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| Cruz wins Kansas as Trump and Clinton look to expand delegate leads – campaign live | |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| 1.16am GMT | |
| 01:16 | |
| Trump’s lead is increasing in Kentucky as we approach 20 percent of caucus sites reporting. | |
| Trump is currently on 42.3 percent, with Cruz trailing behind on 31.2 percent. | |
| Rubio is way behind, on just 13.3 percent, with Kasich a few points behind him. | |
| This is really not a good day for “Little Marco”. | |
| Updated | |
| at 1.17am GMT | |
| 1.02am GMT | |
| 01:02 | |
| Ben Jacobs | |
| The kids – at least at CPAC – are not all right with Donald Trump, reports Ben Jacobs. | |
| In the straw poll that traditionally finishes the three-day conservative event – which is famed as much as a hook-up spot for college kids as it as a measuring stick of the grassroots – Ted Cruz won with 40%. | |
| The Texas senator was followed by Marco Rubio at 30% and Trump with 15%. | |
| It did not help that Trump canceled on the event in order to hold a rally in a place that his campaign spelled “Witchita, Kanasas”. The Republican frontrunner objected to taking any questions during his scheduled appearance there. | |
| Cruz and Rubio received rapturous receptions from the crowd at CPAC, as the room filled to capacity for their speeches. Cruz in particular was received well, the conservative firebrand being repeatedly interrupted by applause. But he and Rubio were clearly favorites at an event where Donald Trump’s name was booed almost as frequently as Hillary Clinton’s. | |
| Kyle Foley, a first-time attendee from Orlando, Florida, was wearing a Rubio sticker. He told the Guardian he “really liked [the Florida senator] as a person. Nothing I blatantly disagree with.” | |
| In contrast, he said: “I have every issue with Trump. He’s a liar on basically everything.” | |
| You can read the whole piece here. | |
| 12.56am GMT | |
| 00:56 | |
| In Maine, Ted Cruz’s people are reportedly already briefing for a big win. | |
| Still no official results, but @tedcruz people saying he won all but one of 16 counties here. #mepolitics | |
| They’re playing the expectation-management game in Kentucky, however: | |
| Cruz campaign in Kentucky tells me they expect JeffCo to go Trump, but they have always been low balling expectations here. | |
| Meanwhile, Marco Rubio - who is being pretty much spanked out there - is staying very quiet. | |
| 12.49am GMT | |
| 00:49 | |
| Republican presidential hopeful John Kasich released his partial tax returns for the past several years on Saturday, joining Sens. Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz among the GOP candidates to make public such personal financial records, reports the Associated Press. | |
| The Ohio governor’s tax returns from 2008 to 2014 were posted to his campaign’s website. They show Kasich has paid roughly 31 percent of his income in federal taxes. | |
| In those seven years, Kasich and his wife, Karen, reported more than $5.3 million in total income. That includes money Kasich earned as governor, as a public speaker, a board member, an author, a Lehman Brothers employee, a Fox News commentator and from the couple’s investments, his campaign said. | |
| Since winning the governor’s office in 2011, the Kasichs’ total income reported has ranged from $706,043 to $313,705. | |
| Like Rubio and Cruz, Kasich only released the first two pages of his federal 1040 form. Not included in the disclosure are other parts of his returns, including the documents that detail his deductions. | |
| Those records would shed additional light on Kasich’s charitable contributions, for example. | |
| GOP front-runner Donald Trump has not release his personal tax records, citing an ongoing IRS audit of his returns dating back a dozen years. | |
| 12.39am GMT | 12.39am GMT |
| 00:39 | 00:39 |
| And, these are the final numbers and delegate-count from Kansas for the Republicans: | And, these are the final numbers and delegate-count from Kansas for the Republicans: |
| Kansas FULLY reporting. Final #s:Cruz 48.2% → 24 delegatesTrump 23.% → 9 delegatesRubio 16.7% → 6 delegatesKasich 10.7% → 1 delegate | Kansas FULLY reporting. Final #s:Cruz 48.2% → 24 delegatesTrump 23.% → 9 delegatesRubio 16.7% → 6 delegatesKasich 10.7% → 1 delegate |
| That means Ted Cruz got three times as many delegates from Kansas than he did in Iowa. | That means Ted Cruz got three times as many delegates from Kansas than he did in Iowa. |
| Crucially, it gives Ted Cruz the second state he can use to fulfil the RNC’s Rule 40, which states that only candidates who win a majority of the delegations from eight different states can have their name placed into nomination, according to the Guardian’s Ben Jacobs. | Crucially, it gives Ted Cruz the second state he can use to fulfil the RNC’s Rule 40, which states that only candidates who win a majority of the delegations from eight different states can have their name placed into nomination, according to the Guardian’s Ben Jacobs. |
| Trump has five such states. | Trump has five such states. |
| 12.34am GMT | 12.34am GMT |
| 00:34 | 00:34 |
| A few results are beginning to trickle in from Kentucky. | A few results are beginning to trickle in from Kentucky. |
| Trump, who doesn't drink, loses Bourbon County, Kentucky pic.twitter.com/CjnptDi5Yi | Trump, who doesn't drink, loses Bourbon County, Kentucky pic.twitter.com/CjnptDi5Yi |
| With admittedly just 5.2 percent of votes in, Trump leads Cruz in Kentucky by just under seven percentage points. | With admittedly just 5.2 percent of votes in, Trump leads Cruz in Kentucky by just under seven percentage points. |
| 12.28am GMT | 12.28am GMT |
| 00:28 | 00:28 |
| Results from the Kansas Third congressional district, which includes Kansas City, are now in, pulling Ted Cruz below 50 percent - and pushing John Kasich above the 10 percent threshold required for him to get a share of delegates, by half a percentage point. | Results from the Kansas Third congressional district, which includes Kansas City, are now in, pulling Ted Cruz below 50 percent - and pushing John Kasich above the 10 percent threshold required for him to get a share of delegates, by half a percentage point. |
| The Democratic caucuses in Kansas are later tonight, and the state party is aiming for a faster turnaround in results: | The Democratic caucuses in Kansas are later tonight, and the state party is aiming for a faster turnaround in results: |
| Just got off the phone with the @KansasDems, they're aiming for an all-at-once results release between 6pm and 7pm tonight. | Just got off the phone with the @KansasDems, they're aiming for an all-at-once results release between 6pm and 7pm tonight. |
| 12.22am GMT | 12.22am GMT |
| 00:22 | 00:22 |
| Bernie Sanders is addressing a rally in Warren, Michigan. | Bernie Sanders is addressing a rally in Warren, Michigan. |
| “In this election, it is estimated that the Koch brothers and a few other billionaires will spend approximately 900m to buy this election for candidates who are going to represent the wealthy and the powerful,” he says. “When you have one family and a few other billionaires spending more n the election than the entire democratic or republican party, that is not democracy - that is oligarchy and we are going to stop that.” | “In this election, it is estimated that the Koch brothers and a few other billionaires will spend approximately 900m to buy this election for candidates who are going to represent the wealthy and the powerful,” he says. “When you have one family and a few other billionaires spending more n the election than the entire democratic or republican party, that is not democracy - that is oligarchy and we are going to stop that.” |
| He hits out at Hillary Clinton again for her paid speeches to Wall Street. “If you’re going to be paid 250,000 for a speech, it must be a fantstic speech,” he says. “A brilliant speech, which you would want to share with the American people, right? Extraordinary speech. Shakespearean speech! So we all look forward to hearing it.” | He hits out at Hillary Clinton again for her paid speeches to Wall Street. “If you’re going to be paid 250,000 for a speech, it must be a fantstic speech,” he says. “A brilliant speech, which you would want to share with the American people, right? Extraordinary speech. Shakespearean speech! So we all look forward to hearing it.” |
| 12.17am GMT | 12.17am GMT |
| 00:17 | 00:17 |
| David Ferguson | David Ferguson |
| Cruz, during a speech in Idaho, touted his victory in Kansas saying: “The scream you hear – the howl that comes from Washington DC – is utter terror at what We the People are doing together.” | Cruz, during a speech in Idaho, touted his victory in Kansas saying: “The scream you hear – the howl that comes from Washington DC – is utter terror at what We the People are doing together.” |
| Actually, Ted, that scream you here is everyone who watched you eat that booger on live TV during the most recent debate on Thursday night. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves. | Actually, Ted, that scream you here is everyone who watched you eat that booger on live TV during the most recent debate on Thursday night. Let’s not get ahead of ourselves. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 12.21am GMT | at 12.21am GMT |
| 12.06am GMT | 12.06am GMT |
| 00:06 | 00:06 |
| Matthew Teague | Matthew Teague |
| Frozen “sno-balls” are a Louisiana specialty, and tiny Abita Springs must have more sno-ball stands per capita than any town in the world. Matt Teague reports… | Frozen “sno-balls” are a Louisiana specialty, and tiny Abita Springs must have more sno-ball stands per capita than any town in the world. Matt Teague reports… |
| As the sun set on Saturday, Dionne Rouzan and James Barnes settled into bright plastic chairs at Bot & Nola’s stand. They had just finished voting. Did they have a particular issue that motivated them? | As the sun set on Saturday, Dionne Rouzan and James Barnes settled into bright plastic chairs at Bot & Nola’s stand. They had just finished voting. Did they have a particular issue that motivated them? |
| “Right there,” Rouzan said, nodding to their little boy, Ezra. “I worry about his future. Where the next president will take us.” | “Right there,” Rouzan said, nodding to their little boy, Ezra. “I worry about his future. Where the next president will take us.” |
| So she voted for Ted Cruz, she said. | So she voted for Ted Cruz, she said. |
| “I’m sure Donald Trump is sophisticated when it comes to being a socialite,” she said, “but I just can’t see him comparing on the world stage to a Vladimir Putin or a Benjamin Netanyahu. He’s infantile.” | “I’m sure Donald Trump is sophisticated when it comes to being a socialite,” she said, “but I just can’t see him comparing on the world stage to a Vladimir Putin or a Benjamin Netanyahu. He’s infantile.” |
| Since Trump increasingly looks like the likely Republican candidate, Rouzan and Barnes said they may consider switching tickets. | Since Trump increasingly looks like the likely Republican candidate, Rouzan and Barnes said they may consider switching tickets. |
| “I do like Bernie Sanders, now,” Rouzan said. | “I do like Bernie Sanders, now,” Rouzan said. |
| Barnes agreed. “He talks about issues. Poverty. World events. Things that matter.” | Barnes agreed. “He talks about issues. Poverty. World events. Things that matter.” |
| As opposed to? | As opposed to? |
| “Donald Trump’s money,” he said. “Money and power.” | “Donald Trump’s money,” he said. “Money and power.” |
| Rouzan laughed. She works in healthcare, and Barnes is a disabled veteran. “They all have a lot more money than me,” she said of the candidates. She threw her arms wide. “But why should I care?” | Rouzan laughed. She works in healthcare, and Barnes is a disabled veteran. “They all have a lot more money than me,” she said of the candidates. She threw her arms wide. “But why should I care?” |
| As they talked, Ezra put down his sno-ball cup, sheathed his samurai sword, hopped in a plastic car, and pedaled away. | As they talked, Ezra put down his sno-ball cup, sheathed his samurai sword, hopped in a plastic car, and pedaled away. |
| 11.55pm GMT | 11.55pm GMT |
| 23:55 | 23:55 |
| This is looking like an excellent day for Ted Cruz. | This is looking like an excellent day for Ted Cruz. |
| pic.twitter.com/AZfE3UXm9k | pic.twitter.com/AZfE3UXm9k |
| The Texas senator is capitalising on his momentum - in Idaho just now, he called for a “further narrowing of the field,” setting his sights on John Kasich and especially Marco Rubio, both of whom now lag behind Cruz in delegate-count. | The Texas senator is capitalising on his momentum - in Idaho just now, he called for a “further narrowing of the field,” setting his sights on John Kasich and especially Marco Rubio, both of whom now lag behind Cruz in delegate-count. |
| It’s worth revisiting this - possibly the greatest / worst political ad of all time: | It’s worth revisiting this - possibly the greatest / worst political ad of all time: |
| Ted Cruz wins in Kansas. Thank god he's stopping that crazy rightwing freak Trump! https://t.co/wr2AUDQFo3 | Ted Cruz wins in Kansas. Thank god he's stopping that crazy rightwing freak Trump! https://t.co/wr2AUDQFo3 |
| 11.44pm GMT | 11.44pm GMT |
| 23:44 | 23:44 |
| Kira Goldenberg | Kira Goldenberg |
| Donald Trump’s unstoppable surge to the GOP nomination has all but become conventional wisdom. But tonight is proving that it might not be completely in the bag. | Donald Trump’s unstoppable surge to the GOP nomination has all but become conventional wisdom. But tonight is proving that it might not be completely in the bag. |
| Cruz handily won the CPAC poll (which, granted, is taken by an establishment group, a cohort that has looked askance at Trump’s unbreakability); he won Kansas; and he’s on track to win in Maine. | Cruz handily won the CPAC poll (which, granted, is taken by an establishment group, a cohort that has looked askance at Trump’s unbreakability); he won Kansas; and he’s on track to win in Maine. |
| At this writing, Drumpf still has an 87-delegate lead. But more victories for Cruz tonight could make the playing field much narrower, paving the way for a two-candidate Republican-off. | At this writing, Drumpf still has an 87-delegate lead. But more victories for Cruz tonight could make the playing field much narrower, paving the way for a two-candidate Republican-off. |
| Trump should probably breathe, but more likely he’ll sound off about the injustice of it all. | Trump should probably breathe, but more likely he’ll sound off about the injustice of it all. |
| 11.34pm GMT | 11.34pm GMT |
| 23:34 | 23:34 |
| Lauren Gambino | Lauren Gambino |
| Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton debate tomorrow in Flint, Michigan. The Michigan primary is on Tuesday. | Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton debate tomorrow in Flint, Michigan. The Michigan primary is on Tuesday. |
| Bill is in Michigan as well, stumping for Hillary: | Bill is in Michigan as well, stumping for Hillary: |
| I met two great Alaskan Malamutes in Michigan today while campaigning for @HillaryClinton. They barked #ImWoofHer. pic.twitter.com/81J6c6BlJr | I met two great Alaskan Malamutes in Michigan today while campaigning for @HillaryClinton. They barked #ImWoofHer. pic.twitter.com/81J6c6BlJr |
| Hillary Clinton met Saturday morning with 21 African American clergy at the Detroit Westin Book Cadillac hotel, according to the Clinton press pool, which reports that she delivered lengthy opening remarks on the themes of the Supreme Court, voting rights and the Voting Rights Act, Flint, auto jobs and her support for Obama’s agenda. She did not mention Sanders or Trump in opening remarks heard by the pool. | Hillary Clinton met Saturday morning with 21 African American clergy at the Detroit Westin Book Cadillac hotel, according to the Clinton press pool, which reports that she delivered lengthy opening remarks on the themes of the Supreme Court, voting rights and the Voting Rights Act, Flint, auto jobs and her support for Obama’s agenda. She did not mention Sanders or Trump in opening remarks heard by the pool. |
| Here are a few highlights: | Here are a few highlights: |
| We have a lot of work to do in our country and it requires reaching out, and lifting up, knocking down barriers, creating opportunities for everyone but particularly for people who have been left out and left behind. We also need to be very focused on efforts that are underway to make it more difficult for many citizens to participate in the important choice of leadership. | We have a lot of work to do in our country and it requires reaching out, and lifting up, knocking down barriers, creating opportunities for everyone but particularly for people who have been left out and left behind. We also need to be very focused on efforts that are underway to make it more difficult for many citizens to participate in the important choice of leadership. |
| ‘The Supreme Court is on the ballot. My name may be on the ballot, but the Supreme Court and the future of the Supreme Court is on the ballot,” she said. “President Obama is fulfilling his constitutional responsibility to send a nominee to fill the vacancy that was left with Justice Scalia’s passing, and the Senate needs to do its constitutional duty and receive that nominee and make a decision about that person, who will of course be well qualified.” | ‘The Supreme Court is on the ballot. My name may be on the ballot, but the Supreme Court and the future of the Supreme Court is on the ballot,” she said. “President Obama is fulfilling his constitutional responsibility to send a nominee to fill the vacancy that was left with Justice Scalia’s passing, and the Senate needs to do its constitutional duty and receive that nominee and make a decision about that person, who will of course be well qualified.” |
| On the Voting Rights Act: | On the Voting Rights Act: |
| I was in the Senate when it was re-authorized. It passed 98-to-nothing, and President George W. Bush signed it. Because, after careful deliberation Republicans as well as Democrats concluded that there was still a need. It was of course then appealed, by forces on the Republican side, on the right, that didn’t want to see the continued scrutiny that the Voting Rights Act required, to ensure that the legacy of segregation, of Jim Crow, was finally overcome. And the Supreme Court substituted its judgment for the judgment of the United States Congress, and a Republican president … and gutted the Voting Rights Act.” | I was in the Senate when it was re-authorized. It passed 98-to-nothing, and President George W. Bush signed it. Because, after careful deliberation Republicans as well as Democrats concluded that there was still a need. It was of course then appealed, by forces on the Republican side, on the right, that didn’t want to see the continued scrutiny that the Voting Rights Act required, to ensure that the legacy of segregation, of Jim Crow, was finally overcome. And the Supreme Court substituted its judgment for the judgment of the United States Congress, and a Republican president … and gutted the Voting Rights Act.” |
| The session opened with her going around the room to greet each person, Rev. Kenneth Flowers of the Greater New Mt. Moriah Missionary Baptist Church in Detroit greeted her warmly as “Madam President.” | The session opened with her going around the room to greet each person, Rev. Kenneth Flowers of the Greater New Mt. Moriah Missionary Baptist Church in Detroit greeted her warmly as “Madam President.” |
| She laughed and another participant chimed in, “that sounds good.” | She laughed and another participant chimed in, “that sounds good.” |
| Then Clinton asked him whether he had “Flowers relatives back in Arkansas. There are a lot of Flowers,” she said. | Then Clinton asked him whether he had “Flowers relatives back in Arkansas. There are a lot of Flowers,” she said. |
| “Not related to those,” Flowers replied, laughing, in apparent reference to Bill Clinton sexual misconduct accuser Gennifer Flowers. “Not related at all.” | “Not related to those,” Flowers replied, laughing, in apparent reference to Bill Clinton sexual misconduct accuser Gennifer Flowers. “Not related at all.” |
| Clinton laughed too, said “thank you” and moved on. | Clinton laughed too, said “thank you” and moved on. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 12.10am GMT | at 12.10am GMT |
| 11.21pm GMT | 11.21pm GMT |
| 23:21 | 23:21 |
| Earlier today, Trump pledged that while he would “follow the law” on torture, including waterboarding, he would seek to broaden those laws. | Earlier today, Trump pledged that while he would “follow the law” on torture, including waterboarding, he would seek to broaden those laws. |
| Here’s the full quote: | Here’s the full quote: |
| Here's the full bit of Trump talking about having the "laws broadened" on waterboarding: pic.twitter.com/3JtF2jlAYq | Here's the full bit of Trump talking about having the "laws broadened" on waterboarding: pic.twitter.com/3JtF2jlAYq |
| 11.09pm GMT | 11.09pm GMT |
| 23:09 | 23:09 |
| The last morning of every Conservative Political Action Conference is generally a subdued one, as speakers, students and adult attendees alike nurse their hangovers, hang out with their friends, listen to the final speakers and await the results of the annual straw poll, reports Megan Carpentier from Maryland. | The last morning of every Conservative Political Action Conference is generally a subdued one, as speakers, students and adult attendees alike nurse their hangovers, hang out with their friends, listen to the final speakers and await the results of the annual straw poll, reports Megan Carpentier from Maryland. |
| But in the wake Donald Trump’s last-minute cancellation – to stump, he said, in Wichita, Kansas in advance of a Republican caucus he wasn’t favored to win – exhibitors started rolling up their banners before Senator Marco Rubio gave his Saturday keynote speech. They left behind pamphlets and candy they didn’t want to pay the unionized convention services to ship back to their offices. I grabbed a beer koozie for my father. | But in the wake Donald Trump’s last-minute cancellation – to stump, he said, in Wichita, Kansas in advance of a Republican caucus he wasn’t favored to win – exhibitors started rolling up their banners before Senator Marco Rubio gave his Saturday keynote speech. They left behind pamphlets and candy they didn’t want to pay the unionized convention services to ship back to their offices. I grabbed a beer koozie for my father. |
| And though the ballroom was full for Rubio’s moment in the spotlight – albeit maybe not quite as crowded as for Ted Cruz’s barnstormer on Friday – there was more buzz about whether someone, anyone, could keep Trump from sweeping the day’s four Republican polls and cementing the nomination than there was about anything specific Rubio said. | And though the ballroom was full for Rubio’s moment in the spotlight – albeit maybe not quite as crowded as for Ted Cruz’s barnstormer on Friday – there was more buzz about whether someone, anyone, could keep Trump from sweeping the day’s four Republican polls and cementing the nomination than there was about anything specific Rubio said. |
| And though they are all conservatives of some stripe with more than a few dollars to spare, CPAC attendees are not – and never have been – of a singular mind about almost anything, particularly about which candidate to back, Megan writes. | And though they are all conservatives of some stripe with more than a few dollars to spare, CPAC attendees are not – and never have been – of a singular mind about almost anything, particularly about which candidate to back, Megan writes. |
| So though there were more than a few “Make America Great Again” hats in the crowd, Trump’s advisers were probably right in their alleged calculation that his post-speech questions from a journalist wouldn’t be softballs and could inspire a less-than-friendly reaction from a boisterous crowd. | So though there were more than a few “Make America Great Again” hats in the crowd, Trump’s advisers were probably right in their alleged calculation that his post-speech questions from a journalist wouldn’t be softballs and could inspire a less-than-friendly reaction from a boisterous crowd. |
| You can read the whole piece here. | You can read the whole piece here. |
| 10.58pm GMT | 10.58pm GMT |
| 22:58 | 22:58 |
| Cruz isn’t wrong about Maine. With an admittedly-slim 4.5 percent of precincts reporting, the Texas senator is ahead there by almost as large a margin as his victory in Kansas; 49 percent to Trump’s 35. | Cruz isn’t wrong about Maine. With an admittedly-slim 4.5 percent of precincts reporting, the Texas senator is ahead there by almost as large a margin as his victory in Kansas; 49 percent to Trump’s 35. |
| Who knew the Zodiac killer could be such a successful politician | Who knew the Zodiac killer could be such a successful politician |
| 10.48pm GMT | 10.48pm GMT |
| 22:48 | 22:48 |
| Ted Cruz is addressing supporters in Idaho following his victory in Kansas. | Ted Cruz is addressing supporters in Idaho following his victory in Kansas. |
| Ted Cruz could become first candidate to win 50% of vote in any state so far: He has 51.1% of Kansas vote with 61% of precincts reporting. | Ted Cruz could become first candidate to win 50% of vote in any state so far: He has 51.1% of Kansas vote with 61% of precincts reporting. |
| Let me say: God bless Kansas,” Cruz says, grinning. | Let me say: God bless Kansas,” Cruz says, grinning. |
| And God bless Maine ... now, it’s a little bit early, the votes are still being counted, but as of today the networks have called the state of Kansas for us. | And God bless Maine ... now, it’s a little bit early, the votes are still being counted, but as of today the networks have called the state of Kansas for us. |
| And right now as they’re counting the votes, we have roughly 50 percent of the votes in the state of Kansas. And in Maine, right now on the count in Maine, we have roughly 50 percent of votes in the state of Maine. | And right now as they’re counting the votes, we have roughly 50 percent of the votes in the state of Kansas. And in Maine, right now on the count in Maine, we have roughly 50 percent of votes in the state of Maine. |
| And the scream you hear, the howl coming from Washington DC, is utter terror at what we the people are doing together. | And the scream you hear, the howl coming from Washington DC, is utter terror at what we the people are doing together. |
| 10.38pm GMT | 10.38pm GMT |
| 22:38 | 22:38 |
| The AP calls Kansas for Ted Cruz | The AP calls Kansas for Ted Cruz |
| BREAKING: Texas Sen. Ted Cruz wins the Republican caucuses in Kansas. @AP race call at 5:36 p.m. EST. #Election2016 # | BREAKING: Texas Sen. Ted Cruz wins the Republican caucuses in Kansas. @AP race call at 5:36 p.m. EST. #Election2016 # |
| The Texas senator won big here with religious voters - 55 percent of the state describe themselves as “highly religious”, according to the PEW research centre. | The Texas senator won big here with religious voters - 55 percent of the state describe themselves as “highly religious”, according to the PEW research centre. |
| Kansas is not a winner-take-all state, and the huge turnout has slowed vote-counting to a crawl. But Cruz seems set to take home at least half the delegates here, and looks set to beat his nearest rival by 25 percentage points. | Kansas is not a winner-take-all state, and the huge turnout has slowed vote-counting to a crawl. But Cruz seems set to take home at least half the delegates here, and looks set to beat his nearest rival by 25 percentage points. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 10.40pm GMT | at 10.40pm GMT |
| 10.33pm GMT | 10.33pm GMT |
| 22:33 | 22:33 |
| John Kasich leads Donald Trump 33% to 31% in the Michigan Republican presidential primary. Ted Cruz is at 15% and Marco Rubio is at 11%, according to a poll conducted by the American Research Group, who report that the results are surprising because Trump was leading Kasich by 18 points in their survey conducted February 19 and 20. | John Kasich leads Donald Trump 33% to 31% in the Michigan Republican presidential primary. Ted Cruz is at 15% and Marco Rubio is at 11%, according to a poll conducted by the American Research Group, who report that the results are surprising because Trump was leading Kasich by 18 points in their survey conducted February 19 and 20. |
| According to the pollsters: | According to the pollsters: |
| Kasich leads Trump 34% to 28% among self-reported Republicans (71% of likely voters), while Trump leads Kasich 40% to 30% among self-reported independents and Democrats. | Kasich leads Trump 34% to 28% among self-reported Republicans (71% of likely voters), while Trump leads Kasich 40% to 30% among self-reported independents and Democrats. |
| Trump leads Kasich 34% to 30% among men (52% of likely voters), while Kasich leads Trump 36% to 29% among women. | Trump leads Kasich 34% to 30% among men (52% of likely voters), while Kasich leads Trump 36% to 29% among women. |
| Playback is very favorable for Kasich on his debate performance Thursday night, while it is unfavorable for Trump’s debate performance. | Playback is very favorable for Kasich on his debate performance Thursday night, while it is unfavorable for Trump’s debate performance. |
| Results of the survey conducted March 4-5 are here. | Results of the survey conducted March 4-5 are here. |
| On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 60% to 36%. | On the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 60% to 36%. |
| Clinton leads Sanders 66% to 30% among self-reported Democrats (76% of likely voters), while Sanders leads Clinton 57% to 39% among self-reported independents and Republicans. | Clinton leads Sanders 66% to 30% among self-reported Democrats (76% of likely voters), while Sanders leads Clinton 57% to 39% among self-reported independents and Republicans. |
| Clinton leads Sanders 64% to 32% among women and Clinton leads Sanders 77% to 21% among self-reported African American voters. | Clinton leads Sanders 64% to 32% among women and Clinton leads Sanders 77% to 21% among self-reported African American voters. |
| Results of the survey conducted March 4-5 are here. | Results of the survey conducted March 4-5 are here. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 10.36pm GMT | at 10.36pm GMT |