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Lottery win teen: Did she choose wisely? | Lottery win teen: Did she choose wisely? |
(35 minutes later) | |
Canadian teenager Charlie Lagarde had an enviable decision to make - how best to cash in her lottery win. | Canadian teenager Charlie Lagarde had an enviable decision to make - how best to cash in her lottery win. |
Miss Lagarde struck the jackpot after buying a scratch lottery ticket for the first time to mark her 18th birthday. | Miss Lagarde struck the jackpot after buying a scratch lottery ticket for the first time to mark her 18th birthday. |
She had the choice between taking a C$1m (US$780,000; £550,000) lump sum or receiving C$1,000 a week for life. | She had the choice between taking a C$1m (US$780,000; £550,000) lump sum or receiving C$1,000 a week for life. |
She chose the tax-free weekly payment. BBC News asked two financial advisers to analyse her decision. Here is why they think she took the best option. | She chose the tax-free weekly payment. BBC News asked two financial advisers to analyse her decision. Here is why they think she took the best option. |
Teenage kicks | Teenage kicks |
The fact that she is so young means that she has "overwhelmingly" made the correct decision, according to the experts. | The fact that she is so young means that she has "overwhelmingly" made the correct decision, according to the experts. |
From a purely mathematical perspective, it would take just over 19 years to reach a million by taking $1,000 a week. Living into her 80s would mean collecting more than $3m in total over her lifetime. | From a purely mathematical perspective, it would take just over 19 years to reach a million by taking $1,000 a week. Living into her 80s would mean collecting more than $3m in total over her lifetime. |
"This removes all temptation to spend on things that feel like more of a priority at the age of 18 than they might later in life," said Sarah Coles, of UK investment company Hargreaves Lansdown. | "This removes all temptation to spend on things that feel like more of a priority at the age of 18 than they might later in life," said Sarah Coles, of UK investment company Hargreaves Lansdown. |
However, individual circumstances should not be forgotten. | However, individual circumstances should not be forgotten. |
"If Charlie had racked up debts of $100,000 she might have chosen to take the lump sum and rid herself of the huge associated interest costs. This might be the same if she was paying off a mortgage," said Tom Selby, senior analyst at pensions firm AJ Bell. | "If Charlie had racked up debts of $100,000 she might have chosen to take the lump sum and rid herself of the huge associated interest costs. This might be the same if she was paying off a mortgage," said Tom Selby, senior analyst at pensions firm AJ Bell. |
"Assuming this isn't the case, it appears Charlie has made a very sensible decision." | "Assuming this isn't the case, it appears Charlie has made a very sensible decision." |
Still, the decision is a little more complicated than simple maths. This is why. | Still, the decision is a little more complicated than simple maths. This is why. |
How about investing the million? | How about investing the million? |
Some people might consider taking the million dollars and investing it to get a better return. That still would not be a better option financially for the teenager than taking the weekly payment, according to Mr Selby. | Some people might consider taking the million dollars and investing it to get a better return. That still would not be a better option financially for the teenager than taking the weekly payment, according to Mr Selby. |
Here are his calculations, assuming an investment return of 5% (which represents a realistic, but not guaranteed return): | Here are his calculations, assuming an investment return of 5% (which represents a realistic, but not guaranteed return): |
All this means that, for someone aged in their early 30s or older, the choice would be much tougher than it was for Miss Lagarde. | |
Cost of living effect | Cost of living effect |
Miss Lagarde is young, and over time the value of her prize will be eaten away by inflation - the effect of the rising cost of living. | Miss Lagarde is young, and over time the value of her prize will be eaten away by inflation - the effect of the rising cost of living. |
So would she be better off simply taking the million and spending it now, before it starts to fall in value in real terms? | So would she be better off simply taking the million and spending it now, before it starts to fall in value in real terms? |
No, according to Ms Coles, analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown. | No, according to Ms Coles, analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown. |
It is impossible to know the future rate of inflation. However, a realistic estimate of a 3% inflation rate would mean that in 50 years, the $1,000 a week could be worth less than $250 a week in real terms in 50 years. | It is impossible to know the future rate of inflation. However, a realistic estimate of a 3% inflation rate would mean that in 50 years, the $1,000 a week could be worth less than $250 a week in real terms in 50 years. |
"It would therefore take her until the age of 47 to hit $1m in real terms, but even after taking inflation into account, her lifetime income from the win could be over $1.5m," she said. | "It would therefore take her until the age of 47 to hit $1m in real terms, but even after taking inflation into account, her lifetime income from the win could be over $1.5m," she said. |
A choice for everyone? | A choice for everyone? |
All this sounds like a different world for most people. After all, hardly anyone wins the lottery. | All this sounds like a different world for most people. After all, hardly anyone wins the lottery. |
Yet, there are some similar choices to make for many people who have saved hard during their working lives when they reach retirement. Many will be offered a lump sum, or a regular income for life, known as an annuity. | Yet, there are some similar choices to make for many people who have saved hard during their working lives when they reach retirement. Many will be offered a lump sum, or a regular income for life, known as an annuity. |
Ms Coles gives an example for someone in the UK heading into retirement. | Ms Coles gives an example for someone in the UK heading into retirement. |
"A woman retiring at the age of 65 with a pension pot of £1m, for example, might be offered a level income of £53,000 a year for life. This sounds far less exciting than £1m, but means she would break even at the age of 84 - with two more years of average life expectancy in the bag," she said. | "A woman retiring at the age of 65 with a pension pot of £1m, for example, might be offered a level income of £53,000 a year for life. This sounds far less exciting than £1m, but means she would break even at the age of 84 - with two more years of average life expectancy in the bag," she said. |
Mr Selby urges people to take their time over making such significant financial decisions. | Mr Selby urges people to take their time over making such significant financial decisions. |
"Deciding whether to take a small, regular income or a large lump sum can be extremely difficult. As human beings, we have a tendency to prefer receiving an ultimately smaller amount sooner than a larger total amount later. In the jargon, this is known as hyperbolic discounting," he explained. | "Deciding whether to take a small, regular income or a large lump sum can be extremely difficult. As human beings, we have a tendency to prefer receiving an ultimately smaller amount sooner than a larger total amount later. In the jargon, this is known as hyperbolic discounting," he explained. |
"If you're lucky enough to be in a position like Charlie, the key is to think about all the factors that affect the value of your money and don't make any rash decisions." | "If you're lucky enough to be in a position like Charlie, the key is to think about all the factors that affect the value of your money and don't make any rash decisions." |
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