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| Will Putin use his good cop, bad cop routine in summit with Trump? | Will Putin use his good cop, bad cop routine in summit with Trump? |
| (4 days later) | |
| Vladimir Putin used his good cop, bad cop routine the first time he met Vaira Vīķe-Freiberga when she was president of Latvia, giving some hint of the approach the Russian leader may take when he meets Donald Trump on Monday. | Vladimir Putin used his good cop, bad cop routine the first time he met Vaira Vīķe-Freiberga when she was president of Latvia, giving some hint of the approach the Russian leader may take when he meets Donald Trump on Monday. |
| She and Putin had begun a confrontational summit with their advisors present before the Russian leader suggested everyone leave the room – including their interpreters. | |
| “We sat in a corner all by ourselves and started chatting in German, a common language for us. He became quite chummy, and said that we could keep our future contacts informal, and that there was no need to bother having our foreign ministries involved,” she said in a recent interview. | “We sat in a corner all by ourselves and started chatting in German, a common language for us. He became quite chummy, and said that we could keep our future contacts informal, and that there was no need to bother having our foreign ministries involved,” she said in a recent interview. |
| Known for his ability to both charm and intimidate, his advance research and readiness to “play a nasty trick”, Putin is a tough adversary in one-on-one encounters, Vīķe-Freiberga said. | Known for his ability to both charm and intimidate, his advance research and readiness to “play a nasty trick”, Putin is a tough adversary in one-on-one encounters, Vīķe-Freiberga said. |
| “I think he’s a complete actor,” said the Latvian, who now heads a forum for former leaders called the World Leadership Alliance – Club de Madrid, but was speaking in a private capacity. “He can put on a tragedy mask like in Greek theatre, and then can put on a comedy mask and the corners of his lips go up.” | “I think he’s a complete actor,” said the Latvian, who now heads a forum for former leaders called the World Leadership Alliance – Club de Madrid, but was speaking in a private capacity. “He can put on a tragedy mask like in Greek theatre, and then can put on a comedy mask and the corners of his lips go up.” |
| Plans for Monday’s summit with Trump have been loosely defined, with “no hard and fast agenda”, according to Putin spokesman Dmitry Peskov. | Plans for Monday’s summit with Trump have been loosely defined, with “no hard and fast agenda”, according to Putin spokesman Dmitry Peskov. |
| Trump and Putin will meet one-on-one with their interpreters on Monday morning before holding talks with a small group of advisors. The agenda “will be determined by the presidents in the course of the event”, Peskov said. | |
| Tête-à-têtes have been a staple of high-stakes summits between Moscow and Washington for generations, and have usually been valued by the White House as a chance for hidebound Russian leaders to open up. | Tête-à-têtes have been a staple of high-stakes summits between Moscow and Washington for generations, and have usually been valued by the White House as a chance for hidebound Russian leaders to open up. |
| Ronald Reagan’s personal rapport with Mikhail Gorbachev during perestroika marked a high point in that style of diplomacy. | Ronald Reagan’s personal rapport with Mikhail Gorbachev during perestroika marked a high point in that style of diplomacy. |
| But with an erratic US president who has little interest in reading briefings heading to Helsinki this week, it is hard to recall a summit that has made Western foreign policymakers more nervous. | But with an erratic US president who has little interest in reading briefings heading to Helsinki this week, it is hard to recall a summit that has made Western foreign policymakers more nervous. |
| “The danger of the one-on-one is Trump agrees out of ignorance or misinformation to something and they need to walk it back,” said Michael McFaul, the former US ambassador to Moscow. | “The danger of the one-on-one is Trump agrees out of ignorance or misinformation to something and they need to walk it back,” said Michael McFaul, the former US ambassador to Moscow. |
| “The second scarier – and I think less likely – event is he really makes policy in the meeting. He’s Potus so he can do that. I have to guess they’re prepping for a situation like that.” | “The second scarier – and I think less likely – event is he really makes policy in the meeting. He’s Potus so he can do that. I have to guess they’re prepping for a situation like that.” |
| If history is any guide, the Russian president has a large bag of tricks to push Trump off-balance. | If history is any guide, the Russian president has a large bag of tricks to push Trump off-balance. |
| There are the hours he has made guests including the Pope, the Queen and Barack Obama wait; the black Labrador Koni he brought into a meeting with the non-dog loving Angela Merkel; or the time he nearly scuppered a 2006 Nato summit in Riga by attempting to lure Jacques Chirac away for a birthday dinner instead. | There are the hours he has made guests including the Pope, the Queen and Barack Obama wait; the black Labrador Koni he brought into a meeting with the non-dog loving Angela Merkel; or the time he nearly scuppered a 2006 Nato summit in Riga by attempting to lure Jacques Chirac away for a birthday dinner instead. |
| Then there was the “rather syrupy story” he told George W. Bush in 2001 about a cross that his mother had given him, Condoleezza Rice recalled in her memoir. When Bush later said that he felt he trusted Putin and was “able to get a sense of his soul”, Rice said that she stiffened. | Then there was the “rather syrupy story” he told George W. Bush in 2001 about a cross that his mother had given him, Condoleezza Rice recalled in her memoir. When Bush later said that he felt he trusted Putin and was “able to get a sense of his soul”, Rice said that she stiffened. |
| “We were never able to escape the perception that the president had naively trusted Putin and then been betrayed,” she wrote. | “We were never able to escape the perception that the president had naively trusted Putin and then been betrayed,” she wrote. |
| Part of Putin’s advantage comes from two decades of experience on issues, said McFaul, where he can knock less knowledgeable leaders off their stride. | Part of Putin’s advantage comes from two decades of experience on issues, said McFaul, where he can knock less knowledgeable leaders off their stride. |
| “He’s been at this for 20 years, he feels no need to have anyone else in the room, and that puts people like Trump at a big disadvantage,” said McFaul, who has attended several summits with Putin and recently published a memoir on his time as ambassador called From Cold War to Hot Peace: The Inside Story of Russia and America. | “He’s been at this for 20 years, he feels no need to have anyone else in the room, and that puts people like Trump at a big disadvantage,” said McFaul, who has attended several summits with Putin and recently published a memoir on his time as ambassador called From Cold War to Hot Peace: The Inside Story of Russia and America. |
| McFaul was ambassador in 2013 when Russia gave asylum to Edward Snowden, shortly before the US cancelled a planned summit between Obama and Putin. But even with relations collapsing, he recalled, Putin aide Yuri Ushakov “kept pushing to have this one-on-one face time with Obama at [Putin’s] dacha as a way to get things back on track”. | McFaul was ambassador in 2013 when Russia gave asylum to Edward Snowden, shortly before the US cancelled a planned summit between Obama and Putin. But even with relations collapsing, he recalled, Putin aide Yuri Ushakov “kept pushing to have this one-on-one face time with Obama at [Putin’s] dacha as a way to get things back on track”. |
| At a G20 summit in Los Cabos, Mexico, in 2012, the Russian president lectured about “strong men and slow history” in the Middle East – an analysis that Obama disagreed with but that Trump found compelling coming from Putin, McFaul said. | At a G20 summit in Los Cabos, Mexico, in 2012, the Russian president lectured about “strong men and slow history” in the Middle East – an analysis that Obama disagreed with but that Trump found compelling coming from Putin, McFaul said. |
| “Is he persuasive? The answer is absolutely yes. Can he weave a story? Yes. Does he know the history to these issues? Yes,” McFaul said. | “Is he persuasive? The answer is absolutely yes. Can he weave a story? Yes. Does he know the history to these issues? Yes,” McFaul said. |
| Monday will mark Trump’s third meeting with Putin, whom the US leader has spoken glowingly about in the past. | Monday will mark Trump’s third meeting with Putin, whom the US leader has spoken glowingly about in the past. |
| It still is not clear what Putin and Trump, accompanied by a single Kremlin interpreter, spoke about after dinner at a G20 summit in Hamburg last year. When asked by the New York Times, Trump said the two discussed “adoption”. Moscow banned US adoptions in 2012 in retaliation for sanctions of Russian officials under the Magnitsky Act. | |
| Some details of historical meetings between US and Soviet leaders were never revealed or have remained obscure, even from senior staff, for decades. In 2013, secret tapes of Richard Nixon’s talks with Leonid Brezhnev were released by the US National Archives and Records Administration, revealing the two leaders discussing everything from their countries’ relations to personal smoking habits. | Some details of historical meetings between US and Soviet leaders were never revealed or have remained obscure, even from senior staff, for decades. In 2013, secret tapes of Richard Nixon’s talks with Leonid Brezhnev were released by the US National Archives and Records Administration, revealing the two leaders discussing everything from their countries’ relations to personal smoking habits. |
| Brezhnev shared his secret with Nixon: a case mechanically designed to give him just one cigarette each hour. “That’s a way to discipline yourself,” Nixon replied. | Brezhnev shared his secret with Nixon: a case mechanically designed to give him just one cigarette each hour. “That’s a way to discipline yourself,” Nixon replied. |
| Besides ensuring an accurate historical record, holding talks with aides prevents different sides from coming out with different interpretations of the talks. One Western politician called it “CYA” – short for “cover your ass”. | Besides ensuring an accurate historical record, holding talks with aides prevents different sides from coming out with different interpretations of the talks. One Western politician called it “CYA” – short for “cover your ass”. |
| “One thing the Russians are known for is they’ll have a meeting and come out and go on about something we never talked about,” said Toomas Ilves, the former president of Estonia. | “One thing the Russians are known for is they’ll have a meeting and come out and go on about something we never talked about,” said Toomas Ilves, the former president of Estonia. |
| Some Russian releases have already embarrassed the White House, such as photographs of an Oval Office meeting between Trump, Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov and Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak that were only made public by a Russian state news agency. The White House did not want to publicise the meeting. | Some Russian releases have already embarrassed the White House, such as photographs of an Oval Office meeting between Trump, Russian foreign minister Sergei Lavrov and Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak that were only made public by a Russian state news agency. The White House did not want to publicise the meeting. |
| But Monday’s summit seems more tailored for flattery, commentators say, with Putin seeking optics that show Russia is not isolated on the world stage. | But Monday’s summit seems more tailored for flattery, commentators say, with Putin seeking optics that show Russia is not isolated on the world stage. |
| More in question is what is in it for Trump. “These boys are two alpha males, beating their chests one against the other,” Vīķe-Freiberga said. “They will want to position themselves as having won victory.” | More in question is what is in it for Trump. “These boys are two alpha males, beating their chests one against the other,” Vīķe-Freiberga said. “They will want to position themselves as having won victory.” |
| • This article was amended on 18 July 2018 because an earlier version referred to translators. This has been corrected to interpreters. | |
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