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Election live: Sanders and Clinton deadlocked as Nevada caucuses results trickle in Election live: Clinton narrowly beats Sanders to win Nevada caucuses
(35 minutes later)
9.49pm GMT 10.26pm GMT
21:49 22:26
Democracy in action in Reno, Nevada, where supporters of Clinton and Sanders are trying to lure undecided voters to their candidate. 10.24pm GMT
The undecided: “You can propose these great ideas but if you can’t get the backing behind it, I’m just saying…” 22:24
The Sanders-ista: “I think that our country is moving toward a more progressive direction I don’t want to say that we’re leaving these other people behind, but…” It’s worth noting that, though Hillary Clinton is projected to win in Nevada, Bernie Sanders held her to the tightest of margins. His campaign will take heart at the extraordinary margins he achieved among young and Latino voters.
The Clinton-ite: “The right is getting much more right, and it’s honestly scary…” Also worth noting that Clinton was a solid 35 points up just a few weeks ago. So this is a sigh-of-relief moment for her, but not an unqualified triumph.
9.45pm GMT
21:45
Chris McGreal
In Las Vegas, Le Roy Graham and Linda Devaull-Graham are a house divided. He back Clinton, as he did in ’08. She backed Sanders and went with Obama eight years ago. They were voting inside a classroom at the Del Webb middle school, where they each attempted to win over supporters among the assembled caucus goes. Le Roy punted the line that Hilary can get things done.
“I’ve been watching Hillary since she was first lady, first lady of Arkansas,” he said. “She always stood up for people. She was arguing for Obamacare under Bill Clinton’s administration. In a perfect world, Bernie would be the candidate but I don’t think he’s electable.”
His wife leapt in: “That’s what he said about Obama. He wasn’t electable!”
Her husband had to concede the point. But when it came to the vote, Clinton knocked Sanders out of the water: Linda was one of just three voters who backed him in the classroom. Clinton won 24.
So far Clinton winning most of the 10 precincts at Del Webb middle school in south Las Vegas. But one split 25/25
9.42pm GMT
21:42
In Reno the partisans for Clinton and Sanders are working over the few undecided voters.
Bernie crew descends on the 7 undecided in Reno #NVcaucus pic.twitter.com/dncQNx4gy7
UpdatedUpdated
at 9.42pm GMT at 10.29pm GMT
9.36pm GMT 10.22pm GMT
21:36 22:22
Hillary Clinton is also calling it for Hillary Clinton:
To everyone who turned out in every corner of Nevada with determination and heart: This is your win. Thank you. -H
10.19pm GMT
22:19
The Associated Press calls Nevada for Clinton
...with 64.9% of precincts reporting.
BREAKING: Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic caucuses in Nevada. @AP race call at 5:15 p.m. EST. #Election2016 #APracecall
Updated
at 10.21pm GMT
10.18pm GMT
22:18
A brief explainer about what the results are likely to mean.
Nevada is not a winner-take-all state; but it is complicated. Of the 43 delegates at stake, eight are “superdelegates,” and not bound by caucus voting, and the remaining 35 will hold off pledging until the convention in July.
This is not the case for the Republican caucus on Tuesday - just the Democrat one.
10.14pm GMT
22:14
Paul LewisPaul Lewis
More than a quarter of the precincts results in Nevada are now in. What do we know? At the moment, not enough, except that this is already starting to feel like a repeat of Iowa, where Clinton and Sanders were in effect tied. Remarkably, exit polls appear to be showing Sanders beat Clinton with Latinos in Nevada.
The former secretary of state and the Vermont senator are neck-and-neck. A lot can and will change as the remaining results start coming in, and it may be that either Clinton or Sanders pull ahead, but it is maybe worth pondering what a close race means. You can read our deep dive into why that may have happened here.
The answer: good for Sanders. This was a state Clinton’s campaign thought she’d win off the back of minority voters (they form close to half of Nevada’s population – quite unlike predominantly white Iowa and New Hampshire).
Polling in the state is notoriously unreliable, but just a few months back the surveys were indicating Clinton had a huge lead over her insurgent challenger. On the basis of what we’ve seen so far, that is no longer the case.
UpdatedUpdated
at 9.51pm GMT at 10.17pm GMT
9.36pm GMT 10.12pm GMT
21:36 22:12
Nevada is still absolutely nailbiting as results trickle in. Maria L La Ganga
With 32% of precincts reporting, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders by the barest of margins - 51.66% to 48.24%. It shouldn’t have been a surprise, considering the sea of blue T-shirts with “Estoy contigo” on the back and “I’m with her” on the front that filed into the ballroom at Caesars Palace Saturday for the shift-workers’ caucus.
It’s still anyone’s game at this point. Bernie Sanders’s supporters may have been louder in the hallway outside of the Milano Ballroom, where nearly 300 hotel and casino workers from throughout the Las Vegas strip caucused. But it was the Hillary Clinton backers who won the day.
Sean McBurney, Caesars general manager and chairman of the caucus, implored the gathered workers to “stay for the entirety; I will take the heat from your bosses.” And stay they did. And caucus they did. And on this afternoon their voices were heard.
Given the fact that most of the workers were Hispanic, the casino caucus was bilingual. And seeing as how this particular caucus was a Nevada curiosity – democracy amid the poker chips – almost as many members of the media descended on Caesar’s Saturday.
Shortly after the caucus convened, the hotel workers were instructed to break into preference groups: Clinton’s supporters on one side of the ballroom and Sanders’ on the other. To be a viable candidate, the two Democrats needed to have 15% of the registered voters in the room, or 42.
As the groups aligned, Clinton’s supporters broke into loud, happy chants: “I say madam! You say president! Madam! President! Madam! President!” And “I’m with her.” And “Si se puede!”
Because only two candidates were vying and both exceeded the minimum number of supporters, the caucus was decided fast, on a single vote. “This is the final count, 190 for Secretary Clinton,” McBurney called out, and a cheer went up. “And 81 for Senator Sanders.”
It was a nice start for the former Secretary of State, who was running neck-and-neck with the Vermont senator.
But as longtime politics watcher Sherry Bebitch Jeffe, senior fellow at USC’s Sol Price School of Public Policy, noted after watching the caucus go down, “It’s one caucus.”
UpdatedUpdated
at 9.52pm GMT at 10.18pm GMT
9.32pm GMT 10.08pm GMT
21:32 22:08
Caucusing is still very much ongoing in Reno, reports Sam Levin: Chris McGreal
Counting total number of voters here at Reno #NVcaucus. Caucus is so casual. pic.twitter.com/tS4vn1NCk3 Some more detail on the “house divided” - the couple that Chris McGreal spoke to, one of whom is supporting Sanders, the other Clinton.
207 people here will be choosing 10 delegates. pic.twitter.com/WBOpo19J5r
At the University of Nevada Reno site, where many students are registering for the first time to participate in the caucus, organizers briefly ran out of English-language forms.
That meant non-Spanish speakers had to use Spanish language forms to sign up, causing a bit of confusion and forcing some Spanish speakers to help translate.
After a short period, however, the site got more documents in English.
“We’ve got a resupply of English forms - so we are good now,” a Democratic Party representative told the Guardian just now.
It’s been a very slow start here - with the organizers still processing voters two hours after the official start time.
Hillary Clinton needs at least 32 votes to be viable here pic.twitter.com/7TgemnlRm9
9.29pm GMT
21:29
Interesting: a precinct in Pahrump has been decided by cutting the deck:
Pahrump precinct chair Peggy Rhoads with the cards drawn in tied Precinct 10. Hillary's ace beat Bernie's six. pic.twitter.com/7RZMF9IOVH
Hillary has had some pretty unbelievable luck with tiebreaks so far this election cycle.
9.27pm GMT
21:27
This factoid, from MSNBC’s Ari Melber, could spell bad news for Hillary Clinton - first time caucus-goers are more likely to be for Bernie:
Just in: Only 34% of people in today's Nevada Dem caucus say they've done so before -- the majority are first timers.
Updated
at 9.32pm GMT
9.25pm GMT
21:25
Just in from Chris McGreal: the full results from the caucus at Del Webb school in Las Vegas:
Result from precinct at Del Webb school overwhelmingly for Clinton. Other precincts more divided, still voting pic.twitter.com/khJfBAbwaT
Le Roy and Linda Graham - a house divided. She for Sanders, he for Clinton. In '08 she was Obama, he Clinton pic.twitter.com/8rEtntj03rLe Roy and Linda Graham - a house divided. She for Sanders, he for Clinton. In '08 she was Obama, he Clinton pic.twitter.com/8rEtntj03r
9.20pm GMT Le Roy Graham and Linda Devaull-Graham are a house divided. He backs Clinton, as he did in ’08. She backed Sanders and went with Obama eight years ago. They were voting inside a classroom at the Del Webb middle school where they each attempted to win over supporters among the assembled caucus goes.
21:20 Le Roy punted the line that Hilary can get things done. “I’ve been watching Hillary since she was first lady, first lady of Arkansas. She always stood up for people. She was arguing for Obamacare under Bill Clinton’s administration. In a perfect world, Bernie would be the candidate but I don’t think he’s electable,” he said.
Lots of caucuses are delayed, however. His wife leapt in. “That’s what he said about Obama. He wasn’t electable!” she said. Her husband had to concede the point. But when it came to the vote, Clinton knocked Sanders out of the water with Linda just one of three voters who backed him in the classroom. Clinton won 24.
In Reno, Sam Levin reports that, after a long wait, the caucus he’s at is finally ready to begin:
Some people are sleeping at University of Reno caucus waiting for action to begin. #NVcaucus
#NVcaucus in University of Nevada in Reno finally about to begin. Bernie sign holders more enthusiastic. pic.twitter.com/7vY6xutxn8
"We're just a bunch of friends, voting for a couple people" - chair explaining how #NVCaucus works pic.twitter.com/RUNjl91L4g
9.17pm GMT
21:17
Results are starting to dribble in
With 13.5% of precincts reporting, Bernie Sanders is the merest whisker ahead of Hillary Clinton, on 50.31% to Clinton’s 49.37%.
But there’s still a long way to go yet.
UpdatedUpdated
at 9.18pm GMT at 10.12pm GMT
10.03pm GMT
22:03
Over half of precincts now reporting in Nevada
Hillary Clinton is maintaining the slimmest of leads over Bernie Sanders, 51.71% to 48.22%.
Updated
at 10.07pm GMT
10.01pm GMT
22:01
In the caucus in Reno, Hillary Clinton does not receive enough votes to be viable, reports Sam Levin.
Dividing up into Hillary and Sanders in Reno https://t.co/9xABBEQV5J
Olivia Komanduri, an 18-year-old student supporting Clinton, said she was disappointed but not surprised that she lost here, Sam writes.
I know that the campus culture here is all about Bernie Sanders. They love the idea of a political revolution, they want someone who is different like Bernie, but they don’t understand that Hillary is different, too.
They call her the establishment, but she spent years breaking into the establishment as a woman. She is such a role model to me.
The politics in Sam’s caucus are red in tooth and claw:
Passionate Hillary voter attempts to sway the few undecided voters in Reno #NVcaucus https://t.co/ExgXTa7nR4
Bernie crew descends on the 7 undecided in Reno #NVcaucus pic.twitter.com/dncQNx4gy7
Hillary Clinton deemed not viable in university of Nevada Reno site https://t.co/L5XsiFuhxv only 18 voters pic.twitter.com/kdK0tEddYC
9.58pm GMT
21:58
Something of a correction from earlier in the blog, where I reported that Hillary Clinton won “all six” coin tosses in Iowa.
An eagle-eyed reader has pointed out that this - which came from an article in the Des Moines register - is not entirely accurate. According to the Washington Post:
Other news articles over the course of the day showed that Sanders won others elsewhere in the state; it was mostly those, it seems, that were reported to the state Democratic party. We may never know how many coin tosses there were in total. But we can estimate how important they were. If Iowa’s 11,000 county delegates, selected Monday, eventually get pared down to 1400 state delegates, that implies that about eight county delegates equal one at the state level. Clinton won Iowa by four state-delegate-equivalents, meaning — according to my calculations — that it would have taken winning about 32 more coin flips than Sanders to have been what put her over the top.
Updated
at 10.09pm GMT
9.55pm GMT
21:55
With more than 40% of Nevada precincts reporting, the race remains excruciatingly close: Clinton 51.6% to Sanders 48.3%.
The former secretary of state looks to be building a wider margin in the key Clark County, home to Las Vegas and most of Nevada’s population. But because the Nevada system splits delegates – a few precincts coming down to obscure tiebreaker rules involving a deck of cards – the state may turn out to have no clear winner, much like the Iowa caucuses earlier this month.
Updated
at 10.08pm GMT
9.49pm GMT
21:49
Democracy in action in Reno, Nevada, where supporters of Clinton and Sanders are trying to lure undecided voters to their candidate.
The undecided: “You can propose these great ideas but if you can’t get the backing behind it, I’m just saying…”
The Sanders-ista: “I think that our country is moving toward a more progressive direction … I don’t want to say that we’re leaving these other people behind, but…”
The Clinton-ite: “The right is getting much more right, and it’s honestly scary…”