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Democratic Unionist party will not support May's deal in vote Democratic Unionist party will not support May's deal in vote
(about 1 month later)
The Democratic Unionist party has rejected Theresa May’s bid for support for her Brexit deal, in another serious setback for the prime minister.The Democratic Unionist party has rejected Theresa May’s bid for support for her Brexit deal, in another serious setback for the prime minister.
Hours after the attorney general revealed that his legal advice over the Irish backstop remained “unchanged”, the party said it would not be supporting her at Tuesday night’s crunch vote.Hours after the attorney general revealed that his legal advice over the Irish backstop remained “unchanged”, the party said it would not be supporting her at Tuesday night’s crunch vote.
Their decision could have a devastating domino effect on the outcome of the vote with many in the Eurosceptic European Research Group led by Jacob Rees-Mogg likely to vote the same way as the DUP.Their decision could have a devastating domino effect on the outcome of the vote with many in the Eurosceptic European Research Group led by Jacob Rees-Mogg likely to vote the same way as the DUP.
Variously described as an insurance policy or safety net, the backstop is a device in the Withdrawal Agreement intended to ensure that there will not be a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, even if no formal deal can be reached on trade and security arrangements.Variously described as an insurance policy or safety net, the backstop is a device in the Withdrawal Agreement intended to ensure that there will not be a hard border between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, even if no formal deal can be reached on trade and security arrangements.
It would mean that if there were no workable agreement on such matters, Northern Ireland would stay in the customs union and much of the single market, guaranteeing a friction-free border with the Republic. This would keep the Good Friday agreement intact.It would mean that if there were no workable agreement on such matters, Northern Ireland would stay in the customs union and much of the single market, guaranteeing a friction-free border with the Republic. This would keep the Good Friday agreement intact.
Both the UK and EU signed up to the basic idea in December 2017 as part of the initial Brexit deal, but there have been disagreements since on how it would work.Both the UK and EU signed up to the basic idea in December 2017 as part of the initial Brexit deal, but there have been disagreements since on how it would work.
The DUP have objected to it, as it potentially treats Northern Ireland differently from the rest of the UK, creating a customs divide in the Irish sea, which is anathema to the unionist party.The DUP have objected to it, as it potentially treats Northern Ireland differently from the rest of the UK, creating a customs divide in the Irish sea, which is anathema to the unionist party.
Hardline Tory Eurosceptics also object to it, as they perceive it to be a trap that could potentially lock the UK into the EU's customs union permanently if the UK & EU cannot seal a free trade agreement. That would prevent the country from doing its own free trade deals with nations outside the bloc.  Hardline Tory Eurosceptics also object to it, as they perceive it to be a trap that could potentially lock the UK into the EU's customs union permanently if the UK & EU cannot seal a free trade agreement. That would prevent the UK from doing its own free trade deals with nations outside the bloc. 
Joint interpretative instrument Joint interpretative instrument 
A legal add-on to the withdrawal agreement was given to Theresa May in January 2019 to try and get her deal through the UK parliament. It gives legal force to a letter from Jean-Claude Juncker and Donald Tusk, the presidents of the commission and council. This stated the EU’s intention to negotiate an alternative to the backstop so it would not be triggered, or, if it was triggered, to get out of it as quickly as possible.A legal add-on to the withdrawal agreement was given to Theresa May in January 2019 to try and get her deal through the UK parliament. It gives legal force to a letter from Jean-Claude Juncker and Donald Tusk, the presidents of the commission and council. This stated the EU’s intention to negotiate an alternative to the backstop so it would not be triggered, or, if it was triggered, to get out of it as quickly as possible.
Unilateral statement from the UK Unilateral statement from the UK 
This set out the British position that, if the backstop was to become permanent and talks on an alternative were going nowhere, the UK believes it would be able to exit the arrangement.This set out the British position that, if the backstop was to become permanent and talks on an alternative were going nowhere, the UK believes it would be able to exit the arrangement.
Additional language in political declaration Additional language in political declaration 
This emphasises the urgency felt on both sides to negotiate an alternative to the backstop, and flesh out what a technological fix would look like. However, it failed to persuade the attorney general, Geoffrey Cox, who said that while it 'reduces the risk' of the UK being trapped in a backstop indefinitely, it does not remove it.This emphasises the urgency felt on both sides to negotiate an alternative to the backstop, and flesh out what a technological fix would look like. However, it failed to persuade the attorney general, Geoffrey Cox, who said that while it 'reduces the risk' of the UK being trapped in a backstop indefinitely, it does not remove it.
During their campaigns to become prime minister, both Conservative party leadership contenders Boris Johnson and Jeremy Hunt appear to have declared the Northern Ireland backstop “dead”, and promised to throw it out of any deal they negotiate with the EU. The EU has repeatedly stated that it will not re-open the Withdrawal Agreement for re-negotiation.  Prime minister Boris Johnson  declared the Northern Ireland backstop “dead” during his leadership campaign, and promised to throw it out of any deal he re-negotiated with the EU. The EU has repeatedly stated that it will not re-open the Withdrawal Agreement for re-negotiation. 
Daniel Boffey, Martin Belam and Peter Walker Daniel Boffey, Martin Belam and Peter Walker 
The Conservative MP Sir Mike Penning said the decision to vote against May was a body blow to May.The Conservative MP Sir Mike Penning said the decision to vote against May was a body blow to May.
“That’s really disappointing, because a lot of colleagues were looking to follow the DUP through the lobbies if they were happy with the backstop,” he told Sky News.“That’s really disappointing, because a lot of colleagues were looking to follow the DUP through the lobbies if they were happy with the backstop,” he told Sky News.
The ERG’s “star chamber of lawyers”, which includes the DUP’s Westminster leader, Nigel Dodds, has already said it will not recommend its members vote for May’s deal.The ERG’s “star chamber of lawyers”, which includes the DUP’s Westminster leader, Nigel Dodds, has already said it will not recommend its members vote for May’s deal.
“We are going to vote against the government on this,” DUP MP Sammy Wilson confirmed.“We are going to vote against the government on this,” DUP MP Sammy Wilson confirmed.
In a statement, the DUP said “sufficient progress” had not been made to address its fears that it could be trapped in a permanent alignment with the EU and attacked the EU for being “intransigent”.In a statement, the DUP said “sufficient progress” had not been made to address its fears that it could be trapped in a permanent alignment with the EU and attacked the EU for being “intransigent”.
“We recognise that the prime minister has made limited progress in her discussions with the European Union. However, in our view sufficient progress has not been achieved at this time.“We recognise that the prime minister has made limited progress in her discussions with the European Union. However, in our view sufficient progress has not been achieved at this time.
“It is clear that the risks remain that the UK would be unable to lawfully exit the backstop were it to be activated,” it said.“It is clear that the risks remain that the UK would be unable to lawfully exit the backstop were it to be activated,” it said.
Quizzing the attorney general, Geoffrey Cox, in the House of Commons, Dodds said that under Monday night’s Strasbourg deal, “provided there is not bad faith” behaviour from the EU in future negotiations, the UK and Northern Ireland could be “trapped” in the backstop.Quizzing the attorney general, Geoffrey Cox, in the House of Commons, Dodds said that under Monday night’s Strasbourg deal, “provided there is not bad faith” behaviour from the EU in future negotiations, the UK and Northern Ireland could be “trapped” in the backstop.
At one point, it was believed that May could have been within 20 votes of winning a parliamentary majority for her Brexit deal if she can gain assurances from the EU that will persuade the DUP to back her deal.At one point, it was believed that May could have been within 20 votes of winning a parliamentary majority for her Brexit deal if she can gain assurances from the EU that will persuade the DUP to back her deal.
One commentator in Ireland said he believed the party could ultimately be persuaded to vote for May’s deal because of the “importance” of money to their loyal case of voters.One commentator in Ireland said he believed the party could ultimately be persuaded to vote for May’s deal because of the “importance” of money to their loyal case of voters.
Tommie Gorman, Ireland's Northern Ireland editor, says he thinks DUP will "hedge their bets"...won't support May tonight. But ultimately will switch. "The DUP know the importance of money. there will be resettlement money, disturbance money not just from W'minster but also EU.."Tommie Gorman, Ireland's Northern Ireland editor, says he thinks DUP will "hedge their bets"...won't support May tonight. But ultimately will switch. "The DUP know the importance of money. there will be resettlement money, disturbance money not just from W'minster but also EU.."
The DUP said it would “support the right deal”, arguing it was “possible to reach a sensible deal which works for the United Kingdom and the European Union but it will require all sides to be reasonable and in deal-making mode”.The DUP said it would “support the right deal”, arguing it was “possible to reach a sensible deal which works for the United Kingdom and the European Union but it will require all sides to be reasonable and in deal-making mode”.
Democratic Unionist party (DUP)Democratic Unionist party (DUP)
BrexitBrexit
European UnionEuropean Union
Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland
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