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Labour's poll deficit is the 'worst party has experienced in opposition' | Labour's poll deficit is the 'worst party has experienced in opposition' |
(about 3 hours later) | |
Labour’s current opinion poll ratings are the worst the party has ever experienced in opposition, one year on from choosing a new leader. | |
On the first anniversary of Jeremy Corbyn's election, Labour is trailing the Conservatives by an average of 11 points. | On the first anniversary of Jeremy Corbyn's election, Labour is trailing the Conservatives by an average of 11 points. |
Not since modern polling techniques began in the 1950s has the party suffered such a deficit 12 months on from a leadership contest. | Not since modern polling techniques began in the 1950s has the party suffered such a deficit 12 months on from a leadership contest. |
It is also the second largest deficit for any major opposition party in modern history. | It is also the second largest deficit for any major opposition party in modern history. |
Only the 25-point lead enjoyed by Labour over the Conservatives in June 1998 was bigger, one year on from the election of William Hague as Tory leader. | Only the 25-point lead enjoyed by Labour over the Conservatives in June 1998 was bigger, one year on from the election of William Hague as Tory leader. |
The Press Association has compiled the data using figures from the Nuffield series of British general election studies, which have been published since 1945. | |
They show that when the previous Labour leader Ed Miliband reached his first anniversary in the post, the party was ahead of the Conservatives by an average of three points. | They show that when the previous Labour leader Ed Miliband reached his first anniversary in the post, the party was ahead of the Conservatives by an average of three points. |
And one year into David Cameron's stint as Tory leader, his party had already opened up a five-point lead over the then Labour government. | And one year into David Cameron's stint as Tory leader, his party had already opened up a five-point lead over the then Labour government. |
The Labour leader with the next worst poll deficit in opposition after Corbyn was Neil Kinnock. | The Labour leader with the next worst poll deficit in opposition after Corbyn was Neil Kinnock. |
One year into Mr Kinnock’s stint in the job, in October 1984, Labour lagged behind the Tories by an average of five points. | |
By contrast, the biggest average poll lead for Labour 12 months after electing a new leader was 26 points. This was enjoyed by Tony Blair in July 1995. | By contrast, the biggest average poll lead for Labour 12 months after electing a new leader was 26 points. This was enjoyed by Tony Blair in July 1995. |
PA | PA |
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