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Budget 2016: Growth forecasts cut for next five years Budget 2016: Growth forecasts cut for next five years
(35 minutes later)
The UK economy will grow less in the next five years than had been expected in November.The UK economy will grow less in the next five years than had been expected in November.
The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) had previously forecast that the economy would grow 2.4% this year, but is now predicting a rate of 2.0%.The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) had previously forecast that the economy would grow 2.4% this year, but is now predicting a rate of 2.0%.
Growth in the next two years has been cut by 0.3 percentage points while 2019 and 2020 are down from 2.3% to 2.1%.Growth in the next two years has been cut by 0.3 percentage points while 2019 and 2020 are down from 2.3% to 2.1%.
Chancellor George Osborne said the cuts had been due to a reduction in the growth expected elsewhere in the world.Chancellor George Osborne said the cuts had been due to a reduction in the growth expected elsewhere in the world.
He also announced in his Budget that the OBR had revised UK productivity growth downwards.He also announced in his Budget that the OBR had revised UK productivity growth downwards.
The OBR unexpectedly reduced the amount it expects the government to borrow in the current financial year from £73.5bn to £72.2bn.
In the first 10 months of the financial year, the government has already borrowed £66.5bn, so many commentators predicted that the forecast would have to be raised.
The forecasts for the following three years have been increased considerably, although the OBR still expects the government to achieve a surplus in 2019-20 and 2020-21.
On the total amount of government debt (as opposed to the amount borrowed in a single year) the chancellor admitted that the figure as a proportion of GDP would be higher than it was last year as a result of lower GDP, but that the total amount owed would actually be £9bn lower.