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Pound sterling remains volatile after latest poll slashes Conservative lead | |
(about 5 hours later) | |
The pound was volatile against the dollar and euro on Thursday, after a new poll gave Theresa May a mere three-point lead over Labour with just a week to go until the general election. | |
Sterling slipped by around 0.5 per cent against both the euro and the dollar before rebounding, although it still remained unstable. | |
The YouGov poll, commissioned by The Times, found that the Conservative lead had slipped dramatically in recent weeks and is now within the margin of error. | |
It shows the Conservatives on 42 points, and Labour close behind on 39. | |
FXTM research analyst Lukman Otunuga said that investors are avoiding the currency amid fears of Ms May “losing her grip on parliament” after the election. | FXTM research analyst Lukman Otunuga said that investors are avoiding the currency amid fears of Ms May “losing her grip on parliament” after the election. |
“Recent polls indicate a potential scenario where Theresa May could be short of the seats required to form a Government, which has sparked concerns of political instability prior to the Brexit negotiations.” | “Recent polls indicate a potential scenario where Theresa May could be short of the seats required to form a Government, which has sparked concerns of political instability prior to the Brexit negotiations.” |
The pound has whipsawed in recent days, buffeted by different polls and interpretations of what the possible election outcomes might mean for the currency in the long run. | The pound has whipsawed in recent days, buffeted by different polls and interpretations of what the possible election outcomes might mean for the currency in the long run. |
See how much you could save on international money transfers with HiFX: sign up and make a transfer | See how much you could save on international money transfers with HiFX: sign up and make a transfer |
UBS Wealth Management wrote in a note on Thursday that a decisive Conservative majority could result in a stronger pound, but JP Morgan analysts have made the argument that markets may react positively to a defeat for Ms May. | |
They say that the prospect of a softer Brexit from Europe under a Labour-led administration could bolster the value of the pound. | They say that the prospect of a softer Brexit from Europe under a Labour-led administration could bolster the value of the pound. |
Sterling already fell around 2 per cent last week, after polls showed the Conservatives’ lead over Labour had shrunk from as much as 20 points in April. | |
The currency remains about 13 per cent lower against the dollar since last June’s Brexit referendum, but it’s up for the year and rallied sharply after Ms May called for a general election. | |
Strategists at the time said that investors were buying the pound on hopes that a vote would strengthen Ms May’s hand in Brexit negotiations. | Strategists at the time said that investors were buying the pound on hopes that a vote would strengthen Ms May’s hand in Brexit negotiations. |
Elsewhere in financial markets, the FTSE 100 ended the day about 0.3 per cent higher. | |
The benchmark stock index is largely made up of major international corporations that generate revenue abroad, meaning that it tends to perform well when the pound is weak. | The benchmark stock index is largely made up of major international corporations that generate revenue abroad, meaning that it tends to perform well when the pound is weak. |
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