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EU referendum: Osborne warns of Brexit budget cuts | EU referendum: Osborne warns of Brexit budget cuts |
(about 2 hours later) | |
George Osborne says he will have to slash public spending and increase taxes in an emergency Budget to tackle a £30bn "black hole" if the UK votes to leave the European Union. | George Osborne says he will have to slash public spending and increase taxes in an emergency Budget to tackle a £30bn "black hole" if the UK votes to leave the European Union. |
The chancellor will say this could include raising income and inheritance taxes and cutting the NHS budget. | The chancellor will say this could include raising income and inheritance taxes and cutting the NHS budget. |
But 57 Tory MPs have said his position would be "untenable" if he tries to cut NHS, police and school spending. | |
And Vote Leave criticised Remain's "hysterical prophecies of doom". | And Vote Leave criticised Remain's "hysterical prophecies of doom". |
The UK votes on whether to remain in the EU or to leave on 23 June. | The UK votes on whether to remain in the EU or to leave on 23 June. |
In other referendum news: | In other referendum news: |
In the latest of a series of government warnings about the consequences of a vote to leave, Mr Osborne will share a stage with his Labour predecessor, Lord Darling, setting out £30bn of "illustrative" tax rises and spending cuts. | In the latest of a series of government warnings about the consequences of a vote to leave, Mr Osborne will share a stage with his Labour predecessor, Lord Darling, setting out £30bn of "illustrative" tax rises and spending cuts. |
These include a 2p rise in the basic rate of income tax and a 3p rise in the higher rate, while they will also say spending on the police, transport and local government could take a 5% cut. | These include a 2p rise in the basic rate of income tax and a 3p rise in the higher rate, while they will also say spending on the police, transport and local government could take a 5% cut. |
They will also say the ring-fenced NHS budget could be "slashed", along with education, defence and policing. | They will also say the ring-fenced NHS budget could be "slashed", along with education, defence and policing. |
Mr Osborne and Lord Darling will say the measures - £15bn of tax rises and £15bn of cuts - are based on the Institute for Fiscal Studies' predictions about the economic impact of a vote to leave from lower trade, investment, and tax receipts. | Mr Osborne and Lord Darling will say the measures - £15bn of tax rises and £15bn of cuts - are based on the Institute for Fiscal Studies' predictions about the economic impact of a vote to leave from lower trade, investment, and tax receipts. |
The IFS has said such an outcome could trigger between an extra one to two years of austerity measures. | The IFS has said such an outcome could trigger between an extra one to two years of austerity measures. |
Writing in The Times ahead of their speech, Mr Osborne and Lord Darling say that leaving the EU would lead to a "profound economic shock that would hit the economy and could tip Britain back into recession". | Writing in The Times ahead of their speech, Mr Osborne and Lord Darling say that leaving the EU would lead to a "profound economic shock that would hit the economy and could tip Britain back into recession". |
"We know all too well what happens when Britain loses control of its public finances," they wrote. | "We know all too well what happens when Britain loses control of its public finances," they wrote. |
"We're agreed that a vote to leave risks doing the same thing to Britain all over again." | "We're agreed that a vote to leave risks doing the same thing to Britain all over again." |
Warning of a "lose-lose" situation, Mr Osborne will say: "As chancellor, I would have a responsibility to try to restore stability to the public finances and that would mean an emergency Budget where we would have to increase taxes and cut spending." | Warning of a "lose-lose" situation, Mr Osborne will say: "As chancellor, I would have a responsibility to try to restore stability to the public finances and that would mean an emergency Budget where we would have to increase taxes and cut spending." |
Lord Darling will say he is "more worried" than he was when the financial crisis hit in 2008. | Lord Darling will say he is "more worried" than he was when the financial crisis hit in 2008. |
'Prophecies of doom' | 'Prophecies of doom' |
The Conservative government last year introduced legislation not to raise income tax rates, VAT or National Insurance for the duration of the Parliament. | The Conservative government last year introduced legislation not to raise income tax rates, VAT or National Insurance for the duration of the Parliament. |
Leave campaigners dismissed the warning from Mr Osborne. | Leave campaigners dismissed the warning from Mr Osborne. |
Iain Duncan Smith, Liam Fox and Owen Paterson are among the Conservative MPs who have signed a statement saying they "cannot possibly allow" cuts to services their party promised to protect in their 2015 manifesto. | |
'We find it incredible that the chancellor could seriously be threatening to renege on so many manifesto pledges," they said. | |
"It is absurd to say that if people vote to take back control from the EU that he would want to punish them in this way." | |
They added: "If he were to proceed with these proposals, the chancellor's position would become untenable." | |
Conservative MP and Vote Leave campaigner Steve Baker said: "I am shocked that the chancellor is threatening to break so many key manifesto pledges on which all Conservative MPs were elected. | Conservative MP and Vote Leave campaigner Steve Baker said: "I am shocked that the chancellor is threatening to break so many key manifesto pledges on which all Conservative MPs were elected. |
"I could not support these plans to cut the NHS and increase taxes on hardworking families." | "I could not support these plans to cut the NHS and increase taxes on hardworking families." |
Mr Baker said leaving the EU would allow the UK to "take back control" of millions sent to the EU and reinvest in the NHS. | Mr Baker said leaving the EU would allow the UK to "take back control" of millions sent to the EU and reinvest in the NHS. |
He accused the Remain campaign of panicking, adding that "no one will believe these hysterical prophecies of doom anymore". | He accused the Remain campaign of panicking, adding that "no one will believe these hysterical prophecies of doom anymore". |
And a senior Conservative told the BBC it was "laughable" to think Mr Osborne would still be chancellor if the UK voted to leave, adding: "He'll be carried away by the men in white coats before he gets the chance to make these ludicrous proposals." | And a senior Conservative told the BBC it was "laughable" to think Mr Osborne would still be chancellor if the UK voted to leave, adding: "He'll be carried away by the men in white coats before he gets the chance to make these ludicrous proposals." |