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EU referendum: Rival claims on immigration and economy EU referendum: Rival claims on immigration and economy
(about 3 hours later)
Both sides in the EU referendum debate have stepped up warnings on the core issues of the economy and immigration.Both sides in the EU referendum debate have stepped up warnings on the core issues of the economy and immigration.
Prime Minister David Cameron and former bosses of four major High Street retailers say leaving the EU would drive up household bills and risk jobs.Prime Minister David Cameron and former bosses of four major High Street retailers say leaving the EU would drive up household bills and risk jobs.
Brexit campaigners say the UK would be vulnerable to criminals arriving from countries seeking to join the EU, such as Turkey, if it voted to remain. Leave campaigners say the UK would be powerless to stop Turkey joining the EU and a potential influx of criminals.
Meanwhile, a major drive to register voters starts this week. Defence minister Penny Mordaunt said the referendum was the "only chance" for the UK to have its say on Turkey.
Writing in The Sun on Sunday, the prime minister said the cost of a weekly shop would rise by almost 3% if Britain left the EU - equivalent to an extra £120 a year on food and drink for the average family. Mr Cameron said the UK had a veto on other countries joining the EU in future and it would take Turkey "literally decades".
Clothes and shoes prices would increase 5%, and wage growth would slow, he argued, questioning whether such increases would be "worth it". Politics live: EU campaign latest
The UK's EU vote: All you need to knowThe UK's EU vote: All you need to know
Politics Live: EU campaign latest As he sought to focus his arguments on the economy, Mr Cameron wrote in The Sun on Sunday, that the cost of a weekly shop would rise by almost 3% if Britain left the EU - equivalent to an extra £120 a year on food and drink for the average family.
Clothes prices would increase 5%, and wage growth would slow, he argued, questioning whether such increases would be "worth it".
Mr Cameron told ITV's Peston on Sunday that this analysis was based on a "simple and straightforward" calculation that the UK's exit from the EU would lead to a 12% fall in the value of sterling and a sharp rise in inflation.
The ex-chiefs of Tesco, Sainsbury's, Marks & Spencer and B&Q warn in an article in the Mail on Sunday that leaving the EU could have a "catastrophic" impact on Britain's economy.The ex-chiefs of Tesco, Sainsbury's, Marks & Spencer and B&Q warn in an article in the Mail on Sunday that leaving the EU could have a "catastrophic" impact on Britain's economy.
Quitting would send prices in the shops higher and risk a rise in inflation, job losses and further falls in the pound, former executives Sir Terry Leahy of Tesco, Marc Bolland of M&S, Justin King of Sainsbury's and Sir Ian Cheshire of B&Q owner Kingfisher said.Quitting would send prices in the shops higher and risk a rise in inflation, job losses and further falls in the pound, former executives Sir Terry Leahy of Tesco, Marc Bolland of M&S, Justin King of Sainsbury's and Sir Ian Cheshire of B&Q owner Kingfisher said.
Other EU countries could "exploit" exit negotiations for their own benefit, they add, saying: "It's difficult to imagine that French farmers will continue to allow British lamb to be freely imported."Other EU countries could "exploit" exit negotiations for their own benefit, they add, saying: "It's difficult to imagine that French farmers will continue to allow British lamb to be freely imported."
However, there have been competing claims by opposing sides over what impact leaving the EU would have on the UK's economy.However, there have been competing claims by opposing sides over what impact leaving the EU would have on the UK's economy.
A group of eight influential economists from the group Economists for Brexit previously argued that leaving the EU would boost the UK economy by 4% in 10 years, and prices in the UK would fall by 8% without EU import tariffs.A group of eight influential economists from the group Economists for Brexit previously argued that leaving the EU would boost the UK economy by 4% in 10 years, and prices in the UK would fall by 8% without EU import tariffs.
'Less safe''Less safe'
Also on Sunday, Leave campaigners warned that if Britain remained in the EU, it would be vulnerable to the entry of murderers, terrorists and kidnappers from countries on the path to EU membership.Also on Sunday, Leave campaigners warned that if Britain remained in the EU, it would be vulnerable to the entry of murderers, terrorists and kidnappers from countries on the path to EU membership.
The accession of Turkey, Albania, Montenegro, Serbia and Macedonia would bring 12,726,000 guns into the single market, Vote Leave said.The accession of Turkey, Albania, Montenegro, Serbia and Macedonia would bring 12,726,000 guns into the single market, Vote Leave said.
The Brexit camp used Romanian and Bulgarian migration rates to predict that about 142,000 Turkish citizens a year could head to the UK if the country gained full EU membership.The Brexit camp used Romanian and Bulgarian migration rates to predict that about 142,000 Turkish citizens a year could head to the UK if the country gained full EU membership.
'One chance'
High Turkish birth rates - 17.4 per 1,000 people compared with 12.1 in Britain in 2014 - could cost the NHS £400m in maternity services in a decade, it claimed.High Turkish birth rates - 17.4 per 1,000 people compared with 12.1 in Britain in 2014 - could cost the NHS £400m in maternity services in a decade, it claimed.
Armed forces minister Penny Mordaunt said many countries looking to join the EU had "high crime rates, problems with gangs and terror cells as well as challenging levels of poverty". The government insists that the UK and other EU members have a veto on new members joining the EU.
"I believe that this is dangerous and it will make us less safe," she said. But armed forces minister Penny Mordaunt told the BBC that the migrant crisis was likely to accelerate Turkey joining the EU and the referendum was the UK's "only chance" of making clear its opposition.
Remain campaigners said Turkey would not join the EU "any time soon". "I don't think the EU is going to keep Turkey out," she told the Andrew Marr show. "It is going to join...It is a matter of when."
And former Conservative foreign secretary Sir Malcolm Rifkind said Britain could veto any new country joining. She rejected claims that these
If Turkey did join "in the distant future", the UK government would have the power to impose transitional restrictions on entry, he said. "If you are going to pursue an expansion policy, you have to allow us the tools to protect our own interests, to protect our national security. That we do not have...If you are going to ever expand the EU, you have to allow us to mitigate the security risk that comes with that."
'Fearmongering'
Remain campaigners said Turkey would not join the EU "any time soon" while former Conservative foreign secretary Sir Malcolm Rifkind said Britain could veto any new country joining and, if they did, the UK would have the power to impose transitional restrictions on entry.
Former Labour Chancellor Alistair Darling accused Leave campaigners of "fearmongering" over new countries joining the EU.Former Labour Chancellor Alistair Darling accused Leave campaigners of "fearmongering" over new countries joining the EU.
Writing in the Mail on Sunday, he said the "wild predictions" were "designed to deceive rather than inform".Writing in the Mail on Sunday, he said the "wild predictions" were "designed to deceive rather than inform".
Mr Darling added: "The idea that Turkey and others are on the brink of joining is such a far-fetched notion that even Boris Johnson has said it is 'simply not on the cards'.Mr Darling added: "The idea that Turkey and others are on the brink of joining is such a far-fetched notion that even Boris Johnson has said it is 'simply not on the cards'.
"So why is the Leave campaign reaching for the UKIP playbook? Because they cannot win an argument that Britain's economy will prosper outside Europe.""So why is the Leave campaign reaching for the UKIP playbook? Because they cannot win an argument that Britain's economy will prosper outside Europe."
EU referendum: In depthEU referendum: In depth
EU for beginners: A guideEU for beginners: A guide
UK and the EU: Better off out or in?UK and the EU: Better off out or in?
A-Z guide to EU-speakA-Z guide to EU-speak
Who's who: The Vote Leave teamWho's who: The Vote Leave team
Who's who: The Remain campaignWho's who: The Remain campaign
'Switching camp''Switching camp'
With just over a month to go until the 23 June referendum, a poll by Sunday newspaper The Observer and Opinium has suggested that Conservative voters are switching to the Remain camp.With just over a month to go until the 23 June referendum, a poll by Sunday newspaper The Observer and Opinium has suggested that Conservative voters are switching to the Remain camp.
According to the poll, 48% of Tory backers say they want to stay in the EU, compared with 41% who want to leave.According to the poll, 48% of Tory backers say they want to stay in the EU, compared with 41% who want to leave.
The first Opinium/Observer referendum poll in early April showed 44% of Conservative voters in favour of leaving against 39% who backed staying in.The first Opinium/Observer referendum poll in early April showed 44% of Conservative voters in favour of leaving against 39% who backed staying in.
EU referendum poll trackerEU referendum poll tracker
With a little over a fortnight until the 7 June voter registration deadline, 28 million UK households are to be targeted in a £2.4m campaign by The Electoral Commission to persuade people to vote, starting this week.With a little over a fortnight until the 7 June voter registration deadline, 28 million UK households are to be targeted in a £2.4m campaign by The Electoral Commission to persuade people to vote, starting this week.
As well as a major advertising campaign, every known household with a postal address in the UK will be sent a booklet on how to register to vote, and what to do on polling day.As well as a major advertising campaign, every known household with a postal address in the UK will be sent a booklet on how to register to vote, and what to do on polling day.