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Jeremy Corbyn's caution on Labour rule changes | Jeremy Corbyn's caution on Labour rule changes |
(about 3 hours later) | |
The Labour leadership don't simply want to be prepared for the possibility of an early election. | The Labour leadership don't simply want to be prepared for the possibility of an early election. |
With the recent manoeuvrings within government, they think it's increasingly likely. | With the recent manoeuvrings within government, they think it's increasingly likely. |
And there was a danger that next week's Labour conference could have highlighted internal divisions rather than promoted unity. | |
Due for discussion was the so called "McDonnell amendment". | Due for discussion was the so called "McDonnell amendment". |
Opponents of the shadow chancellor named it after him to highlight how someone as unpopular as he is with his fellow MPs could be on a future leadership ballot if only 5% of parliamentarians nominated him. Currently, the support of 15% of Labour MPs and MEPs is required. | Opponents of the shadow chancellor named it after him to highlight how someone as unpopular as he is with his fellow MPs could be on a future leadership ballot if only 5% of parliamentarians nominated him. Currently, the support of 15% of Labour MPs and MEPs is required. |
An 'interim' compromise | An 'interim' compromise |
So on Tuesday, Labour's ruling NEC is discussing - and will probably agree to - a compromise. | So on Tuesday, Labour's ruling NEC is discussing - and will probably agree to - a compromise. |
The threshold to take part in future leadership elections would be reduced - on an "interim" basis - from 15% to 10% of Labour MPs and MEPs. | The threshold to take part in future leadership elections would be reduced - on an "interim" basis - from 15% to 10% of Labour MPs and MEPs. |
Opponents of Jeremy Corbyn don't really see this as a compromise at all. | Opponents of Jeremy Corbyn don't really see this as a compromise at all. |
They believe that a candidate as left-wing as Jeremy Corbyn could well be nominated by 10% of the parliamentary party (and opposed by 90% of existing MPs) and win the contest when the left-wing membership gets its say. | They believe that a candidate as left-wing as Jeremy Corbyn could well be nominated by 10% of the parliamentary party (and opposed by 90% of existing MPs) and win the contest when the left-wing membership gets its say. |
But it's unlikely they will have enough votes to defeat this when the final decision is taken at Labour's conference. | But it's unlikely they will have enough votes to defeat this when the final decision is taken at Labour's conference. |
Some on the left, however, including leading lights in Momentum, the group that formed out of the first Jeremy Corbyn leadership campaign, see this as too much of a compromise. | Some on the left, however, including leading lights in Momentum, the group that formed out of the first Jeremy Corbyn leadership campaign, see this as too much of a compromise. |
They think the left should take an historic opportunity to entrench its power. But the party leader is moving rather more cautiously. | They think the left should take an historic opportunity to entrench its power. But the party leader is moving rather more cautiously. |
So what we will see are attempts to tip the balance of power in the party machine more in his favour, without driving critics out. | So what we will see are attempts to tip the balance of power in the party machine more in his favour, without driving critics out. |
The make-up of the ruling NEC will be altered, with three more members elected by the largely Corbyn-supporting grassroots. | The make-up of the ruling NEC will be altered, with three more members elected by the largely Corbyn-supporting grassroots. |
However, as a sop to opponents, a new union place on the NEC is likely to go to Usdaw - which didn't back his leadership. | However, as a sop to opponents, a new union place on the NEC is likely to go to Usdaw - which didn't back his leadership. |
Long grass | Long grass |
The more controversial reforms will be "long grassed" until next year as part of a wider review of the party's rules and structures. | The more controversial reforms will be "long grassed" until next year as part of a wider review of the party's rules and structures. |
Jeremy Corbyn himself will present its remit to the NEC on Tuesday and propose that the former MP Katy Clark - firmly on the party's left but liked and respected more widely - will be in charge of the process. | Jeremy Corbyn himself will present its remit to the NEC on Tuesday and propose that the former MP Katy Clark - firmly on the party's left but liked and respected more widely - will be in charge of the process. |
However, I understand that one of the totems of the left - mandatory reselection - won't be part of that remit. | However, I understand that one of the totems of the left - mandatory reselection - won't be part of that remit. |
For many years those who have wanted to see more power in the hands of left-wing members have argued that sitting MPs should have to - in effect - apply for their own job between each election. | For many years those who have wanted to see more power in the hands of left-wing members have argued that sitting MPs should have to - in effect - apply for their own job between each election. |
They will be disappointed that Jeremy Corbyn doesn't appear to be intent on creating a PLP in his image. | They will be disappointed that Jeremy Corbyn doesn't appear to be intent on creating a PLP in his image. |
MPs have Theresa May to thank for this. Her apparent vulnerability means that, practically, this wouldn't be a good time for a Labour leader to declare war on his parliamentary party. | MPs have Theresa May to thank for this. Her apparent vulnerability means that, practically, this wouldn't be a good time for a Labour leader to declare war on his parliamentary party. |
But in truth, Jeremy Corbyn also believes the existing system can be used more effectively to unseat unpopular MPs. | But in truth, Jeremy Corbyn also believes the existing system can be used more effectively to unseat unpopular MPs. |
Local constituency parties can re-adopt an MP on the nod but they also have the little-used power to ballot all party members in a particular seat on whether to open up the contest to challengers. | Local constituency parties can re-adopt an MP on the nod but they also have the little-used power to ballot all party members in a particular seat on whether to open up the contest to challengers. |
I am told that another demand by the left to water down Tom Watson's power by creating a second deputy leader post won't be explicitly included in the review, but that the process wouldn't preclude this from being discussed. | I am told that another demand by the left to water down Tom Watson's power by creating a second deputy leader post won't be explicitly included in the review, but that the process wouldn't preclude this from being discussed. |
So don't expect to see revolutionary changes to Labour's structures today. Instead, there is likely to be another incremental shift in the balance of power away from MPs and towards both the party leadership and the more left-wing membership. | So don't expect to see revolutionary changes to Labour's structures today. Instead, there is likely to be another incremental shift in the balance of power away from MPs and towards both the party leadership and the more left-wing membership. |
The changes wouldn't make a return to the Blairite past impossible - but it would be increasingly unlikely. | The changes wouldn't make a return to the Blairite past impossible - but it would be increasingly unlikely. |