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West coast rail upgrade warning West coast rail upgrade warning
(30 minutes later)
The West Coast Main Line may not be able to sustain passenger growth within 10 years despite massive investment, a UK Government watchdog has warned.The West Coast Main Line may not be able to sustain passenger growth within 10 years despite massive investment, a UK Government watchdog has warned.
The key Scotland to London rail line is undergoing an £8.6bn upgrade. The rail line between Glasgow and London is undergoing an £8.6bn upgrade.
However, the National Audit Office said it may not be able to cope with current levels of growth beyond 2015. However, the National Audit Office said it might not be able to cope with current levels of growth beyond 2015.
However, Network Rail said the rise in passenger numbers was a sign of success and voiced confidence that the numbers could be accommodated.However, Network Rail said the rise in passenger numbers was a sign of success and voiced confidence that the numbers could be accommodated.
Deputy chief executive Iain Coucher told BBC Radio Four's Today programme: "We've got a programme of work still being undertaken now and more trains will be coming on over the next couple of years. Deputy chief executive Iain Coucher told BBC Radio 4's Today programme: "We've got a programme of work still being undertaken now and more trains will be coming on over the next couple of years.
We are looking at capacity issues, but the only way we can actually tackle this problem is to take forward the work that we have already started Douglas AlexanderTransport Secretary Full interviewWe are looking at capacity issues, but the only way we can actually tackle this problem is to take forward the work that we have already started Douglas AlexanderTransport Secretary Full interview
"And going forward, there's a whole range of things we can do: longer trains, more trains per hour through the key bottlenecks and then eventually closer together through new signalling systems.""And going forward, there's a whole range of things we can do: longer trains, more trains per hour through the key bottlenecks and then eventually closer together through new signalling systems."
Transport Secretary Douglas Alexander told BBC Radio Scotland that the issue of capacity was one of the biggest challenges faced by the rail system.Transport Secretary Douglas Alexander told BBC Radio Scotland that the issue of capacity was one of the biggest challenges faced by the rail system.
"We have seen passenger numbers rising - indeed we have a one billion passenger railway, the fastest-growing passenger railway anywhere in Europe," he said."We have seen passenger numbers rising - indeed we have a one billion passenger railway, the fastest-growing passenger railway anywhere in Europe," he said.
"Of course we are looking at capacity issues, but the only way we can actually tackle this problem is to take forward the work that we have already started.""Of course we are looking at capacity issues, but the only way we can actually tackle this problem is to take forward the work that we have already started."
He said there must be continuing high levels of investment, effective management and planning for the future.He said there must be continuing high levels of investment, effective management and planning for the future.
The line runs between Glasgow and LondonThe line runs between Glasgow and London
Numbers of carriages had already been increased from eight to nine, said Mr Alexander, and it is planned to increase the number of trains from nine to 12 by 2008. Numbers of carriages had already been increased from eight to nine, said Mr Alexander, and there were plans to increase the number of trains from nine to 12 by 2008.
The results of an independent review, which is examining the issue of capacity and the case for a new high-speed rail line, are due to be published within weeks.The results of an independent review, which is examining the issue of capacity and the case for a new high-speed rail line, are due to be published within weeks.
Mr Alexander said he would bring forward plans for the future of the railways next summer. Mr Alexander said he would unveil plans for the future of the railways next summer.
The auditors' report on the west coast line warned that electronic signalling equipment may become obsolete significantly earlier than expected. The auditors' report on the west coast line warned that electronic signalling equipment might become obsolete significantly earlier than expected.
To sustain train operations, the line's operator, Virgin Trains, was paid £590m more in subsidy in the period 2002-06 than envisaged in its franchise agreement, their report said.To sustain train operations, the line's operator, Virgin Trains, was paid £590m more in subsidy in the period 2002-06 than envisaged in its franchise agreement, their report said.
Head of the National Audit Office (NAO) Sir John Bourn said: "The weaknesses in the management of the project before 2002 should provide ample warning of the dangers of entering into a scheme on this scale without clear leadership, plans and project management expertise; without fully engaging stakeholders; and using untried technologies. National Audit Office (NAO) head Sir John Bourn said: "The weaknesses in the management of the project before 2002 should provide ample warning of the dangers of entering into a scheme on this scale without clear leadership, plans and project management expertise; without fully engaging stakeholders; and using untried technologies.
Tilting trains
"Future major projects should draw upon these lessons learned, give careful consideration up front to the potential effects of programme slippage and include plans to minimise these risks.""Future major projects should draw upon these lessons learned, give careful consideration up front to the potential effects of programme slippage and include plans to minimise these risks."
Tilting trains
The report said the upgrade's remaining key projects would increase capacity for passengers and freight, but the industry consensus was that the line would not be able to sustain current growth levels beyond 2015-2020.The report said the upgrade's remaining key projects would increase capacity for passengers and freight, but the industry consensus was that the line would not be able to sustain current growth levels beyond 2015-2020.
There also remained uncertainty about the expected lifespan of some of the equipment on the upgraded line between London and Glasgow.There also remained uncertainty about the expected lifespan of some of the equipment on the upgraded line between London and Glasgow.
The west coast line now has high-speed tilting Pendolino trains which have significantly cut journey times between Scotland, the north of England and London.The west coast line now has high-speed tilting Pendolino trains which have significantly cut journey times between Scotland, the north of England and London.
The NAO said punctuality and passenger satisfaction were much improved and the number of passenger journeys on Virgin West Coast increased by 20% in 2005-06, which was 4% more than expected.The NAO said punctuality and passenger satisfaction were much improved and the number of passenger journeys on Virgin West Coast increased by 20% in 2005-06, which was 4% more than expected.