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John Major: Tory-DUP deal could jeopardise Northern Ireland peace Conservative-DUP talks progressing well, says Arlene Foster
(about 1 hour later)
Sir John Major has warned Theresa May against making a parliamentary deal with the Democratic Unionists, saying it could risk Northern Ireland’s peace process and cause resentment in other parts of the UK. Talks on an informal coalition between the Conservatives and the Democratic Unionists have progressed well, the leader of the Northern Irish party has said following talks at Downing Street.
The rare and strongly-worded intervention by the former prime minister, who also called for a more collegiate approach to Brexit, will be deeply unsettling for May, who is holding talks at Downing Street with the DUP leader, Arlene Foster. The positive words in a tweet from Arlene Foster came as the former prime minister, Sir John Major, warned Theresa May against making a parliamentary deal with the DUP, saying it could risk Northern Ireland’s peace process and cause resentment in other parts of the UK.
Major, who rarely comments on day-to-day political matters, told BBC Radio 4’s The World at One that he felt May would do far better to try to run a minority governmentthan seek the planned loose alliance with the DUP. The rare and strongly worded intervention by Major, who also called for a more collegiate approach to Brexit, came as May was holding talks with Foster and will be deeply unsettling for the prime minister.
“I am concerned about the deal, I am wary about wary it, I am dubious about it, both for peace process reasons but also for other reasons as well,” Major said, warning that if peace unravelled. Northern Ireland’s “hard men” could return to violence. May left No 10 after the talks to head to parliament. Foster tweeted that the discussions were going well, saying:
The former PM, who was central to the start of the peace process, said an alliance with the DUP would jeopardise the UK government’s crucial role as an “honest broker” in Northern Ireland. Discussions are going well with the government and we hope soon to be able to bring this work to a successful conclusion.
Major, who rarely comments on day-to-day political matters, told BBC Radio 4’s The World at One that he felt May should try to run a minority governmentrather than seek the planned loose alliance with the DUP.
“I am concerned about the deal, I am wary about it, I am dubious about it, both for peace process reasons but also for other reasons as well,” Major said, warning that if peace unravelled, Northern Ireland’s “hard men” could return to violence.
The former PM, who was central to the start of the peace process in the 1990s, said an alliance with the DUP would jeopardise the UK government’s crucial role as an “honest broker” in Northern Ireland.
“People shouldn’t regard it as a given,” he said of peace in Northern Ireland. “It isn’t certain, it is under stress. It is fragile. And although I don’t expect it suddenly to collapse – because there is a broad consensus that wishes it to continue – I think we have to take care with it, and take care that everything we do does not exaggerate the underlying differences that still are there in the Northern Ireland community.”“People shouldn’t regard it as a given,” he said of peace in Northern Ireland. “It isn’t certain, it is under stress. It is fragile. And although I don’t expect it suddenly to collapse – because there is a broad consensus that wishes it to continue – I think we have to take care with it, and take care that everything we do does not exaggerate the underlying differences that still are there in the Northern Ireland community.”
Saying he supported May and could understand why she sought the DUP deal, Major argued it was a mistake.Saying he supported May and could understand why she sought the DUP deal, Major argued it was a mistake.
“A fundamental part of that peace process is that the UK government needs to be impartial between all the competing interests in Northern Ireland,” he said. “The danger is that however much any government tries, they will not be seen to be impartial if they are locked into a parliamentary deal, at Westminster, with one of the Northern Ireland parties.“A fundamental part of that peace process is that the UK government needs to be impartial between all the competing interests in Northern Ireland,” he said. “The danger is that however much any government tries, they will not be seen to be impartial if they are locked into a parliamentary deal, at Westminster, with one of the Northern Ireland parties.
“And you never know, in what unpredictable way, events will turn out. And we cannot know if that impartiality is going to be crucial at some stage in the future.”“And you never know, in what unpredictable way, events will turn out. And we cannot know if that impartiality is going to be crucial at some stage in the future.”
Major continued: “The question arises – if they cease to be seen as such by part of the community in Northern Ireland, then one can’t be quite certain how events will unwind. And that worries me a great deal about the peace process.Major continued: “The question arises – if they cease to be seen as such by part of the community in Northern Ireland, then one can’t be quite certain how events will unwind. And that worries me a great deal about the peace process.
“The last thing anybody wishes to see is one or other of the communities so aggrieved that the hard men, who are still there lurking in the corners of the community, decide that they wish to return to some form of violence. We really need to do everything we conceivably can to make sure that doesn’t happen.”“The last thing anybody wishes to see is one or other of the communities so aggrieved that the hard men, who are still there lurking in the corners of the community, decide that they wish to return to some form of violence. We really need to do everything we conceivably can to make sure that doesn’t happen.”
Major also warned against the “baggage” of a deal, not least the DUP seeking extra funding for Northern Ireland, and the potential resentment this could cause among voters in other places.Major also warned against the “baggage” of a deal, not least the DUP seeking extra funding for Northern Ireland, and the potential resentment this could cause among voters in other places.
“That is going to cause a great degree of grievance elsewhere,” he warned. “They would see it as the government paying cash for votes in parliament, and in doing so I think that could well cost votes in the country for the Conservative party, by the bucketload, at a subsequent election.”“That is going to cause a great degree of grievance elsewhere,” he warned. “They would see it as the government paying cash for votes in parliament, and in doing so I think that could well cost votes in the country for the Conservative party, by the bucketload, at a subsequent election.”
Major said he was aware there was no appetite for a new general election, and suggested May could seek to govern as a minority, noting that her opponents would only have “a tiny majority in the event that everybody lined up against her”. Major said he was aware there was no appetite for another general election, and suggested May could seek to govern as a minority, noting that her opponents would only have “a tiny majority in the event that everybody lined up against her”.
His intervention comes as May and Foster hold talks, which are not expected to be concluded in a single day. May and Foster’s talks were not expected to be concluded in a single day.
This followed the first meeting of May’s slightly reshuffled cabinet since the election in which she lost her majority. A Downing Street spokeswoman said ministers “discussed the ongoing talks with the DUP to secure a confidence and supply arrangement”. The negotiations followed the first meeting of May’s slightly reshuffled cabinet since the election in which she lost her majority. A Downing Street spokeswoman said ministers “discussed the ongoing talks with the DUP to secure a confidence and supply arrangement”.
Major called separately for a different approach to Brexit by May and her ministers in the wake of the election. “The public need facts and not idle hopes,” he said. Major is also calling for a different approach to Brexit by May and her ministers in the wake of the election, including a cross-party consultation.
“I think we have to recognise that the election changed, if not everything, a very great deal,” he said. “And the government are going to have to respond to that. The views of the 48% cannot be brushed aside as some of the more vigorous, hardline Brexiteers wish.”
A so-called hard Brexit looked “increasingly unsustainable”, Major said, saying May should not rule out a deal to keep single market access by being “much more generous on immigration than has been the intention hitherto”.
He also called for a more less sloganeering on the issue and more specifics: “The public need facts and not idle hopes.”