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Election live: Clinton narrowly beats Sanders to win Nevada caucuses | |
(35 minutes later) | |
10.26pm GMT | |
22:26 | |
10.24pm GMT | |
22:24 | |
It’s worth noting that, though Hillary Clinton is projected to win in Nevada, Bernie Sanders held her to the tightest of margins. His campaign will take heart at the extraordinary margins he achieved among young and Latino voters. | |
Also worth noting that Clinton was a solid 35 points up just a few weeks ago. So this is a sigh-of-relief moment for her, but not an unqualified triumph. | |
Updated | Updated |
at 10.29pm GMT | |
10.22pm GMT | |
22:22 | |
Hillary Clinton is also calling it for Hillary Clinton: | |
To everyone who turned out in every corner of Nevada with determination and heart: This is your win. Thank you. -H | |
10.19pm GMT | |
22:19 | |
The Associated Press calls Nevada for Clinton | |
...with 64.9% of precincts reporting. | |
BREAKING: Hillary Clinton wins the Democratic caucuses in Nevada. @AP race call at 5:15 p.m. EST. #Election2016 #APracecall | |
Updated | |
at 10.21pm GMT | |
10.18pm GMT | |
22:18 | |
A brief explainer about what the results are likely to mean. | |
Nevada is not a winner-take-all state; but it is complicated. Of the 43 delegates at stake, eight are “superdelegates,” and not bound by caucus voting, and the remaining 35 will hold off pledging until the convention in July. | |
This is not the case for the Republican caucus on Tuesday - just the Democrat one. | |
10.14pm GMT | |
22:14 | |
Paul Lewis | Paul Lewis |
Remarkably, exit polls appear to be showing Sanders beat Clinton with Latinos in Nevada. | |
You can read our deep dive into why that may have happened here. | |
Updated | Updated |
at 10.17pm GMT | |
10.12pm GMT | |
22:12 | |
Maria L La Ganga | |
It shouldn’t have been a surprise, considering the sea of blue T-shirts with “Estoy contigo” on the back and “I’m with her” on the front that filed into the ballroom at Caesars Palace Saturday for the shift-workers’ caucus. | |
Bernie Sanders’s supporters may have been louder in the hallway outside of the Milano Ballroom, where nearly 300 hotel and casino workers from throughout the Las Vegas strip caucused. But it was the Hillary Clinton backers who won the day. | |
Sean McBurney, Caesars general manager and chairman of the caucus, implored the gathered workers to “stay for the entirety; I will take the heat from your bosses.” And stay they did. And caucus they did. And on this afternoon their voices were heard. | |
Given the fact that most of the workers were Hispanic, the casino caucus was bilingual. And seeing as how this particular caucus was a Nevada curiosity – democracy amid the poker chips – almost as many members of the media descended on Caesar’s Saturday. | |
Shortly after the caucus convened, the hotel workers were instructed to break into preference groups: Clinton’s supporters on one side of the ballroom and Sanders’ on the other. To be a viable candidate, the two Democrats needed to have 15% of the registered voters in the room, or 42. | |
As the groups aligned, Clinton’s supporters broke into loud, happy chants: “I say madam! You say president! Madam! President! Madam! President!” And “I’m with her.” And “Si se puede!” | |
Because only two candidates were vying and both exceeded the minimum number of supporters, the caucus was decided fast, on a single vote. “This is the final count, 190 for Secretary Clinton,” McBurney called out, and a cheer went up. “And 81 for Senator Sanders.” | |
It was a nice start for the former Secretary of State, who was running neck-and-neck with the Vermont senator. | |
But as longtime politics watcher Sherry Bebitch Jeffe, senior fellow at USC’s Sol Price School of Public Policy, noted after watching the caucus go down, “It’s one caucus.” | |
Updated | Updated |
at 10.18pm GMT | |
10.08pm GMT | |
22:08 | |
Chris McGreal | |
Some more detail on the “house divided” - the couple that Chris McGreal spoke to, one of whom is supporting Sanders, the other Clinton. | |
Le Roy and Linda Graham - a house divided. She for Sanders, he for Clinton. In '08 she was Obama, he Clinton pic.twitter.com/8rEtntj03r | Le Roy and Linda Graham - a house divided. She for Sanders, he for Clinton. In '08 she was Obama, he Clinton pic.twitter.com/8rEtntj03r |
Le Roy Graham and Linda Devaull-Graham are a house divided. He backs Clinton, as he did in ’08. She backed Sanders and went with Obama eight years ago. They were voting inside a classroom at the Del Webb middle school where they each attempted to win over supporters among the assembled caucus goes. | |
Le Roy punted the line that Hilary can get things done. “I’ve been watching Hillary since she was first lady, first lady of Arkansas. She always stood up for people. She was arguing for Obamacare under Bill Clinton’s administration. In a perfect world, Bernie would be the candidate but I don’t think he’s electable,” he said. | |
His wife leapt in. “That’s what he said about Obama. He wasn’t electable!” she said. Her husband had to concede the point. But when it came to the vote, Clinton knocked Sanders out of the water with Linda just one of three voters who backed him in the classroom. Clinton won 24. | |
Updated | Updated |
at 10.12pm GMT | |
10.03pm GMT | |
22:03 | |
Over half of precincts now reporting in Nevada | |
Hillary Clinton is maintaining the slimmest of leads over Bernie Sanders, 51.71% to 48.22%. | |
Updated | |
at 10.07pm GMT | |
10.01pm GMT | |
22:01 | |
In the caucus in Reno, Hillary Clinton does not receive enough votes to be viable, reports Sam Levin. | |
Dividing up into Hillary and Sanders in Reno https://t.co/9xABBEQV5J | |
Olivia Komanduri, an 18-year-old student supporting Clinton, said she was disappointed but not surprised that she lost here, Sam writes. | |
I know that the campus culture here is all about Bernie Sanders. They love the idea of a political revolution, they want someone who is different like Bernie, but they don’t understand that Hillary is different, too. | |
They call her the establishment, but she spent years breaking into the establishment as a woman. She is such a role model to me. | |
The politics in Sam’s caucus are red in tooth and claw: | |
Passionate Hillary voter attempts to sway the few undecided voters in Reno #NVcaucus https://t.co/ExgXTa7nR4 | |
Bernie crew descends on the 7 undecided in Reno #NVcaucus pic.twitter.com/dncQNx4gy7 | |
Hillary Clinton deemed not viable in university of Nevada Reno site https://t.co/L5XsiFuhxv only 18 voters pic.twitter.com/kdK0tEddYC | |
9.58pm GMT | |
21:58 | |
Something of a correction from earlier in the blog, where I reported that Hillary Clinton won “all six” coin tosses in Iowa. | |
An eagle-eyed reader has pointed out that this - which came from an article in the Des Moines register - is not entirely accurate. According to the Washington Post: | |
Other news articles over the course of the day showed that Sanders won others elsewhere in the state; it was mostly those, it seems, that were reported to the state Democratic party. We may never know how many coin tosses there were in total. But we can estimate how important they were. If Iowa’s 11,000 county delegates, selected Monday, eventually get pared down to 1400 state delegates, that implies that about eight county delegates equal one at the state level. Clinton won Iowa by four state-delegate-equivalents, meaning — according to my calculations — that it would have taken winning about 32 more coin flips than Sanders to have been what put her over the top. | |
Updated | |
at 10.09pm GMT | |
9.55pm GMT | |
21:55 | |
With more than 40% of Nevada precincts reporting, the race remains excruciatingly close: Clinton 51.6% to Sanders 48.3%. | |
The former secretary of state looks to be building a wider margin in the key Clark County, home to Las Vegas and most of Nevada’s population. But because the Nevada system splits delegates – a few precincts coming down to obscure tiebreaker rules involving a deck of cards – the state may turn out to have no clear winner, much like the Iowa caucuses earlier this month. | |
Updated | |
at 10.08pm GMT | |
9.49pm GMT | |
21:49 | |
Democracy in action in Reno, Nevada, where supporters of Clinton and Sanders are trying to lure undecided voters to their candidate. | |
The undecided: “You can propose these great ideas but if you can’t get the backing behind it, I’m just saying…” | |
The Sanders-ista: “I think that our country is moving toward a more progressive direction … I don’t want to say that we’re leaving these other people behind, but…” | |
The Clinton-ite: “The right is getting much more right, and it’s honestly scary…” |