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No-deal Brexit ‘could lead to NI electricity blackouts’ | No-deal Brexit ‘could lead to NI electricity blackouts’ |
(35 minutes later) | |
A no-deal Brexit could result in electricity blackouts across Northern Ireland, government officials have warned. | A no-deal Brexit could result in electricity blackouts across Northern Ireland, government officials have warned. |
Officials are preparing a 'no deal' notice about the impacts on the all-island Single Electricity Market (SEM). | Officials are preparing a 'no deal' notice about the impacts on the all-island Single Electricity Market (SEM). |
They have suggested there are risks of price increases and supply shortages. | They have suggested there are risks of price increases and supply shortages. |
Most experts have considered the SEM to be a relatively unproblematic part of Brexit. | Most experts have considered the SEM to be a relatively unproblematic part of Brexit. |
The reason is that it is a UK-Ireland bilateral arrangement, rather than an EU arrangement. | The reason is that it is a UK-Ireland bilateral arrangement, rather than an EU arrangement. |
It has been in place since 2007 and allows for a single market to operate across Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. | It has been in place since 2007 and allows for a single market to operate across Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland. |
However, it is underpinned by the UK and Ireland's membership of the Internal Energy Market (IEM). | However, it is underpinned by the UK and Ireland's membership of the Internal Energy Market (IEM). |
'Insecure, isolated NI market' | 'Insecure, isolated NI market' |
All EU members participate in the IEM along with Norway, Iceland and Lichtenstein. | All EU members participate in the IEM along with Norway, Iceland and Lichtenstein. |
Participation requires alignment with EU rules including industrial emissions regulations and restrictions on state aid. | Participation requires alignment with EU rules including industrial emissions regulations and restrictions on state aid. |
The work carried out by UK officials says the surest way to maintain the SEM is for continued UK participation in the IEM. | The work carried out by UK officials says the surest way to maintain the SEM is for continued UK participation in the IEM. |
They suggest that in a no-deal Brexit, the SEM would, at best, continue but be at risk. | They suggest that in a no-deal Brexit, the SEM would, at best, continue but be at risk. |
They raise an alternative possibility that it could split "leaving an insecure, isolated NI market". | They raise an alternative possibility that it could split "leaving an insecure, isolated NI market". |
That in turn could see bills in Northern Ireland rise by up to 34%, lead to blackouts and prompt government intervention. | That in turn could see bills in Northern Ireland rise by up to 34%, lead to blackouts and prompt government intervention. |
Keeping the SEM operating "in any way possible" is described as a priority. | Keeping the SEM operating "in any way possible" is described as a priority. |
The officials suggest that even if there is no withdrawal deal, the government could seek a special deal with Ireland and the EU to keep the SEM operating. | The officials suggest that even if there is no withdrawal deal, the government could seek a special deal with Ireland and the EU to keep the SEM operating. |
But they cautioned that such an arrangement would not fully mitigate legal risks to the SEM. | But they cautioned that such an arrangement would not fully mitigate legal risks to the SEM. |
It is understood that a formal "no deal notice" on the SEM will be published in the next few weeks. | It is understood that a formal "no deal notice" on the SEM will be published in the next few weeks. |
A spokesman for the Department for Exiting the EU said the government does not comment on leaks. | A spokesman for the Department for Exiting the EU said the government does not comment on leaks. |
The blackout warning was met with scepticism by DUP MP Ian Paisley, a Brexit supporter, who dismissed it on Twitter as "fake news". | |
Mr Paisely tweeted: "Don't forget planes falling out of the sky, food shortage, mass unemployment and pestilence!" | |
The DUP have been supporting the Conservative Party in a confidence and supply agreement since summer 2017. |
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