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House prices to rise 50% in 10 years, say estate agents House prices to rise 50% in 10 years, say estate agents
(about 14 hours later)
The price of the average UK home will rise by 50% in the next 10 years, say the National Association of Estate Agents and the Association of Rental Letting Agents. The price of the average UK home will rise by 50% in the next 10 years, say the National Association of Estate Agents and the Association of Residential Letting Agents.
They forecast that average prices will rise from £280,000 to £419,000 by 2025.They forecast that average prices will rise from £280,000 to £419,000 by 2025.
London house prices are forecast to nearly double to £931,000.London house prices are forecast to nearly double to £931,000.
The average cost of renting a home in the UK is forecast to rise too, though by only 27%, taking the average rent from £134 a week to £171.The average cost of renting a home in the UK is forecast to rise too, though by only 27%, taking the average rent from £134 a week to £171.
Mark Hayward of the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) said: "House prices are only going to go one way, and unfortunately that is up.Mark Hayward of the National Association of Estate Agents (NAEA) said: "House prices are only going to go one way, and unfortunately that is up.
"For so many already priced out of the market, this is news aspiring house buyers will not want to hear."For so many already priced out of the market, this is news aspiring house buyers will not want to hear.
"Ongoing house price inflation, combined with low wage inflation, tighter lending restrictions and a shortage of affordable housing, means owning a home will continue to be distant dream for many," he added."Ongoing house price inflation, combined with low wage inflation, tighter lending restrictions and a shortage of affordable housing, means owning a home will continue to be distant dream for many," he added.
Long-term projectionLong-term projection
Despite the big headline numbers in the forecast from the estate and lettings agents, the predicted rise in house prices assumes that the increases seen in the past 10 years or so will simply continue for the next decade.Despite the big headline numbers in the forecast from the estate and lettings agents, the predicted rise in house prices assumes that the increases seen in the past 10 years or so will simply continue for the next decade.
That would mean UK average prices rising by 4.1% a year, and average London house prices rising by 6.3% a year.That would mean UK average prices rising by 4.1% a year, and average London house prices rising by 6.3% a year.
The predicted rise in rents is even slower, at 2.5% a year across the UK as a whole in the next decade, and 3% a year in London.The predicted rise in rents is even slower, at 2.5% a year across the UK as a whole in the next decade, and 3% a year in London.
That would take average weekly rents in the capital, from £234 now, to £314 by 2025.That would take average weekly rents in the capital, from £234 now, to £314 by 2025.
The figures have been compiled for the estate and letting agents by the economics consultancy the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR).The figures have been compiled for the estate and letting agents by the economics consultancy the Centre for Economics and Business Research (CEBR).
Its analysis argues that the recent decline in the rate of home ownership will boost the demand for rented homes.Its analysis argues that the recent decline in the rate of home ownership will boost the demand for rented homes.
So the report forecasts that the proportion of households living in private rented accommodation will rise, from 20% now to almost 29% in 10 years' time.So the report forecasts that the proportion of households living in private rented accommodation will rise, from 20% now to almost 29% in 10 years' time.
The projection from the estate agents comes as the Land Registry reports that house prices, in England and Wales, rose by an average of 0.4% in November.The projection from the estate agents comes as the Land Registry reports that house prices, in England and Wales, rose by an average of 0.4% in November.
That left the annual growth rate at 5.6%, the same as in October.That left the annual growth rate at 5.6%, the same as in October.
The Registry's figures, which include the many cash sales but exclude newly built properties, leave the price of the average home at £186,325.The Registry's figures, which include the many cash sales but exclude newly built properties, leave the price of the average home at £186,325.