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House price growth stable in 2016, says Nationwide House price growth stable in 2016, says Nationwide
(35 minutes later)
House price growth was relatively stable in 2016 but is likely to slow next year, the Nationwide has said.House price growth was relatively stable in 2016 but is likely to slow next year, the Nationwide has said.
According to its latest House Price Index, average prices have grown by 4.5% over the last 12 months, the same rate as in 2015.According to its latest House Price Index, average prices have grown by 4.5% over the last 12 months, the same rate as in 2015.
However, it believes the UK will see "modestly slower" increases next year as the economy weakens.However, it believes the UK will see "modestly slower" increases next year as the economy weakens.
The building society said house price growth of "around 2%" was "more likely than a decline".The building society said house price growth of "around 2%" was "more likely than a decline".
According to the index, a key trend of 2016 was that the London housing market's above-average performance began to falter. According to the index, all regions saw house price growth in 2016, with East Anglia topping the table for the first time since 2010, with average prices up 10.1% year-on-year.
However, the above-average performance of London's housing market began to falter.
For the first year since 2008, price growth in the capital was lower than the UK average, with prices increasing by 3.7% over the year - down from 12.2% in 2015.For the first year since 2008, price growth in the capital was lower than the UK average, with prices increasing by 3.7% over the year - down from 12.2% in 2015.
That said, the South of England as a whole continued to see "slightly stronger price growth" than the North of England, though the differential narrowed. The South of England as a whole continued to see "slightly stronger price growth" than the North of England - the weakest performing region - though the differential narrowed.
Price growth in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland "remained subdued", Nationwide said, although each nation saw small gains overall, at 2.4%, 2.2% and 0.7% respectively. Meanwhile, price growth in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland "remained subdued", Nationwide said, although each nation saw small gains overall, at 2.4%, 2.2% and 0.7% respectively.
Mr Gardener said prospects in 2017 would "depend crucially on developments in the wider economy, around which there is a greater degree of uncertainty than usual". Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist, said prospects for UK house prices in 2017 would "depend crucially on developments in the wider economy, around which there is a greater degree of uncertainty than usual".
"Like most forecasters, including the Bank of England, we expect the UK economy to slow modestly next year, which is likely to result in less robust labour market conditions and modestly slower house price growth," he said."Like most forecasters, including the Bank of England, we expect the UK economy to slow modestly next year, which is likely to result in less robust labour market conditions and modestly slower house price growth," he said.
"But we continue to think a small gain… is more likely than a decline… since low interest rates are expected to help underpin demand, while a shortage of homes on the market will continue to provide support for house prices.""But we continue to think a small gain… is more likely than a decline… since low interest rates are expected to help underpin demand, while a shortage of homes on the market will continue to provide support for house prices."
The forecast reflects other predictions that point to slower house price growth in 2017.
Halifax expects growth of between 1% and 4% by the end of 2017, while the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors has said it expects property values to rise by about 3%.
Where can I afford to live?Where can I afford to live?