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Shares stage recovery after referendum meltdown Shares stage recovery after referendum meltdown
(2 months later)
European stock markets rallied in what analysts called a “dead cat bounce”, bringing some respite after the UK’s vote to leave the European Union wiped $3tn off global stocks.European stock markets rallied in what analysts called a “dead cat bounce”, bringing some respite after the UK’s vote to leave the European Union wiped $3tn off global stocks.
In their worst-ever rout, equity markets lost $2tn of their value on Friday, with a further $930bn wiped off on Monday when the UK was stripped of its last AAA credit rating. Some analysts have warned of a full-blown recession in the UK.In their worst-ever rout, equity markets lost $2tn of their value on Friday, with a further $930bn wiped off on Monday when the UK was stripped of its last AAA credit rating. Some analysts have warned of a full-blown recession in the UK.
Related: Sir Richard Branson: Chinese investors quitting UK over Brexit vote - business live
Stock markets clawed back some of their losses on Tuesday, and sterling strengthened for the first time since Friday’s referendum result wrongfooted the markets – although by the time London closed it had given back some of the gains.The FTSE 100 closed 2.6% higher at 6140.Stock markets clawed back some of their losses on Tuesday, and sterling strengthened for the first time since Friday’s referendum result wrongfooted the markets – although by the time London closed it had given back some of the gains.The FTSE 100 closed 2.6% higher at 6140.
The French, German and Spanish stock markets also recovered some of their recent losses. The Dax in Frankfurt closed 2% higher, while the Cac in Paris ended 2.6% up.The French, German and Spanish stock markets also recovered some of their recent losses. The Dax in Frankfurt closed 2% higher, while the Cac in Paris ended 2.6% up.
Joe Rundle, head of trading at ETX Capital, said: “This looks like a classic dead cat bounce. Whatever the leave side is saying about the fallout from the Brexit vote, the effects are very real and already starting to hit home.”Joe Rundle, head of trading at ETX Capital, said: “This looks like a classic dead cat bounce. Whatever the leave side is saying about the fallout from the Brexit vote, the effects are very real and already starting to hit home.”
Britain still has a large deficit and is heading into a recessionBritain still has a large deficit and is heading into a recession
UK banks, including Lloyds Banking Group, Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland, along with the housebuilders, made gains after heavy losses in the previous two sessions.UK banks, including Lloyds Banking Group, Barclays and Royal Bank of Scotland, along with the housebuilders, made gains after heavy losses in the previous two sessions.
A Bank of England offer of special cash to the banking sector appeared to show no obvious tensions in the market. In the last of three special lending operations announced before the referendum in an effort to quell anxiety about the health of the banking system, £3.1bn of extra liquidity was provided to banks. While this was 10 times as much as in the previous auction, the Bank’s data showed that banks were not scrambling to pay high sums for the loans provided.A Bank of England offer of special cash to the banking sector appeared to show no obvious tensions in the market. In the last of three special lending operations announced before the referendum in an effort to quell anxiety about the health of the banking system, £3.1bn of extra liquidity was provided to banks. While this was 10 times as much as in the previous auction, the Bank’s data showed that banks were not scrambling to pay high sums for the loans provided.
After Monday’s rout in RBS shares, when they lost 25% at one stage, the bank’s chief executive wrote to staff to reassure them that it had made contingency plans for a Brexit vote. Aircraft engine maker Rolls-Royceand insurer Legal & General also reassured shareholders.After Monday’s rout in RBS shares, when they lost 25% at one stage, the bank’s chief executive wrote to staff to reassure them that it had made contingency plans for a Brexit vote. Aircraft engine maker Rolls-Royceand insurer Legal & General also reassured shareholders.
However, entrepreneur Sir Richard Branson sounded the alarm about thousands of job losses caused by investors pulling business from the UK. Economists are downgrading their forecasts for the UK economy.Rundle, said thedowngrades from credit rating agencies were the “first real signal that the Brexit vote has serious real-world repercussions for people’s finances”.However, entrepreneur Sir Richard Branson sounded the alarm about thousands of job losses caused by investors pulling business from the UK. Economists are downgrading their forecasts for the UK economy.Rundle, said thedowngrades from credit rating agencies were the “first real signal that the Brexit vote has serious real-world repercussions for people’s finances”.
He added: “Britain still has a large deficit and is heading into a recession – a ratings downgrade that makes government borrowing more expensive is the last thing the country needs if the tax take is reduced.”He added: “Britain still has a large deficit and is heading into a recession – a ratings downgrade that makes government borrowing more expensive is the last thing the country needs if the tax take is reduced.”
Housebuilder Redrow, though, said house sales would not be affected by the Brexit vote, predicting that pretax profits for the year to September would hit the top end of analysts’ estimates, of £240m.Housebuilder Redrow, though, said house sales would not be affected by the Brexit vote, predicting that pretax profits for the year to September would hit the top end of analysts’ estimates, of £240m.
Sterling, which hit a 31-year low of $1.3118 on Monday, has been regarded as main barometer to the market’s attitude to the EU referendum result. After two days of heavy losses, it gained almost 1% against the US dollar to $1.3350. When London closed, sterling had fallen back to $1.33. Against the euro, it rose to €1.211, but was later trading at €1.203.Sterling, which hit a 31-year low of $1.3118 on Monday, has been regarded as main barometer to the market’s attitude to the EU referendum result. After two days of heavy losses, it gained almost 1% against the US dollar to $1.3350. When London closed, sterling had fallen back to $1.33. Against the euro, it rose to €1.211, but was later trading at €1.203.
Kit Juckes at French bank Société Générale said: “Markets are bouncing, and can bounce further but the clouds on the horizon are dark, and they’re real. Sterling can bounce to $1.35 for example – but the UK has no government and no plan for the future.”Kit Juckes at French bank Société Générale said: “Markets are bouncing, and can bounce further but the clouds on the horizon are dark, and they’re real. Sterling can bounce to $1.35 for example – but the UK has no government and no plan for the future.”
In Asia, however, stock markets struggled to shrug off the Brexit vote. Japan’s Nikkei was only just in positive territory at 15,323.14 while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng closed 0.25% lower at 20,176.42. Several Asian governments are preparing stimulus packages: Japan’s economy minister said measures were likely to include assistance for small businesses.In Asia, however, stock markets struggled to shrug off the Brexit vote. Japan’s Nikkei was only just in positive territory at 15,323.14 while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng closed 0.25% lower at 20,176.42. Several Asian governments are preparing stimulus packages: Japan’s economy minister said measures were likely to include assistance for small businesses.
David Cameron is heading to Brussels to explain the Brexit vote to Europe’s leaders at a two-day summit.David Cameron is heading to Brussels to explain the Brexit vote to Europe’s leaders at a two-day summit.
Economists at Daiwa Capital Markets said: “Over dinner, Cameron will have to explain the UK’s post-referendum position and plead for constructive negotiations while facing a barrage of criticism from other leaders. And, of course, the weakness of the UK bargaining position will be laid bare when Cameron will be excluded from discussions among the remaining 27 member state leaders.”Economists at Daiwa Capital Markets said: “Over dinner, Cameron will have to explain the UK’s post-referendum position and plead for constructive negotiations while facing a barrage of criticism from other leaders. And, of course, the weakness of the UK bargaining position will be laid bare when Cameron will be excluded from discussions among the remaining 27 member state leaders.”