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Labor holds significant lead over Morrison government in latest poll Polls show 2019 election win an uphill battle for Morrison government
(about 11 hours later)
An Ipsos poll shows Labor holds a significant lead over the government. Scott Morrison’s task to win the Coalition a third term still appears out of sight, despite the prime minister recording his best ever Newspoll.
The poll commissioned by the Age and the Sydney Morning Herald and released on Sunday night says Labor leads 53-47 on a two-party preferred basis. Two polls out on Sunday night suggest voters’ dislike of the opposition leader Bill Shorten won’t stop Labor winning a majority government in the May election.
A Newspoll published by the Australian suggests the government trails Labor 48-52 on a two-party-preferred basis.
That is an improvement from the 46-54 poll a month ago and marks the Coalition’s best result since Malcolm Turnbull was dumped as leader in August 2018.
The Ipsos poll, published by the Age and the Sydney Morning Herald, suggested the Labor lead is six points (53-47).
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If the results, which have a margin of error of plus or minus 2.9%, were replicated in a uniform swing, Labor would win 83 seats in the 151-seat lower house. Labor only needs a uniform swing of about 1% to win majority government.
The poll also suggested Scott Morrison remains the preferred prime minister, with 46% of those polled liking him compared to 35% choosing Labor leader Bill Shorten. A 3% swing to Labor would lead to senior ministers Peter Dutton and David Coleman losing their seats.
Almost one in five voters were undecided. Despite each poll’s dire warning for the Coalition, both continue to suggest almost half of all voters approve of Morrison while about 36% were in favour of Shorten’s performance.
In the Ipsos poll, Morrison also maintains a net approval rating of positive nine percentage points, while the Labor leader’s net approval has dropped three points to minus 15.
Australian politicsAustralian politics
Australian election 2019Australian election 2019
Labor partyLabor party
CoalitionCoalition
Bill ShortenBill Shorten
Scott MorrisonScott Morrison
Liberal party
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