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Your Election Night Cheat Sheet Your Election Night Cheat Sheet
(about 1 hour later)
Get live analysis and real-time election results.Get live analysis and real-time election results.
Want to know if the Democrats or the Republicans have the edge in winning control of the House and Senate? Democrats are poised to take control of the House, and the Republicans are set to expand their advantage in the Senate.
Here is our cheat sheet for key toss-up races to track Tuesday night. But a number of key races have yet to be decided, and they will determine the breakdown of each chamber. Here’s our cheat sheet for crucial tossup races to track.
Remember: Republicans need to win a much higher percentage of competitive House races than Democrats do because so many G.O.P. seats are toss-ups. Barr, the incumbent, defeated McGrath, one of the Democratic Party’s most prominent challengers, in a deeply conservative district, according to The Associated Press. He won by 22 points in 2016.
So any one Republican victory is a modest sign of a good night for Republicans, while any given Democratic victory is a solid or strong sign of a good night for Democrats. It was one of 30 tossup districts where Republicans held a distinct partisan advantage, and Barr’s victory signaled that Republican-controlled districts were still asserting their allegiance to President Trump. Read more of our analysis of the race.
Barr, the incumbent, won by 22 points in 2016 Spanberger narrowly defeated Brat, the incumbent, in a district that sprawls from the Richmond suburbs to the countryside. Usually it’s conservative, but this year it became a tossup. Check out a breakdown of results in the district by county.
If Barr wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night. In this southeastern district, which includes Virginia Beach and the naval base at Norfolk, Luria defeated the incumbent, Taylor, in a tight race, according to The Associated Press. Her win was a strong sign of a Democratic night. Check out a breakdown of results in the district by county.
If McGrath wins, it’s a STRONG sign of a Democratic night. In this Tampa-area district, Spano, a Republican state representative, defeated Carlson, a former prosecutor and general counsel for the state citrus agency, according to The Associated Press. His win is a modest sign of a Republican night. Check out a breakdown of results in the district by county.
Polls close at 6 p.m. Could take a few hours before a clear result. Curbelo, the incumbent who won by 12 points in 2016, was defeated on Tuesday by Mucarsel-Powell, a former associate dean at Florida International University, according to The Associated Press. Her win in one of the most competitive House districts is a solid sign of a Democratic night. Check out a breakdown of results in the district by county.
Brat, the incumbent, won by 15 points in 2016.
If Brat wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.
If Spanberger wins, it’s a STRONG sign of a Democratic night.
Polls close at 7 p.m. Could be a relatively quick vote count.
Taylor, the incumbent, won by 23 points in 2016.
If Taylor wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.
If Luria wins, it’s a STRONG sign of a Democratic night.
Polls close at 7 p.m. Could be a few hours before a clear result.
Neither is an incumbent.
If Spano wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.
If Carlson wins, it’s a STRONG sign of a Democratic night.
Polls close at 7 p.m. Should be a relatively quick vote count.
Curbelo, the incumbent, won by 12 points in 2016.
If Curbelo wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.
If Mucarsel-Powell wins, it’s a SOLID sign of a Democratic night.
Polls close at 7 p.m. Could be a few hours before a clear result.
MacArthur, the incumbent, won by 20 points in 2016.MacArthur, the incumbent, won by 20 points in 2016.
If MacArthur wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.If MacArthur wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night.
If Kim wins, it’s a SOLID sign of a Democratic night.If Kim wins, it’s a SOLID sign of a Democratic night.
Polls close at 8 p.m. Could be a couple hours before a clear result.Polls close at 8 p.m. Could be a couple hours before a clear result.
This district has been redrawn but is very similar to the seat Mr. Fitzpatrick holds. Fitzpatrick won in a district that has been redrawn but is very similar to the seat he currently holds. Check out a breakdown of the results in the district by county.
If Fitzpatrick wins, it’s a MODEST sign of a Republican night. Indiana — Senator Joe Donnelly, a Democrat, was defeated by the Republican businessman Mike Braun, according to The Associated Press. His loss deals a significant blow to Democratic efforts to retake control of the Senate.
If Wallace wins, it’s a SOLID sign of a Democratic night. Missouri — Josh Hawley, a Republican, defeated the Democratic incumbent, Claire McCaskill, in one of the year’s most-watched races, according to The Associated Press.
Polls close at 8 p.m. Could be several hours before a clear result.
Indiana
Missouri
FloridaFlorida
New Jersey New Jersey — Senator Robert Menendez, a Democrat, was elected to a third term, according to The Associated Press. He withstood a public backlash over his federal corruption trial and the official Senate criticism he received for misusing his office for personal gain.
Montana Tennessee — Representative Marsha Blackburn, a Republican, beat out Phil Bredesen, a Democrat and former governor, according to The Associated Press. Democrats had hoped to pull out a victory in this deep red state, which became a surprise battleground in the final weeks of the contest. Blackburn had tied herself closely to Trump.
Tennessee Texas —- Senator Ted Cruz, a Republican, won re-election, according to The Associated Press. He overcame a challenge by the best-financed and most popular Democrat to run in Texas in years, Representative Beto O’Rourke.
Texas
ArizonaArizona
NevadaNevada