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The charts that show George Osborne's March of the Makers has gone nowhere The charts that show George Osborne's March of the Makers has gone nowhere
(35 minutes later)
The latest official manufacturing figures from the Office for National Statistics today where bad.The latest official manufacturing figures from the Office for National Statistics today where bad.
Output in March actually rose by 0.1 per cent. But that followed February's 1.1 per cent plunge. And over the first quarter of the year output from Britain's manufacturers sank by 1.96 per cent on the same quarter a year earlier. That's the biggest annual fall since the final three months of 2012: Output in March actually rose by 0.1 per cent. But that followed February's 0.9 per cent plunge. And over the first quarter of the year output from Britain's manufacturers sank by 1.96 per cent on the same quarter a year earlier. That's the biggest annual fall since the final three months of 2012:
In the 2011 Budget George Osborne held out the prospect of a "March of the Makers".In the 2011 Budget George Osborne held out the prospect of a "March of the Makers".
But what the latest data makes clear beyond any doubt is that the march has gone nowhere:But what the latest data makes clear beyond any doubt is that the march has gone nowhere:
Seven years after the end of the recession manufacturing output is still a dismal 8.3 per cent on where it was. Seven years after the end of the recession manufacturing output is still a dismal 8.3 per cent down on where it was.
This figure is not given the attention it deserves by commentators. One often hears that the trend path of GDP growth before the crisis was "unsustainable" because there was a finance bubble. This line is wielded by commentators to rebut claims that the economy is suffering from a chronic lack of demand in the economy today.  This gap is not given the attention it deserves by commentators. One often hears that the trend path of GDP growth before the crisis was "unsustainable" because there was a finance bubble. This line is wielded to rebut claims that the economy is suffering from a chronic lack of demand today. Pumping up demand through state stimulus would merely produce inflation, we're told.
But in 2008 manufacturers were able to produce a level of output 8 per cent higher than today with no discernible inflationary pressures. For Britain's "makers", the main problem is plainly a lack of demand, both here in Britain and the rest of the world.But in 2008 manufacturers were able to produce a level of output 8 per cent higher than today with no discernible inflationary pressures. For Britain's "makers", the main problem is plainly a lack of demand, both here in Britain and the rest of the world.