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White voters gave victory to Donald Trump, exit polls show White voters gave victory to Donald Trump, exit polls show
(35 minutes later)
It was all supposed to hinge on the surging turnout of Latino voters for Hillary Clinton and whether or not the Democratic nominee could persuade enough African American voters to emulate them.It was all supposed to hinge on the surging turnout of Latino voters for Hillary Clinton and whether or not the Democratic nominee could persuade enough African American voters to emulate them.
In the end, according to exit polls, the election result seems to have been more about the remarkable degree of backing from America’s white voters for Donald Trump – including white college-educated voters and white female voters.In the end, according to exit polls, the election result seems to have been more about the remarkable degree of backing from America’s white voters for Donald Trump – including white college-educated voters and white female voters.
Clinton’s lead among non-white voters was substantial, but simply not substantial enough to make up the difference. It was also less than many anticipated – and less than Barack Obama’s four years previously. Clinton’s lead among non-white voters was substantial, but not enough to make up the difference. It was also less than many anticipated – and less than Barack Obama’s four years previously.
Data from CNN’s Edison national election poll, based on a sample of 24,537 respondents at 350 polling stations, is not definitive – the US census board will provide that – and has contained errors in the past.Data from CNN’s Edison national election poll, based on a sample of 24,537 respondents at 350 polling stations, is not definitive – the US census board will provide that – and has contained errors in the past.
The polling guru Nate Silver, editor of FiveThirtyEight, said exit polls had done an “awfully bad job” on Tuesday night, initially predicting a Clinton landslide.The polling guru Nate Silver, editor of FiveThirtyEight, said exit polls had done an “awfully bad job” on Tuesday night, initially predicting a Clinton landslide.
But on the poll’s evidence, although the disaffected, economically insecure white blue-collar voters to whom Trump was always going to appeal certainly helped him win in rust belt states like Michigan, they cannot explain the new Republican president’s performance nationwide. But on the poll’s evidence, although the disaffected, economically insecure white blue-collar voters to whom Trump was always going to appeal certainly helped him win in rustbelt states such as Michigan, they cannot explain the new Republican president’s performance nationwide.
What appears to have made the biggest difference on the night was the turnout for Trump of white voters across the board – of both sexes and almost all ages and education levels.What appears to have made the biggest difference on the night was the turnout for Trump of white voters across the board – of both sexes and almost all ages and education levels.
Among the more startling data to emerge from the poll:Among the more startling data to emerge from the poll:
Trump collected just 9% of black votes from the same age group, and 24% of Latinos. But compared with Obama four years ago, Clinton underperformed with black and Latino voters generally, winning 88% of the black vote overall against Obama’s 93%, and 65% of the Latino vote against Obama’s 71%. Trump collected just 9% of black votes from the same age group, and 24% of Latinos. Compared with Obama four years ago, Clinton underperformed with black and Latino voters generally, winning 88% of the black vote overall, against Obama’s 93%, and 65% of the Latino vote, against Obama’s 71%.
Trump, meanwhile, while winning just 8% of the black vote, collected 29% of the Latino vote – two percentage points more than his 2012 predecessor, Mitt Romney.Trump, meanwhile, while winning just 8% of the black vote, collected 29% of the Latino vote – two percentage points more than his 2012 predecessor, Mitt Romney.
Broken down by income bracket, 52% of voters earning less than $50,000 a year – who make up 36% of the electorate – voted for Clinton, and 41% for Trump. But some 64% of American voters earn more than $50,000 a year, and 49% of them chose Trump, against 47% for Clinton. Broken down by income bracket, 52% of voters earning less than $50,000 a year – who make up 36% of the electorate – voted for Clinton, and 41% for Trump. Among the 64% of American voters who earn more than $50,000 a year, 49% chose Trump and 47% for Clinton.