social media move so far by a 2016 candidate, Mike Huckabee’s invocation of figure skater Tonya Harding notwithstanding. | The tightening of the race has produced some friction between the once frictionless Trump and Cruz campaigns. Trump called Cruz a “little bit of a maniac” in the Senate. Cruz responded by tweeting a medley scene from Flashdance, in probably the sharpest social media move so far by a 2016 candidate, Mike Huckabee’s invocation of figure skater Tonya Harding notwithstanding. |
| In honor of my friend @realDonaldTrump and good-hearted #Maniacs everywhere: https://t.co/KOPIi4XTVt | In honor of my friend @realDonaldTrump and good-hearted #Maniacs everywhere: https://t.co/KOPIi4XTVt |
| Whatever happens next will in part happen in Las Vegas on Tuesday night, at the next Republican presidential debate. CNN has stuck Trump at the center of its stage, with Cruz on one side and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson at the other. | Whatever happens next will in part happen in Las Vegas on Tuesday night, at the next Republican presidential debate. CNN has stuck Trump at the center of its stage, with Cruz on one side and retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson at the other. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 8.12pm GMT | at 8.12pm GMT |
| 6.56pm GMT | 6.56pm GMT |
| 18:56 | 18:56 |
| Ben Jacobs | Ben Jacobs |
| Vain attempts by skeptics of Donald Trump’s candidacy for the White House to somehow wish away his commanding lead received another blow on Monday. | Vain attempts by skeptics of Donald Trump’s candidacy for the White House to somehow wish away his commanding lead received another blow on Monday. |
| A new poll from Monmouth University shows Trump with the support of 41% of Republican and Republican-leaning voters nationally, up a whopping 27% on his nearest competitor, Ted Cruz. Cruz mustered the support of only 14% of GOP voters. | A new poll from Monmouth University shows Trump with the support of 41% of Republican and Republican-leaning voters nationally, up a whopping 27% on his nearest competitor, Ted Cruz. Cruz mustered the support of only 14% of GOP voters. |
| The poll is not perfect –there is no national presidential primary, and the sample of 385 voters is less than robust. However, the survey marks an important benchmark in the race, even if it could be an outlier. | The poll is not perfect –there is no national presidential primary, and the sample of 385 voters is less than robust. However, the survey marks an important benchmark in the race, even if it could be an outlier. |
| Trump has now become the first candidate to receive the support of over 40% of Republicans in any national poll, a landmark that Mitt Romney only reached once before April in the 2012 primary against a far smaller and less distinguished field. | Trump has now become the first candidate to receive the support of over 40% of Republicans in any national poll, a landmark that Mitt Romney only reached once before April in the 2012 primary against a far smaller and less distinguished field. |
| Trump also has built a strong grassroots organization in early primary states, is neck and neck with Ted Cruz in Iowa and consistently leads the Republican field in New Hampshire. | Trump also has built a strong grassroots organization in early primary states, is neck and neck with Ted Cruz in Iowa and consistently leads the Republican field in New Hampshire. |
| It has long been fashionable for Acela corridor elites to dismiss Trump as a sideshow and a carnival barker, but it’s clear they so at their own risk. Trump could still implode. It’s quite possible to envision him losing Iowa and doing his own version of the famous Dean scream from 2004. | It has long been fashionable for Acela corridor elites to dismiss Trump as a sideshow and a carnival barker, but it’s clear they so at their own risk. Trump could still implode. It’s quite possible to envision him losing Iowa and doing his own version of the famous Dean scream from 2004. |
| But, in the meantime, as unlikely as it may seem, Trump has been a consistent frontrunner for the Republican nomination for nearly six months, has built up commanding leads in early primary states and has a message that resonates with Republican voters. | But, in the meantime, as unlikely as it may seem, Trump has been a consistent frontrunner for the Republican nomination for nearly six months, has built up commanding leads in early primary states and has a message that resonates with Republican voters. |
| He shouldn’t start writing his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention – let alone start measuring the drapes in the Oval Office – but the time to scorn Trump as a novelty act has long since passed. | He shouldn’t start writing his acceptance speech at the Republican National Convention – let alone start measuring the drapes in the Oval Office – but the time to scorn Trump as a novelty act has long since passed. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 6.57pm GMT | at 6.57pm GMT |