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| Conservatives to fall 18 seats short of majority, latest YouGov poll model suggests | Conservatives to fall 18 seats short of majority, latest YouGov poll model suggests |
| (35 minutes later) | |
| The Conservatives are on track to fall 18 seats short of a majority in the general election, a new opinion poll model has suggested. | The Conservatives are on track to fall 18 seats short of a majority in the general election, a new opinion poll model has suggested. |
| The latest YouGov prediction model shows the Tories winning 308 seats, Labour on 261 and other parties winning 80 seats in the 650-seat lower house of parliament. | |
| It marks a shift of nine seats from the Conservatives to Labour since a previous YouGov prediction poll two days ago, which showed Theresa May's party on 317 and Labour on 253. | |
| The latest YouGov prediction comes as a separate poll by Britain Elects shows the Conservatives with a 43 per cent vote share and Labour holding 37 per cent of voting intention. | |
| Other opinion polls during the past 10 days have shown the Conservatives' lead over Labour in terms of public support fall away, though the extent of the decline is sensitive to assumptions over how likely different age groups are to vote. | |
| At the start of the campaign some polls had the Tories at almost double the vote share of the Labour Party, indicating a likely landslide victory that would increase the Prime Minister's current working majority of 17 in the House of Commons. | |
| But the Tory lead has been steadily declining in the polls as election day edges closer, which will be a concern to party headquarters and a boost to their rivals. | |
| More follows... |