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Brexit live: Theresa May and Boris Johnson set to announce leadership bids Brexit live: Theresa May and Boris Johnson set to announce leadership bids
(35 minutes later)
8.10am BST
08:10
On the theme of angry letters regarding Jeremy Corbyn, here’s one from Alan Johnson to his constituency Labour party. Johnson writes that “three of Corbyn’s closest associates were actively undermining the party’s Remajn campaign”.
This is quite the letter. Alan Johnson to his Constituency Labour Party. pic.twitter.com/gzVEJchCxi
8.03am BST
08:03
Head of Germany's federal chancellery says UK cannot have access to single market
Peter Walker
Peter Altmaier, head of the federal chancellery in Germany, and a key ally of Angela Merkel, has poured more cold water on the idea that the UK could have post-Brexit access to the EU’s single market while also imposing limits on the arrival of people from the bloc.
He told BBC Radio 4’s Today programme that while anything could be negotiated, this idea, mooted earlier this week by Boris Johnson among others, would seem unacceptable:
There will be a process where the British government is considering what they are putting on the table. But nobody in this negotiation will be obliged to accept anything that is put on the table. It is a negotiation...
What you can find from the past is that freedom of movement is at least as important as freedom of goods, services and capital. These four fundamental freedoms are at the heart of the single market. That means that any country that would like to participate in the single market, basically has to accept the single market as it exists.
Updated
at 8.22am BST
8.02am BST
08:02
Despite statements from various political figures yesterday that Brexit is definitely going to happen, in London and Scotland the message is still yet to fully hit home. The Evening Standard reported that the Chief Minister of Gibraltar has revealed he is in talks with Sadiq Khan and Nicola Sturgeon to draw up plans for protection against Brexit.
Labour’s Tam Dalyell also told the BBC’s Newsnight that MPs should have the courage to overrule the Brexit vote.
7.50am BST7.50am BST
07:5007:50
Brexit continues to dominate the news agenda beyond the front pages. Although global stock markets had a much better day yesterday after a torrid week, the governor of Bank of England Mark Carney is expected to speak today to reassure the city that contingency plans will keep the funds flowing.Brexit continues to dominate the news agenda beyond the front pages. Although global stock markets had a much better day yesterday after a torrid week, the governor of Bank of England Mark Carney is expected to speak today to reassure the city that contingency plans will keep the funds flowing.
But this sobering 23-tweet forecast from Alan White of the Economist Intelligence Unit is worth a read (if you want to depress yourself further):But this sobering 23-tweet forecast from Alan White of the Economist Intelligence Unit is worth a read (if you want to depress yourself further):
EIU Brexit Take 1. Brexit has plunged the UK into political, economic and market turmoil. We expect this turmoil to be sustainedEIU Brexit Take 1. Brexit has plunged the UK into political, economic and market turmoil. We expect this turmoil to be sustained
2. Financial market volatility will persist, while uncertainty over the future of the UK's relationship with EU will feed into real economy2. Financial market volatility will persist, while uncertainty over the future of the UK's relationship with EU will feed into real economy
3. We significantly revised our economic fcast. After growth of 1.5% this year, we expect contraction of 1% in 2017 pic.twitter.com/MuaeHpav6m3. We significantly revised our economic fcast. After growth of 1.5% this year, we expect contraction of 1% in 2017 pic.twitter.com/MuaeHpav6m
4. We expect to see decline in investment of 8% and decline in private consumption of 3% in 2017 with the pound levelling out at $1.244. We expect to see decline in investment of 8% and decline in private consumption of 3% in 2017 with the pound levelling out at $1.24
5. The vote has transformed our fiscal forecasts. Falling tax rev & higher social transfers as unemployment rises pic.twitter.com/DEg0Qu9gpq5. The vote has transformed our fiscal forecasts. Falling tax rev & higher social transfers as unemployment rises pic.twitter.com/DEg0Qu9gpq
6. We now expect the UK's public debt burden to reach 100% of GDP by 2018 pic.twitter.com/Qj3cjsHAcj6. We now expect the UK's public debt burden to reach 100% of GDP by 2018 pic.twitter.com/Qj3cjsHAcj
7. This hit brings UK's post-crisis recovery to a halt. 2018 real GDP will be almost 4% below pre-referendum forecast (2020 = 6% below)7. This hit brings UK's post-crisis recovery to a halt. 2018 real GDP will be almost 4% below pre-referendum forecast (2020 = 6% below)
8. While this is going on, politics will remain deeply fractious. The Govt, the main parties, parliament & the Union all face big threats8. While this is going on, politics will remain deeply fractious. The Govt, the main parties, parliament & the Union all face big threats
9. We expect two months of chaos in the near-term. New PM Johnson (or May) will be in post in Sept, and start to figure out way ahead9. We expect two months of chaos in the near-term. New PM Johnson (or May) will be in post in Sept, and start to figure out way ahead
10. The UK will likely invoke Art 50 before year end, implying that negotiations will conclude in late 201810. The UK will likely invoke Art 50 before year end, implying that negotiations will conclude in late 2018
11. UK will agree an EEA minus deal with significant constraints on services access in return for limitations on migration11. UK will agree an EEA minus deal with significant constraints on services access in return for limitations on migration
12. Much of the financial services sector may be left in the cold12. Much of the financial services sector may be left in the cold
13. New PM will eat heroic quantities of humble pie to get the deal; UK will be permanently out of the room on big decisions13. New PM will eat heroic quantities of humble pie to get the deal; UK will be permanently out of the room on big decisions
14: This new deal will be confirmed through either a second referendum or a general election at the end of the process14: This new deal will be confirmed through either a second referendum or a general election at the end of the process
15. Leavers will tell voters they wont get what they want on migration. Will lead to major backlash = structural rise for radical right15. Leavers will tell voters they wont get what they want on migration. Will lead to major backlash = structural rise for radical right
16. This is a particular threat for Labour. We expect UKIP etc to mount a serious challenge in Labour heartlands (even with Corbyn gone)16. This is a particular threat for Labour. We expect UKIP etc to mount a serious challenge in Labour heartlands (even with Corbyn gone)
17. UK establishment will take time to fully reassert itself. Lack of planning / credibility will lead to ongoing doubts about capacity17. UK establishment will take time to fully reassert itself. Lack of planning / credibility will lead to ongoing doubts about capacity
18. Much of the UK's 'political stability premium' based on predictability / reliability etc could be lost for long time18. Much of the UK's 'political stability premium' based on predictability / reliability etc could be lost for long time
19. As UK leaves, recovery will be underway but economy & politics will look structurally different19. As UK leaves, recovery will be underway but economy & politics will look structurally different
20. We are not predicting second Scot ref at this stage, but constitutional settlement needs to change (inc London / FPTP?)20. We are not predicting second Scot ref at this stage, but constitutional settlement needs to change (inc London / FPTP?)
21. Impacts across Europe will be substantial. We have taken 0.2% off growth and see larger political risks – particularly in Italy/France21. Impacts across Europe will be substantial. We have taken 0.2% off growth and see larger political risks – particularly in Italy/France
22. The region is capable of managing Brexit, and other crises in isolation. It may not be capable of managing several crises at once22. The region is capable of managing Brexit, and other crises in isolation. It may not be capable of managing several crises at once
23. We expect things to hold together, but see major downside risks – include possibility EU wont deal, or that crises spin out of control23. We expect things to hold together, but see major downside risks – include possibility EU wont deal, or that crises spin out of control
UpdatedUpdated
at 7.53am BSTat 7.53am BST
7.31am BST7.31am BST
07:3107:31
Morning briefingMorning briefing
Nadia KhomamiNadia Khomami
Good morning and welcome to our daily EU referendum live blog.Good morning and welcome to our daily EU referendum live blog.
Here’s the morning briefing to run you through the latest developments and what we expect to happen throughout the day. Please do leave your comments below the line, or you can find me on Twitter @nadiakhomami.Here’s the morning briefing to run you through the latest developments and what we expect to happen throughout the day. Please do leave your comments below the line, or you can find me on Twitter @nadiakhomami.
Theresa May and Boris Johnson set to announce bidsTheresa May and Boris Johnson set to announce bids
The coming battle between Theresa May and Boris Johnson is the focus of the Guardian’s splash. Both Tory “big beasts’ will today announce they are running to become leader of the Conservative party, with each claiming to be the unifying candidate Britain needs as its prime minister after the divisive EU referendum. The coming battle between Theresa May and Boris Johnson is the focus of the Guardian’s splash. Both Tory “big beasts” will today announce they are running to become leader of the Conservative party, with each claiming to be the unifying candidate Britain needs as its prime minister after the divisive EU referendum.
The home secretary will be the first to make her ambitions known in a speech at around 9.30am, saying the UK needs to be “a country that works not for a privileged few but for every one of us”. Johnson, who is widely considered the frontrunner after leading the leave campaign, will make his own declaration at around 11.30am – just half an hour before the deadline for nominations closes.The home secretary will be the first to make her ambitions known in a speech at around 9.30am, saying the UK needs to be “a country that works not for a privileged few but for every one of us”. Johnson, who is widely considered the frontrunner after leading the leave campaign, will make his own declaration at around 11.30am – just half an hour before the deadline for nominations closes.
Angela Eagle set to launch Labour leadership bidAngela Eagle set to launch Labour leadership bid
Meanwhile, in the Labour party, Jeremy Corbyn continues to resist pressure to resign, including from his deputy Tom Watson. Today Angela Eagle, the former shadow business secretary, is expected to launch a bid for the leadership, pledging to reunify the fractured party, which has been locked in a vicious internal battle since the weekend. “We’ve got the numbers, we’ve got the big hitters, it will probably be [Thursday] afternoon,” said an ally of Eagle.Meanwhile, in the Labour party, Jeremy Corbyn continues to resist pressure to resign, including from his deputy Tom Watson. Today Angela Eagle, the former shadow business secretary, is expected to launch a bid for the leadership, pledging to reunify the fractured party, which has been locked in a vicious internal battle since the weekend. “We’ve got the numbers, we’ve got the big hitters, it will probably be [Thursday] afternoon,” said an ally of Eagle.
Earlier, Watson became the most senior party figure to call on Corbyn to resign, telling the BBC: “It’s a great tragedy. He does have a members’ mandate, but those members who join a political party know that you also need a parliamentary mandate if you are to form a government. You have to have the authority of the members and your members of parliament, and I’m afraid he doesn’t have that with our MPs.”Earlier, Watson became the most senior party figure to call on Corbyn to resign, telling the BBC: “It’s a great tragedy. He does have a members’ mandate, but those members who join a political party know that you also need a parliamentary mandate if you are to form a government. You have to have the authority of the members and your members of parliament, and I’m afraid he doesn’t have that with our MPs.”
Former Labour leaders Gordon Brown and Ed Miliband added their voices to those calling for him to go. Corbyn’s response?Former Labour leaders Gordon Brown and Ed Miliband added their voices to those calling for him to go. Corbyn’s response?
“Leave it, Jez, ‘e ain’t worth it. We’ve all ‘ad a drink.” - “Come back here, Miliband, and say that to my face.” pic.twitter.com/zOWQdBXZ8D“Leave it, Jez, ‘e ain’t worth it. We’ve all ‘ad a drink.” - “Come back here, Miliband, and say that to my face.” pic.twitter.com/zOWQdBXZ8D
Last night, Jamie Reed, the MP for Copeland, tweeted a strong-worded letter he sent to the Labour leader outlining why he should resign, in which he says his “duplicitious behaviour is not worthy of any democratic politician. There is nothing Labour about it.” Last night, Jamie Reed, the MP for Copeland, tweeted a strong-worded letter he sent to the Labour leader outlining why he should resign, in which he says his “duplicitous behaviour is not worthy of any democratic politician. There is nothing Labour about it.”
My letter to @jeremycorbyn tonight. pic.twitter.com/QHYkhs7sx0My letter to @jeremycorbyn tonight. pic.twitter.com/QHYkhs7sx0
Nonetheless Corbyn continues to draw crowds and addressed a rally of supporters at SOAS last night, where he vowed to “carry on”. None the less Corbyn continues to draw crowds and addressed a rally a SOAS last night.
A new political partyA new political party
Arron Banks, the Brexit campaign’s biggest financial donor has said he is considering backing a new political party taking in members of Ukip, Labour and the Conservatives. Arron Banks, the Brexit campaign’s biggest financial donor, has said he is considering backing a new political party taking in members of Ukip, Labour and the Conservatives.
In a sign that the referendum aftershocks already rocking the Conservative and Labour parties could be spreading to Ukip, the insurance multi-millionaire and Ukip funder criticised the party’s growth and proposed harnessing Brexit support in a new party. When asked if Farage would be in charge, he said the Ukip leader “may have had enough”. He added:In a sign that the referendum aftershocks already rocking the Conservative and Labour parties could be spreading to Ukip, the insurance multi-millionaire and Ukip funder criticised the party’s growth and proposed harnessing Brexit support in a new party. When asked if Farage would be in charge, he said the Ukip leader “may have had enough”. He added:
I think Ukip needs to be reformed root and branch and we will be looking at that. With a million supporters there’s also a wonderful opportunity if we want to do something, to back something. I think a new party, a brand new party.I think Ukip needs to be reformed root and branch and we will be looking at that. With a million supporters there’s also a wonderful opportunity if we want to do something, to back something. I think a new party, a brand new party.
Ukip grew so rapidly it had problems with personnel and all sorts of issues and I believe that could be better tackled with a new party.Ukip grew so rapidly it had problems with personnel and all sorts of issues and I believe that could be better tackled with a new party.
What the papers sayWhat the papers say
The splash across the front of The Times is drawn from an opinion piece inside the paper by May, in which she seeks to cast herself as a “One Nation” Tory figure who can unite the UK and her party amid divisions in the wake of last week’s Brexit vote as she set out her pitch for the Tory leadership.The splash across the front of The Times is drawn from an opinion piece inside the paper by May, in which she seeks to cast herself as a “One Nation” Tory figure who can unite the UK and her party amid divisions in the wake of last week’s Brexit vote as she set out her pitch for the Tory leadership.
It includes a not so subtle dig at Boris Johnson, when which she writes about the struggles of some in society: “Frankly, not everybody in Westminster understands what it’s like to live like this. And some need to be told that what the government does isn’t a game.”It includes a not so subtle dig at Boris Johnson, when which she writes about the struggles of some in society: “Frankly, not everybody in Westminster understands what it’s like to live like this. And some need to be told that what the government does isn’t a game.”
A photo of Michael Gove and his wife, the journalist Sarah Vine, are splashed across the front of the Telegraph, which focuses on the leaked email in which she warned him about the risks of backing Boris Johnson for the Tory Party leadership without ‘specific’ guarantees on immigration controls.A photo of Michael Gove and his wife, the journalist Sarah Vine, are splashed across the front of the Telegraph, which focuses on the leaked email in which she warned him about the risks of backing Boris Johnson for the Tory Party leadership without ‘specific’ guarantees on immigration controls.
The Telegraph goes on to report that “friends” of Johnson said he would set out a “positive” vision for Britain as he is joined by Gove today during the launch of a bid to succeed David Cameron at the helm of the Tory Party and the country.The Telegraph goes on to report that “friends” of Johnson said he would set out a “positive” vision for Britain as he is joined by Gove today during the launch of a bid to succeed David Cameron at the helm of the Tory Party and the country.
The Financial Times features Scotland’s First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, exchanging pleasantries with Jean Claude Juncker, the president of the European Commission.The Financial Times features Scotland’s First Minister, Nicola Sturgeon, exchanging pleasantries with Jean Claude Juncker, the president of the European Commission.
Its splash reports how European leaders “issued a stark rebuff” to British hopes of a favourable new trade deal with the EU yesterday, hardening their conditions for allowing access to the single market after the UK leaves the union.Its splash reports how European leaders “issued a stark rebuff” to British hopes of a favourable new trade deal with the EU yesterday, hardening their conditions for allowing access to the single market after the UK leaves the union.
The FT reports that Dalia Grybauskaite, Lithuania’s president, summed up the “stoical” mood at the summit in Brussels, when she said: “Today is about us. Of course we will move on. Who will stop us?”The FT reports that Dalia Grybauskaite, Lithuania’s president, summed up the “stoical” mood at the summit in Brussels, when she said: “Today is about us. Of course we will move on. Who will stop us?”
The Daily Mail splashes on follow-on talks from last week’s referendum with a story - “Europe starts to crack on migrants” - reporting that France has signalled that the EU could strike a deal with Britain on immigration.The Daily Mail splashes on follow-on talks from last week’s referendum with a story - “Europe starts to crack on migrants” - reporting that France has signalled that the EU could strike a deal with Britain on immigration.
“In a major boost for hopes of a smooth exit for the UK, finance minister Michel Sapin said there would be no ‘red lines’ in talks over the single market,” it says.“In a major boost for hopes of a smooth exit for the UK, finance minister Michel Sapin said there would be no ‘red lines’ in talks over the single market,” it says.
The Daily Mirror splashes on Labour’s bloodletting, featuring a picture of deputy leader Tom Watson scrutinising Jeremy Corbyn, with the headline “Now it’s civil war”.The Daily Mirror splashes on Labour’s bloodletting, featuring a picture of deputy leader Tom Watson scrutinising Jeremy Corbyn, with the headline “Now it’s civil war”.
The Sun forsakes Brexit and the Tory and Labour leadership tussles to continue heaping opprobrium on England’s hapless Euro 2016’s footballer’s, with a report alleging that “flop” Raheem Sterling was on the receiving end of a backlash from fans for supposedly showing off his wealth. The Sun forsakes Brexit and the Tory and Labour leadership tussles to continue heaping opprobrium on England’s hapless Euro 2016’s footballers, with a report alleging that “flop” Raheem Sterling was on the receiving end of a backlash from fans for supposedly showing off his wealth.
You should also knowYou should also know
Thought for the dayThought for the day
Jeremy Corbyn must do the decent thing. Prune that rosebush outside his front door so he doesn’t have to duck under it every morning.Jeremy Corbyn must do the decent thing. Prune that rosebush outside his front door so he doesn’t have to duck under it every morning.
UpdatedUpdated
at 7.34am BST at 7.57am BST