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Presidential Election: Clinton Tries to Run Up a Lead as Trump Seeks a Breakthrough Presidential Election: New Poll Gives Hillary Clinton a Modest Lead Over Donald Trump
(about 7 hours later)
Hillary Clinton hopes to take advantage on Sunday of her last, best chance to draw supporters to the polls before Election Day, as early voting winds down and a spike in Latino turnout across the country appears to be giving her an edge in battleground states.Hillary Clinton hopes to take advantage on Sunday of her last, best chance to draw supporters to the polls before Election Day, as early voting winds down and a spike in Latino turnout across the country appears to be giving her an edge in battleground states.
Early voting has already ended in Nevada and Arizona, but Democrats can still try to run up a lead on Sunday in crucial parts of Florida — the large, diverse swing state that Senator Tim Kaine called “checkmate” for the Clinton campaign on Saturday. For Donald J. Trump, Sunday is about seeking a path to the presidency not blocked by Latino, black and Asian voters. He will head to the Upper Midwest, into long-shot states like Minnesota that have not voted Republican for president in a generation, where he hopes to break through with sharp attacks on foreign trade.
For Donald J. Trump, Sunday is about seeking a path to the presidency not blocked by Latino, black and Asian voters. He will head to the Upper Midwest, into long-shot states like Minnesota that have not voted Republican for president in a generation, where he hopes to break through with sharp attacks on foreign trade. The trip comes a day after Mr. Trump was rushed offstage by members of his Secret Service detail during a rally on Saturday night in Reno, Nev. Here some of the things we will be watching Sunday:
Here are some of the things we will be watching Sunday: According to a new NBC News/WSJ national poll, 44 percent of likely voters support Mrs. Clinton and 40 percent back Mr. Trump.
Mrs. Clinton holds big leads with women and minority voters, while men, white voters and senior citizens buttress Mr. Trump’s support.
Mrs. Clinton is also doing better with those who have already cast their ballots, but Mr. Trump holds a lead among voters who plan to do so on Election Day.
Mr. Gingrich, a staunch ally of Mr. Trump and a finalist to be his running mate, said on NBC’s “Meet the Press” that the Republican nominee would be doing much better if he had shown more discipline.
“I think he has hurt his campaign at times by saying things that were unwise, and I think at times he’s been truly a historic figure,” Mr. Gingrich said.
The former Republican House Speaker praised Mr. Trump’s big ideas and outreach to African-Americans. However, he suggested that Mr. Trump has often caused distractions from an otherwise strong message.
“On the one hand, he’s one of the most brilliant marketers I’ve ever seen,” Mr. Gingrich said. “And on the other hand, for a while there, he was undercutting himself.”
He added: “I suspect if he had not done that, he’d be ahead by ten or 15 points right now.”
The chairman of the Nevada Republican Party, Michael McDonald, complained on Saturday night that some polls were being kept open longer than they should have been in Clark County so that “a certain group” could vote.
On Sunday morning, Kellyanne Conway, Mr. Trump’s campaign manager echoed that concern in an interview with CNN in which she suggested that “special favors” were being done for Democratic voters.
“It’s concerning when you hear reports about special favors and perhaps special rules for Democratic voters,” Ms. Conway said, offering no evidence of a different set of rules. “We already know that their presidential nominee has special rules for her.”
Mr. Trump has for months complained of a rigged system and has said that if he loses the election and there are reports of problems at the polls he might challenge the result.
Early voting is coming to a close in Florida, the nation’s largest swing state, and Mrs. Clinton is not expected to return there before Election Day. But on the campaign’s last weekend, she is sending her most prized surrogate, President Obama, to rev up turnout in the Orlando area.Early voting is coming to a close in Florida, the nation’s largest swing state, and Mrs. Clinton is not expected to return there before Election Day. But on the campaign’s last weekend, she is sending her most prized surrogate, President Obama, to rev up turnout in the Orlando area.
Mr. Obama has been an indispensable force in getting out the vote, and the site for his visit is no accident. Steve Schale, a Democratic strategist tracking early turnout in Florida, detailed a distinct bump in Democratic voting around Jacksonville after Mr. Obama’s visit there on Thursday. And while Democrats have enjoyed a big boost from Latino voting in the Orlando area, they see room to grow, especially among black voters.Mr. Obama has been an indispensable force in getting out the vote, and the site for his visit is no accident. Steve Schale, a Democratic strategist tracking early turnout in Florida, detailed a distinct bump in Democratic voting around Jacksonville after Mr. Obama’s visit there on Thursday. And while Democrats have enjoyed a big boost from Latino voting in the Orlando area, they see room to grow, especially among black voters.
The hope for Mrs. Clinton’s campaign is that with most of Florida already having voted, she will have built a meaningful lead before Election Day. But Mr. Trump is still going all out in the state, campaigning in Tampa on Saturday and planning a visit to Sarasota on Monday.The hope for Mrs. Clinton’s campaign is that with most of Florida already having voted, she will have built a meaningful lead before Election Day. But Mr. Trump is still going all out in the state, campaigning in Tampa on Saturday and planning a visit to Sarasota on Monday.
After ignoring Minnesota, a solidly blue state, throughout the general election campaign, Mr. Trump is headed there on Sunday in a bid to change the electoral map. His campaign has spun it as a bold move to exploit his rising fortunes in the race. The reality is harsher: Mr. Trump is trying to put Minnesota in play because he is running out of ways to assemble 270 electoral votes, and he may need a long-shot state to break his way.
Democrats — and more than a few Republicans — have scoffed at the move. But Mrs. Clinton has left little to chance in the final days of the race, and has taken steps to shore up her position in another seemingly safe state, Michigan, where Mr. Trump has decided to press his luck.
It will be the height of political caution if the Clinton campaign redirects resources to Minnesota, a state so liberal-leaning that it elected Democrats to high-level office in the Republican wave years of 2010 and 2014.
Mrs. Clinton has campaigned with a powerhouse lineup of supporters over the past week, and two people joining her on Sunday are among the most potent. In Ohio, she will appear alongside LeBron James, the Cleveland Cavaliers star and a revered figure in the biggest swing state leaning toward Mr. Trump.Mrs. Clinton has campaigned with a powerhouse lineup of supporters over the past week, and two people joining her on Sunday are among the most potent. In Ohio, she will appear alongside LeBron James, the Cleveland Cavaliers star and a revered figure in the biggest swing state leaning toward Mr. Trump.
Mr. James does not routinely intervene in politics, so his support for Mrs. Clinton — and the tone and language of his remarks — could break though in a way that most celebrity endorsements do not.Mr. James does not routinely intervene in politics, so his support for Mrs. Clinton — and the tone and language of his remarks — could break though in a way that most celebrity endorsements do not.
In New Hampshire, Mrs. Clinton will be joined by an electrifying figure of a different kind: Khizr Khan, whose August clash with Mr. Trump proved disastrous for the Republican nominee. The Clinton campaign has put Mr. Khan in television ads as a spokesman for inclusion and religious tolerance, and he has also proved almost uniquely capable of flummoxing Mr. Trump. Mr. Khan’s reappearance comes as Mr. Trump is struggling to stay on message.In New Hampshire, Mrs. Clinton will be joined by an electrifying figure of a different kind: Khizr Khan, whose August clash with Mr. Trump proved disastrous for the Republican nominee. The Clinton campaign has put Mr. Khan in television ads as a spokesman for inclusion and religious tolerance, and he has also proved almost uniquely capable of flummoxing Mr. Trump. Mr. Khan’s reappearance comes as Mr. Trump is struggling to stay on message.
Mr. Trump’s campaign aides have pushed him to stick to a rigid script and avoid undermining himself with loose talk as he closes out the race. He has been cooperative, up to a point. On Saturday, Mr. Trump repeatedly veered far from his prepared remarks, offering free-form thoughts on the news media, Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and the offensive to retake Mosul, Iraq. He also repeated a false story that Mr. Obama had screamed at a pro-Trump protester.Mr. Trump’s campaign aides have pushed him to stick to a rigid script and avoid undermining himself with loose talk as he closes out the race. He has been cooperative, up to a point. On Saturday, Mr. Trump repeatedly veered far from his prepared remarks, offering free-form thoughts on the news media, Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr. and the offensive to retake Mosul, Iraq. He also repeated a false story that Mr. Obama had screamed at a pro-Trump protester.
On Sunday, Mr. Trump’s discipline may be strained further as he campaigns at a frenzied pace, largely in states that he is likely to lose. He is due to visit five states, four of which — Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Virginia — appear to be leaning toward Mrs. Clinton.On Sunday, Mr. Trump’s discipline may be strained further as he campaigns at a frenzied pace, largely in states that he is likely to lose. He is due to visit five states, four of which — Minnesota, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Virginia — appear to be leaning toward Mrs. Clinton.
It adds up to a difficult test of focus for a candidate not known for his self-control. A tired candidate is usually one more likely to slip up, and a frustrated candidate doubly so. His campaign has spun it as a bold move to exploit his rising fortunes in the race. The reality is harsher: Mr. Trump is trying to put blue states in play because he is running out of ways to assemble 270 electoral votes, and he may need a long-shot state to break his way.
Though Democrats are not taking victory for granted — and Republicans aren’t giving up — the first traces of postelection spin are starting to appear. There are early rumblings of an argument from backers of Mr. Trump, who do not want to see his agenda repudiated, that he has been the party’s strongest candidate in years.Though Democrats are not taking victory for granted — and Republicans aren’t giving up — the first traces of postelection spin are starting to appear. There are early rumblings of an argument from backers of Mr. Trump, who do not want to see his agenda repudiated, that he has been the party’s strongest candidate in years.
“Whatever happens, Trump will have more electoral votes than Romney and more excitement at every event,” Laura Ingraham, the influential conservative radio host, tweeted on Saturday.“Whatever happens, Trump will have more electoral votes than Romney and more excitement at every event,” Laura Ingraham, the influential conservative radio host, tweeted on Saturday.
It is far from certain that Mr. Trump will exceed Mitt Romney’s 2012 performance, but the better he fares, even in defeat, the harder it will be for the Republican establishment to expunge his influence from the party.It is far from certain that Mr. Trump will exceed Mitt Romney’s 2012 performance, but the better he fares, even in defeat, the harder it will be for the Republican establishment to expunge his influence from the party.
Democrats, growing confident again that Mrs. Clinton will prevail, have begun to speak quietly of the spiking Latino turnout as a kind of mandate to enact an immigration overhaul in 2017. Should Mrs. Clinton prevail on the strength of states like Nevada, Colorado and Florida, her allies can be expected to make this argument forcefully after Nov. 8.Democrats, growing confident again that Mrs. Clinton will prevail, have begun to speak quietly of the spiking Latino turnout as a kind of mandate to enact an immigration overhaul in 2017. Should Mrs. Clinton prevail on the strength of states like Nevada, Colorado and Florida, her allies can be expected to make this argument forcefully after Nov. 8.