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| Nicola Sturgeon says EU referendum in June would be a mistake | Nicola Sturgeon says EU referendum in June would be a mistake |
| (about 11 hours later) | |
| Nicola Sturgeon has warned David Cameron that he would be making a mistake if he tried to hold his EU referendum in June. | Nicola Sturgeon has warned David Cameron that he would be making a mistake if he tried to hold his EU referendum in June. |
| With speculation mounting that No 10 has pencilled in Thursday 23 June as a favourite contender for the referendum date, the Scottish first minister said this would be “disrespectful” to her country because it meant campaigning would cut across the Scottish elections. | With speculation mounting that No 10 has pencilled in Thursday 23 June as a favourite contender for the referendum date, the Scottish first minister said this would be “disrespectful” to her country because it meant campaigning would cut across the Scottish elections. |
| She also said Cameron needed more time to focus public attention away from the minutiae of his EU renegotiation and instead on the broad, positive case for Britain remaining in the EU. | She also said Cameron needed more time to focus public attention away from the minutiae of his EU renegotiation and instead on the broad, positive case for Britain remaining in the EU. |
| Her intervention came as the rival in and out camps will exchange conflicting statistics on Monday in an attempt to prove or disprove that Britain would be better off or not in the EU’s single market. | |
| In a wide-ranging interview on BBC1’s Andrew Marr Show, Sturgeon said that it might look “a bit selfish” to be concerned about the clash with the Scottish elections, but that there were elections in Wales, Northern Ireland and London too in May. “I think to have a referendum campaign starting in parallel would be disrespectful to those important elections,” she said. | In a wide-ranging interview on BBC1’s Andrew Marr Show, Sturgeon said that it might look “a bit selfish” to be concerned about the clash with the Scottish elections, but that there were elections in Wales, Northern Ireland and London too in May. “I think to have a referendum campaign starting in parallel would be disrespectful to those important elections,” she said. |
| There was a second reason for delaying too, she said. | There was a second reason for delaying too, she said. |
| “It would be better for David Cameron, if he does get a deal at the February European council, to leave more time between that deal and the point of decision,” she said. | “It would be better for David Cameron, if he does get a deal at the February European council, to leave more time between that deal and the point of decision,” she said. |
| “One of the big problems I see for the in campaign is that, as far as David Cameron is concerned, it is very much focused on these narrow issues of renegotiation when in actual fact if the in campaign is going to prevail, this is going to have to become a ‘positive in principle’ campaign about why it’s better for the UK to stay within the European Union.” | “One of the big problems I see for the in campaign is that, as far as David Cameron is concerned, it is very much focused on these narrow issues of renegotiation when in actual fact if the in campaign is going to prevail, this is going to have to become a ‘positive in principle’ campaign about why it’s better for the UK to stay within the European Union.” |
| In the Scottish independence referendum in 2014 the no campaign ran “a thoroughly negative, fear-laden campaign” and almost lost, she said. If the EU In campaign was equally negative, it would lose, she said. | In the Scottish independence referendum in 2014 the no campaign ran “a thoroughly negative, fear-laden campaign” and almost lost, she said. If the EU In campaign was equally negative, it would lose, she said. |
| Cameron hopes to wrap up his EU renegotiation at a summit in Brussels next month, which would allow time for a referendum to be held in June. An alternative would be to hold it in September, but June would have the advantage of coming ahead of a possible summer migration crisis, which could help the out campaign. George Osborne, the chancellor, is reportedly also very keen to go early in case the economy falters. | Cameron hopes to wrap up his EU renegotiation at a summit in Brussels next month, which would allow time for a referendum to be held in June. An alternative would be to hold it in September, but June would have the advantage of coming ahead of a possible summer migration crisis, which could help the out campaign. George Osborne, the chancellor, is reportedly also very keen to go early in case the economy falters. |
| In her interview, Sturgeon restated her belief that, if the UK were to vote to leave while Scotland wanted to stay, that would trigger “an overwhelming demand” for a second Scottish independence referendum. | In her interview, Sturgeon restated her belief that, if the UK were to vote to leave while Scotland wanted to stay, that would trigger “an overwhelming demand” for a second Scottish independence referendum. |
| The SNP leader criticised Labour, saying that she did not think “Labour as a government right now is a credible notion in any sense” and that Jeremy Corbyn’s suggestion that a government could renew the Trident submarines without equipping them with missiles was ridiculous. | The SNP leader criticised Labour, saying that she did not think “Labour as a government right now is a credible notion in any sense” and that Jeremy Corbyn’s suggestion that a government could renew the Trident submarines without equipping them with missiles was ridiculous. |
| She refused to back calls from her predecessor Alex Salmond for the US presidential contender Donald Trump to be banned from the UK because of his comments about Muslims. But she did add: “I have every confidence that the good sense of the American people will prevail on the question of Donald Trump.” | She refused to back calls from her predecessor Alex Salmond for the US presidential contender Donald Trump to be banned from the UK because of his comments about Muslims. But she did add: “I have every confidence that the good sense of the American people will prevail on the question of Donald Trump.” |
| She confirmed that the Scottish and UK governments had yet to agree the “fiscal framework” that would apply to Scotland under the new devolution settlement in the Scotland bill. Those negotiations, which will determine how much Scotland gets in its block grant from Westminster in years to come after it starts raising more income itself through its new tax powers, are meant to be concluded by the middle of February. | She confirmed that the Scottish and UK governments had yet to agree the “fiscal framework” that would apply to Scotland under the new devolution settlement in the Scotland bill. Those negotiations, which will determine how much Scotland gets in its block grant from Westminster in years to come after it starts raising more income itself through its new tax powers, are meant to be concluded by the middle of February. |
| Sturgeon said that if Scotland was not offered an acceptable deal, she would seek to block the deal. | Sturgeon said that if Scotland was not offered an acceptable deal, she would seek to block the deal. |
| “I am still hopeful that we can reach this deal and the Scottish government will be busting a gut over the next couple of weeks to try to get to a deal, but we will need to see more movement, significantly more movement from the UK government than we’ve seen so far and if we don’t get that – I repeat again – I will not sign up to something that is unfair to Scotland,” she said. | “I am still hopeful that we can reach this deal and the Scottish government will be busting a gut over the next couple of weeks to try to get to a deal, but we will need to see more movement, significantly more movement from the UK government than we’ve seen so far and if we don’t get that – I repeat again – I will not sign up to something that is unfair to Scotland,” she said. |
| Sturgeon also called for a “fundamental look” at the tax that North Sea oil companies have to pay in the light of the crisis the industry faces because of low oil prices. | Sturgeon also called for a “fundamental look” at the tax that North Sea oil companies have to pay in the light of the crisis the industry faces because of low oil prices. |
| The Civitas thinktank will publish a 213-page report claiming that the benefits of the EU single market to Britain have been greatly exaggerated and that the idea that it has delivered substantial economic benefits to the UK is “a myth”. | |
| Michael Burrage, the report’s author, said that the UK’s exports to the other 11 early members of the EU grew faster in the common market years (1973-92) than they have done since the single market was introduced. | |
| And amongst all those 12 early members of the EU, exports to each other in the single market years have been 14.6% lower than they would have been if they had carried on growing at the rate they were in the common market years. | |
| He said that, in the services sector, the record of the single market had been particularly poor. A comparison of the growth rates for service exports from 20 EU countries to other EU countries showed that they were almost exactly the same as the growth rates for service exports to the EU from countries outside the single market. | |
| Matthew Elliot, chief executive of the Vote Leave campaign, said: “The unquestioning mantra that the single market has been good for British trade is wrong and should be challenged as this research makes crystal clear.” | |
| But James McGrory, chief campaign spokesman for Britain Stronger in Europe, said the Civitas report was irrelevant to the debate. | |
| “A comparison to the common market is worthless as it no longer exists and wouldn’t if we left,” he said. | |
| “The leave campaigns need to show that current rates of UK-EU trade would remain as they are and would not be hurt if we left the EU single market. This report doesn’t even acknowledge the question, let alone attempt to answer it.” | |
| Britain Stronger in Europe published its own analysis on Monday saying Britain’s trade in goods with the EU was 55% higher than it otherwise would have been as a result of EU membership. | |
| That was equivalent to trade worth £133bn in 2014, it said, or £670,000 for every firm that trades with Europe. |