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| America's choice for president: Barack Obama or Donald Trump? | |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| When Americans were asked who they would prefer as president, only seven percentage points separated Barack Obama and Donald Trump. | When Americans were asked who they would prefer as president, only seven percentage points separated Barack Obama and Donald Trump. |
| In a survey released from Public Policy Polling on Thursday morning, 51% of respondents chose Obama, 44% chose Trump and 4% said they were “not sure” who they would prefer. | In a survey released from Public Policy Polling on Thursday morning, 51% of respondents chose Obama, 44% chose Trump and 4% said they were “not sure” who they would prefer. |
| If those numbers suggest Trump is doing well in the race to succeed Obama in the White House, however, the other results gathered from the 933 likely voters tell a different story. | If those numbers suggest Trump is doing well in the race to succeed Obama in the White House, however, the other results gathered from the 933 likely voters tell a different story. |
| Hillary Clinton was five percentage points ahead of Trump, with 49% of support in a question about voting intention compared to Trump’s 44%. Perhaps that was because most of those surveyed felt Clinton “won the first presidential debate” – 31% said they thought Trump won and 14% said they weren’t sure. | Hillary Clinton was five percentage points ahead of Trump, with 49% of support in a question about voting intention compared to Trump’s 44%. Perhaps that was because most of those surveyed felt Clinton “won the first presidential debate” – 31% said they thought Trump won and 14% said they weren’t sure. |
| I think Trump did surprisingly well given the result from question No9. It asked: “Which candidate for president do you think would be more likely to cause a nuclear war?” | I think Trump did surprisingly well given the result from question No9. It asked: “Which candidate for president do you think would be more likely to cause a nuclear war?” |
| In answer, 49% replied Trump and 31% said Clinton. | In answer, 49% replied Trump and 31% said Clinton. |
| But let’s not forget the 20% who said they weren’t sure which candidate could provoke an apocalyptic war. The truth so often forgotten in all such horse-race analysis is that neither candidate comes off well in surveys like this. | But let’s not forget the 20% who said they weren’t sure which candidate could provoke an apocalyptic war. The truth so often forgotten in all such horse-race analysis is that neither candidate comes off well in surveys like this. |
| People might vote on 8 November but they will probably hold their noses while doing so: 52% of people in the Public Policy Polling survey said they had an unfavorable view of Clinton and 55% said they had an unfavorable view of Trump. | People might vote on 8 November but they will probably hold their noses while doing so: 52% of people in the Public Policy Polling survey said they had an unfavorable view of Clinton and 55% said they had an unfavorable view of Trump. |