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| Clinton gaining ground as Obama's approval ratings go up – campaign live | Clinton gaining ground as Obama's approval ratings go up – campaign live |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| 4.15pm BST | |
| 16:15 | |
| Trump loosens Republican grip on senate | |
| Uh-oh. A month before the election, incumbent Republican senator Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire, who is up for reelection, has had to make an “I’m not perfect” ad: | |
| In a debate on Monday night against challenger Maggie Hassan, the Democratic governor, Ayotte was asked whether Donald Trump would be a good role model for children. | |
| “Absolutely,” she replied. Ayotte, a centrist Republican, has been trying to have Trump both ways all year, saying she would vote for him but not endorse him. | |
| Quickly after the debate, Ayotte sought to walk back her statement about Trump, saying that she had misspoken. | |
| But Hassan is out this morning with an ad seeking to pin her more closely to the top of the ticket: | |
| A HuffPost Pollster average of polls in the senate race has it tied: | |
| An Ayotte loss would be a significant blow to Republican efforts to hold the senate. The Democrats need to flip four seats – and for Clinton to win the presidency – to gain control of the senate. (If the Democrats get four seats, a 50-50 tie would be established, with straight party-line votes thereafter being resolved by the vice president, whoever he may end up being.) | |
| The Democrats look very likely to flip in Illinois and Wisconsin. But they may lose the Nevada seat of retiring minority leader Harry Reid. So they may need at least three more wins from among the five states of Indiana, North Carolina, Missouri, Pennsylvania or New Hampshire. To see a map with further analysis, pay a visit to Sabato’s Crystal Ball. | |
| Republicans are worried that Trump is screwing up their chances of holding onto Congress, report Jonathan Martin and Alexander Burns today in the New York Times: | |
| Donald J. Trump’s support has plunged across the swing-state map over the last 10 days, wiping out his political recovery from September and threatening to undo weeks of Republican gains in the battle for control of Congress. [...] | |
| Mr. Trump has already slipped perceptibly in public polls, trailing widely this week in Pennsylvania and by smaller margins in Florida and North Carolina — three states he cannot afford to lose. But private polling by both parties shows an even more precipitous drop, especially among independent voters, moderate Republicans and women, according to a dozen strategists from both parties who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the data was confidential. | |
| Read the full piece here. | |
| Update: | |
| New: 30 former GOP members of Congress come out against Trump, saying they won't vote for him. pic.twitter.com/7H3Nyi5pDI | |
| Updated | |
| at 4.28pm BST | |
| 3.45pm BST | 3.45pm BST |
| 15:45 | 15:45 |
| Here’s New York Daily News editorial cartoonist Bill Bramhall on the veep debate: | Here’s New York Daily News editorial cartoonist Bill Bramhall on the veep debate: |
| Here's today's @billbramhall cartoon: https://t.co/6jDB4vdsnd pic.twitter.com/x1iVC8aCTJ | Here's today's @billbramhall cartoon: https://t.co/6jDB4vdsnd pic.twitter.com/x1iVC8aCTJ |
| 3.31pm BST | 3.31pm BST |
| 15:31 | 15:31 |
| We really don’t want to know any more about this apparent meeting between comedienne Rosie O’Donnell and the daughter of a man with whom she is engaged in an ongoing and epic flame war – “orange anus,” she called him last month – except that it happened and they appear to have gotten along just fine. #healing #bless | We really don’t want to know any more about this apparent meeting between comedienne Rosie O’Donnell and the daughter of a man with whom she is engaged in an ongoing and epic flame war – “orange anus,” she called him last month – except that it happened and they appear to have gotten along just fine. #healing #bless |
| @IvankaTrump in a city of 8 million - we meet face 2 face - i thank u 4 listening - mother 2 mother - on this new years week - my best 2 u | @IvankaTrump in a city of 8 million - we meet face 2 face - i thank u 4 listening - mother 2 mother - on this new years week - my best 2 u |
| (thx @fahima_haque) | (thx @fahima_haque) |
| 3.25pm BST | 3.25pm BST |
| 15:25 | 15:25 |
| How charming is this guy? Trump told Nevada voters last night to please cling to life until Election Day. | How charming is this guy? Trump told Nevada voters last night to please cling to life until Election Day. |
| “I don’t care how sick you are,” he said, “hang on till November 8th, get out and vote and then, all we’re going to say is, we love you and we’ll remember you always.” | “I don’t care how sick you are,” he said, “hang on till November 8th, get out and vote and then, all we’re going to say is, we love you and we’ll remember you always.” |
| The crowd is cracking up. But this is not only in questionable taste – it’s misleading. Dying voters in Nevada, where a large 69% majority of ballots were cast early in 2012, only have to make it until the opening of early voting on 22 October to make their support for Trump known before dying. | The crowd is cracking up. But this is not only in questionable taste – it’s misleading. Dying voters in Nevada, where a large 69% majority of ballots were cast early in 2012, only have to make it until the opening of early voting on 22 October to make their support for Trump known before dying. |
| The Trump campaign, which isn’t very good at get-out-the-vote, seems rarely to brief the candidate on useful information like this that he might share with voters. | The Trump campaign, which isn’t very good at get-out-the-vote, seems rarely to brief the candidate on useful information like this that he might share with voters. |
| And yes, if you vote early and then die before election day, your vote still counts. America. | And yes, if you vote early and then die before election day, your vote still counts. America. |
| Then Trump spots an Elvis impersonator. Most Las Vegas rally ever. | Then Trump spots an Elvis impersonator. Most Las Vegas rally ever. |
| 1.37pm BST | 1.37pm BST |
| 13:37 | 13:37 |
| Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. It’s 6 October, Barack Obama’s approval rating has touched a new second-term high of 55%, according to a CNN/ORC poll, and Hillary Clinton has a growing national lead of at least four points over Donald Trump in one, two, three, four respected polling averages. | Hello and welcome to our live-wire coverage of the 2016 race for the White House. It’s 6 October, Barack Obama’s approval rating has touched a new second-term high of 55%, according to a CNN/ORC poll, and Hillary Clinton has a growing national lead of at least four points over Donald Trump in one, two, three, four respected polling averages. |
| Which makes this new poll from Fairleigh Dickinson University /PublicMind an outlier: | Which makes this new poll from Fairleigh Dickinson University /PublicMind an outlier: |
| National poll of likely voters: Clinton 50%, Trump 40% pic.twitter.com/u8LTxz2Vrn | National poll of likely voters: Clinton 50%, Trump 40% pic.twitter.com/u8LTxz2Vrn |
| Clinton supporters concerned that she might quit while she’s ahead might take heart in the facts that she continues to raise money, appear with down-ticket candidates at rallies across the country and produce new campaign ads, like two out this morning. | Clinton supporters concerned that she might quit while she’s ahead might take heart in the facts that she continues to raise money, appear with down-ticket candidates at rallies across the country and produce new campaign ads, like two out this morning. |
| Here’s one directed by Lee Daniels (Monster’s Ball, Precious, The Butler, Empire): | Here’s one directed by Lee Daniels (Monster’s Ball, Precious, The Butler, Empire): |
| Lee Daniels direct new Clinton ad, "What Will You Say", featuring African American stars talking about what's at stake in this election: pic.twitter.com/ODniz2O8gs | Lee Daniels direct new Clinton ad, "What Will You Say", featuring African American stars talking about what's at stake in this election: pic.twitter.com/ODniz2O8gs |
| Trump says ‘Nevada’ wrong | Trump says ‘Nevada’ wrong |
| Like daughter, like father. Donald Trump lectured a crowd in Reno, Nevada – a state he needs to win – last night about how to pronounce “Nevada”. But he said it wrong, it’s “Nevada” like a baby’s “dada” not a Tzara’s Dada. They take this very seriously in Nevada. | Like daughter, like father. Donald Trump lectured a crowd in Reno, Nevada – a state he needs to win – last night about how to pronounce “Nevada”. But he said it wrong, it’s “Nevada” like a baby’s “dada” not a Tzara’s Dada. They take this very seriously in Nevada. |
| Here’s Trump spouting nonsense: | Here’s Trump spouting nonsense: |
| Trump explains how to pronounce Nevada - the wrong way. #inners https://t.co/5ZlOEMEMzv | Trump explains how to pronounce Nevada - the wrong way. #inners https://t.co/5ZlOEMEMzv |
| Harry Reid https://t.co/kawy6zSpUv pic.twitter.com/NKhUG0iSZ3 | Harry Reid https://t.co/kawy6zSpUv pic.twitter.com/NKhUG0iSZ3 |
| Trump supporters shout down Holocaust denier | Trump supporters shout down Holocaust denier |
| Attendees at a Trump rally grew agitated that the media was interviewing the one guy seeking a platform for his theories about the Holocaust: | Attendees at a Trump rally grew agitated that the media was interviewing the one guy seeking a platform for his theories about the Holocaust: |
| "You're not speaking the truth for us!" A Trump supporter shouts down alt-right man in Reno. pic.twitter.com/67Y5O1wDzI | "You're not speaking the truth for us!" A Trump supporter shouts down alt-right man in Reno. pic.twitter.com/67Y5O1wDzI |
| Here’s another Clinton ad out this morning, made from home movie footage: | Here’s another Clinton ad out this morning, made from home movie footage: |
| Top Fox talent spat | Top Fox talent spat |
| This is more than just a public fight between top on-air talent at a national news network; this is a civil war inside the most powerful brand in “conservative” news, coming right after the network’s head was cut off, as Fox founder Roger Ailes succumbed to a sexual harassment scandal, but not before the network helped elevate a historically bad, in the judgment of many top Republicans, presidential nominee. | This is more than just a public fight between top on-air talent at a national news network; this is a civil war inside the most powerful brand in “conservative” news, coming right after the network’s head was cut off, as Fox founder Roger Ailes succumbed to a sexual harassment scandal, but not before the network helped elevate a historically bad, in the judgment of many top Republicans, presidential nominee. |
| @megynkelly u should be mad at @HillaryClinton Clearly you support her. And @realDonaldTrump did talk to u. https://t.co/vsQiNMgHut | @megynkelly u should be mad at @HillaryClinton Clearly you support her. And @realDonaldTrump did talk to u. https://t.co/vsQiNMgHut |
| This is going to hit Florida starting as soon as tonight: | This is going to hit Florida starting as soon as tonight: |
| Hurricane #Matthew is expected to intensify later tonight and Thursday: https://t.co/MdjzkqMQtl #scwx #gawx pic.twitter.com/Bwr7sfz4gJ | Hurricane #Matthew is expected to intensify later tonight and Thursday: https://t.co/MdjzkqMQtl #scwx #gawx pic.twitter.com/Bwr7sfz4gJ |
| Thanks for reading and please join us in the comments. | Thanks for reading and please join us in the comments. |
| Updated | Updated |
| at 2.04pm BST | at 2.04pm BST |