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A Deadlocked Race and a Long Night Ahead A Deadlocked Race and a Long Night Ahead
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The 2016 presidential election will not be decided soon.The 2016 presidential election will not be decided soon.
Donald J. Trump’s strong showing among white, working-class and rural voters has kept him competitive in his race against Hillary Clinton, especially in battleground states like Florida and North Carolina, which are crucial to his chances.Donald J. Trump’s strong showing among white, working-class and rural voters has kept him competitive in his race against Hillary Clinton, especially in battleground states like Florida and North Carolina, which are crucial to his chances.
Mr. Trump’s gains in Florida have been enough to cancel out Mrs. Clinton’s strength with Hispanic voters. With more than 90 percent of the expected vote reporting, Mr. Trump has a narrow lead in the state. Most of the remaining votes are in South Florida, where Mrs. Clinton has an advantage. Even if it is enough for her to squeak out a win, the race is likely to be extremely close and will not be projected anytime soon, and perhaps not at all tonight. A similar story holds in North Carolina.Mr. Trump’s gains in Florida have been enough to cancel out Mrs. Clinton’s strength with Hispanic voters. With more than 90 percent of the expected vote reporting, Mr. Trump has a narrow lead in the state. Most of the remaining votes are in South Florida, where Mrs. Clinton has an advantage. Even if it is enough for her to squeak out a win, the race is likely to be extremely close and will not be projected anytime soon, and perhaps not at all tonight. A similar story holds in North Carolina.
Mrs. Clinton’s inability to secure an early knockout blow in the Southeast means the contest will turn to the North. The vote count will proceed much more slowly in states like Michigan and Wisconsin than it has in Florida or North Carolina, so there is unlikely to be a quick decision in either state.Mrs. Clinton’s inability to secure an early knockout blow in the Southeast means the contest will turn to the North. The vote count will proceed much more slowly in states like Michigan and Wisconsin than it has in Florida or North Carolina, so there is unlikely to be a quick decision in either state.
If Mr. Trump wins Florida and North Carolina, he will still have to win one of six competitive states — Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire, Michigan, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania — to win the election. His strength among white working-class voters makes that a real possibility. Even if he falls short, it will take a while to reach a decision.If Mr. Trump wins Florida and North Carolina, he will still have to win one of six competitive states — Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire, Michigan, Wisconsin or Pennsylvania — to win the election. His strength among white working-class voters makes that a real possibility. Even if he falls short, it will take a while to reach a decision.