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Government borrowing at lowest August level for 10 years | Government borrowing at lowest August level for 10 years |
(about 1 hour later) | |
Bumper VAT receipts have helped government borrowing to fall to its lowest August level since 2007, according to official figures. | |
The government's deficit narrowed to £5.7bn last month, compared with £7bn a year earlier, the Office for National Statistics (ONS) said. | |
VAT receipts rose by 5.6% from last year to £11.6bn, a record for August. | |
For the financial year to date, the government has borrowed £28.3bn, down £0.2bn from the same point last year. | For the financial year to date, the government has borrowed £28.3bn, down £0.2bn from the same point last year. |
The monthly deficit for August was lower than analysts had forecast and followed a £0.2bn surplus in July, which was the first such surplus for that month since 2002. | |
However, the government's total debt - defined as public sector net debt (excluding public sector banks) - stood at £1.77 trillion at the end of August, equivalent to 88% of gross domestic product. | |
That also represents an 89% rise in the stock of the national debt since the start of the current decade. | |
'Wiggle room' | 'Wiggle room' |
Howard Archer, chief economic adviser at the EY Item Club, said: "The public finances were boosted in August by record VAT receipts for the month... which ties in with strong retail sales growth. | Howard Archer, chief economic adviser at the EY Item Club, said: "The public finances were boosted in August by record VAT receipts for the month... which ties in with strong retail sales growth. |
"The ONS also reported that taking July and August together, receipts from income-tax self-assessments were up £0.4bn to a record £9.4bn. | "The ONS also reported that taking July and August together, receipts from income-tax self-assessments were up £0.4bn to a record £9.4bn. |
He warned that the public finances might take a turn for the worse in the coming months, due to the slow growth of the economy and higher government interest payments. | |
"Nevertheless, it looks increasingly like the chancellor will have some wiggle room in November's Budget," Mr Archer said. | |
Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said the improvement in August's deficit reflected government spending cuts, rather than a strong economy. | Samuel Tombs, chief UK economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics, said the improvement in August's deficit reflected government spending cuts, rather than a strong economy. |
But he said borrowing for the current financial year "appears to be on track to come in at about £50bn, clearly below the OBR's [Office for Budget Responsibility] March forecast". | But he said borrowing for the current financial year "appears to be on track to come in at about £50bn, clearly below the OBR's [Office for Budget Responsibility] March forecast". |
At the Budget in March, the OBR had forecast borrowing for 2017-18 would be just over £58bn. | At the Budget in March, the OBR had forecast borrowing for 2017-18 would be just over £58bn. |