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Taiwan Votes for a New Leader, Widely Expected to Be Female Tsai Ing-wen Elected President of Taiwan, First Woman to Hold Office
(about 4 hours later)
TAIPEI, Taiwan — Millions of voters went to the polls Saturday in an election that was expected to make Tsai Ing-wen Taiwan’s first female president and give her party, which is skeptical of close ties with China, a strong showing in the legislature. TAIPEI, Taiwan — Tsai Ing-wen was elected as Taiwan’s president Saturday, becoming the first woman to win the office. Voters were expected to give her Democratic Progressive Party, which is skeptical of closer ties with China, control of Taiwan’s legislature for the first time, giving her broad authority to push her policies in office.
The campaign has largely pivoted on economic issues, as growth in Taiwan has slowed dramatically over the past year. Wages have stagnated and housing prices in major cities like Taipei have remained out of the reach of many people. Her main opponent, Eric Chu of the Kuomintang party, conceded just after 7 p.m. “I congratulate Chairman Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party on her victory,” he said. “This is the choice of Taiwan’s people.”
Voters have also soured on the departing president, Ma Ying-jeou, and his policy of pursuing a closer relationship with China, Taiwan’s giant neighbor, which considers the self-governed island to be a part of its territory with which it must eventually be united. With two-thirds of the polling stations reporting results, Ms. Tsai had 57 percent of the vote to Mr. Chu’s 30 percent, Taiwan’s Central Election Commission reported.
Speaking to a huge crowd of supporters Friday night on a boulevard across from Taiwan’s Presidential Office Building, Ms. Tsai recalled protests that have filled the capital’s streets in recent years. Those included demonstrations over the death of a young soldier and the Sunflower Movement, a student-led protest against the pursuit of a trade bill with China by the governing party, the Kuomintang. The campaign largely pivoted on economic issues, as growth in Taiwan has slowed dramatically over the past year. Wages have stagnated and housing prices in major cities like Taipei have remained out of the reach of many people.
Voters also soured on the departing president, Ma Ying-jeou, and his policy of pursuing a closer relationship with China, Taiwan’s giant neighbor, which considers the self-governed island to be a part of its territory with which it must eventually be united.
On the night before the election, speaking to a huge crowd of supporters on a boulevard across from Taiwan’s Presidential Office Building, Ms. Tsai recalled protests that have filled the capital’s streets in recent years. Those included demonstrations over the death of a young soldier and the Sunflower Movement, a student-led protest against the pursuit of a trade bill with China by the governing party, the Kuomintang.
“Behind me is the presidential office. It’s just a few hundred meters away from the people,” she said. “But those inside the presidential office can’t hear the voice of the people.”“Behind me is the presidential office. It’s just a few hundred meters away from the people,” she said. “But those inside the presidential office can’t hear the voice of the people.”
Ms. Tsai, who has consistently held a wide lead in opinion polls, would be only the second president not to belong to the Kuomintang, the party that ruled Taiwan as an authoritarian state until democratic reforms began in the late 1980s. Ms. Tsai, who has consistently held a wide lead in opinion polls, will be only the second president not to belong to the Kuomintang, the party that ruled Taiwan as an authoritarian state until democratic reforms began in the late 1980s.
Her Democratic Progressive Party, known as the D.P.P., traditionally supports Taiwan’s formal independence. The tenure of the previous D.P.P. president, Chen Shui-bian, who led Taiwan from 2000 to 2008, saw increased tension with China and concern that it would use military force against the island.Her Democratic Progressive Party, known as the D.P.P., traditionally supports Taiwan’s formal independence. The tenure of the previous D.P.P. president, Chen Shui-bian, who led Taiwan from 2000 to 2008, saw increased tension with China and concern that it would use military force against the island.
Ms. Tsai, who during a failed 2012 bid for president was criticized by the Kuomintang as being unable to manage the relationship with China, pledged during this campaign to maintain the cross-strait status quo.Ms. Tsai, who during a failed 2012 bid for president was criticized by the Kuomintang as being unable to manage the relationship with China, pledged during this campaign to maintain the cross-strait status quo.
The head of China’s Taiwan Affairs Office, Zhang Zhijun, said last month that “complicated changes are arising in the Taiwan situation” and warned “compatriots on both sides to be on alert for and oppose Taiwan independence.”The head of China’s Taiwan Affairs Office, Zhang Zhijun, said last month that “complicated changes are arising in the Taiwan situation” and warned “compatriots on both sides to be on alert for and oppose Taiwan independence.”
But the Chinese government’s response to this election has been more muted than in the past, in part because previous efforts to influence Taiwan’s politics only increased support for the parties China opposes, said Lin Jih-wen, a political scientist at Academia Sinica, a research institution in Taipei.But the Chinese government’s response to this election has been more muted than in the past, in part because previous efforts to influence Taiwan’s politics only increased support for the parties China opposes, said Lin Jih-wen, a political scientist at Academia Sinica, a research institution in Taipei.
“They have learned from past experience that shouting against the Taiwanese will backfire,” he said.“They have learned from past experience that shouting against the Taiwanese will backfire,” he said.
Mr. Lin said he did not expect China’s leader, President Xi Jinping, to try to pressure a D.P.P. government too quickly.Mr. Lin said he did not expect China’s leader, President Xi Jinping, to try to pressure a D.P.P. government too quickly.
“Xi Jinping is pretty much constrained by what he can do toward Taiwan,” he said. “Xi is facing serious domestic challenges and people are waiting for him to make mistakes, so he has to be very careful.”“Xi Jinping is pretty much constrained by what he can do toward Taiwan,” he said. “Xi is facing serious domestic challenges and people are waiting for him to make mistakes, so he has to be very careful.”
Analysts expect Ms. Tsai to take a more cautious approach to China than did President Ma, who pushed through more than 20 agreements between the two sides. But she also wants to keep the cross-strait relationship stable, said Shelley Rigger, a professor of East Asian politics at Davidson College in North Carolina.Analysts expect Ms. Tsai to take a more cautious approach to China than did President Ma, who pushed through more than 20 agreements between the two sides. But she also wants to keep the cross-strait relationship stable, said Shelley Rigger, a professor of East Asian politics at Davidson College in North Carolina.
“Tsai Ing-wen doesn’t want this to blow up,” she said. “Washington doesn’t want this to blow up; Beijing doesn’t want this to blow up. So why should it blow up?”“Tsai Ing-wen doesn’t want this to blow up,” she said. “Washington doesn’t want this to blow up; Beijing doesn’t want this to blow up. So why should it blow up?”
With Taiwan’s economy contracting over the last quarter, Ms. Tsai’s first priority, should she be elected, will be to revive growth. She has proposed developing regional industrial bases, including high-tech in Taiwan’s north and advanced manufacturing in the center of the island. She also emphasizes expanding Taiwan’s trade ties globally. With Taiwan’s economy contracting over the last quarter, Ms. Tsai’s first priority will be to revive growth. She has proposed developing regional industrial bases, including high-tech in Taiwan’s north and advanced manufacturing in the center of the island. She also emphasizes expanding Taiwan’s trade ties globally.
The Kuomintang candidate, Eric Chu, has stressed that Taiwan needs to focus on trade and investment ties with China to revive its economy. That approach has met with skepticism among voters in Taiwan worried about the possibility that China will use economic leverage to pursue its goal of bringing the island under its political control. The Kuomintang candidate, Mr. Chu, argued that Taiwan needs to focus on trade and investment ties with China to revive its economy. That approach met with skepticism among voters in Taiwan worried about the possibility that China will use economic leverage to pursue its goal of bringing the island under its political control.
Those concerns were reinforced on the eve of the election. Chou Tzuyu, a 16-year-old Taiwanese member of a South Korean pop group, who had been criticized over a photo in which she was shown holding Taiwan’s flag, bowed in apology in a video released by her agency, declaring, “There is only one China,” and “I have always felt I am Chinese and I am proud of it.”Those concerns were reinforced on the eve of the election. Chou Tzuyu, a 16-year-old Taiwanese member of a South Korean pop group, who had been criticized over a photo in which she was shown holding Taiwan’s flag, bowed in apology in a video released by her agency, declaring, “There is only one China,” and “I have always felt I am Chinese and I am proud of it.”
All three presidential candidates, including a third-party candidate, James Soong, said Ms. Chou should not have had to apologize. But many online critics derided Kuomintang politicians’ expressions of support as hypocritical, given the party’s push for closer China ties.All three presidential candidates, including a third-party candidate, James Soong, said Ms. Chou should not have had to apologize. But many online critics derided Kuomintang politicians’ expressions of support as hypocritical, given the party’s push for closer China ties.
The party’s campaign has struggled in other ways, too. No prominent politician stepped forward to run against Ms. Tsai, and as the Kuomintang’s initial nominee, Hung Hsiu-chu, trailed badly in the polls, she was replaced in October by Mr. Chu, the party secretary. The party’s campaign struggled in other ways, too. No prominent politician stepped forward to run against Ms. Tsai, and as the Kuomintang’s initial nominee, Hung Hsiu-chu, trailed badly in the polls, she was replaced in October by Mr. Chu, the party secretary.
But Mr. Chu fared little better. His chances were further weakened by the candidacy of Mr. Soong, of the People First Party, a former Kuomintang member who has run for president twice before.But Mr. Chu fared little better. His chances were further weakened by the candidacy of Mr. Soong, of the People First Party, a former Kuomintang member who has run for president twice before.
Analysts expected the D.P.P. to make strong gains in Taiwan’s legislature and perhaps win control of it for the first time. If it gains power, the party is expected to pursue an investigation into abuses during the Kuomintang’s years of rule, as well as the Kuomintang’s acquisition of state and private property while it was in power.Analysts expected the D.P.P. to make strong gains in Taiwan’s legislature and perhaps win control of it for the first time. If it gains power, the party is expected to pursue an investigation into abuses during the Kuomintang’s years of rule, as well as the Kuomintang’s acquisition of state and private property while it was in power.
“We will definitely investigate,” said Fred Hung, an adviser to Ms. Tsai. “If we don’t do anything on transitional justice, the voters will be very unhappy.”“We will definitely investigate,” said Fred Hung, an adviser to Ms. Tsai. “If we don’t do anything on transitional justice, the voters will be very unhappy.”
While gender did not play a major role in the campaign, there was clearly excitement among voters at the prospect of electing Taiwan’s first female president, one whose path to power, unlike other female leaders in Asia, was not paved by a powerful father or other male relative.While gender did not play a major role in the campaign, there was clearly excitement among voters at the prospect of electing Taiwan’s first female president, one whose path to power, unlike other female leaders in Asia, was not paved by a powerful father or other male relative.
“Taiwan has traditionally been a patriarchal society,” said Rebecca Chang, 45, who stood with a friend by the roadside with LED signs reading “Elect” and “Taiwan’s First Woman President” as Ms. Tsai’s campaign motorcade drove through Taipei on Friday. “She can help change people’s thinking, no matter if they are male or female.”“Taiwan has traditionally been a patriarchal society,” said Rebecca Chang, 45, who stood with a friend by the roadside with LED signs reading “Elect” and “Taiwan’s First Woman President” as Ms. Tsai’s campaign motorcade drove through Taipei on Friday. “She can help change people’s thinking, no matter if they are male or female.”