This article is from the source 'guardian' and was first published or seen on . It last changed over 40 days ago and won't be checked again for changes.

You can find the current article at its original source at http://www.theguardian.com/us-news/live/2016/may/02/us-election-trump-clinton-sanders-cruz-indiana-primary-polls

The article has changed 22 times. There is an RSS feed of changes available.

Version 8 Version 9
Trump polling over Cruz in Indiana as Sanders vows to fight – campaign live Trump polling over Cruz in Indiana as Sanders vows to fight – campaign live
(35 minutes later)
8.52pm BST
20:52
Democratic presidential frontrunner Hillary Clinton spoke to coal miners in Kentucky earlier today, and Kentucky senator Rand Paul is not happy about it:
Hey @HillaryClinton I think it's just about time you apologize to everyone in Kentucky.https://t.co/iBvDx1Bto6
8.39pm BST
20:39
Scott Bixby
Vermont senator and Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders is pushing the results of a recent poll out of Indiana that shows him within the margin of error of upsetting frontrunner Hillary Clinton’s lead in the race for tomorrow’s primary.
“We intend to fight for every vote and delegate remaining, starting with tomorrow night’s primary in Indiana where recent polling shows us well with the margin of error,” a email from the campaign tells supporters, citing an NBC poll that shows Sanders trailing Clinton by four percentage points in the Hoosier State.
Calling the race to win a majority of pledged delegates ahead of the convention “admittedly a tough hill to climb,” Sanders’ campaign tells supporters that “winning Indiana tomorrow night would not only cut into Secretary Clinton’s lead, but it would send a powerful message to the political establishment and corporate media who just want this race to end so they can get on with the ratings and fundraising bonanza that would be a Clinton v. Trump general election.
After asking for donations to help this upset occur, Sanders’ campaign makes an interesting argument about its ability to keep Clinton from clinching a pledged-delegate majority (although, perhaps, not a highly accurate one):
Let’s be clear. It is virtually impossible for Secretary Clinton to win all of the pledged delegates she needs to capture the nomination without the help of superdelegates at the convention. That means every vote we receive, every delegate we win between now and July strengthens our hand as we get to a contested convention.
We’ll see if this Rudy-like gumption pays off.
Updated
at 8.40pm BST
7.37pm BST7.37pm BST
19:3719:37
Trump fan to Cruz: 'Indiana don't want you'Trump fan to Cruz: 'Indiana don't want you'
CBS News has captured footage of the standoff between Ted Cruz and a Trump supporter in Indiana. Cruz wades right in and tries to talk him out of his position, to jeers of “Lyin’ Ted!”.CBS News has captured footage of the standoff between Ted Cruz and a Trump supporter in Indiana. Cruz wades right in and tries to talk him out of his position, to jeers of “Lyin’ Ted!”.
Update: here’s the footage:Update: here’s the footage:
Democracy in action. Watch it here. More to come.Democracy in action. Watch it here. More to come.
UpdatedUpdated
at 8.06pm BSTat 8.06pm BST
7.16pm BST7.16pm BST
19:1619:16
Heidi Cruz unbothered by rumors husband is Zodiac KillerHeidi Cruz unbothered by rumors husband is Zodiac Killer
Yahoo News’ Hunter Walker has asked Heidi Cruz to comment on comedian Larry Wilmore’s string of jokes at the White House correspondents’ dinner at her husband’s expense. Wilmore referred repeatedly to the good-times Internet habit of pretending that Ted Cruz is the Zodiac Killer, the mysterious and uncaptured serial murderer in California from the 1960s and 1970s.Yahoo News’ Hunter Walker has asked Heidi Cruz to comment on comedian Larry Wilmore’s string of jokes at the White House correspondents’ dinner at her husband’s expense. Wilmore referred repeatedly to the good-times Internet habit of pretending that Ted Cruz is the Zodiac Killer, the mysterious and uncaptured serial murderer in California from the 1960s and 1970s.
“Well, I’ve been married to him for 15 years and I know pretty well who he is, so it doesn’t bother me at all. There’s a lot of garbage out there,” Heidi Cruz said.“Well, I’ve been married to him for 15 years and I know pretty well who he is, so it doesn’t bother me at all. There’s a lot of garbage out there,” Heidi Cruz said.
But Cruz’s using a bleakly tinted filter to tweet a picture of himself and Indiana governor Mike Spence Monday with CNN anchor Dana Bash stoked the rumors anew:But Cruz’s using a bleakly tinted filter to tweet a picture of himself and Indiana governor Mike Spence Monday with CNN anchor Dana Bash stoked the rumors anew:
Great speaking with @DanaBashCNN alongside Gov. @mike_pence this afternoon! #ChooseCruz: https://t.co/uyE3WEApzo pic.twitter.com/tkbSinisnRGreat speaking with @DanaBashCNN alongside Gov. @mike_pence this afternoon! #ChooseCruz: https://t.co/uyE3WEApzo pic.twitter.com/tkbSinisnR
This filter is very Zodiac Killer to me https://t.co/fUn51FAGVIThis filter is very Zodiac Killer to me https://t.co/fUn51FAGVI
7.06pm BST7.06pm BST
19:0619:06
Here a serious play at the game of lowering expectations, from the husband of a certain top Hillary Clinton aide:Here a serious play at the game of lowering expectations, from the husband of a certain top Hillary Clinton aide:
I would not be at all surprised if Bernie wins Indiana. Many dems want to give a hat tip to him so long as HRC still wins.I would not be at all surprised if Bernie wins Indiana. Many dems want to give a hat tip to him so long as HRC still wins.
There hasn’t been a lot of polling in the Indiana race. Averages appear to show Clinton up in the race by about 7 points. But she was supposedly ahead in Michigan, too.There hasn’t been a lot of polling in the Indiana race. Averages appear to show Clinton up in the race by about 7 points. But she was supposedly ahead in Michigan, too.
6.53pm BST6.53pm BST
18:5318:53
New Hampshire cancels move seen as curtailing Trump supportNew Hampshire cancels move seen as curtailing Trump support
Ben JacobsBen Jacobs
An attempt by the New Hampshire Republican party to limit Donald Trump’s influence in a potential contested convention was halted Monday, when the state chair canceled a controversial online vote for positions on crucial committees just minutes after the voting deadline, writes Guardian politics reporter Ben Jacobs:An attempt by the New Hampshire Republican party to limit Donald Trump’s influence in a potential contested convention was halted Monday, when the state chair canceled a controversial online vote for positions on crucial committees just minutes after the voting deadline, writes Guardian politics reporter Ben Jacobs:
In an email obtained by the Guardian, party chair Jennifer Horn said that although all 23 of the state’s delegates to the Republican National Convention participated in the vote, she was canceling it “in the interest of full transparency”. Instead, she summoned a delegates-only meeting in Concord on Friday where those unable to attend could participate via conference call.In an email obtained by the Guardian, party chair Jennifer Horn said that although all 23 of the state’s delegates to the Republican National Convention participated in the vote, she was canceling it “in the interest of full transparency”. Instead, she summoned a delegates-only meeting in Concord on Friday where those unable to attend could participate via conference call.
Initially, in an email sent out Saturday night, the state party’s executive director proposed a slate for the eight slots on convention committees reserved for New Hampshire delegates at the Republican gathering in Cleveland in July. The proposed slate included two supporters apiece of John Kasich, Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz and one supporter of Marco Rubio. The eighth slot was left vacant.Initially, in an email sent out Saturday night, the state party’s executive director proposed a slate for the eight slots on convention committees reserved for New Hampshire delegates at the Republican gathering in Cleveland in July. The proposed slate included two supporters apiece of John Kasich, Jeb Bush and Ted Cruz and one supporter of Marco Rubio. The eighth slot was left vacant.
Trump won overwhelmingly in the Granite State’s February primary, with 35% of the vote. His nearest competitor, John Kasich, only received 15% in what was then the first primary in the country. Under New Hampshire’s relatively proportional rules, by which any candidate who gets more than 10% of the vote receives delegates, Trump was awarded 11 of the state’s 23 delegates.Trump won overwhelmingly in the Granite State’s February primary, with 35% of the vote. His nearest competitor, John Kasich, only received 15% in what was then the first primary in the country. Under New Hampshire’s relatively proportional rules, by which any candidate who gets more than 10% of the vote receives delegates, Trump was awarded 11 of the state’s 23 delegates.
Since then, the well-organized Cruz campaign has picked up stray delegates in other states that Trump won, such as Louisiana, and swept local contests inWyoming and Colorado.Since then, the well-organized Cruz campaign has picked up stray delegates in other states that Trump won, such as Louisiana, and swept local contests inWyoming and Colorado.
Read the full piece here:Read the full piece here:
Related: New Hampshire halts controversial vote meant to limit Trump's delegate supportRelated: New Hampshire halts controversial vote meant to limit Trump's delegate support
6.45pm BST6.45pm BST
18:4518:45
The Trump campaign has announced that the candidate will speak at Trump Tower in Manhattan tomorrow, following the closure of the last polling stations in Indiana at 6pm central / 7pm eastern.The Trump campaign has announced that the candidate will speak at Trump Tower in Manhattan tomorrow, following the closure of the last polling stations in Indiana at 6pm central / 7pm eastern.
6.37pm BST6.37pm BST
18:3718:37
Ted Cruz is fighting for every last vote in Indiana.Ted Cruz is fighting for every last vote in Indiana.
Cruz arguing with Trump supporters in Indiana: "Do the math!" "Ok, lyin' Ted!" "Where's your Goldman Sachs jacket?" pic.twitter.com/0NoI1yHlgkCruz arguing with Trump supporters in Indiana: "Do the math!" "Ok, lyin' Ted!" "Where's your Goldman Sachs jacket?" pic.twitter.com/0NoI1yHlgk
.@tedcruz has extended back-and-forth with Donald Trump supporters who are shouting "Lyin' Ted" in his face pic.twitter.com/AqPbpWJf5c.@tedcruz has extended back-and-forth with Donald Trump supporters who are shouting "Lyin' Ted" in his face pic.twitter.com/AqPbpWJf5c
6.26pm BST6.26pm BST
18:2618:26
Nominal Ted Cruz running mate Carly Fiorina slipped off a stage at a Cruz rally Monday, according to a Hollywood Reporter dispatch. There’s no report as yet of any injury, details to come.Nominal Ted Cruz running mate Carly Fiorina slipped off a stage at a Cruz rally Monday, according to a Hollywood Reporter dispatch. There’s no report as yet of any injury, details to come.
Carly Fiorina falls off stage at Ted Cruz's Indiana event https://t.co/Hvve1xl6x0 pic.twitter.com/yAVcOTyhb9Carly Fiorina falls off stage at Ted Cruz's Indiana event https://t.co/Hvve1xl6x0 pic.twitter.com/yAVcOTyhb9
Update: nothing apparently hurt. Video shows that Fiorina was quickly back on her feet:Update: nothing apparently hurt. Video shows that Fiorina was quickly back on her feet:
UpdatedUpdated
at 6.40pm BSTat 6.40pm BST
6.24pm BST6.24pm BST
18:2418:24
Clinton out-raises Sanders in AprilClinton out-raises Sanders in April
Hillary Clinton raised more money than Bernie Sanders last month for the first time in 2016, according to end-of-month totals released by the campaigns.Hillary Clinton raised more money than Bernie Sanders last month for the first time in 2016, according to end-of-month totals released by the campaigns.
Clinton reported a $26m haul for April, while Sanders reportedly took in $25.8m – significantly down from his high-water-marks in February and March, when he took in $43.5m and $44m, respectively.Clinton reported a $26m haul for April, while Sanders reportedly took in $25.8m – significantly down from his high-water-marks in February and March, when he took in $43.5m and $44m, respectively.
Sixty-five percent of Sanders’ fundraising in the cycle this far has come from small individual contributions, according to the campaign finance web site Open Secrets, compared with 19% for Clinton. Clinton has reported receipt of $133m in large individual contributions, versus $64m for Sanders.Sixty-five percent of Sanders’ fundraising in the cycle this far has come from small individual contributions, according to the campaign finance web site Open Secrets, compared with 19% for Clinton. Clinton has reported receipt of $133m in large individual contributions, versus $64m for Sanders.
6.00pm BST
18:00
North Carolina voters want transgender discrimination law repealed – poll
Half of registered voters in North Carolina disapprove of a law barring transgender people access to their preferred bathrooms and nearly as many want the law repealed, according to a new survey from bipartisan polling firm Red America, Blue America.
Forty-eight percent of poll respondents said they believed the law, HB2, should be repealed, while 34% wanted the law to remain in place and 18% were not sure.
The result appeared to hinge on political independents, who disapproved of the law 52-33. Republicans in the poll largely supported the law, which was signed by Republican governor Pat McCrory in March, while Democrats opposed it.
Some North Carolinians believe the law has cost the state economically. In protest of the law, PayPal canceled plans for a facility in Charlotte, North Carolina, that would have created 500 local jobs, the Charlotte Observer reported, while “at least 20 conventions and events have dropped plans to come.”
“North Carolina did something that was very strong. And they’re paying a big price, there’s a lot of problems,” Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump said last month.
McRory, who is in a re-election fight this year, has blamed the Charlotte mayor for the law, which the legislature signed in a special rush session after the city of Charlotte passed a local ordinance saying that people could use bathrooms in line with their gender identities, irrespective of what was on their birth certificates.
“It’s absolutely not personal on my end,” McRory told the Observer on Friday. “We have to correct the record of both your newspaper and national newspapers … This whole bathroom idea was the political left’s idea, not the political right.”
That was a slightly different explanation from the one he gave at the time:
Ordinance defied common sense, allowing men to use women’s bathroom/locker room for instance. That’s why I signed bipartisan bill to stop it
Pollster Brad Anderson of Red America, Blue America said the law may also be influencing the state’s attorney general race, in which the Republican candidate called on supporters at a rally to “keep our state straight.”
“It is a safe bet to say the new HB2 legislation has done the Republican party no favors in North Carolina,” Anderson said. “Independent voters oppose the law just as strongly as Republicans support it, which could be a problem for Republicans in November.”
Updated
at 6.02pm BST
5.27pm BST
17:27
GOP Congressman reserves stance on Trump-Clinton matchup
First billionaire bankroller Charles Koch suggested that it was possible that he and his brother, David, would support Hillary Clinton over the Republican nominee.
Now Republican representative David Jolly of Florida, who’s running for the US senate, says he does not know whom he would support in a Clinton-Trump race.
“So, I’m going tell you something you rarely hear in elected official say: I don’t know,” Jolly told AM970 The Answer, in an interview flagged by BuzzFeed’s Andrew Kaczynski. “I truly don’t know.”
Jolly said he called on Trump to drop out of the race after Trump called for a ban on Muslims.
“I also have strong disagreements with secretary Clinton,” Jolly says. “I’m a Republican, and I hope we can find a conservative leader.”
Updated
at 5.27pm BST
5.15pm BST
17:15
Campaign bloopers. Although anything looks like a blooper when you loop it over a
tuba
bassline like that and finish with an air horn.
Oh no. OH GOD NO. https://t.co/OG9TerQn8u
Updated
at 5.17pm BST
4.48pm BST
16:48
This is a pretty bracing anti-Trump ad from the senate race in Arkansas. It accuses Trump of harassment, with selections from the catalogue of odious things Trump has said about women, including a few less well circulated examples:
So, how is it that a long-shot Senate candidate in AR produced a more powerful anti-Trump ad than any GOP rivals? https://t.co/VsC4No7dze …
In fairness, Trump's Republican rivals only had a measly couple of hundred million dollars to work with https://t.co/mgdzvTHaT4
Update: influential anti-Trump conservative voices think it hits the mark:
Want a preview of the general election campaign for the Senate? Just watch this new ad. Damn. https://t.co/ewViNfEcIn
Damn, son. https://t.co/aa19I5HfEh
Updated
at 5.12pm BST
4.40pm BST
16:40
Cruz says 'absolutely' path to victory without Indiana
Ted Cruz needs 672 more delegates to clear 1,237, according to the AP tally. Unfortunately, there are only 10 Republican contests left – and only 502 pledged delegates remain to be awarded. So any path Cruz has to the Republican nomination, barring some truly wild twist, involves Donald Trump failing to capture a 1,237 delegate majority, unleashing a chaos from which Cruz could emerge as the nominee.
Cruz said on Monday that he “absolutely” has a path to the nomination if he loses in Indiana, where the victor is expected to gather 40-some delegates. If Trump collects such a prize, he would need to grab about 45% of the remaining pledged delegates to cross the line, very doable for him based on past performance. (And Trump could get to 1,237 without winning Indiana.)
The path Cruz sees to the nomination after an Indiana loss, in short, remains well-hidden to everyone else, and would seem to involve a sudden and drastic shift in momentum in the race of the kind that’s difficult to imagine.
WATCH: @TedCruz tells @ABC he "absolutely" has a path to victory if he loses Indiana primary https://t.co/ei4Ay1gSZ0 https://t.co/4kM5zeBk8Z
4.13pm BST
16:13
Both Trump and Clinton historically unpopular
FiveThirtyEight’s Harry Enten notes the historic unpopularity, going back to 1988, of both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, at this stage in the nominating race.
If you look @ net very fav ratings, it becomes clear dislike for Clinton/Trump is historic & not just a time trend. pic.twitter.com/KvZHvzy5ou
The figures below reflect the opinions of the public at large. Both Donald Trump and Ted Cruz are viewed favorably by a majority of Republican voters, according to polling.
Clinton’s favorability among Democrats hit a new low last month, but remained as high as +36 or 66-30, according to Gallup. Bernie Sanders’ net favorability among Democrats was measured highest of all, at +52.
So the historic un-favorability of the frontrunners this cycle may in part be attributable to growing political polarization, in which a smaller share of partisans on one side are open to seeing the other side’s nominee as acceptable.
Clinton is historically unpopular at this point... Trump, though, is on another planet with the general electorate. pic.twitter.com/gaQI0ShWVT
Updated
at 4.16pm BST
3.54pm BST
15:54
Racing to close the deal in Indiana, Ted Cruz has rolled out a video ad featuring his endorsement by governor Mike Spence, whom Donald Trump was actively courting late last month.
But Spence, who signed a law placing new restrictions on abortions in March, rebuffed Trump’s overtures to back Cruz, whom he praises as a “principled conservative”.
“I’m a Reagan conservative,” Spence says in the new ad. “I see Ted Cruz as a principled conservative who’s dedicated his career to advocating the Reagan agenda.”
3.46pm BST
15:46
Workers fight for dignity in Trump's Las Vegas hotel: 'You don't talk to the boss'
Oliver Laughland
Maricella Olvera encounters Donald Trump on occasion, but she’s careful not to say a word. The 47-year-old cleans the penthouse at the Trump International Hotel Las Vegas, where Trump, his family, and celebrity guests often come to stay. She cleans around them in silence. Trump is always uninterested, report the Guardian’s Oliver Laughland and Mae West:
“The policy is: you don’t talk to the boss,” she said at her small one-bedroom home, on the joyously named Sing Song Way in the city’s northern suburbs.
While Olvera may be silent at work, she and a collective of cleaners, bar workers, and kitchen staff at the Trump hotel have been a thorn in the billionaire’s side for the past year, using what voice they have to remind the public of the hypocrisy that surrounds his audacious run for the presidency and his record as an employer.
Although Trump has touted himself as “the greatest jobs president that God has ever created”, these workers point to the fact they are paid on average $3 less than the thousands of unionised hotel workers in Las Vegas who work identical jobs and enjoy a host of other benefits, including pensions and free health insurance, not available to Trump employees.
Earlier this month, following a protracted dispute with Trump and his co-owner, casino billionaire Phil Ruffin, the National Labor Relations Board officially certified a union for over 500 staff at the hotel. Workers argue they have been subjected to surveillance, intimidation, and unlawful dismissal as they have sought to organize.
Read the full piece here:
Related: 'You don't talk to the boss': in Trump's Las Vegas hotel, workers are fighting for dignity
Updated
at 3.46pm BST
2.52pm BST
14:52
Seattle police used pepper spray to disperse black-clad anti-capitalist protesters authorities say threw rocks, flares, bricks and Molotov cocktails at officers during a rowdy May Day gathering, the Associated Press reports:
At least nine people were arrested Sunday evening. Authorities said five officers were hurt, none seriously.
The clashes in Seattle followed a peaceful march in the city earlier in the day by advocates for workers and immigrants, just one of several events in cities nationwide Sunday to call for better wages for workers, an end to deportations and support for an Obama administration plan to give work permits to immigrants in the country illegally whose children are American citizens.
In Los Angeles hundreds of May Day marchers took to the streets chanting slogans and carrying signs and at least one Donald Trump piñata.
Read further here:
Related: May Day protesters rally against Trump, deportations in Seattle and Los Angeles
2.02pm BST
14:02
Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. A Marist poll released at the weekend had Donald Trump ahead of Ted Cruz by 15 points, 49-34, in the Republican race in Indiana, which holds primaries tomorrow and which could significantly simplify Trump’s path to winning the Republican presidential nomination outright. (Trump’s lead in the Marist poll was about double his lead in polling averages.)
If talk of a contested convention is diminishing on the Republican side, however, Vermont senator Bernie Sanders has predicted such a twist in the Democratic race. Sanders said on Sunday that he would continue battling against Hillary Clinton, revealing plans for a new series of mega-rallies in California.
“She will need superdelegates to take her over the top at the convention in Philadelphia,” Sanders said. “In other words the convention will be a contested contest.”
Related: Bernie Sanders vows a contested convention despite 'tough road' ahead
The Republican fight for Indiana, meanwhile, saw Texas senator Ted Cruz make a last-ditch series of attacks on Donald Trump on Sunday. “No one is going to clinch it on the first ballot. I’m not and Donald Trump is not either,” Cruz said. “It’s why Donald Trump is so desperate to say it’s over now... It’s going to be a contested convention.”
Trump made headlines in the Hoosier state by accusing China of “the greatest theft in the history of the world” and of “raping” the United States.
In other news, president Obama tickled his audience in his final turn at the annual White House Correspondents’ Dinner on Saturday by poking fun at Trump and Clinton and concluding his remarks with a mic drop.
Related: Barack Obama in surprise swipe at Clinton at final correspondents' dinner
And it’s Harvard for Malia Obama, after a gap year:
Related: Malia Obama to attend Harvard – but will hold off until 2017 for 'gap year'
Thanks as always for joining us, and jump right in in the comments to tell us what you think will happen in Indiana.