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| Donald Trump overtakes Hillary Clinton for first time since May in ABC poll | Donald Trump overtakes Hillary Clinton for first time since May in ABC poll |
| (7 days later) | |
| Donald Trump has overtaken Hillary Clinton to take a single percentage point lead in a poll by ABC, the first time he has done so since May. | Donald Trump has overtaken Hillary Clinton to take a single percentage point lead in a poll by ABC, the first time he has done so since May. |
| Though the result remains within ABC’s margin of error, the broadcaster said the leaders changing places was a noteworthy moment with just a week to go until election day. | Though the result remains within ABC’s margin of error, the broadcaster said the leaders changing places was a noteworthy moment with just a week to go until election day. |
| ABC has had the two candidates virtually neck-and-neck for the past week, with aggregated results suggesting Ms Clinton was ahead by just 0.4 of a percentage point. | ABC has had the two candidates virtually neck-and-neck for the past week, with aggregated results suggesting Ms Clinton was ahead by just 0.4 of a percentage point. |
| But enthusiasm for the Democrat candidate has slumped after the FBI revealed it would be opening up a new investigation into a set of emails sent during Ms Clinton’s time as Secretary of State. | But enthusiasm for the Democrat candidate has slumped after the FBI revealed it would be opening up a new investigation into a set of emails sent during Ms Clinton’s time as Secretary of State. |
| It makes the election too close to call, based on ABC’s poll alone. Among the other runners, Gary Johnson dropped to a new low of 3 per cent and Green candidate Jill Stein polled at 2 per cent. | It makes the election too close to call, based on ABC’s poll alone. Among the other runners, Gary Johnson dropped to a new low of 3 per cent and Green candidate Jill Stein polled at 2 per cent. |
| The network, which surveyed across the country, has not had Mr Trump in the lead since he was 2 per cent ahead in a hypothetical run-off against Ms Clinton back on 23 May this year. | The network, which surveyed across the country, has not had Mr Trump in the lead since he was 2 per cent ahead in a hypothetical run-off against Ms Clinton back on 23 May this year. |
| Then, Mr Trump had just secured the GOP nomination, while Ms Clinton was still engaged in a fight for her place with Bernie Sanders. | Then, Mr Trump had just secured the GOP nomination, while Ms Clinton was still engaged in a fight for her place with Bernie Sanders. |
| Most polls also showed a spike in support for Mr Trump in late July, though ABC was not among those who had the Republican taking an outright lead. | Most polls also showed a spike in support for Mr Trump in late July, though ABC was not among those who had the Republican taking an outright lead. |
| It should also be noted that even this close to an election, a poll on voter preferences is not necessarily indicative of the final result. | It should also be noted that even this close to an election, a poll on voter preferences is not necessarily indicative of the final result. |
| ABC noted that Mitt Romney was one point ahead of Barack Obama in a comparable tracking poll in 2012, while John Kerry held an identical advantage over George Bush a week out in 2004. | ABC noted that Mitt Romney was one point ahead of Barack Obama in a comparable tracking poll in 2012, while John Kerry held an identical advantage over George Bush a week out in 2004. |