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Presidential Debate: How Will Trump and Clinton Handle Sexual Assault Allegations?
Who’s Ahead in the Presidential Debate? What You’ve Missed
(35 minutes later)
Right Now: Join us for live video and analysis of the last presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald J. Trump.
Right Now: Join us for live video and analysis of the last presidential debate between Hillary Clinton and Donald J. Trump.
Donald J. Trump has had possibly the most dismal October of any presidential nominee in recent history — and the month is just more than half over.
Hillary Clinton upended a calm and conventional presidential debate on Wednesday night with a furious attack on Donald J. Trump over what she described as a friendly relationship with Vladimir V. Putin, branding Mr. Trump a “puppet” of the Russian strongman and accusing him of benefiting from Russian espionage against the United States.
Facing accusations of sexual harassment and criticism for vulgar and demeaning comments toward women, Mr. Trump limps into Wednesday’s debate, the final one against Hillary Clinton, with polls showing him losing in nearly every state he must win.
Upon the first mention of WikiLeaks in the debate, Mrs. Clinton challenged Mr. Trump to “admit and condemn that the Russians are doing this,” and blasted him as a political stooge “willing to spout the Putin line.”
Much can happen in politics over three weeks, and this election has been full of surprises. But by lashing out at the news media; criticizing Speaker Paul D. Ryan, his party’s highest-ranking official; and claiming without evidence that the electoral system is “rigged,” Mr. Trump appears less intent on finding a path to victory than on grasping for scapegoats to explain away an eventual loss.
Mr. Trump shot back that Mrs. Clinton was seeking to distract from disclosures contained in WikiLeaks releases, and criticized her for failing to earn Mr. Putin’s respect. “She doesn’t like Putin because Putin has outsmarted her at every step of the way,” Mr. Trump said.
How he and Mrs. Clinton approach the debate in Las Vegas will go a long way in determining just how sordid the remainder of this race will be — and how difficult the healing process will be once it ends.
After initially saying that Mrs. Clinton had no idea whether Russia was behind hacks targeting Democrats, Mr. Trump eventually, under pressure from Chris Wallace, the moderator, said he would condemn Russia if it were responsible. “Of course I condemn,” he said.
A woman accused former President Bill Clinton of sexually assaulting her when he was governor of Arkansas in 1980 in an interview that was published Wednesday by the right-wing Breitbart website.
• Mrs. Clinton, speaking about her support for some gun control measures, said she saw “no conflict between saving people’s lives and defending the Second Amendment.” She added that the National Rifle Association was running “millions of dollars of ads against me.” Mr. Trump said he was unsure if Mrs. Clinton had referenced the group’s support for him “in a sarcastic manner,” but that he was “very proud” of it.
The accusations come hours before the third and final presidential debate and follow a wave of charges from women in the past week who say that Mr. Trump groped and sexually assaulted them over the years. Breitbart was until recently run by Stephen K. Bannon, who is now the chief executive of Mr. Trump’s campaign, and the outlet is a staunch supporter of the Republican nominee.
• Asked about the role of the Supreme Court, Mrs. Clinton said she expected the court to “represent all of us,” citing the importance of marriage equality and abortion rights. She added that she hoped that “the Senate would do its job and confirm the nominee that President Obama has sent to them.” Mr. Trump, answering the same question, said, “The Supreme Court, that’s what it’s all about,” before suggesting Mrs. Clinton would hope to steer the court away from adherence to the Second Amendment.
The woman in the interview, Leslie Millwee, claims that Mr. Clinton groped her and rubbed himself against her on three occasions without her permission. She was a television reporter in Arkansas at the time and said that she got to know Mr. Clinton because she interviewed him about 20 times.
• Mrs. Clinton focused attention on Mr. Trump’s past comments that, if abortion were outlawed, there should be “some form of punishment” for the women involved. After Mrs. Clinton was pressed on her support for late-term abortions under certain circumstances — she cited the health of prospective mothers — Mr. Trump said he thought it was “terrible.” “If you go with what Hillary is saying, in the ninth month you can take the baby and rip the baby out of the womb of the mother,” he said.
Mr. Trump has made Mr. Clinton’s past a centerpiece of his case against Mrs. Clinton and, along with Breitbart, he has been promoting stories from women who have accused Mr. Clinton of sexual assault. Three of Mr. Clinton’s accusers were present at the second debate this month, at Mr. Trump’s invitation.
• Mr. Trump held forth on his signature issue — immigration — suggesting that the heroin crisis in some pockets of the country owed to insufficient border security. “We have to have strong borders,” he said, adding, “We have some bad hombres.” Mrs. Clinton said that while her immigration plan “of course includes border security,” she did not want to see “the deportation force that Donald has talked about.”
A few of the other things we will be watching:
•Mrs. Clinton suggested Mr. Trump was a hypocrite on the issue of immigration, saying he had “used undocumented labor to build the Trump Tower.” When the moderator, Chris Wallace, quoted from a paid Clinton speech — citing an excerpt revealed by WikiLeaks in which she said she dreamed of “open trade and open borders” — Mrs. Clinton said she was “talking about energy.”
Mr. Trump is already the most disliked presidential nominee in the history of polling, and his reputation is unlikely to recover if he continues to peddle conspiracy theories about election fraud and mock the looks of the women who have accused him of sexual assault. Another slashing performance against Mrs. Clinton could push away even more undecided voters — though at this point there may be few swing voters left for Mr. Trump to alienate.
•Mrs. Clinton said a more pressing issue from the leaked documents was the specter of the Russian government engaging in “espionage against Americans,” suggesting that Russian President Vladimir Putin has a “clear favorite in this race.” “That was a great pivot off the fact that she wants open borders,” Mr. Trump said, adding, “I don’t know Putin.” Mrs. Clinton said Mr. Putin would prefer “a puppet as president of the United States.” Mr. Trump shot back, “You’re the puppet.”
But if he has little left to lose as a politician, Mr. Trump still has significant interests at stake in the race. Many of his business ventures depend on the value of his personal brand, and at some point, he may feel pressure — from family members and business partners — to protect his investments by tempering his machine-gunner’s instincts.
• After Mr. Trump said Mr. Putin had “outsmarted and outplayed” Mrs. Clinton on the international stage, Mrs. Clinton moved to cast Mr. Trump as too unstable to be president, saying he had been distressingly cavalier about the use of nuclear weapons. “Wrong,” Mr. Trump interjected, reprising an interruption from the first debate.
There’s been no evidence of such restraint from Mr. Trump, however, and a do-or-die debate may be an unlikely moment for him to shift in that direction.
• As the discussion turned to the economy, Mrs. Clinton said Mr. Trump’s plans amounted to “trickle-down economics on steroids.” Mr. Trump, after taking credit for more active participation from international trade partners — “all the sudden they’re paying,” he said — suggested he would produce national prosperity by renegotiating trade deals.
Mr. Trump is not the only one confronting a stark choice about how to proceed. With her campaign expanding to compete in traditionally Republican-leaning states and her advantage growing in most of the battlegrounds, Mrs. Clinton is well positioned as the race enters its final days. Because Mrs. Clinton is now so heavily favored to win, the debate offers an opportunity for her to start looking beyond the election and toward unifying a country that has been divided by an ugly campaign.
After praising Michelle Obama’s “when they go low, we go high” credo, Mrs. Clinton now has a chance to turn that advice into action. And doing so would not simply be an exercise in high-mindedness to win plaudits from centrist commentators. By vowing to represent all Americans after the election, including Mr. Trump’s supporters, she can also disarm an opponent who relishes confrontation but has little aptitude for conciliation.
Snubbed by Mr. Ryan in the final month of the campaign, Mr. Trump has seemed as eager to attack turncoat leaders in his own party as to make the case against Mrs. Clinton. He has reserved special venom for Mr. Ryan, blasting him as a weak leader with bad ideas about trade and immigration, and suggesting that Mr. Ryan might be sabotaging Mr. Trump’s campaign to pave the way for a presidential run of his own in four years.
These attacks have the potential to rip apart the Republican Party in ways that will last long beyond Election Day. Should Mr. Trump use a prime-time debate to sic the Republican base on its leaders — and to cast himself, essentially, as an independent candidate challenging elites on the left and right — he could inflict damage on the party far deeper than what Mrs. Clinton might deliver on her own.
And should Mr. Trump strafe the party that nominated him, it could have immediate consequences for Republicans seeking election to the House and Senate, who cannot afford an abrupt drop in turnout from demoralized and angry voters in their own camp.
Republicans have been overjoyed that the WikiLeaks hacks of Mrs. Clinton’s private speeches and the email account of her campaign chairman have offered new fodder against her, or have at least diverted attention from Mr. Trump’s inflammatory campaign. But the revelations to date have done more to confirm the suspicions of those on the far left than those on the far right: Namely, that she is a cautious, at times plotting, left-of-center Democrat given more to pragmatism than purity.
Now that she is comfortably ahead in blue America and making incursions into conservative redoubts like Arizona and Utah, will Mrs. Clinton flash some of the centrism she has displayed in private? She is unlikely, for example, to suddenly reverse course on her opposition to the Trans-Pacific Partnership, or pledge to enact Simpson-Bowles, the moribund deficit-reduction plan. But with Mr. Trump veering into the realm of the conspiratorial, the debate offers her the chance to reach out to moderates and even some Republicans unwilling to support their nominee but still uneasy about her.
After a week’s worth of sexual assault and harassment accusations against Mr. Trump, there may be moments that feel more like a courtroom drama than a conventional presidential debate. Mr. Trump has never convincingly rebutted the numerous stories from women who say he groped them without consent. On the contrary, he has veered from ridiculing his accusers to asserting flatly, and falsely, that their stories have been debunked.
Mr. Trump struggled in the second debate to address questions raised by an 11-year-old recording in which he boasted of pushing himself on women. He faces a far tougher challenge now, as the allegations against him have grown and polls show the great majority of voters siding with his accusers.
So far, Mrs. Clinton has held back from attacking Mr. Trump aggressively on this front, allowing other Democrats, like Mrs. Obama, to lead the charge. That approach is unlikely to carry through the debate.
For those Republicans already looking past Election Day, the future direction of Fox News looms large. With Roger Ailes out after being accused of serial sexual harassment and Rupert Murdoch turning over more authority to his children, it is unclear whether the preferred network of Republican voters will embrace a Trump brand of conservative populism, move toward more mainstream Republicanism or sand down its political edge entirely.
The first significant glimpse of the post-Ailes Fox will be on display when the anchor Chris Wallace takes the stage as moderator. He may press each candidate equally, as he typically does with figures from both parties on his Sunday program. Yet Republicans curious about the future landscape of conservative media will be watching with an especially close eye, curious for how aggressively Mr. Wallace confronts Mr. Trump – and Mrs. Clinton.
Start time: 9 p.m. Eastern
Duration: About 90 minutes
Moderator: Chris Wallace of Fox News
Airing on TV: ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox, Fox Business, MSNBC and others.
Streaming: We think nytimes.com is a good place to turn.
