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| Trump and Clinton move closer to nomination with strong Arizona wins | Trump and Clinton move closer to nomination with strong Arizona wins |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton both won convincing victories in the Arizona presidential primaries on Tuesday, further cementing their status as the frontrunners in the Republican and Democratic races for the White House. | Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton both won convincing victories in the Arizona presidential primaries on Tuesday, further cementing their status as the frontrunners in the Republican and Democratic races for the White House. |
| The Arizona results were the first in a trio of contests in western states held Tuesday. | The Arizona results were the first in a trio of contests in western states held Tuesday. |
| The scale of the wins by the Republican and Democratic frontrunners portend a disappointing night for their main challengers, Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders, both of whom were hoping for an upset in Arizona. | The scale of the wins by the Republican and Democratic frontrunners portend a disappointing night for their main challengers, Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders, both of whom were hoping for an upset in Arizona. |
| Both Trump and Clinton were projected to win by the Associated Press shortly after 8pm local time. At that stage, both were enjoying leads in excess of 20 points. | |
| In the Republican race, Trump was at 46.5%, while Cruz was on 21%. Ohio Governor John Kasich was third, with around 10%. | In the Republican race, Trump was at 46.5%, while Cruz was on 21%. Ohio Governor John Kasich was third, with around 10%. |
| On the Democratic side, Clinton’s margin of victory over Sanders was even greater, with 60.3% compared to the Vermont senator’s 37.1%. | On the Democratic side, Clinton’s margin of victory over Sanders was even greater, with 60.3% compared to the Vermont senator’s 37.1%. |
| Cruz and Sanders are both favored to win Republican and Democratic caucuses in Utah. For Cruz, the key question will be whether he surpasses a 50% vote threshold that would enable him to carry all of the state’s delegates. | Cruz and Sanders are both favored to win Republican and Democratic caucuses in Utah. For Cruz, the key question will be whether he surpasses a 50% vote threshold that would enable him to carry all of the state’s delegates. |
| Sanders is also well-placed in Utah as well as Idaho, where Democrats are holding an additional caucus. | |
| Appearing at a rally in San Diego, Sanders did not immediately mention the result in Arizona, instead focusing on his expected wins in Utah and Idaho. “We have now won 10 primaries and caucuses,” a hoarse-sounding Sanders told supporters. “And unless I’m mistaken, we’re going to win a couple more tonight.” | |
| However, Arizona is the largest delegate prize of the states voting Tuesday. It was also the most fiercely contested, with Trump, Cruz, Clinton and Sanders all criss-crossing the state in recent days in a last-ditch effort to shore up support. | However, Arizona is the largest delegate prize of the states voting Tuesday. It was also the most fiercely contested, with Trump, Cruz, Clinton and Sanders all criss-crossing the state in recent days in a last-ditch effort to shore up support. |
| The Grand Canyon State is the largest purely winner-takes-all state left in the Republican calendar and is an important stepping stone, in particular, for Trump, who despite his frontrunner status faces a long, drawn-out slog to acquire the 1,237 delegates needed to become the GOP nominee. | The Grand Canyon State is the largest purely winner-takes-all state left in the Republican calendar and is an important stepping stone, in particular, for Trump, who despite his frontrunner status faces a long, drawn-out slog to acquire the 1,237 delegates needed to become the GOP nominee. |
| The effort to block Trump from securing the Republican ticket rests on preventing him from meeting that necessary delegate threshold, a move that would force the billionaire to make the case for his presidency in a contested convention where party elites, many of whom who are hostile to his candidacy, could hold sway. | The effort to block Trump from securing the Republican ticket rests on preventing him from meeting that necessary delegate threshold, a move that would force the billionaire to make the case for his presidency in a contested convention where party elites, many of whom who are hostile to his candidacy, could hold sway. |
| Arizona is less significant in the Democratic race, in which delegates are apportioned proportionately, and in which there are another seven states with larger tallies of delegates available before the party convention. | Arizona is less significant in the Democratic race, in which delegates are apportioned proportionately, and in which there are another seven states with larger tallies of delegates available before the party convention. |
| There are only three more presidential contests remaining this month: Democratic caucuses in Alaska, Hawaii and Washington. | There are only three more presidential contests remaining this month: Democratic caucuses in Alaska, Hawaii and Washington. |
| Barring a huge upset, none are expected to alter Clinton’s position as the strong favorite to be appointed Democratic nominee at the gathering of party officials and delegates in July. | Barring a huge upset, none are expected to alter Clinton’s position as the strong favorite to be appointed Democratic nominee at the gathering of party officials and delegates in July. |
| In part, that is because her lead over Sanders in delegates selected in state primaries and caucuses is further bolstered by so-called superdelegates – the party officials who are unbound by any elections and are mostly backing the former secretary of state. | In part, that is because her lead over Sanders in delegates selected in state primaries and caucuses is further bolstered by so-called superdelegates – the party officials who are unbound by any elections and are mostly backing the former secretary of state. |
| With superdelegates included, Clinton went into Tuesday with 1,630 delegates compared to Sanders’ 870. Sanders contends that superdelegates could still change their minds before the convention and insist the second half of the primary calendar includes states that are better suited to him. | With superdelegates included, Clinton went into Tuesday with 1,630 delegates compared to Sanders’ 870. Sanders contends that superdelegates could still change their minds before the convention and insist the second half of the primary calendar includes states that are better suited to him. |
| Still, Clinton operatives are privately confident that on the current trajectory the senator from Vermont will likely pull out of the race by early summer. | Still, Clinton operatives are privately confident that on the current trajectory the senator from Vermont will likely pull out of the race by early summer. |
| The Republican race is less straightforward. | The Republican race is less straightforward. |
| Although Trump is the undisputed frontrunner, his final tally of delegates is projected to come down to the wire, and could fall short of the necessary threshold if Cruz is able to absorb support from supporters of candidates who have dropped out such as Marco Rubio, Ben Carson and Jeb Bush. | Although Trump is the undisputed frontrunner, his final tally of delegates is projected to come down to the wire, and could fall short of the necessary threshold if Cruz is able to absorb support from supporters of candidates who have dropped out such as Marco Rubio, Ben Carson and Jeb Bush. |
| The Texas senator’s bid for the mantle of Trump’s challenger-in-chief is complicated by Kasich, the third Republican still in the race and, he argues, the only moderate voice. | The Texas senator’s bid for the mantle of Trump’s challenger-in-chief is complicated by Kasich, the third Republican still in the race and, he argues, the only moderate voice. |
| His continued presence in the race is a problem for Cruz, a conservative zealot and self-appointed Tea Party leader who is nonetheless casting his candidacy as the best-remaining option for any Republican opposed to Trump. | His continued presence in the race is a problem for Cruz, a conservative zealot and self-appointed Tea Party leader who is nonetheless casting his candidacy as the best-remaining option for any Republican opposed to Trump. |
| Although Arizona was the first major contest since Rubio, a Florida senator, dropped out of the race, it was probably not the best litmus test for whether Cruz could mop up his voters because of early voting. Arizonans have been able to cast their ballots since late February, with some counties indicating more than a quarter of eligible primary voters had voted before Tuesday. | Although Arizona was the first major contest since Rubio, a Florida senator, dropped out of the race, it was probably not the best litmus test for whether Cruz could mop up his voters because of early voting. Arizonans have been able to cast their ballots since late February, with some counties indicating more than a quarter of eligible primary voters had voted before Tuesday. |
| Still, the ease with which Trump won in Arizona will be sobering for those in the party trying desperately to prevent him winning the nomination. |