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India election 2019: Exit polls suggest Narendra Modi back as PM | India election 2019: Exit polls suggest Narendra Modi back as PM |
(32 minutes later) | |
India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is on course to win the general election, exit polls suggest. | India's Prime Minister Narendra Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is on course to win the general election, exit polls suggest. |
The BJP and the main opposition Congress party battled it out with powerful regional rivals in a bruising campaign over seven phases of polling. | The BJP and the main opposition Congress party battled it out with powerful regional rivals in a bruising campaign over seven phases of polling. |
Results will be announced on 23 May. Analysts warn exit polls have often been wrong in the past. | Results will be announced on 23 May. Analysts warn exit polls have often been wrong in the past. |
Many saw the election as a referendum on Mr Modi who won a landslide in 2014. | Many saw the election as a referendum on Mr Modi who won a landslide in 2014. |
A party or coalition needs 272 seats in parliament to form a government. | |
What are the exit polls saying? | |
Four exit polls saw big wins for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), predicting that it would win anywhere between 280 and 315 seats, far more than the Congress party. | |
However, a Nielsen-ABP news channel poll suggested that the BJP alliance would win 267 seats, falling short of a majority. | |
This prediction comes despite its projection that the party would lose heavily in the bellwether state of Uttar Pradesh, which sends 80 MPs to parliament, more than any other. | |
In 2014 the BJP won 71 of the state's seats, and the poll suggests it will lose as many as 51 of those seats to powerful regional parties. | |
India election | |
The election began on 11 April and was held in seven phases for security and logistical reasons. With 900 million eligible voters, it is the world's biggest exercise in democracy. | The election began on 11 April and was held in seven phases for security and logistical reasons. With 900 million eligible voters, it is the world's biggest exercise in democracy. |
Political parties have not commented on the projections so far. As voting ended, there was a flurry of meetings by opposition leaders, sparking speculation. | |
What were the key issues this election? | What were the key issues this election? |
With farming in crisis, unemployment on the rise and growing fears that India is heading for a recession, he economy is perhaps the biggest issue. | |
Under Mr Modi, the world's sixth-largest economy has lost some of its momentum. Growth hovers around 7% and a leaked government report claims the unemployment rate is the highest it has been since the 1970s. | Under Mr Modi, the world's sixth-largest economy has lost some of its momentum. Growth hovers around 7% and a leaked government report claims the unemployment rate is the highest it has been since the 1970s. |
A crop glut and declining commodity prices have led to stagnant farm incomes, leaving many farmers saddled with debt. | A crop glut and declining commodity prices have led to stagnant farm incomes, leaving many farmers saddled with debt. |
Many also see this election as a battle for India's identity and the state of its minorities. | |
A strident - and at times violent - Hindu nationalism has become mainstream in the past five years, with increased attacks against minorities, including the lynchings of dozens of Muslims accused of smuggling cows. | |
And national security is in the spotlight after a suicide attack by a Pakistan-based militant group killed at least 40 paramilitary police in Indian-administered Kashmir in February. | |
India then launched unprecedented air strikes in Pakistan, prompting Pakistan to respond in kind and bringing the two countries to the brink of war. |