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UK retail sales growth continues in July | UK retail sales growth continues in July |
(about 3 hours later) | |
UK retail sales increased in July as stronger spending on food offset a fall in the purchase of other goods, according to official figures. | UK retail sales increased in July as stronger spending on food offset a fall in the purchase of other goods, according to official figures. |
The volume of sales grew by 0.3% compared with June, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. | The volume of sales grew by 0.3% compared with June, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. |
However, the figure for June's retail sales growth was revised down from 0.6% to 0.3%. | However, the figure for June's retail sales growth was revised down from 0.6% to 0.3%. |
The latest data shows that the volume of food sales rose by 1.5% in July, having fallen by 1.1% in June. | |
The ONS said all other sectors saw a fall in volume sales apart from household goods. | The ONS said all other sectors saw a fall in volume sales apart from household goods. |
Ole Black, ONS senior statistician, said that overall it was a "relatively subdued picture" in retail sales". | Ole Black, ONS senior statistician, said that overall it was a "relatively subdued picture" in retail sales". |
"Strong food sales have been responsible for the growth of 0.3% in July compared with June, as all other main sectors have shown a decrease. Whilst the overall growth is the same as in June, trends in growth in different sectors are proving quite volatile," he said. | "Strong food sales have been responsible for the growth of 0.3% in July compared with June, as all other main sectors have shown a decrease. Whilst the overall growth is the same as in June, trends in growth in different sectors are proving quite volatile," he said. |
'Extraordinarily resilient' | 'Extraordinarily resilient' |
However, Ruth Gregory, UK economist at Capital Economics, said the July figures were "fairly encouraging given the recent intensification of the squeeze on consumers' real incomes and suggest that talk of a sharp consumer slowdown has been overdone". | However, Ruth Gregory, UK economist at Capital Economics, said the July figures were "fairly encouraging given the recent intensification of the squeeze on consumers' real incomes and suggest that talk of a sharp consumer slowdown has been overdone". |
She said there had been few signs of a sharp slowdown in spending growth away from the high street. | She said there had been few signs of a sharp slowdown in spending growth away from the high street. |
"What's more, with annual retail sales values growth remaining at a still strong 4.1% in July, this suggests that consumers haven't been tightening their belts as a result of Brexit uncertainty," she said. | "What's more, with annual retail sales values growth remaining at a still strong 4.1% in July, this suggests that consumers haven't been tightening their belts as a result of Brexit uncertainty," she said. |
Ben Brettell, senior economist at Hargreaves Lansdown, said the figures showed the UK consumer was "extraordinarily resilient". | Ben Brettell, senior economist at Hargreaves Lansdown, said the figures showed the UK consumer was "extraordinarily resilient". |
"Spending has defied expectations of a slowdown since the Brexit referendum, and currently seems to be holding up despite weak wage growth and above-target inflation," he added. | "Spending has defied expectations of a slowdown since the Brexit referendum, and currently seems to be holding up despite weak wage growth and above-target inflation," he added. |
"This could bode well for economic growth - the UK economy is heavily reliant on the consumer, and economists had expected falling real incomes to eventually translate into weak retail sales." | "This could bode well for economic growth - the UK economy is heavily reliant on the consumer, and economists had expected falling real incomes to eventually translate into weak retail sales." |
However, the continuing difficulties for retailers was underlined on Thursday when Kingfisher reported a 1.9% fall in like-for-like sales for the three months to 31 July. | However, the continuing difficulties for retailers was underlined on Thursday when Kingfisher reported a 1.9% fall in like-for-like sales for the three months to 31 July. |
The group's operations include DIY chain B&Q, whose sales fell 4.7%. | The group's operations include DIY chain B&Q, whose sales fell 4.7%. |
PwC economic advisor, Andrew Sentance said the underlying picture on the High Street remained one of "subdued growth". | PwC economic advisor, Andrew Sentance said the underlying picture on the High Street remained one of "subdued growth". |
"Consumers may also be becoming more cautious about spending because of the political uncertainty following the General Election and surrounding the Brexit process. | "Consumers may also be becoming more cautious about spending because of the political uncertainty following the General Election and surrounding the Brexit process. |
"However, the main factor squeezing consumers is the weakness of the pound against other major currencies which is pushing up import prices and fuelling inflation," he added. | "However, the main factor squeezing consumers is the weakness of the pound against other major currencies which is pushing up import prices and fuelling inflation," he added. |
"UK consumers are watching and waiting - for inflation to subside and for the post-Brexit to become clearer. Until there is some relief on these two key issues, subdued growth of retail sales looks set to continue through this year and into 2018." | "UK consumers are watching and waiting - for inflation to subside and for the post-Brexit to become clearer. Until there is some relief on these two key issues, subdued growth of retail sales looks set to continue through this year and into 2018." |