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German economy slows in second quarter Italian economy stagnates as German growth slows
(about 1 hour later)
Germany's economic growth slowed in the second quarter, albeit less markedly than had been expected. Italy's economy failed to grow between April and June as the country struggled with its creaking banking sector.
Europe's largest economy expanded by 0.4% between April and June, down from 0.7% in the first quarter, but above forecasts of 0.2% growth. GDP growth shrank to 0% in the second quarter compared to 0.3% in the first quarter.
Exports and consumer spending were stronger than forecast but investment in construction and machinery slowed. Germany's economy also slowed in the second quarter, albeit less markedly than had been expected.
New data also confirmed that GDP growth across the eurozone halved to 0.3% in the second quarter. Europe's largest economy expanded by 0.4%, down from 0.7% in the first quarter, but above forecasts of 0.2%.
Second estimates showed expansion between April and June slowed from 0.6% in the first three months of the year. Overall, a second estimate of GDP across the eurozone confirmed that growth halved to 0.3% from 0.6% in the first three months of the year.
GDP also fell across 28-nation European Union from 0.5% in the first quarter to 0.4%. GDP also fell across the 28-nation European Union to 0.4% from 0.5% between the first and second quarters.
Italian banks
In Italy, analysts had expected GDP to grow by between 0.1% and 0.3%.
Italy is battling to reorganise its banking sector, which is buried under €360bn worth of bad loans. Monte dei Paschi di Siena, Italy's third largest bank and the world's oldest lender, is saddled with €46.9bn of bad debt.
The new data means that growth in the Eurozone's three biggest economies - Germany, France and Italy - has either slowed or completely stalled between the first and second quarters.
France also recorded no growth between April and June after GDP rose by 0.7% in the first quarter, boosted by business from the Euro 2016 football tournament.
In contrast, Greece reported a rare rise in GDP - which increased by 0.3% compared to a 0.1% fall in the first quarter. Holidaymakers are choosing the likes of Greece and Spain over politically volatile Turkey.
Nikos Magginas, an economist at National Bank of Greece, said: "Domestic demand was probably better than expected because of tourism. The numbers point to a positive turnaround in the economy in the second half of the year."
In Germany, exports and consumer spending were stronger than forecast but investment in construction and machinery slowed.
Commenting on "Europe's engine room", Carsten Brzeski, economist at ING-DiBa, warned that Germany must increase investment to support growth.Commenting on "Europe's engine room", Carsten Brzeski, economist at ING-DiBa, warned that Germany must increase investment to support growth.
However, he said it could be hampered by ``increased uncertainties after the Brexit vote, continued structural weaknesses in many eurozone countries and a renewed global slowdown''.However, he said it could be hampered by ``increased uncertainties after the Brexit vote, continued structural weaknesses in many eurozone countries and a renewed global slowdown''.
Joerg Zeuner, economist at KfW, said: "The decision to leave the EU will hit the British economy, and the slowdown will spread to Germany through muted exports.Joerg Zeuner, economist at KfW, said: "The decision to leave the EU will hit the British economy, and the slowdown will spread to Germany through muted exports.
"The UK is an important market, especially for German car makers, but also for our chemical and pharmaceutical industries.""The UK is an important market, especially for German car makers, but also for our chemical and pharmaceutical industries."
Slowing GDP was more pronounced in Italy during the second quarter when its economy failed to grow at all, compared with a 0.3% expansion in the first three months of the year.
Analysts had expected GDP to grow by between 0.1% and 0.3%.
Italy is battling to restructure its banking sector, which is buried under €360bn worth of bad loans. Monte dei Paschi di Siena, Italy's third largest bank and the world's oldest lender, is saddled with €46.9bn of bad debt.
Oil pricesOil prices
New data also revealed that German inflation rose in July, up by 0.4%, fuelled by rising food and services prices.New data also revealed that German inflation rose in July, up by 0.4%, fuelled by rising food and services prices.
Inflation was tempered by the falling cost of energy and clothing. Destatis, Germany's statistics office, said stripping out energy, inflation would have been 1.3% in July.Inflation was tempered by the falling cost of energy and clothing. Destatis, Germany's statistics office, said stripping out energy, inflation would have been 1.3% in July.
Since then, oil prices have risen, and on Thursday jumped 4% after Saudi Arabia's energy minister Khalid al-Falih said Opec, the cartel of oil producing nations, would hold talks about stabilising prices at a meeting next month.Since then, oil prices have risen, and on Thursday jumped 4% after Saudi Arabia's energy minister Khalid al-Falih said Opec, the cartel of oil producing nations, would hold talks about stabilising prices at a meeting next month.
Prices were also buoyed by an International Energy Agency report which said it expected supply and demand balance to tighten towards the end of the year.Prices were also buoyed by an International Energy Agency report which said it expected supply and demand balance to tighten towards the end of the year.