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'Stop Brexit' party 'would beat Labour and Ukip in a general election' | |
(about 20 hours later) | |
A "Stop Brexit" party would beat Labour and Ukip if a general election were held tomorrow, a new survey has suggested. | A "Stop Brexit" party would beat Labour and Ukip if a general election were held tomorrow, a new survey has suggested. |
The YouGov poll of more than 4,500 adults in England and Wales found 50 per cent of people who opted for Remain during the EU referendum would vote for a new pro-EU membership party if given the choice. A further 3.9 per cent of people who voted Leave said they would support the anti-Brexit party. | The YouGov poll of more than 4,500 adults in England and Wales found 50 per cent of people who opted for Remain during the EU referendum would vote for a new pro-EU membership party if given the choice. A further 3.9 per cent of people who voted Leave said they would support the anti-Brexit party. |
This would give the hypothetical Stop Brexit party 25.9 per cent of the total vote. | This would give the hypothetical Stop Brexit party 25.9 per cent of the total vote. |
The new party would push Labour into the third place, with the official opposition only winning 18.7 per cent of the vote. | The new party would push Labour into the third place, with the official opposition only winning 18.7 per cent of the vote. |
But Theresa May’s Conservative party, which is currently in charge of putting Brexit into action, would still come out on top with 34.1 per cent. | But Theresa May’s Conservative party, which is currently in charge of putting Brexit into action, would still come out on top with 34.1 per cent. |
The survey did not break down the Stop Brexit vote into constituencies, so it is unclear how many seats they would win. | The survey did not break down the Stop Brexit vote into constituencies, so it is unclear how many seats they would win. |
It follows the by-election for David Cameron’s Witney constituency, that saw the Liberal Democrats push Labour into second place after campaigning on an anti-Brexit ticket. | It follows the by-election for David Cameron’s Witney constituency, that saw the Liberal Democrats push Labour into second place after campaigning on an anti-Brexit ticket. |
Lib Dem candidate Liz Leffman achieved a 19 per cent swing – up from the seven per cent of the vote the party won in 2015 – with Labour’s Duncan Enright trailing behind her by more than 15 per cent. | Lib Dem candidate Liz Leffman achieved a 19 per cent swing – up from the seven per cent of the vote the party won in 2015 – with Labour’s Duncan Enright trailing behind her by more than 15 per cent. |
Commentators have been quick to point out this may just be a return to previous form by the Liberal Democrats, who were famed for their byelection victories in the mid-noughties after they became the party for people angry with Labour's policies, particularly on the Iraq War. | Commentators have been quick to point out this may just be a return to previous form by the Liberal Democrats, who were famed for their byelection victories in the mid-noughties after they became the party for people angry with Labour's policies, particularly on the Iraq War. |
Indeed, Witney voted to stay in the EU in June with West Oxfordshire as a whole being split 54-46 in favour of Remain so it is unclear how well an anti-Brexit campaign would go down in the more pro-Leave constituencies in northern England. | Indeed, Witney voted to stay in the EU in June with West Oxfordshire as a whole being split 54-46 in favour of Remain so it is unclear how well an anti-Brexit campaign would go down in the more pro-Leave constituencies in northern England. |
The poll is bad news for Labour. Despite being officially pro-Remain, leader Jeremy Corbyn’s perceived lacklustre campaigning for the EU triggered a failed revolt by the shadow cabinet. | The poll is bad news for Labour. Despite being officially pro-Remain, leader Jeremy Corbyn’s perceived lacklustre campaigning for the EU triggered a failed revolt by the shadow cabinet. |
Last month, ahead of the first anniversary of Mr Corbyn’s election as leader, the party suffered the worst opinion poll ratings it had ever received in opposition. | Last month, ahead of the first anniversary of Mr Corbyn’s election as leader, the party suffered the worst opinion poll ratings it had ever received in opposition. |
Labour trailed the Conservatives by 11 points – the worst result for a leader since polling began in the 1950s. | Labour trailed the Conservatives by 11 points – the worst result for a leader since polling began in the 1950s. |
Another poll a few weeks later found Labour was on course to win just 190 seats at the general election – the worst result since 1935. | Another poll a few weeks later found Labour was on course to win just 190 seats at the general election – the worst result since 1935. |