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Hurricane Matthew, Expected to Hit Haiti, Could Be ‘Catastrophic’ Hurricane Matthew, Closing In on Haiti, Could Be ‘Catastrophic’
(about 1 hour later)
Hurricane Matthew, a dangerous Category 4 storm, is heading for Haiti and is expected to hit by Monday night. Flash floods, mudslides and winds up to 135 miles an hour threaten residents there and in several other Caribbean nations. Haiti braced for a catastrophe on Monday night as Hurricane Matthew, a dangerous Category 4 storm, edged closer to the nation’s south, bringing winds of up to 140 miles an hour and rainfall that could exceed three feet in some areas.
“The potential for Haiti is what I would describe as catastrophic,” said Dennis Feltgen, a meteorologist and spokesman for the National Hurricane Center in Miami. “Haiti is in deep, deep trouble tonight,” said Dennis Feltgen, a meteorologist and spokesman for the National Hurricane Center in Miami. “The potential for Haiti is what I would describe as catastrophic.”
As of 5 p.m. Monday, Hurricane Matthew was about 195 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica, with gusts around 135 miles per hour, the center said. In addition to damaging winds, the storm is expected to cause flash floods and landslides, a deadly challenge for Haiti. As the poorest nation in the Western Hemisphere, Haiti is still recovering from an earthquake that devastated it in 2010, and it has limited resources to respond to another large-scale natural disaster.
The hurricane is on course to hit Cuba, Jamaica and the Bahamas on Tuesday. The Turks and Caicos could also be hit, and the Dominican Republic will most likely experience tropical storm conditions. The hurricane is expected to cross over Haiti on Tuesday en route to Cuba and the Bahamas. Flooding and extreme rainfall and wind are expected in those countries as well. Jamaica, initially forecast to bear the brunt of the damage, appears to have been spared the worst of the hurricane.
Here is what it looked like in Les Cayes, Haiti, early on Monday. The hurricane is striking at a particularly difficult time for Haiti. The nation was planning long-delayed elections for this weekend. If large stretches of the country are inundated with water and devoid of power, and roads and other critical infrastructure are severely damaged, the likelihood of voting in a new president is low.
The flooding could be deadly. Southern Haiti and the southwestern Dominican Republic were expected to receive 15 to 25 inches of rain, with up to 40 inches in some places. Storm surges and big waves could raise water levels by up to 15 feet in the Bahamas. More immediately, the storm surge, or water pressing in toward the island, is expected to be seven to 10 feet, a heavy amount for even a developed nation with the resources to combat such a storm. In Haiti, there is no protective sea wall to help blunt the encroaching tide.
The hurricane is expected to remain dangerous through the next five days, the center said. It forecast “very dangerous” beach and boating conditions along much of the East Coast of the United States throughout this week and weekend.
Operation Blessing International, a charity that operates in Haiti, warned on Monday that an outbreak of cholera could quickly follow intense flooding.Operation Blessing International, a charity that operates in Haiti, warned on Monday that an outbreak of cholera could quickly follow intense flooding.
“”Based on the rainfall predictions and how slow this storm is moving, we fear that Matthew will bring a tsunami of cholera cases unseen since post-earthquake days,” the group said in a statement.“”Based on the rainfall predictions and how slow this storm is moving, we fear that Matthew will bring a tsunami of cholera cases unseen since post-earthquake days,” the group said in a statement.
As the water rolls off Haiti’s mountains, which have been broadly stripped of their trees, landslides are highly likely. While these conditions exist in much of the country, the south, where the storm is likely to hit hardest, has another disadvantage. Many resident there are subsistence farmers. Flooding will probably destroy even that.
“This hurricane is hitting the worst possible place,” said Conor Shapiro, the president of the St. Boniface Haiti Foundation, which runs the largest hospital in southern Haiti.
In the south, heavy rains and winds had already arrived on Monday, prompting the evacuation of people across the region.
“My biggest concern is food supplies and basics to assist the people I have evacuated,” said Ronald Delice, the head of civil protection in the southeast of Haiti. He said his teams had relocated 800 people in 40 shelters.
In other areas, residents were resistant to leaving, fearful of abandoning belongings and their homes, in part because of robberies.
Port-au-Prince, the capital, is likely to avoid the worst of the storm, but severe wind and rain are expected there. Low-lying areas of the capital, often the more poverty-stricken, are especially vulnerable.
While the storm’s center is expected to hit Haiti’s southern peninsula, the hurricane is big enough to affect the entire nation. It could generate winds of 40 to 73 miles per hour in places 185 miles from its center, leaving little of Haiti untouched based on its current trajectory, according to the National Hurricane Center.
On Monday afternoon, NASA posted video from the International Space Station showing the storm from 250 miles above.On Monday afternoon, NASA posted video from the International Space Station showing the storm from 250 miles above.
A satellite image from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, taken at 4:45 a.m. Eastern time on Sunday, showed the storm over the south-central Caribbean Sea. International aid groups are preparing to send people and begin assessing the damage. Many of the groups, recalling the chaos and waste that followed efforts to assist Haiti after the 2010 earthquake, are hoping for an improved response this time.
As Matthew churned northward, forecasting models suggested an increasing threat to the East Coast. The governors of Florida and North Carolina declared emergencies, and officials worried that the storm could shift rapidly westward, potentially leaving little time for evacuations. “The 2010 response was regarded as a huge disaster, really just a disaster upon a disaster,” said Chris Skopec, who is with the humanitarian aid group International Medical Corps. “A lot of the systems in place have been built on the lessons learned from those mistakes.”
The challenge, in large part, is one of coordination, a job that by most accounts should fall to the central government. At the best of times, the Haitian government struggles. But now, it is worse: There is no elected president, meaning there is a significant absence in the center of the central government.
The hurricane is expected to remain dangerous through the next five days, according to the National Hurricane Center. It forecast “very dangerous” beach and boating conditions along much of the East Coast of the United States throughout this week and weekend.
The governors of Florida and North Carolina declared emergencies, and officials worried that the storm could shift rapidly westward, potentially leaving little time for evacuations.
“Although Matthew is not projected at this time to directly impact Florida, that could quickly change,” Gov. Rick Scott said in Hialeah, near Miami. He said state officials were especially concerned about the Interstate 95 corridor.“Although Matthew is not projected at this time to directly impact Florida, that could quickly change,” Gov. Rick Scott said in Hialeah, near Miami. He said state officials were especially concerned about the Interstate 95 corridor.
Mr. Scott emphasized the wobbling, shifting path of the storm, which could begin causing problems in Florida as soon as Wednesday. He pleaded with residents to prepare for Matthew.
Evoking the memory of one of Florida’s worst storms, Mr. Scott warned that a direct hit could lead to damage rivaling that of Hurricane Andrew in 1992, which killed 15 people in Florida and left the state with what was then estimated at $25 billion in destruction.