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UK economy grows 0.5% in fourth quarter | |
(35 minutes later) | |
The UK economy grew by 0.5% in the three months to the end of December, official figures show, taking the annual rate of growth for 2015 to 2.2%. | |
The Office for National Statistics show an improvement on the third quarter figure of 0.4%. | |
But the 2.2% annual growth in 2015 was down compared with 2.9% in 2014. | |
Output in the three months to December was 1.9% higher than a year earlier, down from 2.1% in the third quarter and the smallest increase since early 2013. | Output in the three months to December was 1.9% higher than a year earlier, down from 2.1% in the third quarter and the smallest increase since early 2013. |
Despite the annual pace of growth being the slowest for three years, it still means the UK economy is one of the fastest growing developed nations. | |
The figure is in line with a recent forecast by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which said the UK's economy would grow by 2.2% in 2015, and for the next two years. | The figure is in line with a recent forecast by the International Monetary Fund (IMF), which said the UK's economy would grow by 2.2% in 2015, and for the next two years. |
But the IMF also suggested that the robust growth of the past two years would not return until the global economy regained strength. | But the IMF also suggested that the robust growth of the past two years would not return until the global economy regained strength. |
Chancellor George Osborne closed his 2011 Budget speech by setting out his aspiration for "a Britain carried aloft by the march of the makers". | |
Part of his vision for the future was an economy with a more prominent role for manufacturing. | |
How much has changed since then? | |
Read Andrew Walker in full | |
'Unsettling' | 'Unsettling' |
Chris Williamson from research firm Markit said: "Uncertainty over 'Brexit', weak overseas growth and financial market volatility are all creating an unsettling business environment and point to downside risks to the economy in 2016. | |
"The coming year could easily see the pace of economic growth slow further from last year's 2.2% expansion, and the chances are growing that we will see yet another year in which interest rates are left at their record low of 0.5%." | "The coming year could easily see the pace of economic growth slow further from last year's 2.2% expansion, and the chances are growing that we will see yet another year in which interest rates are left at their record low of 0.5%." |
Earlier this month, figures for November showed that UK industrial output had suffered its sharpest decline since 2013. | Earlier this month, figures for November showed that UK industrial output had suffered its sharpest decline since 2013. |
The Chancellor, George Osborne, recently warned that the UK was facing a "cocktail" of serious threats from a slowing global economy. | The Chancellor, George Osborne, recently warned that the UK was facing a "cocktail" of serious threats from a slowing global economy. |
On Thursday, while on a visit to the Airbus plant in Filton, Bristol, the chancellor said: "These GDP numbers show the British economy continues to grow steadily and despite turbulence in the world economy Britain is pushing ahead." | |
Reliance on services | Reliance on services |
Ben Brettell, senior economist at Hargreaves Lansdown, said: "The bigger picture is that growth remains lacklustre, but reasonably resilient. | |
"Weaker construction and production output are the primary reasons for the slowdown, which could prompt concerns that the UK economy's reliance on the services sector is increasing further. | "Weaker construction and production output are the primary reasons for the slowdown, which could prompt concerns that the UK economy's reliance on the services sector is increasing further. |
"Production output declined 0.2% in the fourth quarter and construction was down by 0.1%, whereas the dominant services sector grew by 0.7%." | "Production output declined 0.2% in the fourth quarter and construction was down by 0.1%, whereas the dominant services sector grew by 0.7%." |
Last week, the Bank of England governor, Mark Carney, said that he wanted to see above-average growth in the economy and a pick-up in wages before raising interest rates. | Last week, the Bank of England governor, Mark Carney, said that he wanted to see above-average growth in the economy and a pick-up in wages before raising interest rates. |
Many economists do not expect the central bank to increase rates until the tail end of this year. | Many economists do not expect the central bank to increase rates until the tail end of this year. |