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Xi Jinping’s Leninist quest for authority and control carries dangers Xi Jinping’s Leninist quest for authority and control carries dangers
(35 minutes later)
It sounded like the words of a patient at a self-help group , but the addiction being discussed here was China’s president, Xi Jinping. They sounded like the words of a patient at a self-help group , but the addiction being discussed here was China’s president, Xi Jinping.
“I’m Wang Yong from the Tonghua Iron and Steel factory,” proclaimed the delegate from the northeastern province of Jilin. “I’m Wang Yong from the Tonghua Iron and Steel factory,” proclaimed the delegate from the north-eastern province of Jilin.
“When I saw General Secretary Xi Jinping yesterday, I was so excited I thought about jumping on to the stage!” “When I saw General Secretary Xi Jinping yesterday, I was so excited I thought about jumping onto the stage!”
On a smoggy Thursday morning in Beijing, hundreds of Communist party members had flooded the Great Hall of the People – the ceremonial nexus of Chinese political life – for a day of debates tied to this week’s 19th party congress.On a smoggy Thursday morning in Beijing, hundreds of Communist party members had flooded the Great Hall of the People – the ceremonial nexus of Chinese political life – for a day of debates tied to this week’s 19th party congress.
Some, like Wang, hailed from the frigid border regions the world once called Manchuria; others the semi-tropical climes of China’s south-western frontier. Some sported drab black suits and burgundy ties; others the dazzling traditional garb of minorities such as the Dai, the Lahu and the Yi.Some, like Wang, hailed from the frigid border regions the world once called Manchuria; others the semi-tropical climes of China’s south-western frontier. Some sported drab black suits and burgundy ties; others the dazzling traditional garb of minorities such as the Dai, the Lahu and the Yi.
As they streamed into this vast Mao-era auditorium, to ponder everything from poverty reduction to environmental protection and investment, there was only one man on their minds: China’s president.As they streamed into this vast Mao-era auditorium, to ponder everything from poverty reduction to environmental protection and investment, there was only one man on their minds: China’s president.
“We’re grateful to General Secretary Xi Jinping and to the great Communist Party of China!” Gao Derong, a member of the Derung ethnic minority, exclaimed at a session on the affairs of the south-west province of Yunnan. “We’re grateful to General Secretary Xi Jinping and to the great Communist party of China!” Gao Derong, a member of the Derung ethnic minority, exclaimed at a session on the affairs of the south-west province of Yunnan.
Addressing an assembly about his province, the Liaoning party chief, Li Xi, reported: “We’ve launched a series of resolutions in accordance with General Secretary Xi’s ‘four efforts’ policy.”Addressing an assembly about his province, the Liaoning party chief, Li Xi, reported: “We’ve launched a series of resolutions in accordance with General Secretary Xi’s ‘four efforts’ policy.”
After lunch, the head of China’s markets regulator produced perhaps the most hyperbolic homage to his country’s “proletarian revolutionist”. “[Xi] saved the party, saved the military and saved the country,” gushed Liu Shiyu. “He saved socialism.”After lunch, the head of China’s markets regulator produced perhaps the most hyperbolic homage to his country’s “proletarian revolutionist”. “[Xi] saved the party, saved the military and saved the country,” gushed Liu Shiyu. “He saved socialism.”
To the outsider there was an almost comic feel to this explosion of sycophancy, even if some of the praise for the thoughts of Xi Jinping seemed to be heartfelt. “I think Xi’s comments were realistic, down-to-earth and seriously inspiring,” said He Xun, the party chief of a Tibetan village.To the outsider there was an almost comic feel to this explosion of sycophancy, even if some of the praise for the thoughts of Xi Jinping seemed to be heartfelt. “I think Xi’s comments were realistic, down-to-earth and seriously inspiring,” said He Xun, the party chief of a Tibetan village.
But the relentless expressions of devotion on show at the week-long summit, which began on Wednesday with Xi’s declaration of a “new era” of Chinese power, are no laughing matter.But the relentless expressions of devotion on show at the week-long summit, which began on Wednesday with Xi’s declaration of a “new era” of Chinese power, are no laughing matter.
Three days of incessant fawning have reinforced the sensation that the world’s second-largest economy is now ruled by one of its most influential, and perhaps enduring, leaders since Mao Zedong, a reality that will have ramifications far beyond China’s borders. Three days of incessant fawning have reinforced the sensation that the world’s second-largest economy is now ruled by one of its most influential, and perhaps enduring, leaders since Mao Zedong; a reality that will have ramifications far beyond China’s borders.
Donald Trump, who is scheduled to visit China early next month, might fail to retake the White House in three years’ time – or even make it that far. But there is a growing sense that his Chinese counterpart is in it for the long haul and could remain in power well beyond the end of his second five-year term.Donald Trump, who is scheduled to visit China early next month, might fail to retake the White House in three years’ time – or even make it that far. But there is a growing sense that his Chinese counterpart is in it for the long haul and could remain in power well beyond the end of his second five-year term.
“Many people are worried the Xi Jinping era will not end [in 2022],” said Jerry Cohen, a veteran China scholar at New York University, who suspects Xi will find ways of retaining power “sort of like the Putin arrangement in Russia”. “So this could go on for some time.”“Many people are worried the Xi Jinping era will not end [in 2022],” said Jerry Cohen, a veteran China scholar at New York University, who suspects Xi will find ways of retaining power “sort of like the Putin arrangement in Russia”. “So this could go on for some time.”
Cohen and other human rights experts say their main fear is the impact his staying power will have on Chinese academia and its nascent civil society. Both have found themselves in Xi’s cross hairs since he took power in November 2012 and began dismantling sources of potential opposition. Cohen and other human rights experts say their main fear is the impact his staying power will have on Chinese academia and its nascent civil society. Both have found themselves in Xi’s crosshairs since he took power in November 2012 and began dismantling sources of potential opposition.
Cohen rejected the theory, still expounded by some, that having consolidated power in his first term, Xi might reveal himself to be a reformer or a “crypto-liberal” in his second.Cohen rejected the theory, still expounded by some, that having consolidated power in his first term, Xi might reveal himself to be a reformer or a “crypto-liberal” in his second.
“I would be amazed if Xi begins to relax controls given the number of [economic and environmental] problems that he is much more aware of than we are … He knows that he can’t afford to allow freedom of expression,” he said.“I would be amazed if Xi begins to relax controls given the number of [economic and environmental] problems that he is much more aware of than we are … He knows that he can’t afford to allow freedom of expression,” he said.
After the election of a protectionist climate-denier to the White House last year, some have looked to Beijing for leadership on issues such as free trade and global warming.After the election of a protectionist climate-denier to the White House last year, some have looked to Beijing for leadership on issues such as free trade and global warming.
“No country can afford to retreat into self-isolation,” Xi pronounced on Wednesday. Later he added: “Any harm we inflict on nature will eventually return to haunt us.”“No country can afford to retreat into self-isolation,” Xi pronounced on Wednesday. Later he added: “Any harm we inflict on nature will eventually return to haunt us.”
But there are fears too about how China’s increasing international swagger might adversely affect its relations with the west.But there are fears too about how China’s increasing international swagger might adversely affect its relations with the west.
“As Xi persists – and if he persists with being a strongman internationally – I think relations with the United States in particular, but also perhaps with Europe, will worsen,” predicted Roderick MacFarquhar, a Harvard University and China expert. “As Xi persists – and if he persists with being a strongman internationally – I think relations with the United States in particular, but also perhaps with Europe, will worsen,” predicted Roderick MacFarquhar, a China expert at Harvard University.
“What everyone will discover is that China will have … its own ideas about [being a responsible international player] and they will not include being nicely-nicely in the South China Sea, they will not involve being nicely-nicely with the Japanese.”“What everyone will discover is that China will have … its own ideas about [being a responsible international player] and they will not include being nicely-nicely in the South China Sea, they will not involve being nicely-nicely with the Japanese.”
MacFarquhar said Xi appeared to have built a position of enviable strength in his first stint as leader, even if China’s “sophisticates” considered his strongman tendencies a turnoff.MacFarquhar said Xi appeared to have built a position of enviable strength in his first stint as leader, even if China’s “sophisticates” considered his strongman tendencies a turnoff.
“Unless some politician or some angry general decides enough is enough and that Xi Jinping is making China a laughing stock by this one-man rule campaign … and has the contacts and the determination to do something, nothing is going to change.”“Unless some politician or some angry general decides enough is enough and that Xi Jinping is making China a laughing stock by this one-man rule campaign … and has the contacts and the determination to do something, nothing is going to change.”
But Xi’s Leninist quest for authority and control also carried dangers: “The changes that he has brought about … are a form of strong Leninism which China has not experienced since the early 50s. We don’t know to what extent the population will accept that.” But Xi’s Leninist quest for authority and control also carried dangers: “The changes that he has brought about … are a form of strong Leninism, which China has not experienced since the early 50s. We don’t know to what extent the population will accept that.”
“This is a vast country, with hundreds of millions of people in different parts, whose exact thoughts about the situation … are very difficult to perceive. And the more Leninism there is, the more people are frightened, the less one is able to perceive it – until something happens.“This is a vast country, with hundreds of millions of people in different parts, whose exact thoughts about the situation … are very difficult to perceive. And the more Leninism there is, the more people are frightened, the less one is able to perceive it – until something happens.
“Things have happened in China. Things do go wrong in China,” MacFarquhar warned. “Even in the best ordered regimes, like Xi Jinping’s.”“Things have happened in China. Things do go wrong in China,” MacFarquhar warned. “Even in the best ordered regimes, like Xi Jinping’s.”
Additional reporting by Wang ZhenAdditional reporting by Wang Zhen